PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Denver Nuggets vs Minnesota Timberwolves Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 06 Apr 2018
Tip-off: 02:30
Final 100-96
27-24 24-30 28-18 21-24
Position#12
Record43-35
FormLLWWW
Points / game110.2
Allowed / game108.9
vs
Position#14
Record44-34
FormLLWWL
Points / game109.6
Allowed / game107.7
USANBA· Pepsi Center
NBA2017-18
Meetings · Denver Nuggets v Minnesota Timberwolves
07 Mar 2027
DEN v MIN
upcoming
28 Dec 2026
DEN v MIN
upcoming
27 Apr 2026
DEN125
MIN113
20 Apr 2026
DEN114
MIN119
18 Apr 2026
DEN116
MIN105
01 Mar 2026
DEN108
MIN117
25 Dec 2025
DEN142
MIN138
01 Apr 2025
DEN139
MIN140
12 Mar 2025
DEN95
MIN115
19 May 2024
DEN90
MIN98
14 May 2024
DEN112
MIN97
06 May 2024
DEN80
MIN106
04 May 2024
DEN99
MIN106
10 Apr 2024
DEN116
MIN107
29 Mar 2024
DEN98
MIN111
25 Apr 2023
DEN112
MIN109
19 Apr 2023
DEN122
MIN113
16 Apr 2023
DEN109
MIN80
07 Feb 2023
DEN146
MIN112
18 Jan 2023
DEN122
MIN118
01 Apr 2022
DEN130
MIN136
15 Dec 2021
DEN107
MIN124
05 Jan 2021
DEN123
MIN116
23 Feb 2020
DEN128
MIN116
20 Dec 2019
DEN109
MIN100
10 Apr 2019
DEN99
MIN95
12 Mar 2019
DEN133
MIN107
05 Apr 2018
DEN100
MIN96
20 Dec 2017
DEN104
MIN112
15 Feb 2017
DEN99
MIN112
28 Dec 2016
DEN105
MIN103
11 Dec 2015
DEN111
MIN108
30 Oct 2015
DEN78
MIN95
17 Jan 2015
DEN105
MIN113
26 Dec 2014
DEN106
MIN102
03 Mar 2014
DEN128
MIN132
15 Nov 2013
DEN117
MIN113
09 Mar 2013
DEN111
MIN88
03 Jan 2013
DEN97
MIN101
11 Apr 2012
DEN113
MIN107
20 Feb 2012
DEN103
MIN101
09 Apr 2011
DEN130
MIN106
18 Dec 2010
DEN115
MIN113
11 Jan 2010
DEN105
MIN94
29 Nov 2009
DEN100
MIN106
10 Dec 2008
DEN116
MIN105
16 Nov 2008
DEN90
MIN84
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Denver Nuggets winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Minnesota Timberwolves winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNuggets
Date
Competition
Detroit Pistons
#19
W
120-113
120
113
+7
116avg 103
H16/03
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#29
L
94-101
94
101
-7
79avg 103
A18/03
NBA
Miami Heat
#16
L
141-149 OT
141
149
-8
126avg 103
A19/03
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#25
W
135-102
135
102
+33
142avg 103
A22/03
NBA
Washington Wizards
#18
W
108-100
108
100
+8
99avg 103
A23/03
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#5
L
104-123
104
123
-19
92avg 103
A26/03
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#3
L
110-114
110
114
-4
102avg 103
A27/03
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#11
W
126-125 OT
126
125
+1
126avg 103
A31/03
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#15
W
128-125 OT
128
125
+3
125avg 103
H02/04
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#8
W
107-104
107
104
+3
105avg 103
H04/04
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
33-29
32-22
33-33
22-29
17-34
31-19
27-31
19-17
37-36
26-28
28-28
27-26
39-25
38-21
36-24
22-32
23-16
32-27
23-33
30-24
27-23
32-28
15-34
30-38
23-25
35-33
27-24
25-32
27-28
35-30
30-21
22-35
22-34
41-20
16-38
32-19
27-26
22-20
28-27
30-31
232.9Avg total
117.3Scored
115.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (78)110.2108.9219.1+1.355%
Season at home (39)112.5106.5219.0+6.074%
Season away (39)107.8111.3219.1-3.536%
Last 10 (10)117.3115.6232.9+1.760%
Last 5 (5)115.0118.2233.2-3.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)110.8117.8228.5-7.025%
vs Similar ◀ (19)118.5116.6235.1+1.963%
vs Weaker (7)112.6104.1216.7+8.471%
This opponent (Minnesota Timberwolves) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Minnesota TimberwolvesUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTimberwolves
Date
Competition
Washington Wizards
#18
W
116-111
116
111
+5
107avg 101
A13/03
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#13
L
101-117
101
117
-16
91avg 101
A18/03
NBA
Houston Rockets
#1
L
120-129
120
129
-9
113avg 101
H18/03
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#17
W
123-109
123
109
+14
116avg 101
H21/03
NBA
New York Knicks
#22
W
108-104
108
104
+4
106avg 101
A23/03
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#5
L
108-120
108
120
-12
91avg 101
A24/03
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#29
L
93-101
93
101
-8
82avg 101
H27/03
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#28
W
126-114
126
114
+12
122avg 101
H29/03
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#27
W
93-92
93
92
+1
80avg 101
A31/03
NBA
Utah Jazz
#9
L
97-121
97
121
-24
78avg 101
H01/04
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-26
28-33
29-31
34-21
24-23
26-38
31-29
20-27
23-38
33-39
35-30
29-22
28-32
31-26
36-25
28-26
31-22
26-26
27-34
24-22
24-32
28-27
19-39
37-22
25-26
34-33
23-19
11-23
34-32
31-25
33-31
28-26
16-20
28-26
23-18
26-28
26-28
24-33
21-26
26-34
220.3Avg total
108.5Scored
111.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (78)109.6107.7217.3+1.956%
Season at home (39)111.4106.1217.4+5.372%
Season away (39)107.7109.4217.1-1.641%
Last 10 (10)108.5111.8220.3-3.350%
Last 5 (5)103.4109.6213.0-6.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)109.3118.8228.2-9.517%
vs Similar ◀ (14)113.1114.8227.9-1.643%
vs Weaker (10)109.5103.7213.2+5.870%
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -0.1-0.1Q1: -2.3-2.3Q2Q2: +7.6+7.6Q2: -1.7-1.7Q3Q3: -3.0-3.0Q3: -0.5-0.5Q4Q4: -2.4-2.4Q4: +1.2+1.2
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -0.1-0.1Q1: -2.3-2.3Q2Q2: +7.6+7.6Q2: -1.7-1.7Q3Q3: -3.0-3.0Q3: -0.5-0.5Q4Q4: -2.4-2.4Q4: +1.2+1.2
Denver NuggetsMinnesota Timberwolves
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Detroit Pistons
#19
W
65-51
65
51
+14
H16/03
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#29
L
48-53
48
53
-5
A18/03
NBA
Miami Heat
#16
L
63-64
63
64
-1
A19/03
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#25
W
77-46
77
46
+31
A22/03
NBA
Washington Wizards
#18
W
55-43
55
43
+12
A23/03
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#5
W
59-51
59
51
+8
A26/03
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#3
D
58-58
58
58
+0
A27/03
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#11
W
62-58
62
58
+4
A31/03
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#15
W
63-54
63
54
+9
H02/04
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#8
W
49-46
49
46
+3
H04/04
NBA
112.3Avg total
59.9Scored
52.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)59.556.2115.7+3.463%-
Last 30 at home (15)58.856.3115.1+2.567%-
Last 30 away (15)60.356.0116.3+4.360%-
Last 10 (10)59.952.4112.3+7.570%-
Last 5 (5)58.253.4111.6+4.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)52.860.8113.5-8.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (19)60.456.8117.2+3.568%-
vs Weaker (7)61.151.7112.9+9.486%-
This opponent (Minnesota Timberwolves) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Minnesota TimberwolvesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Washington Wizards
#18
L
53-59
53
59
-6
A13/03
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#13
L
50-61
50
61
-11
A18/03
NBA
Houston Rockets
#1
L
56-77
56
77
-21
H18/03
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#17
W
59-58
59
58
+1
H21/03
NBA
New York Knicks
#22
W
57-48
57
48
+9
A23/03
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#5
L
52-59
52
59
-7
A24/03
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#29
D
59-59
59
59
+0
H27/03
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#28
W
65-57
65
57
+8
H29/03
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#27
L
44-46
44
46
-2
A31/03
NBA
Utah Jazz
#9
L
50-61
50
61
-11
H01/04
NBA
113.0Avg total
54.5Scored
58.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)56.356.7113.1-0.447%-
Last 30 at home (14)57.057.4114.4-0.443%-
Last 30 away (16)55.856.2111.9-0.450%-
Last 10 (10)54.558.5113.0-4.030%-
Last 5 (5)54.056.4110.4-2.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)55.762.2117.8-6.517%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)55.256.4111.6-1.243%-
vs Weaker (10)58.353.9112.2+4.470%-
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 117.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers57.2 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers39.3 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws20.8 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 106.1 points a game
55%
30%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers55.828.6
51.3%
51.0%57.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.813.1
39.9%
36.1%39.3
🏀 Free throws26.320.8
79.1%
76.5%20.8
They take 88.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 34%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Minnesota Timberwolvestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Minnesota Timberwolves: 108.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀58%
🏀🏀🏀24%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers62.8 pts a game · 58% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 24% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.6 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 106.1 points a game
55%
30%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers62.331.4
50.4%
51.0%62.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.08.7
37.8%
36.1%26.1
🏀 Free throws23.519.6
83.4%
76.5%19.6
They take 85.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 27% of their shots are threes (league average: 34%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 06 Apr 2018 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Denver Nuggets
WWWLLWWLLW
Minnesota Timberwolves
LWWLLWWLLW
#12
League position
#14
+1.7
Net rating
-3.3
114.6
Offensive rating
109.6
112.9
Defensive rating
112.9
54.5%
Effective FG%
52.1%
54.9%
Opp. effective FG%
56.0%
13.3%
Turnover %
12.6%
25.9%
Off. rebound %
21.2%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.28
39.9%
3-point %
37.8%
63.1%
Assist %
55.1%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence114.6 · 109.6Defence112.9 · 112.9Shooting54.5% · 52.1%3-point %39.9% · 37.8%Ball care13.3% · 12.6%Off. rebounds25.9% · 21.2%Free throws0.30 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)60% · 50%
■ Denver Nuggets   ■ Minnesota Timberwolves
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
04/04/18HIndiana Pacers107-104
02/04/18HMilwaukee Bucks128-125 OT
31/03/18AOklahoma City Thunder126-125 OT
27/03/18AToronto Raptors110-114
26/03/18APhiladelphia 76ers104-123
23/03/18AWashington Wizards108-100
22/03/18AChicago Bulls135-102
19/03/18AMiami Heat141-149 OT
18/03/18AMemphis Grizzlies94-101
16/03/18HDetroit Pistons120-113
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/04/18HUtah Jazz97-121
31/03/18ADallas Mavericks93-92
29/03/18HAtlanta Hawks126-114
27/03/18HMemphis Grizzlies93-101
24/03/18APhiladelphia 76ers108-120
23/03/18ANew York Knicks108-104
21/03/18HLos Angeles Clippers123-109
18/03/18HHouston Rockets120-129
18/03/18ASan Antonio Spurs101-117
13/03/18AWashington Wizards116-111

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Denver Nuggets
NBA 2017-18
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW55%
HomeWWWWW74%
AwayWWLLW36%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games783939
Win %55%74%36%
Points / game110.2112.5107.8
Allowed / game108.9106.5111.3
Point differential+1.3+6.0-3.5
Avg total219.1219.0219.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+26%28%23%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (22)60% (15)29% (7)
Overtime %8%5%10%
Minnesota Timberwolves
NBA 2017-18
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL56%
HomeLWLWL72%
AwayWLWLW41%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games783939
Win %56%72%41%
Points / game109.6111.4107.7
Allowed / game107.7106.1109.4
Point differential+1.9+5.3-1.6
Avg total217.3217.4217.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%44%15%
Close games (≤5 pts) won52% (21)67% (9)42% (12)
Overtime %5%5%5%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Houston Rockets79641581%112.9104.0+9.0
2 Golden State Warriors79572272%113.8107.2+6.6
3 Toronto Raptors78562272%112.0104.2+7.8
4 Boston Celtics78532568%103.9100.1+3.7
5 Cleveland Cavaliers79493062%110.6109.7+1.0
6 Philadelphia 76ers78483062%109.1105.1+4.0
7 Portland Trail Blazers79483161%106.0103.2+2.8
8 Indiana Pacers79473259%105.9104.0+1.9
9 Utah Jazz79463358%104.0100.1+3.9
10 Oklahoma City Thunder79453457%107.4104.4+3.0
11 San Antonio Spurs79453457%102.799.7+3.0
12 Minnesota Timberwolves78443456%109.6107.7+1.9
13 New Orleans Pelicans78443456%111.3110.7+0.6
14 Denver Nuggets78433555%110.2108.9+1.3
15 Miami Heat79433654%103.5102.5+1.0
16 Washington Wizards79423753%106.8106.2+0.6
17 Los Angeles Clippers79423753%109.1108.5+0.6
18 Milwaukee Bucks79423753%106.6106.8-0.2
19 Detroit Pistons78374147%103.4103.7-0.4
20 Los Angeles Lakers78344444%108.4109.7-1.3
21 Charlotte Hornets79344543%107.6108.1-0.5
22 New York Knicks78275135%104.1108.0-3.9
23 Chicago Bulls78275135%103.2109.6-6.4
24 Brooklyn Nets79265333%106.4110.6-4.2
25 Sacramento Kings79255432%99.1106.4-7.3
26 Orlando Magic78245431%103.7108.1-4.4
27 Dallas Mavericks79245530%102.4105.0-2.6
28 Atlanta Hawks79225728%103.1108.8-5.7
29 Memphis Grizzlies78215727%98.8105.0-6.3
30 Phoenix Suns79205925%103.7113.3-9.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Denver Nuggets27242821100
Minnesota Timberwolves2430182496
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.