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Minnesota Timberwolves vs Oklahoma City Thunder Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 30 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 02:30
Final 123-111
34-22 29-28 33-30 27-31
Position#10
Record29-19
FormLLLWW
Points / game119.0
Allowed / game114.1
vs
Position#1
Record37-9
FormWWLLW
Points / game120.3
Allowed / game108.0
USANBA· Target Center
NBA2025-26
Meetings · Minnesota Timberwolves v Oklahoma City Thunder
28 Mar 2027
MIN v OKC
upcoming
25 Dec 2026
MIN v OKC
upcoming
29 Jan 2026
MIN123
OKC111
19 Dec 2025
MIN112
OKC107
26 May 2025
MIN126
OKC128
24 May 2025
MIN143
OKC101
23 Feb 2025
MIN123
OKC130
13 Feb 2025
MIN116
OKC101
20 Jan 2024
MIN97
OKC102
28 Nov 2023
MIN106
OKC103
14 Apr 2023
MIN120
OKC95
03 Dec 2022
MIN128
OKC135
19 Oct 2022
MIN115
OKC108
09 Mar 2022
MIN132
OKC102
05 Jan 2022
MIN98
OKC90
22 Mar 2021
MIN103
OKC112
25 Jan 2020
MIN104
OKC113
13 Jan 2020
MIN104
OKC117
07 Apr 2019
MIN126
OKC132
05 Mar 2019
MIN131
OKC120
10 Jan 2018
MIN104
OKC88
27 Oct 2017
MIN119
OKC116
11 Apr 2017
MIN98
OKC100
13 Jan 2017
MIN96
OKC86
27 Jan 2016
MIN123
OKC126
12 Jan 2016
MIN96
OKC101
15 Apr 2015
MIN113
OKC138
12 Dec 2014
MIN92
OKC111
04 Jan 2014
MIN111
OKC115
01 Nov 2013
MIN100
OKC81
29 Mar 2013
MIN101
OKC93
20 Dec 2012
MIN99
OKC93
14 Apr 2012
MIN110
OKC115
26 Dec 2011
MIN100
OKC104
26 Jan 2011
MIN117
OKC118
08 Dec 2010
MIN103
OKC111
21 Feb 2010
MIN107
OKC109
20 Jan 2010
MIN92
OKC94
22 Mar 2009
MIN90
OKC97
07 Jan 2009
MIN129
OKC87
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Minnesota Timberwolves winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Oklahoma City Thunder winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Minnesota TimberwolvesUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTimberwolves
Date
Competition
Cleveland Cavaliers
#9
L
134-146
134
146
-12
132avg 110
A10/01
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
W
104-103
104
103
+1
93avg 110
H12/01
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#21
W
139-106
139
106
+33
142avg 110
A14/01
NBA
Houston Rockets
#8
L
105-110
105
110
-5
95avg 110
A17/01
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
123-126
123
126
-3
112avg 110
A18/01
NBA
Utah Jazz
#26
L
122-127
122
127
-5
109avg 110
A21/01
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#22
L
115-120
115
120
-5
110avg 110
H23/01
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#20
L
85-111
85
111
-26
75avg 110
H25/01
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#20
W
108-83
108
83
+25
112avg 110
H27/01
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#24
W
118-105
118
105
+13
106avg 110
A29/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
33-29
32-34
26-36
43-47
24-31
18-24
29-30
33-18
38-20
38-25
30-33
33-28
34-29
21-24
27-28
23-29
22-21
22-48
40-27
39-30
34-29
24-30
38-25
26-43
32-26
29-34
29-33
25-27
19-24
27-23
17-38
22-26
21-20
32-18
22-19
33-26
31-29
27-19
34-27
26-30
229.0Avg total
115.3Scored
113.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (48)119.0114.1233.1+4.860%
Season at home (24)114.3109.0223.2+5.367%
Season away (24)123.6119.3243.0+4.354%
Last 10 (10)115.3113.7229.0+1.640%
Last 5 (5)109.6109.2218.8+0.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)116.3111.2227.5+5.283%
vs Similar (12)115.9115.2231.2+0.750%
vs Weaker (12)123.5114.5238.0+9.067%
This opponent (Oklahoma City Thunder) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Oklahoma City ThunderUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormThunder
Date
Competition
Memphis Grizzlies
#25
W
117-116
117
116
+1
103avg 111
A10/01
NBA
Miami Heat
#17
W
124-112
124
112
+12
114avg 111
H12/01
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
W
119-98
119
98
+21
118avg 111
H14/01
NBA
Houston Rockets
#8
W
111-91
111
91
+20
104avg 111
A16/01
NBA
Miami Heat
#17
L
120-122
120
122
-2
120avg 111
A18/01
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#9
W
136-104
136
104
+32
132avg 111
A19/01
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#21
W
122-102
122
102
+20
114avg 111
A22/01
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#29
L
114-117
114
117
-3
104avg 111
H24/01
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#11
L
101-103
101
103
-2
92avg 111
H26/01
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#23
W
104-95
104
95
+9
100avg 111
H28/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-35
21-30
35-29
36-22
32-34
22-25
39-26
31-27
32-26
23-26
40-24
24-22
21-19
34-29
22-27
34-16
37-30
28-30
30-35
25-27
32-27
34-24
25-28
45-25
38-18
31-33
30-26
23-25
28-39
25-19
32-31
29-28
30-25
20-29
31-25
20-24
17-14
31-32
31-23
25-26
222.8Avg total
116.8Scored
106.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (46)120.3108.0228.3+12.480%
Season at home (24)119.6107.7227.3+11.983%
Season away (22)121.2108.3229.5+12.977%
Last 10 (10)116.8106.0222.8+10.870%
Last 5 (5)115.4104.2219.6+11.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (3)110.3115.0225.3-4.733%
vs Weaker ◀ (27)120.9108.4229.3+12.578%
This opponent (Minnesota Timberwolves) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +3.0+3.0Q1: +2.5+2.5Q2Q2: -0.9-0.9Q2: -0.8-0.8Q3Q3: -0.4-0.4Q3: +4.1+4.1Q4Q4: -0.1-0.1Q4: +5.0+5.0
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +3.0+3.0Q1: +2.5+2.5Q2Q2: -0.9-0.9Q2: -0.8-0.8Q3Q3: -0.4-0.4Q3: +4.1+4.1Q4Q4: -0.1-0.1Q4: +5.0+5.0
Minnesota TimberwolvesOklahoma City Thunder
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Minnesota TimberwolvesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cleveland Cavaliers
#9
W
65-63
65
63
+2
A10/01
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
42-55
42
55
-13
H12/01
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#21
W
76-45
76
45
+31
A14/01
NBA
Houston Rockets
#8
W
55-53
55
53
+2
A17/01
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
44-69
44
69
-25
A18/01
NBA
Utah Jazz
#26
L
58-59
58
59
-1
A21/01
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#22
W
61-60
61
60
+1
H23/01
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#20
L
46-47
46
47
-1
H25/01
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#20
W
53-38
53
38
+15
H27/01
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#24
W
58-48
58
48
+10
A29/01
NBA
109.5Avg total
55.8Scored
53.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)56.757.4114.1-0.743%-
Last 30 at home (16)54.756.7111.4-2.038%-
Last 30 away (14)58.958.2117.1+0.750%-
Last 10 (10)55.853.7109.5+2.160%-
Last 5 (5)55.250.4105.6+4.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)52.059.7111.7-7.717%-
vs Similar (12)55.256.6111.8-1.342%-
vs Weaker (12)60.457.1117.5+3.358%-
This opponent (Oklahoma City Thunder) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Oklahoma City ThunderLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Memphis Grizzlies
#25
L
46-65
46
65
-19
A10/01
NBA
Miami Heat
#17
L
54-59
54
59
-5
H12/01
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
W
55-52
55
52
+3
H14/01
NBA
Houston Rockets
#8
W
55-48
55
48
+7
A16/01
NBA
Miami Heat
#17
W
65-60
65
60
+5
A18/01
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#9
W
66-51
66
51
+15
A19/01
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#21
W
69-51
69
51
+18
A22/01
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#29
L
53-58
53
58
-5
H24/01
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#11
L
50-54
50
54
-4
H26/01
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#23
W
48-46
48
46
+2
H28/01
NBA
110.5Avg total
56.1Scored
54.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)59.554.2113.7+5.370%-
Last 30 at home (17)58.955.5114.4+3.465%-
Last 30 away (13)60.252.5112.8+7.777%-
Last 10 (10)56.154.4110.5+1.760%-
Last 5 (5)57.252.0109.2+5.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (3)58.359.7118.0-1.367%-
vs Weaker ◀ (27)59.653.6113.2+6.070%-
This opponent (Minnesota Timberwolves) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Minnesota Timberwolvestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Minnesota Timberwolves: 115.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers55.6 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers42.9 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.8 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 115.1 points a game
49%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers51.627.8
53.9%
54.8%55.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers37.214.3
38.4%
35.8%42.9
🏀 Free throws23.516.8
71.5%
78.1%16.8
They take 88.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 37.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Oklahoma City Thundertheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Oklahoma City Thunder: 116.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers59.0 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers38.1 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.7 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 115.1 points a game
49%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.429.5
59.7%
54.8%59.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.112.7
35.2%
35.8%38.1
🏀 Free throws24.519.7
80.4%
78.1%19.7
They take 85.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 36.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 30 Jan 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Minnesota Timberwolves
WWLLLLLWWL
Oklahoma City Thunder
WLLWWLWWWW
#10
League position
#1
+1.5
Net rating
+10.8
111.2
Offensive rating
116.6
109.6
Defensive rating
105.8
55.5%
Effective FG%
56.8%
53.4%
Opp. effective FG%
48.9%
14.4%
Turnover %
11.0%
25.2%
Off. rebound %
18.1%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.29
38.4%
3-point %
35.2%
62.2%
Assist %
57.1%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence111.2 · 116.6Defence109.6 · 105.8Shooting55.5% · 56.8%3-point %38.4% · 35.2%Ball care14.4% · 11.0%Off. rebounds25.2% · 18.1%Free throws0.26 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)40% · 70%
■ Minnesota Timberwolves   ■ Oklahoma City Thunder
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
29/01/26ADallas Mavericks118-105
27/01/26HGolden State Warriors108-83
25/01/26HGolden State Warriors85-111
23/01/26HChicago Bulls115-120
21/01/26AUtah Jazz122-127
18/01/26ASan Antonio Spurs123-126
17/01/26AHouston Rockets105-110
14/01/26AMilwaukee Bucks139-106
12/01/26HSan Antonio Spurs104-103
10/01/26ACleveland Cavaliers134-146
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/01/26HNew Orleans Pelicans104-95
26/01/26HToronto Raptors101-103
24/01/26HIndiana Pacers114-117
22/01/26AMilwaukee Bucks122-102
19/01/26ACleveland Cavaliers136-104
18/01/26AMiami Heat120-122
16/01/26AHouston Rockets111-91
14/01/26HSan Antonio Spurs119-98
12/01/26HMiami Heat124-112
10/01/26AMemphis Grizzlies117-116

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
NBA 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW60%
HomeWWLLW67%
AwayWLLLW54%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games482424
Win %60%67%54%
Points / game119.0114.3123.6
Allowed / game114.1109.0119.3
Point differential+4.8+5.3+4.3
Avg total233.1223.2243.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+35%38%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won44% (16)67% (9)14% (7)
Overtime %6%0%12%
Oklahoma City Thunder
NBA 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW80%
HomeWWLLW83%
AwayWWLWW77%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games462422
Win %80%83%77%
Points / game120.3119.6121.2
Allowed / game108.0107.7108.3
Point differential+12.4+11.9+12.9
Avg total228.3227.3229.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+59%58%59%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (10)60% (5)20% (5)
Overtime %7%8%5%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Oklahoma City Thunder4637980%120.3108.0+12.4
2 Detroit Pistons46341274%116.8110.1+6.7
3 San Antonio Spurs45301567%117.0112.0+5.0
4 Denver Nuggets48321667%120.1115.8+4.3
5 Houston Rockets46291763%116.1110.0+6.1
6 Los Angeles Lakers45281762%115.8116.2-0.4
7 Boston Celtics47291862%116.4110.1+6.3
8 Phoenix Suns47291862%114.5110.7+3.9
9 Minnesota Timberwolves48291960%119.0114.1+4.8
10 Toronto Raptors48291960%113.8112.0+1.9
11 New York Knicks45271860%117.2112.7+4.5
12 Cleveland Cavaliers49292059%119.2116.1+3.1
13 Philadelphia 76ers47262155%116.5115.8+0.7
14 Golden State Warriors49272255%116.5113.6+2.9
15 Miami Heat48262254%120.0118.3+1.7
16 Orlando Magic44232152%115.3115.4-0.1
17 Atlanta Hawks50242648%117.1118.1-1.0
18 Portland Trail Blazers48232548%115.5117.4-1.9
19 Chicago Bulls48232548%117.6119.7-2.1
20 Los Angeles Clippers46222448%112.7112.8-0.1
21 Charlotte Hornets49212843%116.3114.8+1.6
22 Memphis Grizzlies45182740%114.8116.3-1.6
23 Dallas Mavericks48192940%114.2116.7-2.5
24 Milwaukee Bucks46182839%111.8115.8-4.0
25 Utah Jazz48153331%118.8127.8-9.0
26 Brooklyn Nets46123426%107.7114.7-7.0
27 Washington Wizards46123426%112.2122.3-10.1
28 Indiana Pacers48123625%110.3118.3-8.0
29 New Orleans Pelicans49123724%114.4121.2-6.8
30 Sacramento Kings49123724%110.5120.6-10.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Minnesota Timberwolves34293327123
Oklahoma City Thunder22283031111
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