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Houston Rockets vs Minnesota Timberwolves Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 11 Mar 2020
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 117-111
26-35 26-21 31-24 34-31
Position#11
Record39-24
FormWLLLL
Points / game118.1
Allowed / game114.4
vs
Position#28
Record19-44
FormLWWLL
Points / game113.3
Allowed / game117.6
USANBA· Toyota Center
NBA2019-20
Meetings · Houston Rockets v Minnesota Timberwolves
05 Jan 2027
HOU v MIN
upcoming
04 Nov 2026
HOU v MIN
upcoming
10 Apr 2026
HOU132
MIN136
16 Jan 2026
HOU110
MIN105
21 Feb 2025
HOU121
MIN115
27 Dec 2024
HOU112
MIN113
05 Jan 2024
HOU95
MIN122
23 Jan 2023
HOU119
MIN114
08 Jan 2023
HOU96
MIN104
03 Apr 2022
HOU132
MIN139
09 Jan 2022
HOU123
MIN141
27 Apr 2021
HOU107
MIN114
10 Mar 2020
HOU117
MIN111
11 Jan 2020
HOU139
MIN109
17 Mar 2019
HOU117
MIN102
25 Apr 2018
HOU122
MIN104
18 Apr 2018
HOU102
MIN82
15 Apr 2018
HOU104
MIN101
23 Feb 2018
HOU120
MIN102
18 Jan 2018
HOU116
MIN98
12 Apr 2017
HOU123
MIN118
25 Feb 2017
HOU142
MIN130
18 Mar 2016
HOU116
MIN111
13 Jan 2016
HOU107
MIN104
27 Mar 2015
HOU120
MIN110
23 Feb 2015
HOU113
MIN102
20 Mar 2014
HOU129
MIN106
23 Nov 2013
HOU112
MIN101
15 Mar 2013
HOU108
MIN100
17 Feb 2012
HOU98
MIN111
30 Jan 2012
HOU108
MIN120
08 Feb 2011
HOU108
MIN112
07 Nov 2010
HOU120
MIN94
13 Jan 2010
HOU120
MIN114
20 Mar 2009
HOU107
MIN88
07 Feb 2009
HOU107
MIN90
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Houston Rockets winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Minnesota Timberwolves winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Houston RocketsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRockets
Date
Competition
Boston Celtics
#5
W
116-105
116
105
+11
108avg 106
H12/02
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#30
W
135-105
135
105
+30
132avg 106
A21/02
NBA
Utah Jazz
#8
W
120-110
120
110
+10
107avg 106
A23/02
NBA
New York Knicks
#25
W
123-112
123
112
+11
109avg 106
H25/02
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#16
W
140-112
140
112
+28
132avg 106
H27/02
NBA
Boston Celtics
#5
W
111-110 OT
111
110
+1
96avg 106
A01/03
NBA
New York Knicks
#25
L
123-125
123
125
-2
106avg 106
A03/03
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#4
L
105-120
105
120
-15
87avg 106
H06/03
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#22
L
99-108
99
108
-9
94avg 106
A07/03
NBA
Orlando Magic
#20
L
106-126
106
126
-20
91avg 106
H08/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-19
24-30
31-22
38-34
38-17
34-33
37-27
26-28
38-36
24-30
38-19
20-25
36-33
36-24
29-29
22-26
35-17
38-30
38-41
29-24
19-28
26-28
36-22
23-26
31-36
32-37
28-28
32-24
23-33
21-34
21-23
40-30
17-30
26-27
33-25
23-26
24-34
22-37
30-34
30-21
231.1Avg total
117.8Scored
113.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (63)118.1114.4232.6+3.762%
Season at home (31)119.1112.2231.3+6.968%
Season away (32)117.2116.6233.8+0.756%
Last 10 (10)117.8113.3231.1+4.560%
Last 5 (5)108.8117.8226.6-9.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (17)114.2113.4227.5+0.859%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)120.9116.1237.0+4.854%
This opponent (Minnesota Timberwolves) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Minnesota TimberwolvesUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTimberwolves
Date
Competition
Boston Celtics
#5
L
117-127
117
127
-10
105avg 102
H22/02
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#9
L
116-128
116
128
-12
103avg 102
A23/02
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#12
L
123-139
123
139
-16
102avg 102
A25/02
NBA
Miami Heat
#7
W
129-126
129
126
+3
117avg 102
A27/02
NBA
Orlando Magic
#20
L
125-136
125
136
-11
109avg 102
A29/02
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#12
L
91-111
91
111
-20
74avg 102
H01/03
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#19
W
139-134
139
134
+5
134avg 102
A04/03
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#23
W
115-108
115
108
+7
111avg 102
H05/03
NBA
Orlando Magic
#20
L
118-132
118
132
-14
105avg 102
H07/03
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#19
L
107-120
107
120
-13
89avg 102
H08/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-24
33-37
35-34
29-32
38-43
27-30
22-24
29-31
27-41
38-40
31-29
27-29
29-28
28-32
38-34
34-32
35-35
30-34
31-34
29-33
24-28
20-35
21-18
26-30
28-31
44-37
37-43
30-23
22-29
33-29
33-21
27-29
24-29
31-36
28-37
35-30
29-36
34-35
21-27
23-22
244.1Avg total
118.0Scored
126.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (63)113.3117.6230.8-4.330%
Season at home (32)110.7115.3226.0-4.725%
Season away (31)116.0119.8235.8-3.935%
Last 10 (10)118.0126.1244.1-8.130%
Last 5 (5)114.0121.0235.0-7.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)113.5121.9235.4-8.412%
vs Similar (13)117.4119.9237.3-2.531%
vs Weaker (1)99.084.0183.0+15.0100%
This opponent (Houston Rockets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.1+0.1Q1: -4.8-4.8Q2Q2: -2.7-2.7Q2: -2.7-2.7Q3Q3: +5.1+5.1Q3: -0.4-0.4Q4Q4: +1.9+1.9Q4: -0.2-0.2
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.1+0.1Q1: -4.8-4.8Q2Q2: -2.7-2.7Q2: -2.7-2.7Q3Q3: +5.1+5.1Q3: -0.4-0.4Q4Q4: +1.9+1.9Q4: -0.2-0.2
Houston RocketsMinnesota Timberwolves
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Houston RocketsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Boston Celtics
#5
L
47-49
47
49
-2
H12/02
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#30
W
72-50
72
50
+22
A21/02
NBA
Utah Jazz
#8
L
62-66
62
66
-4
A23/02
NBA
New York Knicks
#25
W
72-57
72
57
+15
H25/02
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#16
W
73-47
73
47
+26
H27/02
NBA
Boston Celtics
#5
L
45-56
45
56
-11
A01/03
NBA
New York Knicks
#25
L
63-73
63
73
-10
A03/03
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#4
L
44-67
44
67
-23
H06/03
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#22
L
43-57
43
57
-14
A07/03
NBA
Orlando Magic
#20
L
46-71
46
71
-25
H08/03
NBA
116.0Avg total
56.7Scored
59.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)59.558.2117.7+1.353%-
Last 30 at home (16)59.655.8115.4+3.869%-
Last 30 away (14)59.360.9120.2-1.636%-
Last 10 (10)56.759.3116.0-2.630%-
Last 5 (5)48.264.8113.0-16.60%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (17)58.156.9115.0+1.259%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)61.259.9121.2+1.346%-
This opponent (Minnesota Timberwolves) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Minnesota TimberwolvesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Boston Celtics
#5
L
53-61
53
61
-8
H22/02
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#9
L
65-73
65
73
-8
A23/02
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#12
L
65-81
65
81
-16
A25/02
NBA
Miami Heat
#7
L
57-60
57
60
-3
A27/02
NBA
Orlando Magic
#20
L
65-69
65
69
-4
A29/02
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#12
L
44-63
44
63
-19
H01/03
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#19
W
72-68
72
68
+4
A04/03
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#23
L
55-58
55
58
-3
H05/03
NBA
Orlando Magic
#20
L
55-65
55
65
-10
H07/03
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#19
L
63-71
63
71
-8
H08/03
NBA
126.3Avg total
59.4Scored
66.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)59.460.3119.6-0.937%-
Last 30 at home (17)58.957.3116.2+1.641%-
Last 30 away (13)60.064.2124.2-4.231%-
Last 10 (10)59.466.9126.3-7.510%-
Last 5 (5)57.865.0122.8-7.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)58.862.6121.4-3.925%-
vs Similar (13)60.258.8119.1+1.446%-
vs Weaker (1)58.041.099.0+17.0100%-
This opponent (Houston Rockets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Houston Rocketstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Houston Rockets: 117.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀41%
🏀🏀🏀42%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.8 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers48.9 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀 Free throws20.1 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 111.4 points a game
51%
33%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.624.4
58.7%
52.3%48.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers47.016.3
34.7%
35.7%48.9
🏀 Free throws25.020.1
80.4%
77.2%20.1
They take 88.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 47.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 53% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Minnesota Timberwolvestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Minnesota Timberwolves: 118.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers56.4 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers42.6 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.0 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 111.4 points a game
51%
33%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers52.628.2
53.6%
52.3%56.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers40.314.2
35.2%
35.7%42.6
🏀 Free throws25.819.0
73.6%
77.2%19.0
They take 92.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 40.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 11 Mar 2020 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Houston Rockets
LLLLWWWWWW
Minnesota Timberwolves
LLWWLLWLLL
#11
League position
#28
+4.3
Net rating
-7.4
112.2
Offensive rating
108.3
107.9
Defensive rating
115.7
55.1%
Effective FG%
53.3%
51.9%
Opp. effective FG%
57.9%
13.9%
Turnover %
12.5%
20.2%
Off. rebound %
18.4%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.28
34.7%
3-point %
35.2%
52.6%
Assist %
58.3%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence112.2 · 108.3Defence107.9 · 115.7Shooting55.1% · 53.3%3-point %34.7% · 35.2%Ball care13.9% · 12.5%Off. rebounds20.2% · 18.4%Free throws0.28 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)60% · 30%
■ Houston Rockets   ■ Minnesota Timberwolves
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
08/03/20HOrlando Magic106-126
07/03/20ACharlotte Hornets99-108
06/03/20HLos Angeles Clippers105-120
03/03/20ANew York Knicks123-125
01/03/20ABoston Celtics111-110 OT
27/02/20HMemphis Grizzlies140-112
25/02/20HNew York Knicks123-112
23/02/20AUtah Jazz120-110
21/02/20AGolden State Warriors135-105
12/02/20HBoston Celtics116-105
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/03/20HNew Orleans Pelicans107-120
07/03/20HOrlando Magic118-132
05/03/20HChicago Bulls115-108
04/03/20ANew Orleans Pelicans139-134
01/03/20HDallas Mavericks91-111
29/02/20AOrlando Magic125-136
27/02/20AMiami Heat129-126
25/02/20ADallas Mavericks123-139
23/02/20ADenver Nuggets116-128
22/02/20HBoston Celtics117-127

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Houston Rockets
NBA 2019-20
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL62%
HomeWWWLL68%
AwayWWWLL56%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633132
Win %62%68%56%
Points / game118.1119.1117.2
Allowed / game114.4112.2116.6
Point differential+3.7+6.9+0.7
Avg total232.6231.3233.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+32%39%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (12)50% (6)50% (6)
Overtime %3%0%6%
Minnesota Timberwolves
NBA 2019-20
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL30%
HomeLLWLL25%
AwayLLWLW35%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633231
Win %30%25%35%
Points / game113.3110.7116.0
Allowed / game117.6115.3119.8
Point differential-4.3-4.7-3.9
Avg total230.8226.0235.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+16%12%19%
Close games (≤5 pts) won36% (11)0% (4)57% (7)
Overtime %11%12%10%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Milwaukee Bucks65531282%118.6107.4+11.3
2 Los Angeles Lakers62491379%114.5107.0+7.6
3 Toronto Raptors64461872%113.0106.5+6.5
4 Los Angeles Clippers63432068%116.0109.7+6.2
5 Boston Celtics64432167%113.0106.8+6.2
6 Denver Nuggets64432167%110.6107.4+3.2
7 Miami Heat64412364%112.4108.9+3.5
8 Utah Jazz64412364%111.0107.9+3.2
9 Oklahoma City Thunder64402462%110.8108.3+2.5
10 Houston Rockets63392462%118.1114.4+3.7
11 Dallas Mavericks65392660%116.5110.4+6.1
12 Indiana Pacers65392660%109.3107.4+1.9
13 Philadelphia 76ers64382659%109.4107.4+2.0
14 Memphis Grizzlies64323250%112.6113.6-1.0
15 Brooklyn Nets63293446%110.9111.6-0.7
16 Orlando Magic64293545%106.2107.2-1.1
17 New Orleans Pelicans64283644%116.2117.0-0.8
18 Sacramento Kings64283644%109.0110.9-1.9
19 Portland Trail Blazers65283743%113.5115.4-1.9
20 San Antonio Spurs62263642%113.1115.0-2.0
21 Phoenix Suns64263841%112.7113.8-1.1
22 Washington Wizards64244038%115.6119.7-4.0
23 Charlotte Hornets64224234%102.8109.8-7.0
24 Chicago Bulls64214333%106.8110.0-3.2
25 Detroit Pistons65204531%107.3110.6-3.3
26 New York Knicks65204531%105.3112.0-6.6
27 Atlanta Hawks66204630%111.5119.5-8.0
28 Minnesota Timberwolves63194430%113.3117.6-4.3
29 Cleveland Cavaliers64194530%107.0114.9-7.9
30 Golden State Warriors64154923%106.3114.8-8.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Houston Rockets26263134117
Minnesota Timberwolves35212431111
← all games of the day
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