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Minnesota Timberwolves vs Oklahoma City Thunder Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 24 Feb 2025
Tip-off: 02:30
Final 123-130
23-35 40-26 33-42 27-27
Position#7
Record31-26
FormWLLWL
Points / game111.6
Allowed / game108.3
vs
Position#1
Record43-10
FormWWWLW
Points / game118.2
Allowed / game105.1
USANBA· Target Center
NBA2024-25
Meetings · Minnesota Timberwolves v Oklahoma City Thunder
28 Mar 2027
MIN v OKC
upcoming
25 Dec 2026
MIN v OKC
upcoming
29 Jan 2026
MIN123
OKC111
19 Dec 2025
MIN112
OKC107
26 May 2025
MIN126
OKC128
24 May 2025
MIN143
OKC101
23 Feb 2025
MIN123
OKC130
13 Feb 2025
MIN116
OKC101
20 Jan 2024
MIN97
OKC102
28 Nov 2023
MIN106
OKC103
14 Apr 2023
MIN120
OKC95
03 Dec 2022
MIN128
OKC135
19 Oct 2022
MIN115
OKC108
09 Mar 2022
MIN132
OKC102
05 Jan 2022
MIN98
OKC90
22 Mar 2021
MIN103
OKC112
25 Jan 2020
MIN104
OKC113
13 Jan 2020
MIN104
OKC117
07 Apr 2019
MIN126
OKC132
05 Mar 2019
MIN131
OKC120
10 Jan 2018
MIN104
OKC88
27 Oct 2017
MIN119
OKC116
11 Apr 2017
MIN98
OKC100
13 Jan 2017
MIN96
OKC86
27 Jan 2016
MIN123
OKC126
12 Jan 2016
MIN96
OKC101
15 Apr 2015
MIN113
OKC138
12 Dec 2014
MIN92
OKC111
04 Jan 2014
MIN111
OKC115
01 Nov 2013
MIN100
OKC81
29 Mar 2013
MIN101
OKC93
20 Dec 2012
MIN99
OKC93
14 Apr 2012
MIN110
OKC115
26 Dec 2011
MIN100
OKC104
26 Jan 2011
MIN117
OKC118
08 Dec 2010
MIN103
OKC111
21 Feb 2010
MIN107
OKC109
20 Jan 2010
MIN92
OKC94
22 Mar 2009
MIN90
OKC97
07 Jan 2009
MIN129
OKC87
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Minnesota Timberwolves winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Oklahoma City Thunder winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Minnesota TimberwolvesUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTimberwolves
Date
Competition
Utah Jazz
#30
W
138-113
138
113
+25
144avg 105
A31/01
NBA
Washington Wizards
#29
L
103-105
103
105
-2
96avg 105
H02/02
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#16
L
114-116
114
116
-2
103avg 105
H04/02
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#19
W
127-108
127
108
+19
122avg 105
H06/02
NBA
Houston Rockets
#4
W
127-114
127
114
+13
118avg 105
H07/02
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#21
W
114-98
114
98
+16
107avg 105
H09/02
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#2
L
107-128
107
128
-21
88avg 105
A11/02
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#13
L
101-103
101
103
-2
92avg 105
H13/02
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
W
116-101
116
101
+15
109avg 105
H14/02
NBA
Houston Rockets
#4
L
115-121
115
121
-6
98avg 105
A22/02
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-31
30-22
44-22
37-38
26-27
31-31
20-25
26-22
34-38
25-29
27-21
28-28
39-30
23-30
32-30
33-18
32-33
34-38
26-27
35-16
24-22
23-38
29-24
38-14
12-30
32-36
34-38
29-24
24-36
26-15
19-19
32-33
37-24
27-32
33-31
19-14
38-48
29-20
26-30
22-23
226.9Avg total
116.2Scored
110.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (57)111.6108.3219.9+3.254%
Season at home (29)112.1107.7219.8+4.455%
Season away (28)111.0109.0220.0+2.054%
Last 10 (10)116.2110.7226.9+5.550%
Last 5 (5)110.6110.2220.8+0.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)112.0116.8228.8-4.820%
vs Similar (11)114.9111.7226.6+3.245%
vs Weaker (14)112.9105.5218.4+7.479%
This opponent (Oklahoma City Thunder) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Oklahoma City ThunderUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormThunder
Date
Competition
Golden State Warriors
#11
L
109-116
109
116
-7
93avg 108
A30/01
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#16
W
144-110
144
110
+34
151avg 108
H02/02
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#13
W
125-96
125
96
+29
123avg 108
H04/02
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#22
W
140-109
140
109
+31
128avg 108
H06/02
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#24
W
121-109
121
109
+12
118avg 108
H08/02
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#12
W
125-112
125
112
+13
116avg 108
A09/02
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#27
W
137-101
137
101
+36
131avg 108
H11/02
NBA
Miami Heat
#20
W
115-101
115
101
+14
104avg 108
H13/02
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#7
L
101-116
101
116
-15
95avg 108
A14/02
NBA
Utah Jazz
#30
W
130-107
130
107
+23
132avg 108
A22/02
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
34-20
24-28
26-36
25-32
36-31
46-24
31-35
31-20
39-22
39-22
38-31
9-21
37-33
24-30
43-16
36-30
35-25
23-22
32-29
31-33
34-26
35-26
35-31
21-29
33-20
39-30
30-28
35-23
23-35
29-28
31-30
32-8
24-37
32-27
31-33
14-19
29-22
39-25
31-37
31-23
232.4Avg total
124.7Scored
107.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (53)118.2105.1223.3+13.181%
Season at home (27)120.8104.9225.7+16.089%
Season away (26)115.5105.4220.9+10.073%
Last 10 (10)124.7107.7232.4+17.080%
Last 5 (5)121.6107.4229.0+14.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (3)120.3111.7232.0+8.767%
vs Weaker ◀ (27)120.1105.6225.6+14.585%
This opponent (Minnesota Timberwolves) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: -2.6-2.6Q1: +5.3+5.3Q2Q2: -1.1-1.1Q2: +6.8+6.8Q3Q3: +2.3+2.3Q3: +2.2+2.2Q4Q4: +6.9+6.9Q4: +2.7+2.7
-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: -2.6-2.6Q1: +5.3+5.3Q2Q2: -1.1-1.1Q2: +6.8+6.8Q3Q3: +2.3+2.3Q3: +2.2+2.2Q4Q4: +6.9+6.9Q4: +2.7+2.7
Minnesota TimberwolvesOklahoma City Thunder
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Minnesota TimberwolvesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Utah Jazz
#30
W
57-53
57
53
+4
A31/01
NBA
Washington Wizards
#29
L
57-58
57
58
-1
H02/02
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#16
L
59-67
59
67
-8
H04/02
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#19
W
62-60
62
60
+2
H06/02
NBA
Houston Rockets
#4
L
66-71
66
71
-5
H07/02
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#21
L
47-60
47
60
-13
H09/02
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#2
L
44-66
44
66
-22
A11/02
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#13
L
50-51
50
51
-1
H13/02
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
W
64-56
64
56
+8
H14/02
NBA
Houston Rockets
#4
L
67-68
67
68
-1
A22/02
NBA
118.3Avg total
57.3Scored
61.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)55.855.0110.8+0.753%-
Last 30 at home (15)57.157.7114.8-0.540%-
Last 30 away (15)54.452.4106.8+2.067%-
Last 10 (10)57.361.0118.3-3.730%-
Last 5 (5)54.460.2114.6-5.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)54.258.0112.2-3.840%-
vs Similar (11)56.757.4114.1-0.645%-
vs Weaker (14)55.652.1107.7+3.464%-
This opponent (Oklahoma City Thunder) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Oklahoma City ThunderLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Golden State Warriors
#11
W
58-48
58
48
+10
A30/01
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#16
W
82-55
82
55
+27
H02/02
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#13
W
78-44
78
44
+34
H04/02
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#22
L
61-63
61
63
-2
H06/02
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#24
W
58-47
58
47
+11
H08/02
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#12
W
69-52
69
52
+17
A09/02
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#27
W
72-50
72
50
+22
H11/02
NBA
Miami Heat
#20
L
52-63
52
63
-11
H13/02
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#7
L
56-64
56
64
-8
A14/02
NBA
Utah Jazz
#30
W
68-47
68
47
+21
A22/02
NBA
118.7Avg total
65.4Scored
53.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)61.853.4115.2+8.567%-
Last 30 at home (16)63.255.2118.4+8.162%-
Last 30 away (14)60.251.3111.5+8.971%-
Last 10 (10)65.453.3118.7+12.170%-
Last 5 (5)63.455.2118.6+8.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (3)63.058.7121.7+4.333%-
vs Weaker ◀ (27)61.752.8114.5+8.970%-
This opponent (Minnesota Timberwolves) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Minnesota Timberwolvestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Minnesota Timberwolves: 116.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers56.4 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers40.8 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.0 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 113.4 points a game
49%
36%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers52.828.2
53.4%
54.3%56.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers39.913.6
34.1%
35.9%40.8
🏀 Free throws23.119.0
82.3%
77.8%19.0
They take 92.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 39.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Oklahoma City Thundertheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Oklahoma City Thunder: 124.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers62.4 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers45.3 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.0 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 113.4 points a game
49%
36%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers55.731.2
56.0%
54.3%62.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers40.715.1
37.1%
35.9%45.3
🏀 Free throws20.817.0
81.7%
77.8%17.0
They take 96.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 40.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 24 Feb 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Minnesota Timberwolves
LWLLWWWLLW
Oklahoma City Thunder
WLWWWWWWWL
#7
League position
#1
+5.5
Net rating
+16.8
115.5
Offensive rating
122.9
110.0
Defensive rating
106.1
52.4%
Effective FG%
55.9%
53.8%
Opp. effective FG%
51.2%
11.7%
Turnover %
10.7%
29.3%
Off. rebound %
32.7%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.22
34.1%
3-point %
37.1%
62.7%
Assist %
60.3%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence115.5 · 122.9Defence110.0 · 106.1Shooting52.4% · 55.9%3-point %34.1% · 37.1%Ball care11.7% · 10.7%Off. rebounds29.3% · 32.7%Free throws0.25 · 0.22Form (last 10/10)50% · 80%
■ Minnesota Timberwolves   ■ Oklahoma City Thunder
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
22/02/25AHouston Rockets115-121
14/02/25HOklahoma City Thunder116-101
13/02/25HMilwaukee Bucks101-103
11/02/25ACleveland Cavaliers107-128
09/02/25HPortland Trail Blazers114-98
07/02/25HHouston Rockets127-114
06/02/25HChicago Bulls127-108
04/02/25HSacramento Kings114-116
02/02/25HWashington Wizards103-105
31/01/25AUtah Jazz138-113
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/02/25AUtah Jazz130-107
14/02/25AMinnesota Timberwolves101-116
13/02/25HMiami Heat115-101
11/02/25HNew Orleans Pelicans137-101
09/02/25AMemphis Grizzlies125-112
08/02/25HToronto Raptors121-109
06/02/25HPhoenix Suns140-109
04/02/25HMilwaukee Bucks125-96
02/02/25HSacramento Kings144-110
30/01/25AGolden State Warriors109-116

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
NBA 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL54%
HomeWWWLW55%
AwayWWWLL54%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games572928
Win %54%55%54%
Points / game111.6112.1111.0
Allowed / game108.3107.7109.0
Point differential+3.2+4.4+2.0
Avg total219.9219.8220.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+32%34%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won47% (19)42% (12)57% (7)
Overtime %4%3%4%
Oklahoma City Thunder
NBA 2024-25
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW81%
HomeWWWWW89%
AwayWLWLW73%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532726
Win %81%89%73%
Points / game118.2120.8115.5
Allowed / game105.1104.9105.4
Point differential+13.1+16.0+10.0
Avg total223.3225.7220.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+66%78%54%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)0% (1)33% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Cleveland Cavaliers57471082%122.9111.7+11.2
2 Oklahoma City Thunder53431081%118.2105.1+13.1
3 Boston Celtics57411672%117.4108.0+9.3
4 New York Knicks56371966%118.2113.2+5.0
5 Memphis Grizzlies57372065%122.8116.0+6.8
6 Denver Nuggets57372065%121.3116.0+5.3
7 Houston Rockets55342162%113.6109.3+4.3
8 Los Angeles Lakers55342162%113.1111.8+1.3
9 Indiana Pacers55322358%116.5115.5+1.0
10 Milwaukee Bucks54302456%114.3112.9+1.4
11 Los Angeles Clippers56312555%110.9108.5+2.4
12 Minnesota Timberwolves57312654%111.6108.3+3.2
13 Dallas Mavericks57312654%115.6113.5+2.1
14 Detroit Pistons57312654%114.4113.6+0.8
15 Golden State Warriors56302654%112.9111.8+1.2
16 Sacramento Kings56282850%116.6116.3+0.3
17 Orlando Magic58292950%104.2105.1-0.9
18 Phoenix Suns57273047%113.2115.3-2.1
19 Miami Heat55262947%110.1110.9-0.8
20 Atlanta Hawks55253045%117.5120.1-2.6
21 San Antonio Spurs55243144%112.7114.5-1.8
22 Portland Trail Blazers57243342%109.6114.3-4.6
23 Chicago Bulls57223539%115.9120.6-4.6
24 Brooklyn Nets56213538%104.9110.8-6.0
25 Philadelphia 76ers56203636%108.9113.0-4.1
26 Toronto Raptors57183932%110.9116.4-5.6
27 Charlotte Hornets55144125%106.0112.3-6.4
28 Utah Jazz56144225%112.4119.5-7.1
29 New Orleans Pelicans57144325%110.5118.9-8.4
30 Washington Wizards5694716%108.1121.4-13.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Minnesota Timberwolves23403327123
Oklahoma City Thunder35264227130
← all games of the day
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