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Minnesota Timberwolves vs Dallas Mavericks Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 01 Feb 2024
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 121-87
24-21 28-27 31-22 38-17
Position#4
Record33-14
FormLWWLW
Points / game112.9
Allowed / game107.4
vs
Position#6
Record26-21
FormLLWLW
Points / game118.9
Allowed / game118.6
USANBA· Target Center (Minneapolis)
NBA2023-24
Meetings · Minnesota Timberwolves v Dallas Mavericks
24 Mar 2027
MIN v DAL
upcoming
12 Nov 2026
MIN v DAL
upcoming
20 Feb 2026
MIN122
DAL111
17 Nov 2025
MIN120
DAL96
29 Oct 2024
MIN114
DAL120
30 May 2024
MIN103
DAL124
24 May 2024
MIN108
DAL109
22 May 2024
MIN105
DAL108
31 Jan 2024
MIN121
DAL87
28 Dec 2023
MIN118
DAL110
21 Dec 2022
MIN99
DAL104
19 Dec 2022
MIN116
DAL106
25 Mar 2022
MIN116
DAL95
19 Dec 2021
MIN111
DAL105
16 May 2021
MIN136
DAL121
24 Mar 2021
MIN108
DAL128
01 Apr 2020
MIN v DAL
upcoming
01 Mar 2020
MIN91
DAL111
11 Jan 2019
MIN115
DAL119
10 Dec 2017
MIN97
DAL92
04 Nov 2017
MIN112
DAL99
24 Feb 2017
MIN97
DAL84
09 Jan 2017
MIN101
DAL92
03 Apr 2016
MIN78
DAL88
10 Jan 2016
MIN87
DAL93
21 Jan 2015
MIN75
DAL98
30 Dec 2013
MIN98
DAL100
08 Nov 2013
MIN116
DAL108
10 Mar 2013
MIN77
DAL100
15 Dec 2012
MIN114
DAL106
10 Feb 2012
MIN97
DAL104
01 Jan 2012
MIN99
DAL82
07 Mar 2011
MIN105
DAL108
08 Mar 2010
MIN112
DAL125
13 Nov 2009
MIN77
DAL89
31 Mar 2009
MIN88
DAL108
01 Nov 2008
MIN85
DAL95
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Minnesota Timberwolves winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Dallas Mavericks winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Minnesota TimberwolvesUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTimberwolves
Date
Competition
Portland Trail Blazers
#27
W
116-93
116
93
+23
122avg 108
H13/01
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#7
W
109-105
109
105
+4
111avg 108
H15/01
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#30
W
124-117
124
117
+7
119avg 108
A18/01
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#24
W
118-103
118
103
+15
117avg 108
H19/01
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#2
L
97-102
97
102
-5
94avg 108
H21/01
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#28
L
125-128
125
128
-3
123avg 108
H23/01
NBA
Washington Wizards
#29
W
118-107
118
107
+11
105avg 108
A25/01
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#22
W
96-94
96
94
+2
92avg 108
A26/01
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#26
L
112-113
112
113
-1
109avg 108
A28/01
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#2
W
107-101
107
101
+6
101avg 108
A30/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
36-15
27-27
25-15
28-36
29-19
17-26
35-23
28-37
39-40
31-22
28-28
26-27
30-30
20-25
31-31
37-17
24-30
30-27
29-17
14-28
34-32
35-32
38-28
18-36
30-24
27-35
33-19
28-29
24-31
36-17
21-26
15-20
36-23
28-29
26-28
22-33
29-28
20-19
24-30
34-24
218.5Avg total
112.2Scored
106.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (47)112.9107.4220.4+5.570%
Season at home (21)112.7103.7216.4+9.081%
Season away (26)113.2110.5223.6+2.762%
Last 10 (10)112.2106.3218.5+5.970%
Last 5 (5)111.6108.6220.2+3.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)120.0127.0247.0-7.00%
vs Similar ◀ (13)110.5110.8221.3-0.446%
vs Weaker (16)114.5104.8219.3+9.788%
This opponent (Dallas Mavericks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Dallas MavericksUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMavericks
Date
Competition
Memphis Grizzlies
#24
L
103-120
103
120
-17
88avg 109
H10/01
NBA
New York Knicks
#5
W
128-124
128
124
+4
119avg 109
H12/01
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#10
L
108-118
108
118
-10
98avg 109
H14/01
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#10
W
125-120
125
120
+5
116avg 109
H15/01
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#16
L
110-127
110
127
-17
102avg 109
A18/01
NBA
Boston Celtics
#1
L
110-119
110
119
-9
98avg 109
H23/01
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#9
L
109-132
109
132
-23
94avg 109
H25/01
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#21
W
148-143
148
143
+5
145avg 109
A27/01
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#11
L
115-120
115
120
-5
108avg 109
H28/01
NBA
Orlando Magic
#14
W
131-129
131
129
+2
132avg 109
H30/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-29
31-39
30-35
20-17
44-26
30-29
27-31
27-38
20-29
34-20
27-39
27-30
33-17
26-42
33-40
33-21
26-32
27-23
27-42
30-30
26-24
33-41
24-29
27-25
34-25
24-32
20-43
31-32
27-31
39-35
42-36
40-41
25-29
24-34
26-31
40-26
26-35
35-42
35-12
35-40
243.9Avg total
118.7Scored
125.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (47)118.9118.6237.5+0.355%
Season at home (26)120.0117.6237.6+2.454%
Season away (21)117.6119.8237.4-2.257%
Last 10 (10)118.7125.2243.9-6.540%
Last 5 (5)122.6128.6251.2-6.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)115.0122.5237.5-7.50%
vs Similar ◀ (17)115.3121.2236.5-5.941%
vs Weaker (11)124.3114.5238.7+9.873%
This opponent (Minnesota Timberwolves) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +3.9+3.9Q1: +0.6+0.6Q2Q2: +1.2+1.2Q2: -3.4-3.4Q3Q3: +4.5+4.5Q3: -4.7-4.7Q4Q4: -3.7-3.7Q4: +1.0+1.0
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +3.9+3.9Q1: +0.6+0.6Q2Q2: +1.2+1.2Q2: -3.4-3.4Q3Q3: +4.5+4.5Q3: -4.7-4.7Q4Q4: -3.7-3.7Q4: +1.0+1.0
Minnesota TimberwolvesDallas Mavericks
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Minnesota TimberwolvesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Portland Trail Blazers
#27
W
63-42
63
42
+21
H13/01
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#7
W
46-45
46
45
+1
H15/01
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#30
W
70-62
70
62
+8
A18/01
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#24
L
50-55
50
55
-5
H19/01
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#2
L
54-57
54
57
-3
H21/01
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#28
W
69-64
69
64
+5
H23/01
NBA
Washington Wizards
#29
L
57-59
57
59
-2
A25/01
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#22
W
60-48
60
48
+12
A26/01
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#26
W
64-52
64
52
+12
A28/01
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#2
W
49-47
49
47
+2
A30/01
NBA
111.3Avg total
58.2Scored
53.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)57.155.0112.1+2.057%-
Last 30 at home (12)55.454.1109.5+1.367%-
Last 30 away (18)58.255.7113.8+2.550%-
Last 10 (10)58.253.1111.3+5.170%-
Last 5 (5)59.854.0113.8+5.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)53.054.0107.0-1.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)55.155.8110.9-0.838%-
vs Weaker (16)58.954.4113.4+4.575%-
This opponent (Dallas Mavericks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Dallas MavericksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Memphis Grizzlies
#24
L
53-68
53
68
-15
H10/01
NBA
New York Knicks
#5
W
74-55
74
55
+19
H12/01
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#10
W
54-49
54
49
+5
H14/01
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#10
D
59-59
59
59
+0
H15/01
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#16
L
53-55
53
55
-2
A18/01
NBA
Boston Celtics
#1
L
59-65
59
65
-6
H23/01
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#9
W
58-57
58
57
+1
H25/01
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#21
D
66-66
66
66
+0
A27/01
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#11
L
49-63
49
63
-14
H28/01
NBA
Orlando Magic
#14
L
61-77
61
77
-16
H30/01
NBA
120.0Avg total
58.6Scored
61.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)61.259.6120.8+1.653%-
Last 30 at home (19)61.559.9121.4+1.658%-
Last 30 away (11)60.659.1119.7+1.545%-
Last 10 (10)58.661.4120.0-2.830%-
Last 5 (5)58.665.6124.2-7.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)57.568.5126.0-11.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (17)59.159.1118.2+0.053%-
vs Weaker (11)65.158.7123.8+6.464%-
This opponent (Minnesota Timberwolves) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Minnesota Timberwolvestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Minnesota Timberwolves: 112.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers56.6 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers39.0 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.6 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 113.5 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers51.828.3
54.6%
54.4%56.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.013.0
43.3%
36.3%39.0
🏀 Free throws22.616.6
73.5%
78.2%16.6
They take 81.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Dallas Maverickstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Dallas Mavericks: 118.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers54.0 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers44.7 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws20.0 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 113.5 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.327.0
55.9%
54.4%54.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers38.314.9
38.9%
36.3%44.7
🏀 Free throws25.520.0
78.4%
78.2%20.0
They take 86.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 38.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 01 Feb 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Minnesota Timberwolves
WLWWLLWWWW
Dallas Mavericks
WLWLLLWLWL
#4
League position
#6
+6.1
Net rating
-6.5
115.5
Offensive rating
118.3
109.4
Defensive rating
124.8
58.4%
Effective FG%
57.0%
54.5%
Opp. effective FG%
59.1%
14.0%
Turnover %
12.1%
21.4%
Off. rebound %
22.7%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.29
43.3%
3-point %
38.9%
67.6%
Assist %
61.8%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence115.5 · 118.3Defence109.4 · 124.8Shooting58.4% · 57.0%3-point %43.3% · 38.9%Ball care14.0% · 12.1%Off. rebounds21.4% · 22.7%Free throws0.28 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)70% · 40%
■ Minnesota Timberwolves   ■ Dallas Mavericks
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
30/01/24AOklahoma City Thunder107-101
28/01/24ASan Antonio Spurs112-113
26/01/24ABrooklyn Nets96-94
25/01/24AWashington Wizards118-107
23/01/24HCharlotte Hornets125-128
21/01/24HOklahoma City Thunder97-102
19/01/24HMemphis Grizzlies118-103
18/01/24ADetroit Pistons124-117
15/01/24HLos Angeles Clippers109-105
13/01/24HPortland Trail Blazers116-93
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/01/24HOrlando Magic131-129
28/01/24HSacramento Kings115-120
27/01/24AAtlanta Hawks148-143
25/01/24HPhoenix Suns109-132
23/01/24HBoston Celtics110-119
18/01/24ALos Angeles Lakers110-127
15/01/24HNew Orleans Pelicans125-120
14/01/24HNew Orleans Pelicans108-118
12/01/24HNew York Knicks128-124
10/01/24HMemphis Grizzlies103-120

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
NBA 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW70%
HomeWWWLL81%
AwayWWWLW62%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games472126
Win %70%81%62%
Points / game112.9112.7113.2
Allowed / game107.4103.7110.5
Point differential+5.5+9.0+2.7
Avg total220.4216.4223.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+36%48%27%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (12)67% (6)67% (6)
Overtime %4%5%4%
Dallas Mavericks
NBA 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW55%
HomeWLLLW54%
AwayLWLLW57%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games472621
Win %55%54%57%
Points / game118.9120.0117.6
Allowed / game118.6117.6119.8
Point differential+0.3+2.4-2.2
Avg total237.5237.6237.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+28%19%38%
Close games (≤5 pts) won78% (9)71% (7)100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Boston Celtics47371079%120.6110.8+9.8
2 Minnesota Timberwolves47331470%112.9107.4+5.5
3 Milwaukee Bucks45311469%123.7119.7+3.9
4 Denver Nuggets48331569%115.0110.9+4.1
5 Oklahoma City Thunder47321568%120.8112.9+7.9
6 Los Angeles Clippers46311567%118.1111.7+6.3
7 New York Knicks47311666%115.2108.5+6.7
8 Cleveland Cavaliers45291664%114.4110.0+4.4
9 Philadelphia 76ers46291763%118.9112.6+6.3
10 Sacramento Kings45271860%118.1117.2+0.9
11 Phoenix Suns46271959%116.7114.4+2.3
12 New Orleans Pelicans45252056%117.0112.6+4.4
13 Dallas Mavericks47262155%118.9118.6+0.3
14 Indiana Pacers46252154%124.8123.2+1.6
15 Miami Heat48252352%110.5111.6-1.1
16 Orlando Magic47242351%111.7111.2+0.5
17 Utah Jazz49242549%117.5119.8-2.3
18 Houston Rockets46222448%113.7112.5+1.2
19 Chicago Bulls49232647%111.0112.4-1.4
20 Los Angeles Lakers47222547%116.0118.5-2.5
21 Golden State Warriors44202445%118.6118.8-0.2
22 Atlanta Hawks47202743%120.6123.3-2.7
23 Brooklyn Nets46192741%114.0114.9-0.8
24 Memphis Grizzlies47182938%107.5112.6-5.1
25 Toronto Raptors47173036%114.5116.6-2.1
26 Portland Trail Blazers47143330%108.3116.7-8.4
27 Charlotte Hornets46103622%108.6120.3-11.7
28 San Antonio Spurs47103721%112.9121.4-8.5
29 Washington Wizards4793819%115.0124.0-9.0
30 Detroit Pistons4764113%112.6122.3-9.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Minnesota Timberwolves24283138121
Dallas Mavericks2127221787
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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