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Minnesota Timberwolves vs Oklahoma City Thunder Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 06 Oct 2018
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 101-113
20-31 29-32 24-26 28-24
Position#21
Record-
FormLLWLL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
vs
Position#10
Record-
FormLLLWL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
USANBA· Target Center
NBA2018-19
Meetings · Minnesota Timberwolves v Oklahoma City Thunder
28 Mar 2027
MIN v OKC
upcoming
25 Dec 2026
MIN v OKC
upcoming
29 Jan 2026
MIN123
OKC111
19 Dec 2025
MIN112
OKC107
26 May 2025
MIN126
OKC128
24 May 2025
MIN143
OKC101
23 Feb 2025
MIN123
OKC130
13 Feb 2025
MIN116
OKC101
20 Jan 2024
MIN97
OKC102
28 Nov 2023
MIN106
OKC103
14 Apr 2023
MIN120
OKC95
03 Dec 2022
MIN128
OKC135
19 Oct 2022
MIN115
OKC108
09 Mar 2022
MIN132
OKC102
05 Jan 2022
MIN98
OKC90
22 Mar 2021
MIN103
OKC112
25 Jan 2020
MIN104
OKC113
13 Jan 2020
MIN104
OKC117
07 Apr 2019
MIN126
OKC132
05 Mar 2019
MIN131
OKC120
05 Oct 2018
MIN101
OKC113
10 Jan 2018
MIN104
OKC88
27 Oct 2017
MIN119
OKC116
11 Apr 2017
MIN98
OKC100
13 Jan 2017
MIN96
OKC86
27 Jan 2016
MIN123
OKC126
12 Jan 2016
MIN96
OKC101
15 Apr 2015
MIN113
OKC138
12 Dec 2014
MIN92
OKC111
04 Jan 2014
MIN111
OKC115
01 Nov 2013
MIN100
OKC81
29 Mar 2013
MIN101
OKC93
20 Dec 2012
MIN99
OKC93
14 Apr 2012
MIN110
OKC115
26 Dec 2011
MIN100
OKC104
26 Jan 2011
MIN117
OKC118
08 Dec 2010
MIN103
OKC111
21 Feb 2010
MIN107
OKC109
20 Jan 2010
MIN92
OKC94
22 Mar 2009
MIN90
OKC97
07 Jan 2009
MIN129
OKC87
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Minnesota Timberwolves winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Oklahoma City Thunder winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Minnesota TimberwolvesUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTimberwolves
Date
Competition
Utah Jazz
#9
L
97-121
97
121
-24
78avg 100
H01/04
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#12
L
96-100
96
100
-4
85avg 100
A06/04
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#21
W
113-96
113
96
+17
99avg 100
A07/04
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#29
W
113-94
113
94
+19
112avg 100
H10/04
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#12
W
112-106 OT
112
106
+6
101avg 100
H12/04
NBA
Houston Rockets
#1
L
101-104
101
104
-3
96avg 100
A16/04
NBA
Houston Rockets
#1
L
82-102
82
102
-20
72avg 100
A19/04
NBA
Houston Rockets
#1
W
121-105
121
105
+16
114avg 100
H21/04
NBA
Houston Rockets
#1
L
100-119
100
119
-19
93avg 100
H24/04
NBA
Houston Rockets
#1
L
104-122
104
122
-18
98avg 100
A26/04
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-28
24-33
21-26
26-34
24-27
30-24
18-28
24-21
30-26
21-32
29-15
33-23
20-26
36-27
27-22
30-19
29-26
33-28
24-27
15-20
21-27
26-27
25-22
29-28
23-18
17-37
18-25
24-22
27-28
25-23
35-24
34-30
21-21
28-29
20-50
31-19
26-25
33-30
15-30
30-37
210.8Avg total
103.9Scored
106.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)103.9106.9210.8-3.040%
Last 5 (5)101.6110.4212.0-8.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)105.2114.4219.7-9.222%
vs Similar (12)108.4111.0219.4-2.642%
vs Weaker (9)110.8103.2214.0+7.678%
This opponent (Oklahoma City Thunder) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Oklahoma City ThunderUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormThunder
Date
Competition
Golden State Warriors
#2
L
107-111
107
111
-4
90avg 96
H04/04
NBA
Houston Rockets
#1
W
108-102
108
102
+6
92avg 96
A08/04
NBA
Miami Heat
#16
W
115-93
115
93
+22
106avg 96
A09/04
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#29
W
137-123
137
123
+14
138avg 96
H12/04
NBA
Utah Jazz
#9
W
116-108
116
108
+8
106avg 96
H15/04
NBA
Utah Jazz
#9
L
95-102
95
102
-7
82avg 96
H19/04
NBA
Utah Jazz
#9
L
102-115
102
115
-13
89avg 96
A22/04
NBA
Utah Jazz
#9
L
96-113
96
113
-17
78avg 96
A24/04
NBA
Utah Jazz
#9
W
107-99
107
99
+8
90avg 96
H26/04
NBA
Utah Jazz
#9
L
91-96
91
96
-5
77avg 96
A28/04
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-24
20-33
34-27
26-27
36-30
25-32
19-21
28-19
21-27
28-25
27-29
39-12
38-28
39-29
28-39
32-27
25-25
29-23
27-24
35-36
25-26
21-27
33-21
16-28
30-22
23-36
22-31
27-26
30-24
22-34
21-32
23-23
29-34
12-22
37-22
29-21
22-18
19-23
29-37
21-18
213.6Avg total
107.4Scored
106.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)107.4106.2213.6+1.250%
Last 5 (5)98.2105.0203.2-6.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)110.0112.0222.0-2.050%
vs Similar (19)105.7106.8212.5-1.142%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)117.2107.8225.0+9.4100%
This opponent (Minnesota Timberwolves) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.5-0.5Q1: +2.5+2.5Q2Q2: -1.7-1.7Q2: -4.6-4.6Q3Q3: -3.7-3.7Q3: -0.6-0.6Q4Q4: +2.3+2.3Q4: +3.9+3.9
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.5-0.5Q1: +2.5+2.5Q2Q2: -1.7-1.7Q2: -4.6-4.6Q3Q3: -3.7-3.7Q3: -0.6-0.6Q4Q4: +2.3+2.3Q4: +3.9+3.9
Minnesota TimberwolvesOklahoma City Thunder
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Minnesota TimberwolvesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Utah Jazz
#9
L
50-61
50
61
-11
H01/04
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#12
W
54-51
54
51
+3
A06/04
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#21
L
51-58
51
58
-7
A07/04
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#29
W
56-53
56
53
+3
H10/04
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#12
W
62-54
62
54
+8
H12/04
NBA
Houston Rockets
#1
L
47-54
47
54
-7
A16/04
NBA
Houston Rockets
#1
L
40-55
40
55
-15
A19/04
NBA
Houston Rockets
#1
W
52-51
52
51
+1
H21/04
NBA
Houston Rockets
#1
L
49-50
49
50
-1
H24/04
NBA
Houston Rockets
#1
W
59-55
59
55
+4
A26/04
NBA
106.2Avg total
52.0Scored
54.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)54.156.5110.5-2.440%-
Last 30 at home (15)55.858.5114.3-2.740%-
Last 30 away (15)52.354.5106.8-2.140%-
Last 10 (10)52.054.2106.2-2.250%-
Last 5 (5)49.453.0102.4-3.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)51.357.0108.3-5.722%-
vs Similar (12)52.857.2109.9-4.433%-
vs Weaker (9)58.655.0113.6+3.667%-
This opponent (Oklahoma City Thunder) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Oklahoma City ThunderLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Golden State Warriors
#2
L
47-57
47
57
-10
H04/04
NBA
Houston Rockets
#1
L
61-62
61
62
-1
A08/04
NBA
Miami Heat
#16
L
49-52
49
52
-3
A09/04
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#29
W
77-57
77
57
+20
H12/04
NBA
Utah Jazz
#9
W
54-48
54
48
+6
H15/04
NBA
Utah Jazz
#9
L
46-53
46
53
-7
H19/04
NBA
Utah Jazz
#9
L
53-58
53
58
-5
A22/04
NBA
Utah Jazz
#9
L
52-58
52
58
-6
A24/04
NBA
Utah Jazz
#9
L
41-56
41
56
-15
H26/04
NBA
Utah Jazz
#9
D
41-41
41
41
+0
A28/04
NBA
106.3Avg total
52.1Scored
54.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)53.953.5107.4+0.443%-
Last 30 at home (14)52.551.6104.1+0.950%-
Last 30 away (16)55.155.2110.3-0.138%-
Last 10 (10)52.154.2106.3-2.120%-
Last 5 (5)46.653.299.8-6.60%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)53.058.0111.0-5.00%-
vs Similar (19)51.152.8103.9-1.837%-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)60.154.0114.1+6.167%-
This opponent (Minnesota Timberwolves) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Minnesota Timberwolvestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Minnesota Timberwolves: 103.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀60%
🏀🏀🏀24%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers62.2 pts a game · 60% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.9 pts a game · 24% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.8 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 110.7 points a game
53%
31%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers64.231.1
48.4%
51.7%62.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.88.3
36.4%
35.4%24.9
🏀 Free throws22.116.8
76.0%
76.6%16.8
They take 87.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 26% of their shots are threes (league average: 36%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Oklahoma City Thundertheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Oklahoma City Thunder: 107.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers52.0 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.8 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws20.6 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 110.7 points a game
53%
31%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers54.726.0
47.5%
51.7%52.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.211.6
36.0%
35.4%34.8
🏀 Free throws26.720.6
77.2%
76.6%20.6
They take 86.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 36%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 06 Oct 2018 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Minnesota Timberwolves
LLWLLWWWLL
Oklahoma City Thunder
LWLLLWWWWL
#21
League position
#10
-3.1
Net rating
+1.2
106.5
Offensive rating
107.1
109.6
Defensive rating
105.9
50.1%
Effective FG%
49.9%
51.9%
Opp. effective FG%
52.7%
11.3%
Turnover %
13.1%
23.5%
Off. rebound %
23.6%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.31
36.4%
3-point %
36.0%
58.1%
Assist %
49.2%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence106.5 · 107.1Defence109.6 · 105.9Shooting50.1% · 49.9%3-point %36.4% · 36.0%Ball care11.3% · 13.1%Off. rebounds23.5% · 23.6%Free throws0.25 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)40% · 50%
■ Minnesota Timberwolves   ■ Oklahoma City Thunder
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
26/04/18AHouston Rockets104-122
24/04/18HHouston Rockets100-119
21/04/18HHouston Rockets121-105
19/04/18AHouston Rockets82-102
16/04/18AHouston Rockets101-104
12/04/18HDenver Nuggets112-106 OT
10/04/18HMemphis Grizzlies113-94
07/04/18ALos Angeles Lakers113-96
06/04/18ADenver Nuggets96-100
01/04/18HUtah Jazz97-121
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/04/18AUtah Jazz91-96
26/04/18HUtah Jazz107-99
24/04/18AUtah Jazz96-113
22/04/18AUtah Jazz102-115
19/04/18HUtah Jazz95-102
15/04/18HUtah Jazz116-108
12/04/18HMemphis Grizzlies137-123
09/04/18AMiami Heat115-93
08/04/18AHouston Rockets108-102
04/04/18HGolden State Warriors107-111

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
NBA 2018-19
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
Oklahoma City Thunder
NBA 2018-19
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

No league table for this competition yet.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Minnesota Timberwolves20292428101
Oklahoma City Thunder31322624113
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