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Minnesota Timberwolves vs Oklahoma City Thunder Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 04 Dec 2022
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 128-135
29-32 28-31 44-34 27-38
Position#17
Record11-11
FormWLLLW
Points / game114.4
Allowed / game115.3
vs
Position#20
Record9-13
FormLWLLW
Points / game116.0
Allowed / game117.4
USANBA· Target Center
NBA2022-23
Meetings · Minnesota Timberwolves v Oklahoma City Thunder
28 Mar 2027
MIN v OKC
upcoming
25 Dec 2026
MIN v OKC
upcoming
29 Jan 2026
MIN123
OKC111
19 Dec 2025
MIN112
OKC107
26 May 2025
MIN126
OKC128
24 May 2025
MIN143
OKC101
23 Feb 2025
MIN123
OKC130
13 Feb 2025
MIN116
OKC101
20 Jan 2024
MIN97
OKC102
28 Nov 2023
MIN106
OKC103
14 Apr 2023
MIN120
OKC95
03 Dec 2022
MIN128
OKC135
19 Oct 2022
MIN115
OKC108
09 Mar 2022
MIN132
OKC102
05 Jan 2022
MIN98
OKC90
22 Mar 2021
MIN103
OKC112
25 Jan 2020
MIN104
OKC113
13 Jan 2020
MIN104
OKC117
07 Apr 2019
MIN126
OKC132
05 Mar 2019
MIN131
OKC120
10 Jan 2018
MIN104
OKC88
27 Oct 2017
MIN119
OKC116
11 Apr 2017
MIN98
OKC100
13 Jan 2017
MIN96
OKC86
27 Jan 2016
MIN123
OKC126
12 Jan 2016
MIN96
OKC101
15 Apr 2015
MIN113
OKC138
12 Dec 2014
MIN92
OKC111
04 Jan 2014
MIN111
OKC115
01 Nov 2013
MIN100
OKC81
29 Mar 2013
MIN101
OKC93
20 Dec 2012
MIN99
OKC93
14 Apr 2012
MIN110
OKC115
26 Dec 2011
MIN100
OKC104
26 Jan 2011
MIN117
OKC118
08 Dec 2010
MIN103
OKC111
21 Feb 2010
MIN107
OKC109
20 Jan 2010
MIN92
OKC94
22 Mar 2009
MIN90
OKC97
07 Jan 2009
MIN129
OKC87
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Minnesota Timberwolves winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Oklahoma City Thunder winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Minnesota TimberwolvesUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTimberwolves
Date
Competition
Memphis Grizzlies
#5
L
103-114
103
114
-11
98avg 109
A12/11
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#6
W
129-124
129
124
+5
131avg 109
A13/11
NBA
Orlando Magic
#25
W
126-108
126
108
+18
120avg 109
A17/11
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#4
W
112-109
112
109
+3
108avg 109
A20/11
NBA
Miami Heat
#10
W
105-101
105
101
+4
100avg 109
H22/11
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#24
W
115-101
115
101
+14
125avg 109
A24/11
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#27
L
108-110
108
110
-2
96avg 109
A25/11
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#11
L
114-137
114
137
-23
96avg 109
H27/11
NBA
Washington Wizards
#23
L
127-142
127
142
-15
119avg 109
A29/11
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#5
W
109-101
109
101
+8
94avg 109
H01/12
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-33
33-39
21-24
19-18
40-20
27-30
37-34
25-40
42-24
32-25
24-31
28-28
33-23
30-28
34-33
15-25
30-33
17-27
37-19
21-22
29-21
24-27
34-29
28-24
34-29
28-23
21-39
25-19
27-47
29-29
33-33
25-28
33-38
25-39
39-32
30-33
27-26
17-22
31-24
34-29
229.5Avg total
114.8Scored
114.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)114.4115.3229.6-0.950%
Season at home (12)114.6116.6231.2-2.050%
Season away (10)114.1113.7227.8+0.450%
Last 10 (10)114.8114.7229.5+0.160%
Last 5 (5)114.6118.2232.8-3.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)129.0124.0253.0+5.0100%
vs Similar ◀ (24)112.3114.9227.2-2.546%
vs Weaker (5)115.0114.2229.2+0.840%
This opponent (Oklahoma City Thunder) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Oklahoma City ThunderUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormThunder
Date
Competition
New York Knicks
#8
W
145-135
145
135
+10
145avg 98
A13/11
NBA
Boston Celtics
#3
L
122-126
122
126
-4
111avg 98
A15/11
NBA
Washington Wizards
#23
W
121-120
121
120
+1
114avg 98
A17/11
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#5
L
110-121
110
121
-11
105avg 98
A19/11
NBA
New York Knicks
#8
L
119-129
119
129
-10
108avg 98
H22/11
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#2
L
126-131 OT
126
131
-5
111avg 98
H24/11
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#19
W
123-119 OT
123
119
+4
114avg 98
H26/11
NBA
Houston Rockets
#28
L
105-118
105
118
-13
84avg 98
A27/11
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#15
L
101-105
101
105
-4
84avg 98
A29/11
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#29
W
119-111
119
111
+8
108avg 98
H01/12
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
36-48
43-25
43-33
23-29
35-32
34-30
27-27
26-37
29-37
25-30
35-20
32-33
28-33
31-30
24-29
27-29
34-38
24-31
29-29
32-31
21-38
42-31
34-15
23-36
32-30
27-29
28-21
23-30
22-23
22-42
29-30
32-23
26-34
24-22
24-25
27-24
32-35
28-42
28-19
31-15
240.6Avg total
119.1Scored
121.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)116.0117.4233.4-1.441%
Season at home (11)119.0117.2236.2+1.855%
Season away (11)113.0117.5230.5-4.527%
Last 10 (10)119.1121.5240.6-2.440%
Last 5 (5)114.8116.8231.6-2.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)107.8125.5233.3-17.717%
vs Similar ◀ (21)116.0116.7232.7-0.748%
vs Weaker (3)109.0113.7222.7-4.733%
This opponent (Minnesota Timberwolves) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +3.1+3.1Q1: -5.3-5.3Q2Q2: -2.7-2.7Q2: -1.2-1.2Q3Q3: +1.3+1.3Q3: +5.3+5.3Q4Q4: -1.6-1.6Q4: -1.1-1.1
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +3.1+3.1Q1: -5.3-5.3Q2Q2: -2.7-2.7Q2: -1.2-1.2Q3Q3: +1.3+1.3Q3: +5.3+5.3Q4Q4: -1.6-1.6Q4: -1.1-1.1
Minnesota TimberwolvesOklahoma City Thunder
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Minnesota TimberwolvesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Memphis Grizzlies
#5
L
63-72
63
72
-9
A12/11
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#6
W
67-50
67
50
+17
A13/11
NBA
Orlando Magic
#25
W
74-49
74
49
+25
A17/11
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#4
W
63-51
63
51
+12
A20/11
NBA
Miami Heat
#10
L
47-60
47
60
-13
H22/11
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#24
W
53-48
53
48
+5
A24/11
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#27
W
62-52
62
52
+10
A25/11
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#11
L
56-76
56
76
-20
H27/11
NBA
Washington Wizards
#23
L
58-77
58
77
-19
A29/11
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#5
L
44-48
44
48
-4
H01/12
NBA
117.0Avg total
58.7Scored
58.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)56.657.2113.8-0.753%-
Last 30 at home (17)55.458.1113.5-2.847%-
Last 30 away (13)58.256.1114.2+2.162%-
Last 10 (10)58.758.3117.0+0.450%-
Last 5 (5)54.660.2114.8-5.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)67.050.0117.0+17.0100%-
vs Similar ◀ (24)55.357.9113.2-2.550%-
vs Weaker (5)60.455.6116.0+4.860%-
This opponent (Oklahoma City Thunder) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Oklahoma City ThunderLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New York Knicks
#8
W
79-73
79
73
+6
A13/11
NBA
Boston Celtics
#3
W
69-62
69
62
+7
A15/11
NBA
Washington Wizards
#23
L
54-67
54
67
-13
A17/11
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#5
L
59-63
59
63
-4
A19/11
NBA
New York Knicks
#8
L
58-69
58
69
-11
H22/11
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#2
L
63-69
63
69
-6
H24/11
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#19
D
59-59
59
59
+0
H26/11
NBA
Houston Rockets
#28
L
44-65
44
65
-21
A27/11
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#15
L
50-56
50
56
-6
A29/11
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#29
L
60-77
60
77
-17
H01/12
NBA
125.5Avg total
59.5Scored
66.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)56.161.7117.8-5.617%-
Last 30 at home (15)56.161.7117.7-5.613%-
Last 30 away (15)56.261.7117.9-5.520%-
Last 10 (10)59.566.0125.5-6.520%-
Last 5 (5)55.265.2120.4-10.00%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)56.765.5122.2-8.817%-
vs Similar ◀ (21)56.060.4116.4-4.314%-
vs Weaker (3)55.763.3119.0-7.733%-
This opponent (Minnesota Timberwolves) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Minnesota Timberwolvestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Minnesota Timberwolves: 114.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers61.2 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.0 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws20.6 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.1 points a game
52%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers51.630.6
59.3%
54.5%61.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.711.0
32.6%
35.8%33.0
🏀 Free throws25.320.6
81.4%
78.1%20.6
They take 85.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Oklahoma City Thundertheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Oklahoma City Thunder: 119.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers64.2 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.7 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.2 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.1 points a game
52%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers59.832.1
53.7%
54.5%64.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.811.9
36.3%
35.8%35.7
🏀 Free throws23.719.2
81.0%
78.1%19.2
They take 92.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 04 Dec 2022 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Minnesota Timberwolves
WLLLWWWWWL
Oklahoma City Thunder
WLLWLLLWLW
#17
League position
#20
+0.1
Net rating
-2.3
111.2
Offensive rating
112.2
111.1
Defensive rating
114.4
55.2%
Effective FG%
53.9%
53.8%
Opp. effective FG%
54.3%
15.0%
Turnover %
13.6%
20.9%
Off. rebound %
24.9%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.26
32.6%
3-point %
36.3%
64.4%
Assist %
53.9%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence111.2 · 112.2Defence111.1 · 114.4Shooting55.2% · 53.9%3-point %32.6% · 36.3%Ball care15.0% · 13.6%Off. rebounds20.9% · 24.9%Free throws0.30 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)60% · 40%
■ Minnesota Timberwolves   ■ Oklahoma City Thunder
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
01/12/22HMemphis Grizzlies109-101
29/11/22AWashington Wizards127-142
27/11/22HGolden State Warriors114-137
25/11/22ACharlotte Hornets108-110
24/11/22AIndiana Pacers115-101
22/11/22HMiami Heat105-101
20/11/22APhiladelphia 76ers112-109
17/11/22AOrlando Magic126-108
13/11/22ACleveland Cavaliers129-124
12/11/22AMemphis Grizzlies103-114
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/12/22HSan Antonio Spurs119-111
29/11/22ANew Orleans Pelicans101-105
27/11/22AHouston Rockets105-118
26/11/22HChicago Bulls123-119 OT
24/11/22HDenver Nuggets126-131 OT
22/11/22HNew York Knicks119-129
19/11/22AMemphis Grizzlies110-121
17/11/22AWashington Wizards121-120
15/11/22ABoston Celtics122-126
13/11/22ANew York Knicks145-135

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
NBA 2022-23
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW50%
HomeLLWLW50%
AwayWWWLL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221210
Win %50%50%50%
Points / game114.4114.6114.1
Allowed / game115.3116.6113.7
Point differential-0.9-2.0+0.4
Avg total229.6231.2227.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+23%17%30%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)100% (1)67% (3)
Overtime %5%8%0%
Oklahoma City Thunder
NBA 2022-23
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW41%
HomeWLLWW55%
AwayLWLLL27%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221111
Win %41%55%27%
Points / game116.0119.0113.0
Allowed / game117.4117.2117.5
Point differential-1.4+1.8-4.5
Avg total233.4236.2230.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%18%9%
Close games (≤5 pts) won29% (7)33% (3)25% (4)
Overtime %18%27%9%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Boston Celtics2318578%121.6113.6+8.0
2 Milwaukee Bucks2216673%112.7108.0+4.7
3 Phoenix Suns2215768%116.0109.0+7.0
4 Cleveland Cavaliers2315865%112.7105.6+7.1
5 New Orleans Pelicans2214864%117.1110.5+6.6
6 Denver Nuggets2214864%115.1113.3+1.9
7 Memphis Grizzlies2213959%115.0113.8+1.3
8 Sacramento Kings2112957%120.0116.2+3.9
9 Atlanta Hawks23131057%114.0113.3+0.7
10 Utah Jazz25141156%117.9115.5+2.4
11 Indiana Pacers22121055%115.8116.5-0.7
12 Brooklyn Nets24131154%111.7110.4+1.3
13 Los Angeles Clippers24131154%106.7108.5-1.8
14 Philadelphia 76ers23121152%108.3106.6+1.8
15 Golden State Warriors23121152%117.6117.0+0.7
16 Dallas Mavericks22111150%110.6108.3+2.3
17 Toronto Raptors22111150%110.4109.5+0.9
18 Minnesota Timberwolves22111150%114.4115.3-0.9
19 Portland Trail Blazers22111150%109.8111.5-1.7
20 Miami Heat23111248%109.5110.3-0.8
21 Washington Wizards23111248%110.6111.7-1.1
22 New York Knicks23101343%114.6116.4-1.9
23 Los Angeles Lakers2191243%114.0115.0-0.9
24 Chicago Bulls2291341%112.0113.0-1.0
25 Oklahoma City Thunder2291341%116.0117.4-1.4
26 Charlotte Hornets2371630%109.0115.0-6.0
27 Houston Rockets2261627%110.4116.8-6.4
28 San Antonio Spurs2361726%110.1120.8-10.7
29 Detroit Pistons2461825%110.0118.0-8.0
30 Orlando Magic2351822%107.8114.1-6.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Minnesota Timberwolves29284427128
Oklahoma City Thunder32313438135
← all games of the day
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