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Minnesota Timberwolves vs Oklahoma City Thunder Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 06 Mar 2019
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 131-120
30-24 41-33 31-30 29-33
Position#21
Record29-34
FormLWLLL
Points / game112.6
Allowed / game112.8
vs
Position#10
Record39-24
FormLLLLW
Points / game115.2
Allowed / game110.9
USANBA· Target Center
NBA2018-19
Meetings · Minnesota Timberwolves v Oklahoma City Thunder
28 Mar 2027
MIN v OKC
upcoming
25 Dec 2026
MIN v OKC
upcoming
29 Jan 2026
MIN123
OKC111
19 Dec 2025
MIN112
OKC107
26 May 2025
MIN126
OKC128
24 May 2025
MIN143
OKC101
23 Feb 2025
MIN123
OKC130
13 Feb 2025
MIN116
OKC101
20 Jan 2024
MIN97
OKC102
28 Nov 2023
MIN106
OKC103
14 Apr 2023
MIN120
OKC95
03 Dec 2022
MIN128
OKC135
19 Oct 2022
MIN115
OKC108
09 Mar 2022
MIN132
OKC102
05 Jan 2022
MIN98
OKC90
22 Mar 2021
MIN103
OKC112
25 Jan 2020
MIN104
OKC113
13 Jan 2020
MIN104
OKC117
07 Apr 2019
MIN126
OKC132
05 Mar 2019
MIN131
OKC120
10 Jan 2018
MIN104
OKC88
27 Oct 2017
MIN119
OKC116
11 Apr 2017
MIN98
OKC100
13 Jan 2017
MIN96
OKC86
27 Jan 2016
MIN123
OKC126
12 Jan 2016
MIN96
OKC101
15 Apr 2015
MIN113
OKC138
12 Dec 2014
MIN92
OKC111
04 Jan 2014
MIN111
OKC115
01 Nov 2013
MIN100
OKC81
29 Mar 2013
MIN101
OKC93
20 Dec 2012
MIN99
OKC93
14 Apr 2012
MIN110
OKC115
26 Dec 2011
MIN100
OKC104
26 Jan 2011
MIN117
OKC118
08 Dec 2010
MIN103
OKC111
21 Feb 2010
MIN107
OKC109
20 Jan 2010
MIN92
OKC94
22 Mar 2009
MIN90
OKC97
07 Jan 2009
MIN129
OKC87
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Minnesota Timberwolves winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Oklahoma City Thunder winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Minnesota TimberwolvesUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTimberwolves
Date
Competition
Orlando Magic
#14
L
112-122
112
122
-10
98avg 101
A08/02
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#23
L
117-122
117
122
-5
109avg 101
A09/02
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#12
W
130-120
130
120
+10
125avg 101
H12/02
NBA
Houston Rockets
#5
W
121-111
121
111
+10
121avg 101
H14/02
NBA
New York Knicks
#30
W
115-104
115
104
+11
102avg 101
A23/02
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#1
L
128-140
128
140
-12
116avg 101
A24/02
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#19
W
112-105
112
105
+7
108avg 101
H26/02
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#26
L
123-131 OT
123
131
-8
109avg 101
A28/02
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#13
L
115-122
115
122
-7
105avg 101
A01/03
NBA
Washington Wizards
#25
L
121-135
121
135
-14
no box
A03/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
31-32
27-39
27-31
27-20
35-22
27-40
26-28
29-32
29-26
34-29
36-36
31-29
28-29
24-29
35-26
34-27
29-33
37-25
28-25
21-21
32-35
38-34
39-38
19-33
19-30
44-23
30-27
19-25
40-33
28-27
27-26
23-32
35-26
25-38
30-28
25-30
36-40
28-22
23-35
34-38
240.6Avg total
119.4Scored
121.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (63)112.6112.8225.3-0.246%
Season at home (30)113.8108.7222.5+5.167%
Season away (33)111.4116.5227.9-5.127%
Last 10 (10)119.4121.2240.6-1.840%
Last 5 (5)119.8126.6246.4-6.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)112.3121.3233.7-9.022%
vs Similar (15)114.0111.4225.4+2.653%
vs Weaker (6)118.5109.5228.0+9.067%
This opponent (Oklahoma City Thunder) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Oklahoma City ThunderUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormThunder
Date
Competition
Memphis Grizzlies
#24
W
117-95
117
95
+22
110avg 102
H08/02
NBA
Houston Rockets
#5
W
117-112
117
112
+5
109avg 102
A10/02
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#6
W
120-111
120
111
+9
112avg 102
H12/02
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#23
L
122-131
122
131
-9
110avg 102
A15/02
NBA
Utah Jazz
#9
W
148-147 OT
148
147
+1
127avg 102
H23/02
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#19
L
116-119
116
119
-3
98avg 102
H24/02
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#4
L
112-121
112
121
-9
no box
A27/02
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#7
L
104-108
104
108
-4
97avg 102
H01/03
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#11
L
102-116
102
116
-14
87avg 102
A03/03
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#24
W
99-95
99
95
+4
no box
H04/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-32
24-21
32-19
34-23
25-28
23-42
42-20
27-22
36-26
32-23
19-33
33-29
31-31
32-35
26-35
33-30
35-34
31-23
27-38
36-34
24-31
25-32
34-31
33-25
26-29
25-35
27-27
34-30
26-37
23-23
30-26
25-22
25-38
38-34
15-20
24-24
25-28
21-24
21-23
32-20
231.2Avg total
115.7Scored
115.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (63)115.2110.9226.1+4.362%
Season at home (31)116.4109.9226.3+6.571%
Season away (32)114.1111.9226.0+2.253%
Last 10 (10)115.7115.5231.2+0.250%
Last 5 (5)106.6111.8218.4-5.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)118.0112.0230.0+6.0100%
vs Similar (16)121.5119.6241.1+1.962%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)115.8113.1228.9+2.854%
This opponent (Minnesota Timberwolves) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.8+0.8Q1: -3.4-3.4Q2Q2: +0.6+0.6Q2: -1.8-1.8Q3Q3: +0.1+0.1Q3: +0.1+0.1Q4Q4: -2.5-2.5Q4: +5.2+5.2
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.8+0.8Q1: -3.4-3.4Q2Q2: +0.6+0.6Q2: -1.8-1.8Q3Q3: +0.1+0.1Q3: +0.1+0.1Q4Q4: -2.5-2.5Q4: +5.2+5.2
Minnesota TimberwolvesOklahoma City Thunder
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Minnesota TimberwolvesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Orlando Magic
#14
L
58-71
58
71
-13
A08/02
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#23
D
62-62
62
62
+0
A09/02
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#12
W
63-55
63
55
+8
H12/02
NBA
Houston Rockets
#5
L
52-58
52
58
-6
H14/02
NBA
New York Knicks
#30
W
66-58
66
58
+8
A23/02
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#1
W
70-69
70
69
+1
A24/02
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#19
W
63-53
63
53
+10
H26/02
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#26
W
68-60
68
60
+8
A28/02
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#13
L
60-64
60
64
-4
A01/03
NBA
Washington Wizards
#25
W
64-62
64
62
+2
A03/03
NBA
123.8Avg total
62.6Scored
61.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)58.359.4117.6-1.140%-
Last 30 at home (13)57.657.4115.0+0.238%-
Last 30 away (17)58.860.9119.6-2.141%-
Last 10 (10)62.661.2123.8+1.460%-
Last 5 (5)65.061.6126.6+3.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)56.162.7118.8-6.622%-
vs Similar (15)57.558.3115.8-0.940%-
vs Weaker (6)63.557.0120.5+6.567%-
This opponent (Oklahoma City Thunder) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Oklahoma City ThunderLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Memphis Grizzlies
#24
L
51-53
51
53
-2
H08/02
NBA
Houston Rockets
#5
L
48-70
48
70
-22
A10/02
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#6
W
68-49
68
49
+19
H12/02
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#23
L
63-66
63
66
-3
A15/02
NBA
Utah Jazz
#9
W
66-57
66
57
+9
H23/02
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#19
L
49-63
49
63
-14
H24/02
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#4
L
51-64
51
64
-13
A27/02
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#7
L
49-60
49
60
-11
H01/03
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#11
L
63-72
63
72
-9
A03/03
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#24
L
46-52
46
52
-6
H04/03
NBA
116.0Avg total
55.4Scored
60.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)58.959.0117.9-0.143%-
Last 30 at home (15)57.556.1113.5+1.440%-
Last 30 away (15)60.362.0122.3-1.747%-
Last 10 (10)55.460.6116.0-5.220%-
Last 5 (5)51.662.2113.8-10.60%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)56.042.098.0+14.0100%-
vs Similar (16)59.261.8121.0-2.638%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)58.856.9115.7+1.846%-
This opponent (Minnesota Timberwolves) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Minnesota Timberwolvestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Minnesota Timberwolves: 119.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀62%
🏀🏀🏀23%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers73.6 pts a game · 62% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 23% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.6 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 110.7 points a game
53%
31%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers67.636.8
54.4%
51.7%73.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.79.0
35.0%
35.4%27.0
🏀 Free throws25.318.6
73.5%
76.6%18.6
They take 93.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 28% of their shots are threes (league average: 36%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Oklahoma City Thundertheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Oklahoma City Thunder: 115.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers60.0 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.6 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.9 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 110.7 points a game
53%
31%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers58.630.0
51.2%
51.7%60.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers37.112.2
32.9%
35.4%36.6
🏀 Free throws25.718.9
73.5%
76.6%18.9
They take 95.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 37.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 36%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 06 Mar 2019 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Minnesota Timberwolves
LLLWLWWWLL
Oklahoma City Thunder
WLLLLWLWWW
#21
League position
#10
-1.9
Net rating
+0.2
113.4
Offensive rating
106.8
115.3
Defensive rating
106.6
53.9%
Effective FG%
50.5%
53.6%
Opp. effective FG%
52.6%
12.2%
Turnover %
12.6%
27.1%
Off. rebound %
24.7%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.27
35.0%
3-point %
32.9%
54.1%
Assist %
56.9%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence113.4 · 106.8Defence115.3 · 106.6Shooting53.9% · 50.5%3-point %35.0% · 32.9%Ball care12.2% · 12.6%Off. rebounds27.1% · 24.7%Free throws0.27 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)40% · 50%
■ Minnesota Timberwolves   ■ Oklahoma City Thunder
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
03/03/19AWashington Wizards121-135
01/03/19AIndiana Pacers115-122
28/02/19AAtlanta Hawks123-131 OT
26/02/19HSacramento Kings112-105
24/02/19AMilwaukee Bucks128-140
23/02/19ANew York Knicks115-104
14/02/19HHouston Rockets121-111
12/02/19HLos Angeles Clippers130-120
09/02/19ANew Orleans Pelicans117-122
08/02/19AOrlando Magic112-122
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/03/19HMemphis Grizzlies99-95
03/03/19ASan Antonio Spurs102-116
01/03/19HPhiladelphia 76ers104-108
27/02/19ADenver Nuggets112-121
24/02/19HSacramento Kings116-119
23/02/19HUtah Jazz148-147 OT
15/02/19ANew Orleans Pelicans122-131
12/02/19HPortland Trail Blazers120-111
10/02/19AHouston Rockets117-112
08/02/19HMemphis Grizzlies117-95

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
NBA 2018-19
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL46%
HomeWLWWW67%
AwayWLLLL27%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633033
Win %46%67%27%
Points / game112.6113.8111.4
Allowed / game112.8108.7116.5
Point differential-0.2+5.1-5.1
Avg total225.3222.5227.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%37%15%
Close games (≤5 pts) won39% (18)50% (10)25% (8)
Overtime %6%10%3%
Oklahoma City Thunder
NBA 2018-19
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW62%
HomeWWLLW71%
AwayLWLLL53%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633132
Win %62%71%53%
Points / game115.2116.4114.1
Allowed / game110.9109.9111.9
Point differential+4.3+6.5+2.2
Avg total226.1226.3226.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%35%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won47% (19)43% (7)50% (12)
Overtime %5%6%3%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Milwaukee Bucks64481675%117.3108.2+9.1
2 Toronto Raptors64461872%114.2108.9+5.3
3 Golden State Warriors63441970%118.6112.1+6.5
4 Denver Nuggets63422167%112.1107.2+4.9
5 Indiana Pacers65422365%108.7103.7+5.0
6 Philadelphia 76ers64412364%115.5112.2+3.4
7 Oklahoma City Thunder63392462%115.2110.9+4.3
8 Portland Trail Blazers63392462%113.6110.0+3.6
9 Houston Rockets63382560%113.4111.1+2.3
10 Boston Celtics64382659%112.0106.8+5.2
11 Utah Jazz63362757%110.2106.8+3.4
12 Los Angeles Clippers66372956%114.1113.4+0.7
13 San Antonio Spurs65362955%111.9111.1+0.8
14 Sacramento Kings63323151%113.9115.1-1.2
15 Detroit Pistons62313150%107.4107.8-0.4
16 Brooklyn Nets66333350%111.9112.4-0.5
17 Los Angeles Lakers64303447%112.3113.9-1.6
18 Minnesota Timberwolves63293446%112.6112.8-0.2
19 Charlotte Hornets63293446%111.2111.7-0.5
20 Miami Heat63293446%106.0106.6-0.6
21 New Orleans Pelicans66303645%116.0115.0+0.9
22 Orlando Magic66303645%105.9106.8-1.0
23 Dallas Mavericks63273643%107.9109.5-1.5
24 Washington Wizards63263741%114.0116.9-2.9
25 Memphis Grizzlies65254038%101.1103.7-2.6
26 Atlanta Hawks65224334%112.3119.0-6.7
27 Chicago Bulls65184728%104.9112.5-7.6
28 Cleveland Cavaliers64164825%103.6113.3-9.7
29 Phoenix Suns65145122%106.6116.1-9.5
30 New York Knicks64135120%106.0114.3-8.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Minnesota Timberwolves30413129131
Oklahoma City Thunder24333033120
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