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Milwaukee Bucks vs Phoenix Suns Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 19 Dec 2026
Tip-off: 01:00
Scheduled
Position#28
Record3-8
FormLLWLL
Points / game111.4
Allowed / game123.3
vs
Position#29
Record2-7
FormLLWLL
Points / game110.3
Allowed / game119.0
USANBA· Fiserv Forum
NBA2026-27
Meetings · Milwaukee Bucks v Phoenix Suns
18 Dec 2026
MIL v PHX
upcoming
10 Mar 2026
MIL114
PHX129
01 Apr 2025
MIL133
PHX123
17 Mar 2024
MIL140
PHX129
26 Feb 2023
MIL104
PHX101
06 Mar 2022
MIL132
PHX122
20 Jul 2021
MIL105
PHX98
14 Jul 2021
MIL109
PHX103
11 Jul 2021
MIL120
PHX100
19 Apr 2021
MIL127
PHX128
02 Feb 2020
MIL129
PHX108
23 Nov 2018
MIL114
PHX116
22 Jan 2018
MIL109
PHX105
26 Feb 2017
MIL100
PHX96
30 Mar 2016
MIL105
PHX94
06 Jan 2015
MIL96
PHX102
29 Jan 2014
MIL117
PHX126
08 Jan 2013
MIL108
PHX99
07 Feb 2012
MIL105
PHX107
04 Mar 2011
MIL88
PHX102
03 Apr 2010
MIL107
PHX98
08 Nov 2008
MIL96
PHX104
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Milwaukee Bucks win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Phoenix Suns win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Milwaukee BucksUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBucks
Date
Competition
Oklahoma City Thunder
#20
W
128-126
128
126
+2
112avg 100
A08/10
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#24
L
90-105
90
105
-15
74avg 100
A11/10
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#23
L
104-125
104
125
-21
76avg 100
H15/10
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#26
W
128-127 OT
128
127
+1
110avg 100
A16/10
NBA
Washington Wizards
#17
L
116-128
116
128
-12
107avg 100
A21/10
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#23
L
125-132
125
132
-7
116avg 100
H23/10
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#6
L
116-127
116
127
-11
111avg 100
A24/10
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#26
W
110-102
110
102
+8
103avg 100
H27/10
NBA
Houston Rockets
#3
L
100-132
100
132
-32
74avg 100
H29/10
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#10
L
111-136
111
136
-25
88avg 100
H01/11
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
35-44
29-38
33-20
31-24
26-29
19-31
22-27
23-18
15-24
24-38
39-40
26-23
21-29
35-42
34-22
27-24
23-25
33-26
37-39
23-38
32-17
30-44
42-41
21-30
25-34
35-30
27-33
29-30
31-29
19-32
34-24
26-17
21-23
14-34
34-38
31-37
25-24
21-48
30-37
35-27
236.8Avg total
112.8Scored
124.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)111.4123.3234.6-11.927%
Season at home (6)107.8123.8231.7-16.017%
Season away (5)115.6122.6238.2-7.040%
Last 10 (10)112.8124.0236.8-11.230%
Last 5 (5)112.4125.8238.2-13.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (23)109.2124.8234.0-15.617%
vs Similar ◀ (5)114.8114.0228.8+0.860%
vs Weaker (2)107.5102.0209.5+5.550%
This opponent (Phoenix Suns) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Phoenix SunsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSuns
Date
Competition
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
L
122-131
122
131
-9
110avg 101
H28/04
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#4
L
107-109
107
109
-2
96avg 101
A05/10
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#23
L
117-124
117
124
-7
106avg 101
A08/10
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#12
W
102-98
102
98
+4
91avg 101
H11/10
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#12
L
103-123
103
123
-20
81avg 101
A15/10
NBA
Utah Jazz
#21
L
116-119
116
119
-3
95avg 101
H17/10
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#5
L
83-124
83
124
-41
61avg 101
A22/10
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#8
W
131-122
131
122
+9
133avg 101
H25/10
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#20
L
114-125
114
125
-11
102avg 101
A27/10
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#7
L
120-127
120
127
-7
117avg 101
H31/10
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
33-37
34-38
31-31
24-25
35-21
33-29
16-34
23-25
40-29
24-33
26-31
27-31
35-25
23-26
27-22
17-25
23-22
26-38
26-32
28-31
30-31
35-28
30-31
21-29
12-43
27-29
27-35
17-17
22-25
35-29
45-38
29-30
27-33
26-34
32-32
29-26
37-32
30-39
26-32
27-24
231.7Avg total
111.5Scored
120.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)110.3119.0229.3-8.722%
Season at home (4)117.2116.5233.8+0.850%
Season away (5)104.8121.0225.8-16.20%
Last 10 (10)111.5120.2231.7-8.720%
Last 5 (5)112.8123.4236.2-10.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)109.2117.4226.6-8.121%
vs Similar ◀ (11)108.8114.0222.8-5.218%
vs Weaker (5)120.4107.8228.2+12.680%
This opponent (Milwaukee Bucks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-13-6+0+6+13Q1Q1: -2.4-2.4Q1: -0.4-0.4Q2Q2: -10.4-10.4Q2: -3.0-3.0Q3Q3: +1.1+1.1Q3: -3.2-3.2Q4Q4: +0.4+0.4Q4: -2.1-2.1
-13-6+0+6+13Q1Q1: -2.4-2.4Q1: -0.4-0.4Q2Q2: -10.4-10.4Q2: -3.0-3.0Q3Q3: +1.1+1.1Q3: -3.2-3.2Q4Q4: +0.4+0.4Q4: -2.1-2.1
Milwaukee BucksPhoenix Suns
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Milwaukee BucksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oklahoma City Thunder
#20
L
64-82
64
82
-18
A08/10
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#24
L
45-60
45
60
-15
A11/10
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#23
L
39-62
39
62
-23
H15/10
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#26
L
56-71
56
71
-15
A16/10
NBA
Washington Wizards
#17
W
56-51
56
51
+5
A21/10
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#23
W
62-61
62
61
+1
H23/10
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#6
L
60-64
60
64
-4
A24/10
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#26
L
50-61
50
61
-11
H27/10
NBA
Houston Rockets
#3
L
35-57
35
57
-22
H29/10
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#10
L
46-72
46
72
-26
H01/11
NBA
115.4Avg total
51.3Scored
64.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)53.061.9115.0-8.930%-
Last 30 at home (15)53.661.1114.7-7.540%-
Last 30 away (15)52.562.7115.2-10.320%-
Last 10 (10)51.364.1115.4-12.820%-
Last 5 (5)50.663.0113.6-12.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (23)52.363.4115.8-11.126%-
vs Similar ◀ (5)55.659.2114.8-3.640%-
vs Weaker (2)54.551.5106.0+3.050%-
This opponent (Phoenix Suns) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Phoenix SunsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
L
67-75
67
75
-8
H28/04
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#4
W
68-50
68
50
+18
A05/10
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#23
W
64-62
64
62
+2
A08/10
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#12
W
58-51
58
51
+7
H11/10
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#12
L
49-60
49
60
-11
A15/10
NBA
Utah Jazz
#21
W
65-59
65
59
+6
H17/10
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#5
L
39-72
39
72
-33
A22/10
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#8
W
57-54
57
54
+3
H25/10
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#20
L
53-67
53
67
-14
A27/10
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#7
L
67-71
67
71
-4
H31/10
NBA
120.8Avg total
58.7Scored
62.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)58.859.7118.5-0.947%-
Last 30 at home (14)60.457.6117.9+2.857%-
Last 30 away (16)57.461.5118.9-4.138%-
Last 10 (10)58.762.1120.8-3.450%-
Last 5 (5)56.264.6120.8-8.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)57.361.5118.8-4.236%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)58.959.7118.6-0.845%-
vs Weaker (5)62.854.4117.2+8.480%-
This opponent (Milwaukee Bucks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Milwaukee Buckstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Milwaukee Bucks: 112.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers51.2 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers42.9 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.9 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.2 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.525.6
52.8%
54.0%51.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers44.414.3
32.2%
34.8%42.9
🏀 Free throws25.517.9
70.2%
76.3%17.9
They take 92.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 44.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Phoenix Sunstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Phoenix Suns: 112.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers56.6 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers39.0 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.2 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.2 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.928.3
56.7%
54.0%56.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers37.913.0
34.3%
34.8%39.0
🏀 Free throws23.217.2
74.1%
76.3%17.2
They take 87.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 37.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 19 Dec 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Milwaukee Bucks
LLWLLLWLLW
Phoenix Suns
LLWLLLWLLL
#28
League position
#29
-8.1
Net rating
-5.8
96.0
Offensive rating
102.1
104.0
Defensive rating
107.9
50.6%
Effective FG%
54.4%
54.3%
Opp. effective FG%
56.1%
15.2%
Turnover %
16.4%
13.0%
Off. rebound %
31.7%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.26
32.2%
3-point %
34.3%
63.4%
Assist %
59.1%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence96.0 · 102.1Defence104.0 · 107.9Shooting50.6% · 54.4%3-point %32.2% · 34.3%Ball care15.2% · 16.4%Off. rebounds13.0% · 31.7%Free throws0.27 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)30% · 20%
■ Milwaukee Bucks   ■ Phoenix Suns
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Milwaukee Bucks wins
4
Phoenix Suns wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/11/26HCleveland Cavaliers111-136
29/10/26HHouston Rockets100-132
27/10/26HIndiana Pacers110-102
24/10/26APhiladelphia 76ers116-127
23/10/26HChicago Bulls125-132
21/10/26AWashington Wizards116-128
16/10/26AIndiana Pacers128-127 OT
15/10/26HChicago Bulls104-125
11/10/26ACharlotte Hornets90-105
08/10/26AOklahoma City Thunder128-126
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/10/26HDenver Nuggets120-127
27/10/26AOklahoma City Thunder114-125
25/10/26HGolden State Warriors131-122
22/10/26APortland Trail Blazers83-124
17/10/26HUtah Jazz116-119
15/10/26ASan Antonio Spurs103-123
11/10/26HSan Antonio Spurs102-98
08/10/26AChicago Bulls117-124
05/10/26ADetroit Pistons107-109
28/04/26HOklahoma City Thunder122-131

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
NBA 2026-27
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL27%
HomeLLWLL17%
AwayWLWLL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1165
Win %27%17%40%
Points / game111.4107.8115.6
Allowed / game123.3123.8122.6
Point differential-11.9-16.0-7.0
Avg total234.6231.7238.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)-100% (2)
Overtime %9%0%20%
Phoenix Suns
NBA 2026-27
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL22%
HomeWLWL50%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games945
Win %22%50%0%
Points / game110.3117.2104.8
Allowed / game119.0116.5121.0
Point differential-8.7+0.8-16.2
Avg total229.3233.8225.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)50% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Memphis Grizzlies109190%119.7107.9+11.8
2 Boston Celtics98189%123.4110.0+13.4
3 Houston Rockets108280%121.1109.6+11.5
4 Detroit Pistons108280%113.3106.3+7.0
5 Portland Trail Blazers86275%119.2111.2+8.0
6 Philadelphia 76ers117464%110.5110.4+0.1
7 Denver Nuggets106460%114.8114.7+0.1
8 Golden State Warriors127558%115.2110.8+4.4
9 Atlanta Hawks127558%118.9116.2+2.8
10 Cleveland Cavaliers95456%119.3117.4+1.9
11 Orlando Magic95456%116.0117.8-1.8
12 San Antonio Spurs116555%116.0109.5+6.5
13 Los Angeles Lakers116555%113.2112.6+0.5
14 Minnesota Timberwolves137654%118.2113.1+5.2
15 Toronto Raptors105550%119.6111.5+8.1
16 New Orleans Pelicans105550%116.0114.8+1.2
17 Washington Wizards105550%111.6111.3+0.3
18 Dallas Mavericks105550%114.3115.7-1.4
19 Miami Heat115645%122.7121.9+0.8
20 Oklahoma City Thunder115645%108.0111.5-3.5
21 Utah Jazz104640%110.5115.2-4.7
22 Los Angeles Clippers83538%107.4110.5-3.1
23 Chicago Bulls114736%117.4122.7-5.4
24 Charlotte Hornets114736%97.6108.1-10.5
25 Brooklyn Nets93633%116.4118.9-2.4
26 Indiana Pacers103730%117.9119.2-1.3
27 New York Knicks113827%106.5115.2-8.6
28 Milwaukee Bucks113827%111.4123.3-11.9
29 Phoenix Suns92722%110.3119.0-8.7
30 Sacramento Kings110110%106.4123.5-17.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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