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Minnesota Timberwolves vs Miami Heat Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 22 Nov 2022
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 105-101
30-33 17-27 37-19 21-22
Position#17
Record8-8
FormLLWWW
Points / game114.9
Allowed / game115.2
vs
Position#10
Record7-10
FormWWLLL
Points / game108.6
Allowed / game110.1
USANBA· Target Center
NBA2022-23
Meetings · Minnesota Timberwolves v Miami Heat
06 Feb 2027
MIN v MIA
upcoming
06 Jan 2026
MIN122
MIA94
10 Nov 2024
MIN94
MIA95
28 Oct 2023
MIN106
MIA90
21 Nov 2022
MIN105
MIA101
24 Nov 2021
MIN113
MIA101
16 Apr 2021
MIN119
MIA111
27 Oct 2019
MIN116
MIA109
05 Apr 2019
MIN111
MIA109
24 Nov 2017
MIN97
MIA109
06 Feb 2017
MIN113
MIA115
05 Nov 2015
MIN84
MIA96
04 Feb 2015
MIN102
MIA101
07 Dec 2013
MIN82
MIA103
04 Mar 2013
MIN81
MIA97
30 Dec 2011
MIN101
MIA103
01 Apr 2011
MIN92
MIA111
03 Apr 2010
MIN84
MIA97
13 Jan 2009
MIN96
MIA99
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Minnesota Timberwolves winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Miami Heat winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Minnesota TimberwolvesUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTimberwolves
Date
Competition
San Antonio Spurs
#29
L
98-107
98
107
-9
80avg 109
A30/10
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#9
L
107-116
107
116
-9
97avg 109
A02/11
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#1
L
102-115
102
115
-13
90avg 109
H05/11
NBA
Houston Rockets
#28
W
129-117
129
117
+12
136avg 109
H06/11
NBA
New York Knicks
#8
L
107-120
107
120
-13
103avg 109
H08/11
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#9
L
117-129
117
129
-12
114avg 109
H10/11
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#5
L
103-114
103
114
-11
98avg 109
A12/11
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#6
W
129-124
129
124
+5
131avg 109
A13/11
NBA
Orlando Magic
#25
W
126-108
126
108
+18
120avg 109
A17/11
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#4
W
112-109
112
109
+3
108avg 109
A20/11
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-26
24-31
23-28
28-22
20-24
27-30
26-30
34-32
26-34
28-27
30-34
18-20
40-34
28-15
35-34
26-34
29-38
23-38
28-27
27-17
25-39
26-30
31-35
35-25
30-33
33-39
21-24
19-18
40-20
27-30
37-34
25-40
42-24
32-25
24-31
28-28
33-23
30-28
34-33
15-25
228.9Avg total
113.0Scored
115.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)114.9115.2230.1-0.450%
Season at home (9)116.3117.8234.1-1.444%
Season away (7)113.0112.0225.0+1.057%
Last 10 (10)113.0115.9228.9-2.940%
Last 5 (5)117.4116.8234.2+0.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)120.5129.0249.5-8.550%
vs Similar ◀ (22)113.2116.0229.2-2.745%
vs Weaker (6)120.0120.8240.8-0.850%
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Miami HeatUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHeat
Date
Competition
Golden State Warriors
#11
W
116-109
116
109
+7
112avg 101
H01/11
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#7
W
110-107
110
107
+3
106avg 101
H02/11
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#24
L
99-101
99
101
-2
88avg 101
A04/11
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#26
L
107-110
107
110
-3
99avg 101
H08/11
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#27
W
117-112 OT
117
112
+5
100avg 101
H11/11
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#27
W
132-115
132
115
+17
131avg 101
H13/11
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#9
W
113-112
113
112
+1
106avg 101
H15/11
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#18
L
104-112
104
112
-8
96avg 101
A17/11
NBA
Washington Wizards
#23
L
106-107 OT
106
107
-1
91avg 101
A19/11
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#6
L
87-113
87
113
-26
69avg 101
A21/11
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
33-24
25-32
28-38
30-15
33-32
20-19
24-25
33-31
29-28
21-34
27-18
22-21
28-28
32-25
21-20
26-37
32-27
26-23
27-23
19-31
34-33
23-26
45-25
30-31
35-31
23-26
26-34
29-21
31-27
29-27
19-30
25-28
31-33
38-24
19-24
16-23
27-28
15-31
22-36
23-18
218.9Avg total
109.1Scored
109.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)108.6110.1218.8-1.541%
Season at home (10)110.9109.9220.8+1.060%
Season away (7)105.4110.4215.9-5.014%
Last 10 (10)109.1109.8218.9-0.750%
Last 5 (5)108.4111.8220.2-3.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)80.2101.2181.5-21.00%
vs Similar ◀ (21)105.0106.6211.7-1.643%
vs Weaker (5)113.8101.0214.8+12.880%
This opponent (Minnesota Timberwolves) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +1.3+1.3Q1: +2.2+2.2Q2Q2: -1.5-1.5Q2: -1.5-1.5Q3Q3: -2.1-2.1Q3: -1.5-1.5Q4Q4: -0.6-0.6Q4: -0.3-0.3
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +1.3+1.3Q1: +2.2+2.2Q2Q2: -1.5-1.5Q2: -1.5-1.5Q3Q3: -2.1-2.1Q3: -1.5-1.5Q4Q4: -0.6-0.6Q4: -0.3-0.3
Minnesota TimberwolvesMiami Heat
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Minnesota TimberwolvesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
San Antonio Spurs
#29
L
47-57
47
57
-10
A30/10
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#9
L
47-54
47
54
-7
A02/11
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#1
L
54-61
54
61
-7
H05/11
NBA
Houston Rockets
#28
W
68-49
68
49
+19
H06/11
NBA
New York Knicks
#8
L
52-76
52
76
-24
H08/11
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#9
L
51-69
51
69
-18
H10/11
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#5
L
63-72
63
72
-9
A12/11
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#6
W
67-50
67
50
+17
A13/11
NBA
Orlando Magic
#25
W
74-49
74
49
+25
A17/11
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#4
W
63-51
63
51
+12
A20/11
NBA
117.4Avg total
58.6Scored
58.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)58.958.2117.1+0.657%-
Last 30 at home (16)57.858.0115.8-0.256%-
Last 30 away (14)60.158.5118.6+1.657%-
Last 10 (10)58.658.8117.4-0.240%-
Last 5 (5)63.658.2121.8+5.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)58.061.0119.0-3.050%-
vs Similar ◀ (22)57.557.5114.9+0.059%-
vs Weaker (6)64.360.2124.5+4.250%-
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Miami HeatLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Golden State Warriors
#11
W
58-56
58
56
+2
H01/11
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#7
W
53-51
53
51
+2
H02/11
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#24
L
50-62
50
62
-12
A04/11
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#26
W
60-53
60
53
+7
H08/11
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#27
W
58-50
58
50
+8
H11/11
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#27
L
57-59
57
59
-2
H13/11
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#9
W
58-57
58
57
+1
H15/11
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#18
W
60-54
60
54
+6
A17/11
NBA
Washington Wizards
#23
W
69-57
69
57
+12
A19/11
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#6
L
42-59
42
59
-17
A21/11
NBA
112.3Avg total
56.5Scored
55.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)52.253.9106.0-1.753%-
Last 30 at home (17)52.552.9105.4-0.453%-
Last 30 away (13)51.855.2106.9-3.454%-
Last 10 (10)56.555.8112.3+0.770%-
Last 5 (5)57.257.2114.4+0.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)38.850.589.2-11.825%-
vs Similar ◀ (21)53.555.1108.6-1.752%-
vs Weaker (5)57.451.2108.6+6.280%-
This opponent (Minnesota Timberwolves) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Minnesota Timberwolvestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Minnesota Timberwolves: 113.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers60.8 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.7 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.5 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.1 points a game
52%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers52.030.4
58.5%
54.5%60.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.110.9
32.9%
35.8%32.7
🏀 Free throws24.519.5
79.6%
78.1%19.5
They take 85.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Miami Heattheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Miami Heat: 109.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers52.0 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.9 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws20.2 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.1 points a game
52%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.926.0
54.3%
54.5%52.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers37.312.3
33.0%
35.8%36.9
🏀 Free throws23.220.2
87.1%
78.1%20.2
They take 85.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 37.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 22 Nov 2022 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Minnesota Timberwolves
WWWLLLWLLL
Miami Heat
LLLWWWLLWW
#17
League position
#10
-2.8
Net rating
-0.7
109.8
Offensive rating
108.6
112.6
Defensive rating
109.3
54.9%
Effective FG%
52.2%
54.9%
Opp. effective FG%
56.3%
15.3%
Turnover %
13.9%
22.4%
Off. rebound %
20.7%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.27
32.9%
3-point %
33.0%
66.3%
Assist %
62.4%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence109.8 · 108.6Defence112.6 · 109.3Shooting54.9% · 52.2%3-point %32.9% · 33.0%Ball care15.3% · 13.9%Off. rebounds22.4% · 20.7%Free throws0.29 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)40% · 50%
■ Minnesota Timberwolves   ■ Miami Heat
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
20/11/22APhiladelphia 76ers112-109
17/11/22AOrlando Magic126-108
13/11/22ACleveland Cavaliers129-124
12/11/22AMemphis Grizzlies103-114
10/11/22HPhoenix Suns117-129
08/11/22HNew York Knicks107-120
06/11/22HHouston Rockets129-117
05/11/22HMilwaukee Bucks102-115
02/11/22APhoenix Suns107-116
30/10/22ASan Antonio Spurs98-107
Miami Heatlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/11/22ACleveland Cavaliers87-113
19/11/22AWashington Wizards106-107 OT
17/11/22AToronto Raptors104-112
15/11/22HPhoenix Suns113-112
13/11/22HCharlotte Hornets132-115
11/11/22HCharlotte Hornets117-112 OT
08/11/22HPortland Trail Blazers107-110
04/11/22AIndiana Pacers99-101
02/11/22HSacramento Kings110-107
01/11/22HGolden State Warriors116-109

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
NBA 2022-23
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW50%
HomeWLWLL44%
AwayLLWWW57%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1697
Win %50%44%57%
Points / game114.9116.3113.0
Allowed / game115.2117.8112.0
Point differential-0.4-1.4+1.0
Avg total230.1234.1225.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%22%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)-100% (2)
Overtime %6%11%0%
Miami Heat
NBA 2022-23
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL41%
HomeWLWWW60%
AwayLLLLL14%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games17107
Win %41%60%14%
Points / game108.6110.9105.4
Allowed / game110.1109.9110.4
Point differential-1.5+1.0-5.0
Avg total218.8220.8215.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%10%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (7)80% (5)0% (2)
Overtime %12%10%14%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Boston Celtics1613381%120.2113.0+7.2
2 Milwaukee Bucks1511473%110.9106.6+4.3
3 Utah Jazz1812667%117.6114.2+3.4
4 Cleveland Cavaliers1711665%115.6108.2+7.4
5 Phoenix Suns1610662%115.1107.9+7.1
6 Indiana Pacers1610662%116.8114.1+2.8
7 Portland Trail Blazers1610662%109.9108.3+1.6
8 Denver Nuggets1610662%113.9113.9+0.0
9 Sacramento Kings159660%121.4117.5+3.9
10 Memphis Grizzlies1710759%114.4114.0+0.4
11 Atlanta Hawks1710759%114.4114.4+0.0
12 Los Angeles Clippers1710759%105.2105.4-0.1
13 Washington Wizards1710759%108.6109.4-0.8
14 New Orleans Pelicans169756%116.2112.4+3.9
15 Dallas Mavericks169756%109.1105.3+3.8
16 Toronto Raptors179853%112.5110.0+2.5
17 Philadelphia 76ers168850%108.6106.6+2.1
18 Minnesota Timberwolves168850%114.9115.2-0.4
19 Golden State Warriors178947%117.6117.4+0.2
20 Brooklyn Nets178947%111.6111.6+0.1
21 New York Knicks178947%112.4115.3-2.9
22 Oklahoma City Thunder167944%116.2116.8-0.6
23 Miami Heat1771041%108.6110.1-1.5
24 Chicago Bulls1661038%110.5111.6-1.1
25 Los Angeles Lakers1551033%111.1114.2-3.1
26 San Antonio Spurs1861233%110.1120.3-10.2
27 Orlando Magic1851328%109.5113.5-4.0
28 Charlotte Hornets1841422%109.5115.2-5.7
29 Houston Rockets1731418%108.6116.0-7.4
30 Detroit Pistons1831517%109.4118.6-9.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Minnesota Timberwolves30173721105
Miami Heat33271922101
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