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Minnesota Timberwolves vs Denver Nuggets Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 12 Apr 2018
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 112-106 (OT)
29-26 33-28 24-27 15-20 11-5
Position#14
Record46-35
FormWLLWW
Points / game109.5
Allowed / game107.3
vs
Position#12
Record46-35
FormWWWWW
Points / game110.0
Allowed / game108.5
USANBA· Target Center
NBA2017-18
Meetings · Minnesota Timberwolves v Denver Nuggets
27 Jan 2027
MIN v DEN
upcoming
31 Dec 2026
MIN v DEN
upcoming
30 Apr 2026
MIN110
DEN98
25 Apr 2026
MIN112
DEN96
23 Apr 2026
MIN113
DEN96
15 Nov 2025
MIN112
DEN123
27 Oct 2025
MIN114
DEN127
25 Jan 2025
MIN133
DEN104
01 Nov 2024
MIN119
DEN116
16 May 2024
MIN115
DEN70
12 May 2024
MIN107
DEN115
10 May 2024
MIN90
DEN117
19 Mar 2024
MIN112
DEN115
01 Nov 2023
MIN110
DEN89
23 Apr 2023
MIN114
DEN108
21 Apr 2023
MIN111
DEN120
05 Feb 2023
MIN128
DEN98
02 Jan 2023
MIN124
DEN111
01 Feb 2022
MIN130
DEN115
30 Oct 2021
MIN91
DEN93
13 May 2021
MIN103
DEN114
03 Jan 2021
MIN109
DEN124
20 Jan 2020
MIN100
DEN107
10 Nov 2019
MIN98
DEN100
02 Feb 2019
MIN106
DEN107
21 Nov 2018
MIN101
DEN103
11 Apr 2018
MIN112
DEN106
27 Dec 2017
MIN128
DEN125
22 Jan 2017
MIN111
DEN108
03 Nov 2016
MIN99
DEN102
06 Jan 2016
MIN74
DEN78
15 Dec 2015
MIN100
DEN112
04 Mar 2015
MIN85
DEN100
05 Jan 2015
MIN101
DEN110
12 Feb 2014
MIN117
DEN90
27 Nov 2013
MIN110
DEN117
12 Dec 2012
MIN108
DEN105
21 Nov 2012
MIN94
DEN101
26 Apr 2012
MIN102
DEN131
25 Mar 2012
MIN117
DEN100
05 Feb 2011
MIN100
DEN113
29 Dec 2010
MIN113
DEN119
10 Mar 2010
MIN102
DEN110
25 Nov 2009
MIN111
DEN124
05 Apr 2009
MIN87
DEN110
29 Nov 2008
MIN97
DEN106
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Minnesota Timberwolves winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Denver Nuggets winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Minnesota TimberwolvesUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTimberwolves
Date
Competition
Los Angeles Clippers
#17
W
123-109
123
109
+14
116avg 101
H21/03
NBA
New York Knicks
#22
W
108-104
108
104
+4
106avg 101
A23/03
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#5
L
108-120
108
120
-12
91avg 101
A24/03
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#29
L
93-101
93
101
-8
82avg 101
H27/03
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#28
W
126-114
126
114
+12
122avg 101
H29/03
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#27
W
93-92
93
92
+1
80avg 101
A31/03
NBA
Utah Jazz
#9
L
97-121
97
121
-24
78avg 101
H01/04
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#12
L
96-100
96
100
-4
85avg 101
A06/04
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#21
W
113-96
113
96
+17
99avg 101
A07/04
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#29
W
113-94
113
94
+19
112avg 101
H10/04
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-32
31-26
36-25
28-26
31-22
26-26
27-34
24-22
24-32
28-27
19-39
37-22
25-26
34-33
23-19
11-23
34-32
31-25
33-31
28-26
16-20
28-26
23-18
26-28
26-28
24-33
21-26
26-34
24-27
30-24
18-28
24-21
30-26
21-32
29-15
33-23
20-26
36-27
27-22
30-19
212.1Avg total
107.0Scored
105.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (81)109.5107.3216.8+2.257%
Season at home (40)111.4105.8217.2+5.772%
Season away (41)107.6108.8216.4-1.241%
Last 10 (10)107.0105.1212.1+1.960%
Last 5 (5)102.4100.6203.0+1.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)108.6117.4226.0-8.820%
vs Similar ◀ (14)110.9111.6222.5-0.643%
vs Weaker (11)109.8102.8212.6+7.073%
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNuggets
Date
Competition
Chicago Bulls
#25
W
135-102
135
102
+33
142avg 103
A22/03
NBA
Washington Wizards
#18
W
108-100
108
100
+8
99avg 103
A23/03
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#5
L
104-123
104
123
-19
92avg 103
A26/03
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#3
L
110-114
110
114
-4
102avg 103
A27/03
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#11
W
126-125 OT
126
125
+1
126avg 103
A31/03
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#15
W
128-125 OT
128
125
+3
125avg 103
H02/04
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#8
W
107-104
107
104
+3
105avg 103
H04/04
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#14
W
100-96
100
96
+4
89avg 103
H06/04
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#17
W
134-115
134
115
+19
135avg 103
A07/04
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#10
W
88-82
88
82
+6
81avg 103
H10/04
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
39-25
38-21
36-24
22-32
23-16
32-27
23-33
30-24
27-23
32-28
15-34
30-38
23-25
35-33
27-24
25-32
27-28
35-30
30-21
22-35
22-34
41-20
16-38
32-19
27-26
22-20
28-27
30-31
27-24
24-30
28-18
21-24
33-26
33-32
35-31
33-26
28-23
14-26
24-20
22-13
222.6Avg total
114.0Scored
108.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (81)110.0108.5218.5+1.657%
Season at home (41)111.6105.6217.2+6.076%
Season away (40)108.5111.4219.9-3.038%
Last 10 (10)114.0108.6222.6+5.480%
Last 5 (5)111.4104.4215.8+7.0100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)110.8117.8228.5-7.025%
vs Similar ◀ (20)118.0114.5232.5+3.475%
vs Weaker (6)116.2106.7222.8+9.567%
This opponent (Minnesota Timberwolves) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -1.3-1.3Q1: +2.6+2.6Q2Q2: +1.0+1.0Q2: +3.9+3.9Q3Q3: -0.1-0.1Q3: -0.8-0.8Q4Q4: +2.3+2.3Q4: -0.7-0.7
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -1.3-1.3Q1: +2.6+2.6Q2Q2: +1.0+1.0Q2: +3.9+3.9Q3Q3: -0.1-0.1Q3: -0.8-0.8Q4Q4: +2.3+2.3Q4: -0.7-0.7
Minnesota TimberwolvesDenver Nuggets
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Minnesota TimberwolvesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Los Angeles Clippers
#17
W
59-58
59
58
+1
H21/03
NBA
New York Knicks
#22
W
57-48
57
48
+9
A23/03
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#5
L
52-59
52
59
-7
A24/03
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#29
D
59-59
59
59
+0
H27/03
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#28
W
65-57
65
57
+8
H29/03
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#27
L
44-46
44
46
-2
A31/03
NBA
Utah Jazz
#9
L
50-61
50
61
-11
H01/04
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#12
W
54-51
54
51
+3
A06/04
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#21
L
51-58
51
58
-7
A07/04
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#29
W
56-53
56
53
+3
H10/04
NBA
109.7Avg total
54.7Scored
55.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)55.856.0111.8-0.250%-
Last 30 at home (15)56.957.1114.0-0.147%-
Last 30 away (15)54.754.9109.5-0.253%-
Last 10 (10)54.755.0109.7-0.350%-
Last 5 (5)51.053.8104.8-2.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)54.459.8114.2-5.420%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)54.556.3110.8-1.843%-
vs Weaker (11)58.153.8111.9+4.373%-
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Chicago Bulls
#25
W
77-46
77
46
+31
A22/03
NBA
Washington Wizards
#18
W
55-43
55
43
+12
A23/03
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#5
W
59-51
59
51
+8
A26/03
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#3
D
58-58
58
58
+0
A27/03
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#11
W
62-58
62
58
+4
A31/03
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#15
W
63-54
63
54
+9
H02/04
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#8
W
49-46
49
46
+3
H04/04
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#14
L
51-54
51
54
-3
H06/04
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#17
W
66-58
66
58
+8
A07/04
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#10
L
42-49
42
49
-7
H10/04
NBA
109.9Avg total
58.2Scored
51.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)59.856.3116.1+3.663%-
Last 30 at home (15)58.756.7115.3+2.060%-
Last 30 away (15)61.055.9116.9+5.167%-
Last 10 (10)58.251.7109.9+6.570%-
Last 5 (5)54.252.2106.4+2.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)52.860.8113.5-8.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (20)60.356.2116.5+4.070%-
vs Weaker (6)63.053.3116.3+9.783%-
This opponent (Minnesota Timberwolves) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Minnesota Timberwolvestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Minnesota Timberwolves: 107.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀58%
🏀🏀🏀24%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers62.2 pts a game · 58% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 24% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.6 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 106.1 points a game
55%
30%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers62.831.1
49.5%
51.0%62.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.98.4
33.7%
36.1%25.2
🏀 Free throws23.819.6
82.4%
76.5%19.6
They take 87.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 28% of their shots are threes (league average: 34%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 114.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers58.8 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.3 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.9 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 106.1 points a game
55%
30%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers55.129.4
53.4%
51.0%58.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.012.1
37.8%
36.1%36.3
🏀 Free throws24.018.9
78.8%
76.5%18.9
They take 87.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 34%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 12 Apr 2018 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Minnesota Timberwolves
WWLLWWLLWW
Denver Nuggets
WWWWWWLLWW
#14
League position
#12
+1.9
Net rating
+5.4
106.9
Offensive rating
113.6
105.0
Defensive rating
108.2
49.8%
Effective FG%
54.6%
52.0%
Opp. effective FG%
51.4%
11.7%
Turnover %
13.0%
22.5%
Off. rebound %
24.8%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.28
33.7%
3-point %
37.8%
57.2%
Assist %
66.5%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence106.9 · 113.6Defence105.0 · 108.2Shooting49.8% · 54.6%3-point %33.7% · 37.8%Ball care11.7% · 13.0%Off. rebounds22.5% · 24.8%Free throws0.27 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)60% · 80%
■ Minnesota Timberwolves   ■ Denver Nuggets
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
10/04/18HMemphis Grizzlies113-94
07/04/18ALos Angeles Lakers113-96
06/04/18ADenver Nuggets96-100
01/04/18HUtah Jazz97-121
31/03/18ADallas Mavericks93-92
29/03/18HAtlanta Hawks126-114
27/03/18HMemphis Grizzlies93-101
24/03/18APhiladelphia 76ers108-120
23/03/18ANew York Knicks108-104
21/03/18HLos Angeles Clippers123-109
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/04/18HPortland Trail Blazers88-82
07/04/18ALos Angeles Clippers134-115
06/04/18HMinnesota Timberwolves100-96
04/04/18HIndiana Pacers107-104
02/04/18HMilwaukee Bucks128-125 OT
31/03/18AOklahoma City Thunder126-125 OT
27/03/18AToronto Raptors110-114
26/03/18APhiladelphia 76ers104-123
23/03/18AWashington Wizards108-100
22/03/18AChicago Bulls135-102

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
NBA 2017-18
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW57%
HomeWLWLW72%
AwayWLWLW41%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games814041
Win %57%72%41%
Points / game109.5111.4107.6
Allowed / game107.3105.8108.8
Point differential+2.2+5.7-1.2
Avg total216.8217.2216.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+31%45%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (22)67% (9)38% (13)
Overtime %5%5%5%
Denver Nuggets
NBA 2017-18
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW57%
HomeWWWWW76%
AwayWLLWW38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games814140
Win %57%76%38%
Points / game110.0111.6108.5
Allowed / game108.5105.6111.4
Point differential+1.6+6.0-3.0
Avg total218.5217.2219.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+26%27%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won52% (23)62% (16)29% (7)
Overtime %7%5%10%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Houston Rockets81651680%112.7104.0+8.7
2 Toronto Raptors81592273%111.7103.7+8.0
3 Golden State Warriors82582471%113.5107.5+6.0
4 Boston Celtics81542767%103.9100.5+3.5
5 Philadelphia 76ers81513063%109.6105.4+4.1
6 Cleveland Cavaliers81503162%111.0109.9+1.1
7 Utah Jazz81483359%104.399.8+4.5
8 Portland Trail Blazers81483359%105.7103.1+2.5
9 Indiana Pacers82483459%105.6104.2+1.4
10 Oklahoma City Thunder81473458%107.5104.2+3.3
11 San Antonio Spurs81473458%102.899.6+3.2
12 New Orleans Pelicans81473458%111.6110.6+1.0
13 Minnesota Timberwolves81463557%109.5107.3+2.2
14 Denver Nuggets81463557%110.0108.5+1.6
15 Milwaukee Bucks81443754%106.6106.5+0.1
16 Washington Wizards81433853%106.8106.1+0.7
17 Miami Heat81433853%103.3102.9+0.4
18 Los Angeles Clippers81423952%109.1108.9+0.2
19 Detroit Pistons81384347%103.6104.1-0.5
20 Charlotte Hornets82364644%108.2108.0+0.3
21 Los Angeles Lakers81344742%108.0109.7-1.8
22 Brooklyn Nets81285335%106.7110.3-3.6
23 New York Knicks81285335%104.4108.1-3.8
24 Chicago Bulls81275433%103.1109.9-6.7
25 Sacramento Kings81265532%98.9106.1-7.2
26 Orlando Magic81245730%103.4108.4-5.0
27 Dallas Mavericks82245829%102.3105.4-3.0
28 Atlanta Hawks82245829%103.4108.8-5.5
29 Memphis Grizzlies81225927%99.0105.1-6.1
30 Phoenix Suns82216126%103.9113.3-9.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Minnesota Timberwolves2933241511112
Denver Nuggets262827205106
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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