PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Milwaukee Bucks vs Phoenix Suns Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 12 Jul 2021
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 120-100
25-28 35-17 38-31 22-24
Position#5
Record58-36
FormLWWLL
Points / game117.6
Allowed / game112.7
Milwaukee Bucks 🏆
USA
vs
Phoenix Suns
USA
Position#3
Record65-29
FormWLWWW
Points / game113.8
Allowed / game108.3
USANBANBA - Final· Fiserv Forum
NBA2020-21
Meetings · Milwaukee Bucks v Phoenix Suns
18 Dec 2026
MIL v PHX
upcoming
10 Mar 2026
MIL114
PHX129
01 Apr 2025
MIL133
PHX123
17 Mar 2024
MIL140
PHX129
26 Feb 2023
MIL104
PHX101
06 Mar 2022
MIL132
PHX122
20 Jul 2021
MIL105
PHX98
14 Jul 2021
MIL109
PHX103
11 Jul 2021
MIL120
PHX100
19 Apr 2021
MIL127
PHX128
02 Feb 2020
MIL129
PHX108
23 Nov 2018
MIL114
PHX116
22 Jan 2018
MIL109
PHX105
26 Feb 2017
MIL100
PHX96
30 Mar 2016
MIL105
PHX94
06 Jan 2015
MIL96
PHX102
29 Jan 2014
MIL117
PHX126
08 Jan 2013
MIL108
PHX99
07 Feb 2012
MIL105
PHX107
04 Mar 2011
MIL88
PHX102
03 Apr 2010
MIL107
PHX98
08 Nov 2008
MIL96
PHX104
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Milwaukee Bucks winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Phoenix Suns winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Milwaukee BucksUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBucks
Date
Competition
Brooklyn Nets
#4
W
104-89
104
89
+15
no box
H18/06
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#4
W
115-111 OT
115
111
+4
no box
A20/06
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#10
L
113-116
113
116
-3
101avg 110
H24/06
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#10
W
125-91
125
91
+34
119avg 110
H26/06
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#10
W
113-102
113
102
+11
110avg 110
A28/06
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#10
L
88-110
88
110
-22
75avg 110
A30/06
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#10
W
123-112
123
112
+11
116avg 110
H02/07
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#10
W
118-107
118
107
+11
111avg 110
A04/07
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#3
L
105-118
105
118
-13
95avg 110
A07/07
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#3
L
108-118
108
118
-10
94avg 110
A09/07
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-19
33-29
19-19
26-22
25-28
22-25
35-28
27-28
28-25
31-29
26-34
28-28
34-28
43-17
26-18
22-28
27-32
29-24
27-29
30-17
22-25
16-26
24-36
26-23
36-22
29-34
26-22
32-34
28-24
19-19
44-29
27-35
26-30
23-27
27-35
29-26
29-26
16-30
33-32
30-30
218.6Avg total
111.2Scored
107.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (94)117.6112.7230.3+4.962%
Season at home (46)118.7110.9229.7+7.872%
Season away (48)116.6114.3230.9+2.252%
Last 10 (10)111.2107.4218.6+3.860%
Last 5 (5)108.4113.0221.4-4.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (17)108.6108.2216.8+0.559%
vs Weaker (13)123.8115.9239.7+7.877%
This opponent (Phoenix Suns) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Phoenix SunsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSuns
Date
Competition
Denver Nuggets
#6
W
116-102
116
102
+14
113avg 108
A12/06
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#6
W
125-118
125
118
+7
119avg 108
A14/06
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#7
W
120-114
120
114
+6
120avg 108
H20/06
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#7
W
104-103
104
103
+1
98avg 108
H23/06
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#7
L
92-106
92
106
-14
81avg 108
A25/06
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#7
W
84-80
84
80
+4
76avg 108
A27/06
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#7
L
102-116
102
116
-14
93avg 108
H29/06
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#7
W
130-103
130
103
+27
126avg 108
A01/07
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#5
W
118-105
118
105
+13
106avg 108
H07/07
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#5
W
118-108
118
108
+10
112avg 108
H09/07
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
37-27
22-28
31-21
26-26
28-22
35-33
33-28
29-35
21-21
36-33
36-39
27-21
25-22
23-25
27-24
29-32
21-29
27-17
21-34
23-26
29-20
21-16
19-30
15-14
26-36
26-23
26-32
24-25
33-29
33-28
31-26
33-20
30-26
27-23
35-27
26-29
26-29
30-16
32-33
30-30
216.4Avg total
110.9Scored
105.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (94)113.8108.3222.1+5.569%
Season at home (48)115.4106.9222.3+8.573%
Season away (46)112.1109.8221.9+2.365%
Last 10 (10)110.9105.5216.4+5.480%
Last 5 (5)110.4102.4212.8+8.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (25)111.3105.6216.9+5.872%
vs Weaker (5)127.6115.8243.4+11.8100%
This opponent (Milwaukee Bucks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +2.2+2.2Q1: +1.5+1.5Q2Q2: +0.1+0.1Q2: +3.8+3.8Q3Q3: +0.5+0.5Q3: -0.3-0.3Q4Q4: +0.6+0.6Q4: +0.4+0.4
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +2.2+2.2Q1: +1.5+1.5Q2Q2: +0.1+0.1Q2: +3.8+3.8Q3Q3: +0.5+0.5Q3: -0.3-0.3Q4Q4: +0.6+0.6Q4: +0.4+0.4
Milwaukee BucksPhoenix Suns
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Milwaukee BucksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brooklyn Nets
#4
W
59-48
59
48
+11
H18/06
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#4
L
47-53
47
53
-6
A20/06
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#10
W
59-54
59
54
+5
H24/06
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#10
W
77-45
77
45
+32
H26/06
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#10
D
56-56
56
56
+0
A28/06
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#10
L
38-51
38
51
-13
A30/06
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#10
W
65-56
65
56
+9
H02/07
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#10
W
47-43
47
43
+4
A04/07
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#3
L
49-57
49
57
-8
A07/07
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#3
L
45-56
45
56
-11
A09/07
NBA
106.1Avg total
54.2Scored
51.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)58.154.9113.0+3.163%-
Last 30 at home (14)62.953.1116.1+9.893%-
Last 30 away (16)53.856.5110.3-2.738%-
Last 10 (10)54.251.9106.1+2.350%-
Last 5 (5)48.852.6101.4-3.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (17)54.652.8107.4+1.959%-
vs Weaker (13)62.557.8120.3+4.869%-
This opponent (Phoenix Suns) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Phoenix SunsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Denver Nuggets
#6
W
59-55
59
55
+4
A12/06
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#6
W
63-55
63
55
+8
A14/06
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#7
W
57-54
57
54
+3
H20/06
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#7
W
48-47
48
47
+1
H23/06
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#7
W
48-46
48
46
+2
A25/06
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#7
W
50-36
50
36
+14
A27/06
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#7
L
52-59
52
59
-7
H29/06
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#7
W
66-57
66
57
+9
A01/07
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#5
W
57-49
57
49
+8
H07/07
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#5
W
56-45
56
45
+11
H09/07
NBA
105.9Avg total
55.6Scored
50.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)56.851.9108.7+4.967%-
Last 30 at home (14)56.050.6106.6+5.464%-
Last 30 away (16)57.453.0110.4+4.469%-
Last 10 (10)55.650.3105.9+5.390%-
Last 5 (5)56.249.2105.4+7.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (25)56.351.4107.8+4.968%-
vs Weaker (5)59.054.2113.2+4.860%-
This opponent (Milwaukee Bucks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Milwaukee Buckstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Milwaukee Bucks: 110.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers62.0 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.9 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.4 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 111.8 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers54.931.0
56.5%
52.8%62.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.111.3
32.2%
36.6%33.9
🏀 Free throws20.014.4
72.0%
77.7%14.4
They take 90.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 35.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Phoenix Sunstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Phoenix Suns: 110.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers61.6 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.0 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.3 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 111.8 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers57.830.8
53.3%
52.8%61.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.911.0
38.1%
36.6%33.0
🏀 Free throws18.316.3
89.1%
77.7%16.3
They take 86.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 12 Jul 2021 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Milwaukee Bucks
LLWWLWWLWW
Phoenix Suns
WWWLWLWWWW
#5
League position
#3
+2.9
Net rating
+5.6
112.3
Offensive rating
114.7
109.5
Defensive rating
109.1
53.3%
Effective FG%
54.6%
53.7%
Opp. effective FG%
51.4%
12.2%
Turnover %
11.3%
28.6%
Off. rebound %
21.1%
0.22
Free-throw rate
0.21
32.2%
3-point %
38.1%
53.9%
Assist %
55.5%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence112.3 · 114.7Defence109.5 · 109.1Shooting53.3% · 54.6%3-point %32.2% · 38.1%Ball care12.2% · 11.3%Off. rebounds28.6% · 21.1%Free throws0.22 · 0.21Form (last 10/10)60% · 80%
■ Milwaukee Bucks   ■ Phoenix Suns
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Milwaukee Bucks wins
7
Phoenix Suns wins
DateGameScore
09/07/21Phoenix Suns v Milwaukee Bucks118-108
07/07/21Phoenix Suns v Milwaukee Bucks118-105
20/04/21Milwaukee Bucks v Phoenix Suns127-128 OT
11/02/21Phoenix Suns v Milwaukee Bucks125-124
08/03/20Phoenix Suns v Milwaukee Bucks140-131
02/02/20Milwaukee Bucks v Phoenix Suns129-108
05/03/19Phoenix Suns v Milwaukee Bucks114-105
24/11/18Milwaukee Bucks v Phoenix Suns114-116
23/01/18Milwaukee Bucks v Phoenix Suns109-105
23/11/17Phoenix Suns v Milwaukee Bucks107-113 OT
Milwaukee Buckslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/07/21APhoenix Suns108-118
07/07/21APhoenix Suns105-118
04/07/21AAtlanta Hawks118-107
02/07/21HAtlanta Hawks123-112
30/06/21AAtlanta Hawks88-110
28/06/21AAtlanta Hawks113-102
26/06/21HAtlanta Hawks125-91
24/06/21HAtlanta Hawks113-116
20/06/21ABrooklyn Nets115-111 OT
18/06/21HBrooklyn Nets104-89
Phoenix Sunslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/07/21HMilwaukee Bucks118-108
07/07/21HMilwaukee Bucks118-105
01/07/21ALos Angeles Clippers130-103
29/06/21HLos Angeles Clippers102-116
27/06/21ALos Angeles Clippers84-80
25/06/21ALos Angeles Clippers92-106
23/06/21HLos Angeles Clippers104-103
20/06/21HLos Angeles Clippers120-114
14/06/21ADenver Nuggets125-118
12/06/21ADenver Nuggets116-102

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
NBA 2020-21
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL62%
HomeWWLWW72%
AwayWLWLL52%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games944648
Win %62%72%52%
Points / game117.6118.7116.6
Allowed / game112.7110.9114.3
Point differential+4.9+7.8+2.2
Avg total230.3229.7230.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%46%35%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (20)80% (10)40% (10)
Overtime %4%4%4%
Phoenix Suns
NBA 2020-21
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW69%
HomeWWLWW73%
AwayWWLWW65%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games944846
Win %69%73%65%
Points / game113.8115.4112.1
Allowed / game108.3106.9109.8
Point differential+5.5+8.5+2.3
Avg total222.1222.3221.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%40%26%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (28)43% (14)71% (14)
Overtime %7%6%9%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Utah Jazz86612571%116.5108.3+8.3
2 Phoenix Suns94652969%113.8108.3+5.5
3 Philadelphia 76ers86582867%113.9108.0+5.9
4 Brooklyn Nets86572966%117.7112.7+5.0
5 Denver Nuggets85533262%115.2110.9+4.3
6 Milwaukee Bucks94583662%117.6112.7+4.9
7 Los Angeles Clippers94573761%113.0108.0+5.0
8 Los Angeles Lakers83493459%108.7106.2+2.4
9 Dallas Mavericks82473557%112.3110.4+1.8
10 Atlanta Hawks94534156%112.2110.9+1.3
11 New York Knicks81453656%106.1103.9+2.1
12 Portland Trail Blazers82453755%115.9115.0+0.8
13 Golden State Warriors77413653%113.4112.4+1.0
14 Memphis Grizzlies83443953%113.5112.5+1.0
15 Miami Heat78413753%107.5108.6-1.2
16 Boston Celtics80384248%112.2111.8+0.4
17 Indiana Pacers77354245%115.3115.6-0.3
18 Washington Wizards82374545%115.7118.2-2.5
19 Chicago Bulls76344245%110.6111.2-0.6
20 New Orleans Pelicans74334145%114.8114.6+0.2
21 Charlotte Hornets77344344%109.7112.0-2.3
22 San Antonio Spurs76334343%110.6112.9-2.3
23 Sacramento Kings76334343%113.6117.3-3.7
24 Toronto Raptors75294639%111.2111.6-0.4
25 Minnesota Timberwolves75245132%112.1117.7-5.6
26 Cleveland Cavaliers76245232%103.6112.0-8.4
27 Oklahoma City Thunder75235231%105.2115.5-10.3
28 Orlando Magic76235330%104.6113.5-8.9
29 Detroit Pistons76225429%105.9110.1-4.1
30 Houston Rockets76205626%109.1116.0-6.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Milwaukee Bucks25353822120
Phoenix Suns28173124100
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.