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Minnesota Timberwolves vs Dallas Mavericks Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 26 Mar 2022
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 116-95
26-22 35-28 28-17 27-28
Position#12
Record42-32
FormWWWLL
Points / game115.4
Allowed / game112.1
vs
Position#7
Record45-28
FormWLLWW
Points / game106.7
Allowed / game104.0
USANBA· Target Center
NBA2021-22
Meetings · Minnesota Timberwolves v Dallas Mavericks
24 Mar 2027
MIN v DAL
upcoming
12 Nov 2026
MIN v DAL
upcoming
20 Feb 2026
MIN122
DAL111
17 Nov 2025
MIN120
DAL96
29 Oct 2024
MIN114
DAL120
30 May 2024
MIN103
DAL124
24 May 2024
MIN108
DAL109
22 May 2024
MIN105
DAL108
31 Jan 2024
MIN121
DAL87
28 Dec 2023
MIN118
DAL110
21 Dec 2022
MIN99
DAL104
19 Dec 2022
MIN116
DAL106
25 Mar 2022
MIN116
DAL95
19 Dec 2021
MIN111
DAL105
16 May 2021
MIN136
DAL121
24 Mar 2021
MIN108
DAL128
01 Apr 2020
MIN v DAL
upcoming
01 Mar 2020
MIN91
DAL111
11 Jan 2019
MIN115
DAL119
10 Dec 2017
MIN97
DAL92
04 Nov 2017
MIN112
DAL99
24 Feb 2017
MIN97
DAL84
09 Jan 2017
MIN101
DAL92
03 Apr 2016
MIN78
DAL88
10 Jan 2016
MIN87
DAL93
21 Jan 2015
MIN75
DAL98
30 Dec 2013
MIN98
DAL100
08 Nov 2013
MIN116
DAL108
10 Mar 2013
MIN77
DAL100
15 Dec 2012
MIN114
DAL106
10 Feb 2012
MIN97
DAL104
01 Jan 2012
MIN99
DAL82
07 Mar 2011
MIN105
DAL108
08 Mar 2010
MIN112
DAL125
13 Nov 2009
MIN77
DAL89
31 Mar 2009
MIN88
DAL108
01 Nov 2008
MIN85
DAL95
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Minnesota Timberwolves winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Dallas Mavericks winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Minnesota TimberwolvesUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTimberwolves
Date
Competition
Portland Trail Blazers
#25
W
135-121
135
121
+14
139avg 107
H06/03
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#25
W
124-81
124
81
+43
119avg 107
H08/03
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#27
W
132-102
132
102
+30
135avg 107
H10/03
NBA
Orlando Magic
#29
L
110-118
110
118
-8
99avg 107
A12/03
NBA
Miami Heat
#4
W
113-104
113
104
+9
105avg 107
A13/03
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#22
W
149-139
149
139
+10
145avg 107
A15/03
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#23
W
124-104
124
104
+20
116avg 107
H17/03
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#5
W
138-119
138
119
+19
134avg 107
H19/03
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#7
L
108-110
108
110
-2
96avg 107
A22/03
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#1
L
116-125
116
125
-9
106avg 107
H24/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
32-34
31-30
46-37
26-20
31-15
30-19
29-26
34-21
32-21
42-26
27-32
31-23
36-24
29-36
28-37
17-21
30-25
25-42
34-19
24-18
40-32
35-41
46-33
28-33
31-17
36-29
19-31
38-27
34-28
34-28
38-26
32-37
29-23
25-37
27-26
27-24
30-25
34-26
24-32
28-42
237.2Avg total
124.9Scored
112.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (74)115.4112.1227.6+3.357%
Season at home (37)112.8107.4220.2+5.565%
Season away (37)118.0116.9234.9+1.149%
Last 10 (10)124.9112.3237.2+12.670%
Last 5 (5)127.0119.4246.4+7.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)120.0129.5249.5-9.50%
vs Similar ◀ (16)122.1119.8241.8+2.362%
vs Weaker (12)125.0110.2235.2+14.883%
This opponent (Dallas Mavericks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Dallas MavericksUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMavericks
Date
Competition
Sacramento Kings
#24
W
114-113
114
113
+1
103avg 100
H05/03
NBA
Utah Jazz
#9
W
111-103
111
103
+8
98avg 100
H08/03
NBA
New York Knicks
#19
L
77-107
77
107
-30
51avg 100
H10/03
NBA
Houston Rockets
#30
W
113-100
113
100
+13
102avg 100
A12/03
NBA
Boston Celtics
#6
W
95-92
95
92
+3
89avg 100
A13/03
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#16
W
113-111
113
111
+2
104avg 100
A16/03
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#8
L
101-111
101
111
-10
92avg 100
A18/03
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#15
L
108-129
108
129
-21
94avg 100
A19/03
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#12
W
110-108
110
108
+2
108avg 100
H22/03
NBA
Houston Rockets
#30
W
110-91
110
91
+19
103avg 100
H24/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-36
25-29
34-27
29-21
30-24
30-25
25-19
26-35
17-31
17-30
31-22
12-24
31-23
36-21
29-28
17-28
18-20
20-27
38-26
19-19
23-30
35-31
21-30
34-20
27-26
26-32
23-26
25-27
24-35
28-26
28-41
28-27
23-29
37-25
26-27
24-27
25-21
27-32
30-19
28-19
211.7Avg total
105.2Scored
106.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (73)106.7104.0210.7+2.762%
Season at home (37)106.6102.1208.6+4.568%
Season away (36)106.9105.9212.8+0.956%
Last 10 (10)105.2106.5211.7-1.370%
Last 5 (5)108.4110.0218.4-1.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (20)105.2106.5211.7-1.365%
vs Weaker (10)115.2104.3219.5+10.980%
This opponent (Minnesota Timberwolves) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +8.1+8.1Q1: -3.1-3.1Q2Q2: +0.7+0.7Q2: +0.3+0.3Q3Q3: +1.9+1.9Q3: +2.0+2.0Q4Q4: +1.9+1.9Q4: -0.5-0.5
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +8.1+8.1Q1: -3.1-3.1Q2Q2: +0.7+0.7Q2: +0.3+0.3Q3Q3: +1.9+1.9Q3: +2.0+2.0Q4Q4: +1.9+1.9Q4: -0.5-0.5
Minnesota TimberwolvesDallas Mavericks
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Minnesota TimberwolvesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Portland Trail Blazers
#25
L
63-64
63
64
-1
H06/03
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#25
W
61-34
61
34
+27
H08/03
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#27
W
74-47
74
47
+27
H10/03
NBA
Orlando Magic
#29
W
65-60
65
60
+5
A12/03
NBA
Miami Heat
#4
L
55-67
55
67
-12
A13/03
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#22
W
75-73
75
73
+2
A15/03
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#23
W
67-46
67
46
+21
H17/03
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#5
W
68-56
68
56
+12
H19/03
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#7
L
54-60
54
60
-6
A22/03
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#1
W
64-51
64
51
+13
H24/03
NBA
120.4Avg total
64.6Scored
55.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)63.358.7122.0+4.560%-
Last 30 at home (15)61.253.3114.5+7.967%-
Last 30 away (15)65.364.2129.5+1.153%-
Last 10 (10)64.655.8120.4+8.870%-
Last 5 (5)65.657.2122.8+8.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)65.062.5127.5+2.550%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)60.958.8119.7+2.262%-
vs Weaker (12)66.158.1124.2+8.058%-
This opponent (Dallas Mavericks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Dallas MavericksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sacramento Kings
#24
L
51-65
51
65
-14
H05/03
NBA
Utah Jazz
#9
W
60-49
60
49
+11
H08/03
NBA
New York Knicks
#19
L
34-61
34
61
-27
H10/03
NBA
Houston Rockets
#30
W
67-44
67
44
+23
A12/03
NBA
Boston Celtics
#6
L
38-47
38
47
-9
A13/03
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#16
L
58-61
58
61
-3
A16/03
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#8
L
53-58
53
58
-5
A18/03
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#15
L
52-61
52
61
-9
A19/03
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#12
W
60-54
60
54
+6
H22/03
NBA
Houston Rockets
#30
L
52-53
52
53
-1
H24/03
NBA
107.8Avg total
52.5Scored
55.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)56.354.5110.8+1.853%-
Last 30 at home (17)55.152.1107.1+3.065%-
Last 30 away (13)58.057.7115.7+0.338%-
Last 10 (10)52.555.3107.8-2.830%-
Last 5 (5)55.057.4112.4-2.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (20)54.054.5108.5-0.550%-
vs Weaker (10)60.954.5115.4+6.460%-
This opponent (Minnesota Timberwolves) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Minnesota Timberwolvestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Minnesota Timberwolves: 124.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers52.4 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers48.6 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws23.9 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 110.2 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.326.2
55.4%
53.1%52.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers42.116.2
38.5%
35.3%48.6
🏀 Free throws28.423.9
84.2%
77.4%23.9
They take 89.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 42.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Dallas Maverickstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Dallas Mavericks: 105.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers51.0 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.9 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.3 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 110.2 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.925.5
55.6%
53.1%51.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers38.212.3
32.2%
35.3%36.9
🏀 Free throws22.217.3
77.9%
77.4%17.3
They take 84.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 38.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 26 Mar 2022 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Minnesota Timberwolves
LLWWWWLWWW
Dallas Mavericks
WWLLWWWLWW
#12
League position
#7
+12.1
Net rating
-1.3
119.9
Offensive rating
109.2
107.8
Defensive rating
110.6
56.5%
Effective FG%
52.3%
52.1%
Opp. effective FG%
51.1%
12.5%
Turnover %
12.0%
23.6%
Off. rebound %
21.7%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.26
38.5%
3-point %
32.2%
62.3%
Assist %
53.7%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence119.9 · 109.2Defence107.8 · 110.6Shooting56.5% · 52.3%3-point %38.5% · 32.2%Ball care12.5% · 12.0%Off. rebounds23.6% · 21.7%Free throws0.32 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)70% · 70%
■ Minnesota Timberwolves   ■ Dallas Mavericks
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
24/03/22HPhoenix Suns116-125
22/03/22ADallas Mavericks108-110
19/03/22HMilwaukee Bucks138-119
17/03/22HLos Angeles Lakers124-104
15/03/22ASan Antonio Spurs149-139
13/03/22AMiami Heat113-104
12/03/22AOrlando Magic110-118
10/03/22HOklahoma City Thunder132-102
08/03/22HPortland Trail Blazers124-81
06/03/22HPortland Trail Blazers135-121
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/03/22HHouston Rockets110-91
22/03/22HMinnesota Timberwolves110-108
19/03/22ACharlotte Hornets108-129
18/03/22APhiladelphia 76ers101-111
16/03/22ABrooklyn Nets113-111
13/03/22ABoston Celtics95-92
12/03/22AHouston Rockets113-100
10/03/22HNew York Knicks77-107
08/03/22HUtah Jazz111-103
05/03/22HSacramento Kings114-113

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
NBA 2021-22
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL57%
HomeWWWWL65%
AwayWLWWL49%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743737
Win %57%65%49%
Points / game115.4112.8118.0
Allowed / game112.1107.4116.9
Point differential+3.3+5.5+1.1
Avg total227.6220.2234.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+36%46%27%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (15)60% (5)60% (10)
Overtime %4%3%5%
Dallas Mavericks
NBA 2021-22
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW62%
HomeWWLWW68%
AwayWWWLL56%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games733736
Win %62%68%56%
Points / game106.7106.6106.9
Allowed / game104.0102.1105.9
Point differential+2.7+4.5+0.9
Avg total210.7208.6212.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%35%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won59% (17)67% (9)50% (8)
Overtime %4%5%3%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Phoenix Suns74601481%115.3106.9+8.4
2 Memphis Grizzlies74512369%115.1109.4+5.7
3 Golden State Warriors74482665%111.0105.2+5.8
4 Miami Heat73472664%109.4105.1+4.3
5 Milwaukee Bucks73462763%115.1111.0+4.1
6 Philadelphia 76ers72452762%108.7106.7+2.0
7 Boston Celtics74462862%110.4103.8+6.7
8 Dallas Mavericks73452862%106.7104.0+2.7
9 Utah Jazz74452961%113.5107.6+5.9
10 Denver Nuggets74433158%111.8109.4+2.4
11 Chicago Bulls73423158%111.8111.4+0.3
12 Minnesota Timberwolves74423257%115.4112.1+3.3
13 Cleveland Cavaliers73413256%107.4104.8+2.6
14 Toronto Raptors73413256%108.8107.3+1.5
15 Brooklyn Nets73383552%112.2112.0+0.2
16 Charlotte Hornets74383651%114.7114.5+0.3
17 Atlanta Hawks74373750%112.9112.2+0.7
18 Los Angeles Clippers74363849%106.8108.1-1.4
19 New York Knicks73314242%106.3106.9-0.6
20 New Orleans Pelicans73314242%108.8109.8-1.1
21 Los Angeles Lakers73314242%111.6114.3-2.7
22 Washington Wizards73314242%108.1111.4-3.3
23 San Antonio Spurs73294440%112.9113.4-0.5
24 Portland Trail Blazers72274538%107.2114.5-7.2
25 Sacramento Kings74264835%110.5115.8-5.3
26 Indiana Pacers74254934%110.8113.4-2.6
27 Oklahoma City Thunder73215229%103.3110.9-7.6
28 Orlando Magic74205427%104.1111.9-7.8
29 Detroit Pistons74205427%104.3112.2-7.9
30 Houston Rockets73185525%108.7118.1-9.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Minnesota Timberwolves26352827116
Dallas Mavericks2228172895
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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