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Denver Nuggets vs San Antonio Spurs Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 29 Nov 2025
Tip-off: 02:30
Final 136-139
33-41 41-18 30-44 32-36
Position#6
Record13-4
FormLWWLW
Points / game123.8
Allowed / game113.8
vs
Position#2
Record12-5
FormWWWLW
Points / game118.1
Allowed / game111.6
USANBA· Ball Arena
NBA2025-26
Meetings · Denver Nuggets v San Antonio Spurs
03 Mar 2027
DEN v SAS
upcoming
04 Apr 2026
DEN136
SAS134
28 Nov 2025
DEN136
SAS139
02 Apr 2025
DEN106
SAS113
03 Jan 2025
DEN110
SAS113
02 Apr 2024
DEN110
SAS105
26 Nov 2023
DEN132
SAS120
05 Nov 2022
DEN126
SAS101
05 Apr 2022
DEN97
SAS116
22 Oct 2021
DEN102
SAS96
09 Apr 2021
DEN121
SAS119
07 Apr 2021
DEN106
SAS96
27 Mar 2020
DEN v SAS
upcoming
10 Feb 2020
DEN127
SAS120
27 Apr 2019
DEN90
SAS86
23 Apr 2019
DEN108
SAS90
16 Apr 2019
DEN114
SAS105
13 Apr 2019
DEN96
SAS101
03 Apr 2019
DEN113
SAS85
28 Dec 2018
DEN102
SAS99
23 Feb 2018
DEN122
SAS119
13 Feb 2018
DEN117
SAS109
05 Jan 2017
DEN99
SAS127
08 Apr 2016
DEN102
SAS98
27 Nov 2015
DEN80
SAS91
20 Jan 2015
DEN99
SAS109
14 Dec 2014
DEN91
SAS99
28 Mar 2014
DEN102
SAS133
05 Nov 2013
DEN94
SAS102
10 Apr 2013
DEN96
SAS86
18 Dec 2012
DEN112
SAS106
23 Feb 2012
DEN99
SAS114
23 Mar 2011
DEN115
SAS112
16 Dec 2010
DEN112
SAS113
10 Apr 2010
DEN85
SAS104
11 Feb 2010
DEN92
SAS111
03 Feb 2009
DEN104
SAS96
04 Dec 2008
DEN91
SAS108
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Denver Nuggets winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
San Antonio Spurs winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNuggets
Date
Competition
Golden State Warriors
#20
W
129-104
129
104
+25
133avg 115
H08/11
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#29
W
117-100
117
100
+17
118avg 115
H09/11
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#27
W
122-108
122
108
+14
118avg 115
A12/11
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#18
W
130-116
130
116
+14
123avg 115
A13/11
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#10
W
123-112
123
112
+11
122avg 115
A16/11
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#22
L
127-130
127
130
-3
117avg 115
H18/11
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#23
W
125-118
125
118
+7
128avg 115
A20/11
NBA
Houston Rockets
#8
W
112-109
112
109
+3
111avg 115
A22/11
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#27
L
123-128
123
128
-5
114avg 115
H23/11
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#25
W
125-115
125
115
+10
124avg 115
A25/11
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
32-21
34-28
33-28
30-27
31-18
25-29
39-35
22-18
33-34
27-22
25-26
37-26
39-35
24-33
43-22
24-26
29-31
26-29
32-26
36-26
28-30
36-33
29-40
34-27
26-30
36-28
35-25
28-35
25-12
21-37
34-29
32-31
35-30
30-31
27-30
31-37
27-23
35-31
31-31
32-30
237.3Avg total
123.3Scored
114.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)123.8113.8237.6+10.076%
Season at home (8)125.4112.1237.5+13.275%
Season away (9)122.4115.3237.8+7.178%
Last 10 (10)123.3114.0237.3+9.380%
Last 5 (5)122.4120.0242.4+2.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)106.3115.4221.7-9.143%
vs Similar ◀ (12)115.8110.2225.9+5.675%
vs Weaker (11)123.5114.6238.1+8.864%
This opponent (San Antonio Spurs) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
San Antonio SpursUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSpurs
Date
Competition
Houston Rockets
#8
W
121-110
121
110
+11
116avg 108
H08/11
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#23
W
126-119
126
119
+7
125avg 108
H09/11
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#22
W
121-117
121
117
+4
121avg 108
A11/11
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#20
L
120-125
120
125
-5
117avg 108
H13/11
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#20
L
108-109
108
109
-1
106avg 108
H15/11
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#27
W
123-110
123
110
+13
129avg 108
H16/11
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#25
W
111-101
111
101
+10
100avg 108
H19/11
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#12
W
135-126
135
126
+9
133avg 108
H21/11
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#16
L
102-111
102
111
-9
95avg 108
A24/11
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#19
W
115-102
115
102
+13
100avg 108
A27/11
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-25
28-25
35-32
35-28
28-22
38-36
26-27
34-34
34-26
29-38
26-34
32-19
28-14
28-35
28-43
36-33
20-18
25-29
34-30
29-32
36-24
31-35
28-26
28-25
23-24
26-23
37-40
25-14
28-34
46-26
21-32
40-34
30-25
26-24
24-37
22-25
29-30
27-24
35-32
24-16
231.2Avg total
118.2Scored
113.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)118.1111.6229.6+6.571%
Season at home (10)119.0111.1230.1+7.980%
Season away (7)116.7112.3229.0+4.457%
Last 10 (10)118.2113.0231.2+5.270%
Last 5 (5)117.2110.0227.2+7.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)103.9111.6215.5-7.825%
vs Similar ◀ (6)108.0111.5219.5-3.550%
vs Weaker (16)117.9111.7229.6+6.269%
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +4.1+4.1Q1: +3.7+3.7Q2Q2: -0.7-0.7Q2: +0.9+0.9Q3Q3: +3.6+3.6Q3: -3.9-3.9Q4Q4: +2.3+2.3Q4: +4.5+4.5
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +4.1+4.1Q1: +3.7+3.7Q2Q2: -0.7-0.7Q2: +0.9+0.9Q3Q3: +3.6+3.6Q3: -3.9-3.9Q4Q4: +2.3+2.3Q4: +4.5+4.5
Denver NuggetsSan Antonio Spurs
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Golden State Warriors
#20
W
66-49
66
49
+17
H08/11
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#29
W
56-47
56
47
+9
H09/11
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#27
W
60-56
60
56
+4
A12/11
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#18
L
63-68
63
68
-5
A13/11
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#10
L
55-60
55
60
-5
A16/11
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#22
W
64-63
64
63
+1
H18/11
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#23
W
62-58
62
58
+4
A20/11
NBA
Houston Rockets
#8
L
46-49
46
49
-3
A22/11
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#27
W
65-61
65
61
+4
H23/11
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#25
W
62-54
62
54
+8
A25/11
NBA
116.4Avg total
59.9Scored
56.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)57.757.3115.0+0.457%-
Last 30 at home (14)59.854.6114.4+5.271%-
Last 30 away (16)55.959.8115.6-3.944%-
Last 10 (10)59.956.5116.4+3.470%-
Last 5 (5)59.857.0116.8+2.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)50.460.0110.4-9.614%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)57.657.3114.9+0.242%-
vs Weaker (11)62.555.6118.1+6.8100%-
This opponent (San Antonio Spurs) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
San Antonio SpursLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Houston Rockets
#8
W
51-50
51
50
+1
H08/11
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#23
W
66-58
66
58
+8
H09/11
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#22
L
63-64
63
64
-1
A11/11
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#20
W
56-49
56
49
+7
H13/11
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#20
L
45-47
45
47
-2
H15/11
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#27
W
67-59
67
59
+8
H16/11
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#25
W
49-47
49
47
+2
H19/11
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#12
W
74-60
74
60
+14
H21/11
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#16
W
56-49
56
49
+7
A24/11
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#19
W
56-54
56
54
+2
A27/11
NBA
112.0Avg total
58.3Scored
53.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)55.255.1110.2+0.150%-
Last 30 at home (16)57.156.4113.4+0.762%-
Last 30 away (14)53.053.6106.6-0.636%-
Last 10 (10)58.353.7112.0+4.680%-
Last 5 (5)60.453.8114.2+6.6100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)49.454.0103.4-4.638%-
vs Similar ◀ (6)50.556.3106.8-5.817%-
vs Weaker (16)59.855.1114.9+4.769%-
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 123.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers61.0 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers40.8 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws21.5 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 115.1 points a game
49%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers53.530.5
57.0%
54.8%61.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.213.6
41.0%
35.8%40.8
🏀 Free throws26.421.5
81.4%
78.1%21.5
They take 86.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
San Antonio Spurstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

San Antonio Spurs: 118.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers57.8 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers41.4 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.0 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 115.1 points a game
49%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.328.9
57.5%
54.8%57.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers38.213.8
36.1%
35.8%41.4
🏀 Free throws22.519.0
84.4%
78.1%19.0
They take 88.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 38.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 29 Nov 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Denver Nuggets
WLWWLWWWWW
San Antonio Spurs
WLWWWLLWWW
#6
League position
#2
+9.3
Net rating
+5.1
123.4
Offensive rating
115.9
114.1
Defensive rating
110.8
58.7%
Effective FG%
56.0%
52.2%
Opp. effective FG%
53.4%
12.9%
Turnover %
14.6%
28.8%
Off. rebound %
26.8%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.25
41.0%
3-point %
36.1%
64.6%
Assist %
64.9%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence123.4 · 115.9Defence114.1 · 110.8Shooting58.7% · 56.0%3-point %41.0% · 36.1%Ball care12.9% · 14.6%Off. rebounds28.8% · 26.8%Free throws0.30 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)80% · 70%
■ Denver Nuggets   ■ San Antonio Spurs
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Denver Nuggets wins
4
San Antonio Spurs wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/11/25AMemphis Grizzlies125-115
23/11/25HSacramento Kings123-128
22/11/25AHouston Rockets112-109
20/11/25ANew Orleans Pelicans125-118
18/11/25HChicago Bulls127-130
16/11/25AMinnesota Timberwolves123-112
13/11/25ALos Angeles Clippers130-116
12/11/25ASacramento Kings122-108
09/11/25HIndiana Pacers117-100
08/11/25HGolden State Warriors129-104
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/11/25APortland Trail Blazers115-102
24/11/25APhoenix Suns102-111
21/11/25HAtlanta Hawks135-126
19/11/25HMemphis Grizzlies111-101
16/11/25HSacramento Kings123-110
15/11/25HGolden State Warriors108-109
13/11/25HGolden State Warriors120-125
11/11/25AChicago Bulls121-117
09/11/25HNew Orleans Pelicans126-119
08/11/25HHouston Rockets121-110

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Denver Nuggets
NBA 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW76%
HomeWWWLL75%
AwayWWWWW78%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1789
Win %76%75%78%
Points / game123.8125.4122.4
Allowed / game113.8112.1115.3
Point differential+10.0+13.2+7.1
Avg total237.6237.5237.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+59%62%56%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)0% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %6%0%11%
San Antonio Spurs
NBA 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW71%
HomeLLWWW80%
AwayLLWLW57%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games17107
Win %71%80%57%
Points / game118.1119.0116.7
Allowed / game111.6111.1112.3
Point differential+6.5+7.9+4.4
Avg total229.6230.1229.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+41%50%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)0% (2)67% (3)
Overtime %6%0%14%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Oklahoma City Thunder1918195%122.1105.6+16.5
2 Detroit Pistons1915479%118.8112.8+5.9
3 Denver Nuggets1713476%123.8113.8+10.0
4 Los Angeles Lakers1713476%118.3114.8+3.5
5 Houston Rockets1612475%121.1110.4+10.7
6 Toronto Raptors1914574%119.2112.5+6.7
7 San Antonio Spurs1712571%118.1111.6+6.5
8 Miami Heat1913668%122.9117.2+5.8
9 New York Knicks1812667%120.7114.0+6.7
10 Phoenix Suns1912763%116.8112.6+4.2
11 Orlando Magic2012860%119.2114.0+5.2
12 Cleveland Cavaliers2012860%119.0115.5+3.5
13 Atlanta Hawks2012860%117.8115.7+2.0
14 Minnesota Timberwolves1810856%118.8114.2+4.7
15 Boston Celtics1810856%114.8110.2+4.6
16 Philadelphia 76ers1810856%117.3117.6-0.3
17 Golden State Warriors20101050%115.0114.5+0.6
18 Chicago Bulls189950%121.0124.2-3.2
19 Portland Trail Blazers1981142%118.4121.1-2.6
20 Milwaukee Bucks2081240%115.5118.6-3.1
21 Memphis Grizzlies1971237%113.4117.5-4.2
22 Utah Jazz1751229%118.1125.5-7.5
23 Los Angeles Clippers1851328%112.2118.2-6.1
24 Charlotte Hornets1951426%115.7120.6-4.9
25 Dallas Mavericks1951426%109.5115.5-5.9
26 Sacramento Kings1951426%111.6123.1-11.4
27 Brooklyn Nets1831517%108.9119.4-10.6
28 Indiana Pacers1931616%110.1119.5-9.4
29 New Orleans Pelicans1931616%111.5122.5-11.0
30 Washington Wizards1821611%112.5127.7-15.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Denver Nuggets33413032136
San Antonio Spurs41184436139
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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