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Minnesota Timberwolves vs Oklahoma City Thunder Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 15 Apr 2023
Tip-off: 01:50
Final 120-95
24-23 33-24 38-31 25-17
Position#17
Record42-41
FormLWWWL
Points / game115.6
Allowed / game115.7
vs
Position#20
Record41-42
FormLLWWW
Points / game117.5
Allowed / game116.4
USANBANBA - Final· Target Center
NBA2022-23
Meetings · Minnesota Timberwolves v Oklahoma City Thunder
28 Mar 2027
MIN v OKC
upcoming
25 Dec 2026
MIN v OKC
upcoming
29 Jan 2026
MIN123
OKC111
19 Dec 2025
MIN112
OKC107
26 May 2025
MIN126
OKC128
24 May 2025
MIN143
OKC101
23 Feb 2025
MIN123
OKC130
13 Feb 2025
MIN116
OKC101
20 Jan 2024
MIN97
OKC102
28 Nov 2023
MIN106
OKC103
14 Apr 2023
MIN120
OKC95
03 Dec 2022
MIN128
OKC135
19 Oct 2022
MIN115
OKC108
09 Mar 2022
MIN132
OKC102
05 Jan 2022
MIN98
OKC90
22 Mar 2021
MIN103
OKC112
25 Jan 2020
MIN104
OKC113
13 Jan 2020
MIN104
OKC117
07 Apr 2019
MIN126
OKC132
05 Mar 2019
MIN131
OKC120
10 Jan 2018
MIN104
OKC88
27 Oct 2017
MIN119
OKC116
11 Apr 2017
MIN98
OKC100
13 Jan 2017
MIN96
OKC86
27 Jan 2016
MIN123
OKC126
12 Jan 2016
MIN96
OKC101
15 Apr 2015
MIN113
OKC138
12 Dec 2014
MIN92
OKC111
04 Jan 2014
MIN111
OKC115
01 Nov 2013
MIN100
OKC81
29 Mar 2013
MIN101
OKC93
20 Dec 2012
MIN99
OKC93
14 Apr 2012
MIN110
OKC115
26 Dec 2011
MIN100
OKC104
26 Jan 2011
MIN117
OKC118
08 Dec 2010
MIN103
OKC111
21 Feb 2010
MIN107
OKC109
20 Jan 2010
MIN92
OKC94
22 Mar 2009
MIN90
OKC97
07 Jan 2009
MIN129
OKC87
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Minnesota Timberwolves winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Oklahoma City Thunder winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Minnesota TimberwolvesUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTimberwolves
Date
Competition
Atlanta Hawks
#16
W
125-124
125
124
+1
116avg 108
H23/03
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#11
W
99-96
99
96
+3
94avg 108
A27/03
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#7
W
119-115
119
115
+4
115avg 108
A28/03
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#9
L
100-107
100
107
-7
95avg 108
A30/03
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#12
L
111-123
111
123
-12
97avg 108
H01/04
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#26
L
105-107
105
107
-2
107avg 108
H02/04
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#13
W
107-102
107
102
+5
99avg 108
A04/04
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#29
W
151-131
151
131
+20
152avg 108
A08/04
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#15
W
113-108
113
108
+5
106avg 108
H09/04
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#12
L
102-108 OT
102
108
-6
97avg 108
A12/04
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
39-40
28-22
27-35
31-27
29-29
24-26
24-18
22-23
34-25
23-33
29-27
33-30
24-25
27-23
23-33
26-26
29-27
36-28
18-35
28-33
29-31
33-25
24-26
19-25
31-24
20-30
26-24
30-24
35-35
45-33
39-23
32-40
18-30
29-25
36-30
30-23
28-22
32-27
26-30
12-19
225.3Avg total
113.2Scored
112.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (83)115.6115.7231.3-0.151%
Season at home (41)115.9115.0231.0+0.954%
Season away (42)115.3116.4231.7-1.148%
Last 10 (10)113.2112.1225.3+1.160%
Last 5 (5)115.6111.2226.8+4.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)114.0116.0230.0-2.033%
vs Similar ◀ (25)115.6116.4232.0-0.752%
vs Weaker (2)132.0126.0258.0+6.050%
This opponent (Oklahoma City Thunder) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Oklahoma City ThunderUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormThunder
Date
Competition
Los Angeles Lakers
#12
L
111-116
111
116
-5
99avg 107
A25/03
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#26
W
118-112
118
112
+6
104avg 107
A26/03
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#27
L
134-137
134
137
-3
121avg 107
H29/03
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#30
W
107-106
107
106
+1
92avg 107
H30/03
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#24
L
117-121
117
121
-4
107avg 107
A31/03
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#9
L
118-128
118
128
-10
104avg 107
H02/04
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#11
L
125-136
125
136
-11
109avg 107
A05/04
NBA
Utah Jazz
#22
W
114-98
114
98
+16
105avg 107
A07/04
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#5
W
115-100
115
100
+15
114avg 107
H09/04
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#15
W
123-118
123
118
+5
110avg 107
A13/04
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-41
41-33
26-19
19-23
25-37
43-25
28-32
22-18
23-26
45-31
31-36
35-44
26-26
28-30
30-24
23-26
32-36
29-29
33-25
23-31
27-27
28-42
34-29
29-30
39-36
40-33
27-33
19-34
32-25
23-27
29-24
30-22
20-24
27-25
38-24
30-27
32-29
25-34
39-24
27-31
235.4Avg total
118.2Scored
117.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (83)117.5116.4234.0+1.149%
Season at home (41)120.8115.6236.5+5.259%
Season away (42)114.3117.2231.5-2.840%
Last 10 (10)118.2117.2235.4+1.050%
Last 5 (5)119.0116.0235.0+3.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (23)117.0117.5234.5-0.548%
vs Weaker (7)121.3113.0234.3+8.371%
This opponent (Minnesota Timberwolves) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.8+0.8Q1: -2.6-2.6Q2Q2: +2.5+2.5Q2: +2.0+2.0Q3Q3: -0.9-0.9Q3: +4.5+4.5Q4Q4: -0.7-0.7Q4: -2.9-2.9
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.8+0.8Q1: -2.6-2.6Q2Q2: +2.5+2.5Q2: +2.0+2.0Q3Q3: -0.9-0.9Q3: +4.5+4.5Q4Q4: -0.7-0.7Q4: -2.9-2.9
Minnesota TimberwolvesOklahoma City Thunder
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Minnesota TimberwolvesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Atlanta Hawks
#16
W
67-62
67
62
+5
H23/03
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#11
L
53-55
53
55
-2
A27/03
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#7
L
57-58
57
58
-1
A28/03
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#9
W
51-48
51
48
+3
A30/03
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#12
W
65-55
65
55
+10
H01/04
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#26
W
62-56
62
56
+6
H02/04
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#13
L
51-54
51
54
-3
A04/04
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#29
W
80-68
80
68
+12
A08/04
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#15
L
47-55
47
55
-8
H09/04
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#12
W
60-49
60
49
+11
A12/04
NBA
115.3Avg total
59.3Scored
56.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)60.658.9119.6+1.757%-
Last 30 at home (12)58.557.6116.1+0.950%-
Last 30 away (18)62.159.8121.9+2.261%-
Last 10 (10)59.356.0115.3+3.360%-
Last 5 (5)60.056.4116.4+3.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)51.355.3106.7-4.033%-
vs Similar ◀ (25)60.858.5119.3+2.460%-
vs Weaker (2)72.070.0142.0+2.050%-
This opponent (Oklahoma City Thunder) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Oklahoma City ThunderLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Los Angeles Lakers
#12
L
66-74
66
74
-8
A25/03
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#26
W
68-62
68
62
+6
A26/03
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#27
W
68-57
68
57
+11
H29/03
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#30
L
54-56
54
56
-2
H30/03
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#24
L
61-65
61
65
-4
A31/03
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#9
L
55-69
55
69
-14
H02/04
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#11
W
79-69
79
69
+10
A05/04
NBA
Utah Jazz
#22
W
55-52
55
52
+3
A07/04
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#5
L
47-49
47
49
-2
H09/04
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#15
L
57-63
57
63
-6
A13/04
NBA
122.6Avg total
61.0Scored
61.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)60.959.3120.2+1.650%-
Last 30 at home (14)60.159.2119.3+0.943%-
Last 30 away (16)61.659.4120.9+2.256%-
Last 10 (10)61.061.6122.6-0.640%-
Last 5 (5)58.660.4119.0-1.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (23)59.859.6119.3+0.243%-
vs Weaker (7)64.458.4122.9+6.071%-
This opponent (Minnesota Timberwolves) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Minnesota Timberwolvestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Minnesota Timberwolves: 113.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers56.0 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers40.2 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.0 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.1 points a game
52%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers53.928.0
51.9%
54.5%56.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.413.4
40.1%
35.8%40.2
🏀 Free throws23.117.0
73.6%
78.1%17.0
They take 87.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Oklahoma City Thundertheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Oklahoma City Thunder: 118.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers61.4 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.3 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws23.5 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.1 points a game
52%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers57.530.7
53.4%
54.5%61.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.211.1
32.5%
35.8%33.3
🏀 Free throws28.523.5
82.5%
78.1%23.5
They take 91.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 34.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 15 Apr 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Minnesota Timberwolves
LWWWLLLWWW
Oklahoma City Thunder
WWWLLLWLWL
#17
League position
#20
+1.1
Net rating
+1.0
110.4
Offensive rating
115.8
109.3
Defensive rating
114.8
55.1%
Effective FG%
51.6%
51.3%
Opp. effective FG%
56.1%
13.8%
Turnover %
9.9%
22.2%
Off. rebound %
25.4%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.31
40.1%
3-point %
32.5%
67.9%
Assist %
56.7%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence110.4 · 115.8Defence109.3 · 114.8Shooting55.1% · 51.6%3-point %40.1% · 32.5%Ball care13.8% · 9.9%Off. rebounds22.2% · 25.4%Free throws0.26 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)60% · 50%
■ Minnesota Timberwolves   ■ Oklahoma City Thunder
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
12/04/23ALos Angeles Lakers102-108 OT
09/04/23HNew Orleans Pelicans113-108
08/04/23ASan Antonio Spurs151-131
04/04/23ABrooklyn Nets107-102
02/04/23HPortland Trail Blazers105-107
01/04/23HLos Angeles Lakers111-123
30/03/23APhoenix Suns100-107
28/03/23ASacramento Kings119-115
27/03/23AGolden State Warriors99-96
23/03/23HAtlanta Hawks125-124
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/04/23ANew Orleans Pelicans123-118
09/04/23HMemphis Grizzlies115-100
07/04/23AUtah Jazz114-98
05/04/23AGolden State Warriors125-136
02/04/23HPhoenix Suns118-128
31/03/23AIndiana Pacers117-121
30/03/23HDetroit Pistons107-106
29/03/23HCharlotte Hornets134-137
26/03/23APortland Trail Blazers118-112
25/03/23ALos Angeles Lakers111-116

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
NBA 2022-23
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL51%
HomeLWLLW54%
AwayWLWWL48%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games834142
Win %51%54%48%
Points / game115.6115.9115.3
Allowed / game115.7115.0116.4
Point differential-0.1+0.9-1.1
Avg total231.3231.0231.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%20%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won56% (25)55% (11)57% (14)
Overtime %7%10%5%
Oklahoma City Thunder
NBA 2022-23
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW49%
HomeWLWLW59%
AwayWLLWW40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games834142
Win %49%59%40%
Points / game117.5120.8114.3
Allowed / game116.4115.6117.2
Point differential+1.1+5.2-2.8
Avg total234.0236.5231.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%34%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won38% (26)38% (13)38% (13)
Overtime %7%10%5%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Milwaukee Bucks82582471%116.9113.3+3.6
2 Boston Celtics82572570%117.9111.4+6.5
3 Philadelphia 76ers82542866%115.2110.9+4.3
4 Denver Nuggets82532965%115.8112.5+3.3
5 Cleveland Cavaliers82513162%112.3106.9+5.4
6 Memphis Grizzlies82513162%116.9113.0+3.9
7 Sacramento Kings82483459%120.7118.1+2.6
8 New York Knicks82473557%116.0113.1+2.9
9 Phoenix Suns82453755%113.6111.6+2.1
10 Brooklyn Nets82453755%113.4112.5+0.9
11 Golden State Warriors82443854%118.9117.1+1.8
12 Los Angeles Clippers82443854%113.6113.1+0.5
13 Miami Heat84453954%109.3109.6-0.3
14 Los Angeles Lakers83443953%117.1116.4+0.6
15 New Orleans Pelicans83424151%114.4112.6+1.8
16 Atlanta Hawks83424151%118.4118.0+0.4
17 Minnesota Timberwolves83424151%115.6115.7-0.1
18 Toronto Raptors83414249%112.8111.3+1.4
19 Oklahoma City Thunder83414249%117.5116.4+1.1
20 Chicago Bulls84414349%112.8111.6+1.2
21 Dallas Mavericks82384446%114.2114.1+0.1
22 Utah Jazz82374545%117.1118.0-0.9
23 Washington Wizards82354743%113.2114.4-1.2
24 Indiana Pacers82354743%116.3119.5-3.2
25 Orlando Magic82344841%111.4114.0-2.6
26 Portland Trail Blazers82334940%113.4117.4-4.0
27 Charlotte Hornets82275533%111.0117.2-6.2
28 Houston Rockets82226027%110.7118.6-7.9
29 San Antonio Spurs82226027%113.0123.1-10.0
30 Detroit Pistons82176521%110.3118.5-8.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Minnesota Timberwolves24333825120
Oklahoma City Thunder2324311795
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