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Minnesota Timberwolves vs Miami Heat Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 11 Nov 2024
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 94-95
20-27 31-25 20-16 23-27
Position#7
Record6-3
FormWLWWW
Points / game116.0
Allowed / game109.9
vs
Position#20
Record3-5
FormLWLLL
Points / game110.8
Allowed / game111.9
USANBA· Target Center
NBA2024-25
Meetings · Minnesota Timberwolves v Miami Heat
06 Feb 2027
MIN v MIA
upcoming
06 Jan 2026
MIN122
MIA94
10 Nov 2024
MIN94
MIA95
28 Oct 2023
MIN106
MIA90
21 Nov 2022
MIN105
MIA101
24 Nov 2021
MIN113
MIA101
16 Apr 2021
MIN119
MIA111
27 Oct 2019
MIN116
MIA109
05 Apr 2019
MIN111
MIA109
24 Nov 2017
MIN97
MIA109
06 Feb 2017
MIN113
MIA115
05 Nov 2015
MIN84
MIA96
04 Feb 2015
MIN102
MIA101
07 Dec 2013
MIN82
MIA103
04 Mar 2013
MIN81
MIA97
30 Dec 2011
MIN101
MIA103
01 Apr 2011
MIN92
MIA111
03 Apr 2010
MIN84
MIA97
13 Jan 2009
MIN96
MIA99
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Minnesota Timberwolves winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Miami Heat winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Minnesota TimberwolvesUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTimberwolves
Date
Competition
Dallas Mavericks
#6
L
103-124
103
124
-21
87avg 107
H31/05
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#10
L
103-110
103
110
-7
90avg 107
A23/10
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#16
W
117-115
117
115
+2
110avg 107
A25/10
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#24
W
112-101
112
101
+11
108avg 107
H27/10
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#17
L
114-120
114
120
-6
116avg 107
H29/10
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#9
W
119-116
119
116
+3
120avg 107
H02/11
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#23
L
103-113
103
113
-10
90avg 107
A03/11
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#28
W
114-93
114
93
+21
110avg 107
H05/11
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#19
W
135-119
135
119
+16
130avg 107
A08/11
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#21
W
127-102
127
102
+25
124avg 107
H09/11
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-35
21-34
33-28
30-27
23-22
19-33
32-27
29-28
29-32
26-27
34-29
28-27
32-18
24-26
33-28
23-29
34-26
25-35
23-32
32-27
33-29
31-32
27-24
28-31
32-32
25-30
25-33
21-18
24-24
33-21
34-26
23-22
28-34
28-31
34-30
45-24
35-17
29-34
34-24
29-27
226.0Avg total
114.7Scored
111.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)116.0109.9225.9+6.167%
Season at home (5)117.2106.4223.6+10.880%
Season away (4)114.5114.2228.8+0.250%
Last 10 (10)114.7111.3226.0+3.460%
Last 5 (5)119.6108.6228.2+11.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (20)107.8106.0213.8+1.850%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)118.8110.7229.5+8.180%
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Miami HeatUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHeat
Date
Competition
Sacramento Kings
#4
W
102-86
102
86
+16
no box
A07/07
California Classic
Los Angeles Lakers
#6
W
80-76
80
76
+4
98avg 104
A10/07
California Classic
Orlando Magic
#15
L
97-116
97
116
-19
87avg 104
H23/10
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#28
W
114-106
114
106
+8
111avg 104
A26/10
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#14
W
106-98
106
98
+8
96avg 104
H28/10
NBA
New York Knicks
#6
L
107-116
107
116
-9
100avg 104
H30/10
NBA
Washington Wizards
#29
W
118-98
118
98
+20
107avg 104
A03/11
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#16
L
110-111
110
111
-1
96avg 104
H05/11
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#22
L
112-115
112
115
-3
104avg 104
A07/11
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#9
L
122-135
122
135
-13
113avg 104
A09/11
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-20
29-24
20-22
26-20
21-21
15-19
23-18
21-18
32-32
22-26
18-39
25-19
23-23
33-25
27-24
31-34
28-30
36-23
14-26
28-19
32-26
26-26
22-35
27-29
31-21
25-27
33-22
29-28
25-22
36-26
17-37
32-26
25-26
33-29
29-29
25-31
27-40
33-31
30-33
32-31
212.5Avg total
106.8Scored
105.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)110.8111.9222.6-1.138%
Season at home (4)105.0110.2215.2-5.225%
Season away (4)116.5113.5230.0+3.050%
Last 10 (10)106.8105.7212.5+1.150%
Last 5 (5)113.8115.0228.8-1.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)92.0105.8197.8-13.825%
vs Similar (15)108.9107.9216.8+0.940%
vs Weaker (7)116.696.4213.0+20.1100%
This opponent (Minnesota Timberwolves) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +2.0+2.0Q1: +1.0+1.0Q2Q2: -4.2-4.2Q2: +3.2+3.2Q3Q3: +2.8+2.8Q3: -5.2-5.2Q4Q4: +2.8+2.8Q4: +2.1+2.1
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +2.0+2.0Q1: +1.0+1.0Q2Q2: -4.2-4.2Q2: +3.2+3.2Q3Q3: +2.8+2.8Q3: -5.2-5.2Q4Q4: +2.8+2.8Q4: +2.1+2.1
Minnesota TimberwolvesMiami Heat
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Minnesota TimberwolvesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Dallas Mavericks
#6
L
40-69
40
69
-29
H31/05
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#10
L
42-55
42
55
-13
A23/10
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#16
L
55-59
55
59
-4
A25/10
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#24
W
56-44
56
44
+12
H27/10
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#17
L
59-61
59
61
-2
H29/10
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#9
W
64-61
64
61
+3
H02/11
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#23
L
57-62
57
62
-5
A03/11
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#28
W
57-45
57
45
+12
H05/11
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#19
L
56-65
56
65
-9
A08/11
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#21
W
64-51
64
51
+13
H09/11
NBA
112.2Avg total
55.0Scored
57.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)54.454.7109.1-0.443%-
Last 30 at home (16)55.755.2110.9+0.556%-
Last 30 away (14)52.954.2107.1-1.429%-
Last 10 (10)55.057.2112.2-2.240%-
Last 5 (5)59.656.8116.4+2.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (20)51.653.7105.3-2.140%-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)59.956.8116.7+3.150%-
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Miami HeatLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sacramento Kings
#4
W
56-44
56
44
+12
A07/07
California Classic
Los Angeles Lakers
#6
L
36-40
36
40
-4
A10/07
California Classic
Orlando Magic
#15
L
54-58
54
58
-4
H23/10
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#28
W
56-48
56
48
+8
A26/10
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#14
W
64-53
64
53
+11
H28/10
NBA
New York Knicks
#6
W
58-52
58
52
+6
H30/10
NBA
Washington Wizards
#29
W
56-48
56
48
+8
A03/11
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#16
W
61-48
61
48
+13
H05/11
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#22
W
58-55
58
55
+3
A07/11
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#9
L
60-71
60
71
-11
A09/11
NBA
107.6Avg total
55.9Scored
51.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)54.452.6107.0+1.860%-
Last 30 at home (15)56.151.1107.2+4.967%-
Last 30 away (15)52.754.1106.9-1.453%-
Last 10 (10)55.951.7107.6+4.270%-
Last 5 (5)58.654.8113.4+3.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)46.556.4102.9-9.925%-
vs Similar (15)55.953.1109.1+2.867%-
vs Weaker (7)60.147.3107.4+12.986%-
This opponent (Minnesota Timberwolves) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Minnesota Timberwolvestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Minnesota Timberwolves: 114.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀42%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.0 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers48.3 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.4 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 113.4 points a game
49%
36%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.125.0
55.4%
54.3%50.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers40.416.1
39.9%
35.9%48.3
🏀 Free throws21.216.4
77.4%
77.8%16.4
They take 85.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 40.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Miami Heattheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Miami Heat: 104.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.6 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers38.4 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.8 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 113.4 points a game
49%
36%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers52.525.3
48.2%
54.3%50.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.912.8
35.7%
35.9%38.4
🏀 Free throws20.915.8
75.6%
77.8%15.8
They take 88.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 35.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 11 Nov 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Minnesota Timberwolves
WWWLWLWWLL
Miami Heat
LLLWLWWLWW
#7
League position
#20
+3.4
Net rating
-4.2
114.8
Offensive rating
107.9
111.4
Defensive rating
112.1
57.5%
Effective FG%
50.3%
53.4%
Opp. effective FG%
54.9%
14.7%
Turnover %
10.8%
23.5%
Off. rebound %
23.1%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.24
39.9%
3-point %
35.7%
63.0%
Assist %
65.1%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence114.8 · 107.9Defence111.4 · 112.1Shooting57.5% · 50.3%3-point %39.9% · 35.7%Ball care14.7% · 10.8%Off. rebounds23.5% · 23.1%Free throws0.25 · 0.24Form (last 10/10)60% · 50%
■ Minnesota Timberwolves   ■ Miami Heat
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
09/11/24HPortland Trail Blazers127-102
08/11/24AChicago Bulls135-119
05/11/24HCharlotte Hornets114-93
03/11/24ASan Antonio Spurs103-113
02/11/24HDenver Nuggets119-116
29/10/24HDallas Mavericks114-120
27/10/24HToronto Raptors112-101
25/10/24ASacramento Kings117-115
23/10/24ALos Angeles Lakers103-110
31/05/24HDallas Mavericks103-124
Miami Heatlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/11/24ADenver Nuggets122-135
07/11/24APhoenix Suns112-115
05/11/24HSacramento Kings110-111
03/11/24AWashington Wizards118-98
30/10/24HNew York Knicks107-116
28/10/24HDetroit Pistons106-98
26/10/24ACharlotte Hornets114-106
23/10/24HOrlando Magic97-116
10/07/24ALos Angeles Lakers80-76
07/07/24ASacramento Kings102-86

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
NBA 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW67%
HomeWLWWW80%
AwayLWLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games954
Win %67%80%50%
Points / game116.0117.2114.5
Allowed / game109.9106.4114.2
Point differential+6.1+10.8+0.2
Avg total225.9223.6228.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+44%60%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Miami Heat
NBA 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL38%
HomeLWLL25%
AwayWWLL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %38%25%50%
Points / game110.8105.0116.5
Allowed / game111.9110.2113.5
Point differential-1.1-5.2+3.0
Avg total222.6215.2230.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%0%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Cleveland Cavaliers11110100%122.7110.2+12.5
2 Oklahoma City Thunder98189%115.7100.2+15.4
3 Phoenix Suns98189%114.4111.1+3.3
4 Boston Celtics119282%120.2109.6+10.5
5 Golden State Warriors97278%120.7108.7+12.0
6 Minnesota Timberwolves96367%116.0109.9+6.1
7 Denver Nuggets96367%120.8117.8+3.0
8 Memphis Grizzlies106460%119.6113.8+5.8
9 Houston Rockets106460%111.8107.9+3.9
10 Los Angeles Clippers106460%108.5106.3+2.2
11 Dallas Mavericks95456%113.4108.8+4.7
12 Sacramento Kings95456%116.4112.4+4.0
13 Los Angeles Lakers95456%115.9118.4-2.6
14 Indiana Pacers105550%116.2118.8-2.6
15 Orlando Magic115645%108.0106.3+1.7
16 New York Knicks94544%114.4111.2+3.2
17 Charlotte Hornets94544%110.0113.1-3.1
18 Brooklyn Nets104640%111.2112.3-1.1
19 San Antonio Spurs104640%106.3108.4-2.1
20 Chicago Bulls104640%114.8120.3-5.5
21 Miami Heat83538%110.8111.9-1.1
22 Detroit Pistons114736%107.1109.6-2.5
23 Atlanta Hawks114736%116.1121.6-5.5
24 Portland Trail Blazers103730%107.2114.9-7.7
25 New Orleans Pelicans103730%107.2117.5-10.3
26 Washington Wizards82625%110.0123.5-13.5
27 Utah Jazz92722%105.0118.9-13.9
28 Milwaukee Bucks102820%110.6115.7-5.1
29 Toronto Raptors102820%116.5122.7-6.2
30 Philadelphia 76ers81712%107.0115.8-8.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Minnesota Timberwolves2031202394
Miami Heat2725162795
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