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Minnesota Timberwolves vs Oklahoma City Thunder Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 21 Jan 2024
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 97-102
24-30 30-27 29-17 14-28
Position#4
Record30-11
FormLWWWW
Points / game113.5
Allowed / game107.4
vs
Position#2
Record28-13
FormWWLLW
Points / game122.2
Allowed / game114.1
USANBA· Target Center (Minneapolis)
NBA2023-24
Meetings · Minnesota Timberwolves v Oklahoma City Thunder
28 Mar 2027
MIN v OKC
upcoming
25 Dec 2026
MIN v OKC
upcoming
29 Jan 2026
MIN123
OKC111
19 Dec 2025
MIN112
OKC107
26 May 2025
MIN126
OKC128
24 May 2025
MIN143
OKC101
23 Feb 2025
MIN123
OKC130
13 Feb 2025
MIN116
OKC101
20 Jan 2024
MIN97
OKC102
28 Nov 2023
MIN106
OKC103
14 Apr 2023
MIN120
OKC95
03 Dec 2022
MIN128
OKC135
19 Oct 2022
MIN115
OKC108
09 Mar 2022
MIN132
OKC102
05 Jan 2022
MIN98
OKC90
22 Mar 2021
MIN103
OKC112
25 Jan 2020
MIN104
OKC113
13 Jan 2020
MIN104
OKC117
07 Apr 2019
MIN126
OKC132
05 Mar 2019
MIN131
OKC120
10 Jan 2018
MIN104
OKC88
27 Oct 2017
MIN119
OKC116
11 Apr 2017
MIN98
OKC100
13 Jan 2017
MIN96
OKC86
27 Jan 2016
MIN123
OKC126
12 Jan 2016
MIN96
OKC101
15 Apr 2015
MIN113
OKC138
12 Dec 2014
MIN92
OKC111
04 Jan 2014
MIN111
OKC115
01 Nov 2013
MIN100
OKC81
29 Mar 2013
MIN101
OKC93
20 Dec 2012
MIN99
OKC93
14 Apr 2012
MIN110
OKC115
26 Dec 2011
MIN100
OKC104
26 Jan 2011
MIN117
OKC118
08 Dec 2010
MIN103
OKC111
21 Feb 2010
MIN107
OKC109
20 Jan 2010
MIN92
OKC94
22 Mar 2009
MIN90
OKC97
07 Jan 2009
MIN129
OKC87
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Minnesota Timberwolves winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Oklahoma City Thunder winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Minnesota TimberwolvesUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTimberwolves
Date
Competition
New York Knicks
#5
L
106-112
106
112
-6
95avg 108
A01/01
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#10
L
106-117
106
117
-11
94avg 108
H04/01
NBA
Houston Rockets
#19
W
122-95
122
95
+27
125avg 108
A06/01
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#6
L
108-115
108
115
-7
96avg 108
A08/01
NBA
Orlando Magic
#14
W
113-92
113
92
+21
120avg 108
A10/01
NBA
Boston Celtics
#1
L
120-127 OT
120
127
-7
109avg 108
A11/01
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#27
W
116-93
116
93
+23
122avg 108
H13/01
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#7
W
109-105
109
105
+4
111avg 108
H15/01
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#30
W
124-117
124
117
+7
119avg 108
A18/01
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#24
W
118-103
118
103
+15
117avg 108
H19/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
32-23
17-38
29-33
28-18
24-27
22-32
25-33
35-25
32-24
24-22
28-26
38-23
29-30
27-30
26-31
26-24
33-16
34-21
23-29
23-26
27-32
26-22
32-25
26-32
36-15
27-27
25-15
28-36
29-19
17-26
35-23
28-37
39-40
31-22
28-28
26-27
30-30
20-25
31-31
37-17
221.8Avg total
114.2Scored
107.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (41)113.5107.4220.9+6.073%
Season at home (19)112.8102.5215.4+10.389%
Season away (22)114.0111.7225.7+2.459%
Last 10 (10)114.2107.6221.8+6.660%
Last 5 (5)117.4109.0226.4+8.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)120.0127.0247.0-7.00%
vs Similar ◀ (15)112.5110.7223.2+1.960%
vs Weaker (14)115.1104.0219.1+11.193%
This opponent (Oklahoma City Thunder) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Oklahoma City ThunderUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormThunder
Date
Competition
Boston Celtics
#1
W
127-123
127
123
+4
124avg 111
H03/01
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#21
L
138-141
138
141
-3
131avg 111
A04/01
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#22
L
115-124
115
124
-9
109avg 111
A06/01
NBA
Washington Wizards
#29
W
136-128
136
128
+8
139avg 111
A09/01
NBA
Miami Heat
#18
W
128-120
128
120
+8
133avg 111
A11/01
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#27
W
139-77
139
77
+62
152avg 111
H12/01
NBA
Orlando Magic
#14
W
112-100
112
100
+12
101avg 111
H14/01
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#16
L
105-112
105
112
-7
90avg 111
A16/01
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#7
L
117-128
117
128
-11
113avg 111
A17/01
NBA
Utah Jazz
#23
W
134-129
134
129
+5
136avg 111
A19/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
31-29
27-32
40-25
29-37
25-39
34-37
44-40
35-25
21-39
26-36
32-26
36-23
36-30
31-31
35-36
34-31
29-35
36-34
34-27
29-24
36-24
39-15
43-17
21-21
23-21
26-19
37-33
26-27
26-27
24-23
26-34
29-28
30-35
31-30
28-34
28-29
39-27
37-40
22-28
36-34
243.3Avg total
125.1Scored
118.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (41)122.2114.1236.3+8.168%
Season at home (21)124.5113.6238.1+11.076%
Season away (20)119.8114.6234.4+5.260%
Last 10 (10)125.1118.2243.3+6.960%
Last 5 (5)121.4109.2230.6+12.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (6)120.8110.8231.7+10.083%
vs Weaker (24)125.2116.0241.2+9.267%
This opponent (Minnesota Timberwolves) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +5.5+5.5Q1: -1.0-1.0Q2Q2: -2.0-2.0Q2: +1.4+1.4Q3Q3: +0.8+0.8Q3: +4.1+4.1Q4Q4: +3.0+3.0Q4: +2.4+2.4
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +5.5+5.5Q1: -1.0-1.0Q2Q2: -2.0-2.0Q2: +1.4+1.4Q3Q3: +0.8+0.8Q3: +4.1+4.1Q4Q4: +3.0+3.0Q4: +2.4+2.4
Minnesota TimberwolvesOklahoma City Thunder
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Minnesota TimberwolvesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New York Knicks
#5
L
49-61
49
61
-12
A01/01
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#10
L
46-59
46
59
-13
H04/01
NBA
Houston Rockets
#19
W
56-46
56
46
+10
A06/01
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#6
L
56-60
56
60
-4
A08/01
NBA
Orlando Magic
#14
W
67-37
67
37
+30
A10/01
NBA
Boston Celtics
#1
L
53-54
53
54
-1
A11/01
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#27
W
63-42
63
42
+21
H13/01
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#7
W
46-45
46
45
+1
H15/01
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#30
W
70-62
70
62
+8
A18/01
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#24
L
50-55
50
55
-5
H19/01
NBA
107.7Avg total
55.6Scored
52.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)57.055.6112.6+1.453%-
Last 30 at home (14)55.354.6109.9+0.764%-
Last 30 away (16)58.556.4114.9+2.144%-
Last 10 (10)55.652.1107.7+3.550%-
Last 5 (5)56.451.6108.0+4.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)53.054.0107.0-1.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)56.056.8112.8-0.840%-
vs Weaker (14)58.454.4112.7+4.071%-
This opponent (Oklahoma City Thunder) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Oklahoma City ThunderLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Boston Celtics
#1
L
58-61
58
61
-3
H03/01
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#21
L
59-76
59
76
-17
A04/01
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#22
L
47-75
47
75
-28
A06/01
NBA
Washington Wizards
#29
W
67-61
67
61
+6
A09/01
NBA
Miami Heat
#18
L
65-69
65
69
-4
A11/01
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#27
W
75-39
75
39
+36
H12/01
NBA
Orlando Magic
#14
W
49-40
49
40
+9
H14/01
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#16
D
50-50
50
50
+0
A16/01
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#7
L
61-65
61
65
-4
A17/01
NBA
Utah Jazz
#23
W
76-67
76
67
+9
A19/01
NBA
121.0Avg total
60.7Scored
60.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)61.257.7118.9+3.557%-
Last 30 at home (14)62.355.5117.8+6.871%-
Last 30 away (16)60.259.6119.8+0.644%-
Last 10 (10)60.760.3121.0+0.440%-
Last 5 (5)62.252.2114.4+10.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (6)60.356.3116.7+4.067%-
vs Weaker (24)61.458.0119.4+3.354%-
This opponent (Minnesota Timberwolves) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Minnesota Timberwolvestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Minnesota Timberwolves: 114.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers59.2 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers37.5 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.5 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 113.5 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers52.529.6
56.4%
54.4%59.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.212.5
40.1%
36.3%37.5
🏀 Free throws23.317.5
75.1%
78.2%17.5
They take 83.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Oklahoma City Thundertheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Oklahoma City Thunder: 125.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers66.4 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers42.0 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.7 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 113.5 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers53.833.2
61.7%
54.4%66.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.414.0
39.5%
36.3%42.0
🏀 Free throws20.916.7
79.9%
78.2%16.7
They take 89.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 35.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 21 Jan 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Minnesota Timberwolves
WWWWLWLWLL
Oklahoma City Thunder
WLLWWWWLLW
#4
League position
#2
+6.7
Net rating
+6.8
115.1
Offensive rating
122.9
108.5
Defensive rating
116.1
57.8%
Effective FG%
60.8%
52.1%
Opp. effective FG%
53.6%
13.4%
Turnover %
11.8%
20.9%
Off. rebound %
22.4%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.23
40.1%
3-point %
39.5%
65.6%
Assist %
67.6%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence115.1 · 122.9Defence108.5 · 116.1Shooting57.8% · 60.8%3-point %40.1% · 39.5%Ball care13.4% · 11.8%Off. rebounds20.9% · 22.4%Free throws0.28 · 0.23Form (last 10/10)60% · 60%
■ Minnesota Timberwolves   ■ Oklahoma City Thunder
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
19/01/24HMemphis Grizzlies118-103
18/01/24ADetroit Pistons124-117
15/01/24HLos Angeles Clippers109-105
13/01/24HPortland Trail Blazers116-93
11/01/24ABoston Celtics120-127 OT
10/01/24AOrlando Magic113-92
08/01/24ADallas Mavericks108-115
06/01/24AHouston Rockets122-95
04/01/24HNew Orleans Pelicans106-117
01/01/24ANew York Knicks106-112
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/01/24AUtah Jazz134-129
17/01/24ALos Angeles Clippers117-128
16/01/24ALos Angeles Lakers105-112
14/01/24HOrlando Magic112-100
12/01/24HPortland Trail Blazers139-77
11/01/24AMiami Heat128-120
09/01/24AWashington Wizards136-128
06/01/24ABrooklyn Nets115-124
04/01/24AAtlanta Hawks138-141
03/01/24HBoston Celtics127-123

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
NBA 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW73%
HomeWLWWW89%
AwayWLWLW59%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games411922
Win %73%89%59%
Points / game113.5112.8114.0
Allowed / game107.4102.5111.7
Point differential+6.0+10.3+2.4
Avg total220.9215.4225.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+39%53%27%
Close games (≤5 pts) won88% (8)100% (4)75% (4)
Overtime %5%5%5%
Oklahoma City Thunder
NBA 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW68%
HomeWWWWW76%
AwayWWLLW60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games412120
Win %68%76%60%
Points / game122.2124.5119.8
Allowed / game114.1113.6114.6
Point differential+8.1+11.0+5.2
Avg total236.3238.1234.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+39%52%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won45% (11)40% (5)50% (6)
Overtime %5%5%5%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Boston Celtics4132978%120.6110.4+10.2
2 Minnesota Timberwolves41301173%113.5107.4+6.0
3 Milwaukee Bucks40281270%124.2120.4+3.8
4 Philadelphia 76ers41281368%119.5111.2+8.2
5 Oklahoma City Thunder41281368%122.2114.1+8.1
6 Denver Nuggets43291467%116.0111.1+4.9
7 Los Angeles Clippers40261465%117.6112.0+5.6
8 Cleveland Cavaliers40251562%113.7110.0+3.8
9 New York Knicks42261662%115.0109.7+5.3
10 New Orleans Pelicans41241759%117.1111.7+5.4
11 Phoenix Suns40231757%116.4114.5+1.9
12 Sacramento Kings40231757%118.3117.8+0.5
13 Dallas Mavericks42241857%118.5117.4+1.1
14 Miami Heat42241857%111.4110.8+0.6
15 Indiana Pacers40221855%125.4123.7+1.7
16 Orlando Magic42222052%111.9111.4+0.5
17 Utah Jazz43222151%117.1118.5-1.5
18 Houston Rockets40192148%112.2111.7+0.6
19 Chicago Bulls43202347%110.2112.4-2.1
20 Los Angeles Lakers41192246%114.1116.7-2.6
21 Golden State Warriors40182245%117.2118.2-1.0
22 Atlanta Hawks42182443%120.0122.5-2.4
23 Brooklyn Nets41172441%114.2115.5-1.3
24 Toronto Raptors43162737%114.7116.6-1.9
25 Memphis Grizzlies41152637%108.1113.3-5.2
26 Portland Trail Blazers41122929%107.5116.7-9.2
27 Charlotte Hornets4093122%108.3119.8-11.5
28 San Antonio Spurs4283419%112.5121.5-8.9
29 Washington Wizards4173417%115.7125.2-9.5
30 Detroit Pistons4243810%112.4123.0-10.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Minnesota Timberwolves2430291497
Oklahoma City Thunder30271728102
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