PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Neptunas vs BC Wolves Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 15 Apr 2025
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 85-97
18-22 23-15 23-30 21-30
Position#7
Record10-15
FormWLLLW
Points / game84.2
Allowed / game87.1
vs
Position#4
Record14-11
FormWLLLL
Points / game90.2
Allowed / game88.8
LithuaniaLKL· Svyturio arena
Domestic2024-25
Meetings · Neptunas v BC Wolves
15 Apr 2025
NEP85
WOL97
15 Feb 2025
NEP87
WOL83
12 Oct 2024
NEP89
WOL74
15 May 2024
NEP95
WOL76
01 May 2024
NEP85
WOL86
08 Oct 2023
NEP66
WOL98
07 May 2023
NEP75
WOL104
05 Nov 2022
NEP100
WOL80
20 Oct 2022
NEP85
WOL81
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Neptunas winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
BC Wolves winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NeptunasLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNeptunas
Date
Competition
Nevezis
#9
L
94-107
94
107
-13
110avg 81
H09/02
LKL
BC Wolves
#3
W
87-83
87
83
+4
74avg 81
H15/02
King Mindaugas Cup
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
89-91
89
91
-2
84avg 81
H16/02
King Mindaugas Cup
Lietkabelis
#3
L
72-91
72
91
-19
56avg 81
H02/03
LKL
Nevezis
#9
W
83-81
83
81
+2
81avg 81
A06/03
LKL
Mazeikiai
#10
W
96-77
96
77
+19
98avg 81
A15/03
LKL
Siauliai
#8
L
78-91
78
91
-13
72avg 81
A22/03
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
67-80
67
80
-13
66avg 81
H30/03
LKL
Jonava
#5
L
97-98
97
98
-1
97avg 81
H05/04
LKL
Rytas
#2
W
92-85
92
85
+7
94avg 81
H12/04
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-29
24-27
18-23
26-28
27-24
16-20
22-14
22-25
25-21
20-22
24-25
20-23
15-29
19-15
23-22
15-25
14-24
17-11
28-20
24-26
24-25
21-14
22-20
29-18
22-18
16-26
18-24
22-23
14-20
22-14
15-28
16-18
16-27
24-34
22-21
35-16
14-26
20-24
34-21
24-14
173.9Avg total
85.5Scored
88.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)84.287.1171.3-2.940%
Season at home (13)80.484.8165.2-4.531%
Season away (12)88.389.5177.8-1.250%
Last 10 (10)85.588.4173.9-2.940%
Last 5 (5)86.086.2172.2-0.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)79.487.5166.8-8.131%
vs Similar (6)81.287.0168.2-5.817%
vs Weaker (11)95.785.7181.5+10.073%
This opponent (BC Wolves) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BC WolvesLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormWolves
Date
Competition
Lietkabelis
#6
L
91-100
91
100
-9
85avg 82
H16/02
King Mindaugas Cup
Jonava
#5
L
77-81
77
81
-4
71avg 82
A01/03
LKL
Cluj-Napoca
#6
L
99-100 OT
99
100
-1
98avg 82
H04/03
Eurocup
Mazeikiai
#10
W
106-86
106
86
+20
112avg 82
A08/03
LKL
Siauliai
#8
W
100-84
100
84
+16
102avg 82
H17/03
LKL
Juventus
#6
W
87-83
87
83
+4
81avg 82
H23/03
LKL
Siauliai
#8
L
89-110
89
110
-21
86avg 82
A26/03
LKL
Lietkabelis
#3
L
64-78
64
78
-14
51avg 82
A30/03
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
88-92
88
92
-4
77avg 82
A06/04
LKL
Nevezis
#9
L
94-99
94
99
-5
91avg 82
H12/04
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
31-23
18-29
18-22
24-26
15-25
20-17
8-20
34-19
33-20
15-19
16-18
17-24
28-21
23-24
29-14
26-27
33-26
26-28
17-12
24-18
19-22
26-24
22-16
20-21
16-24
28-32
18-31
27-23
15-24
18-23
15-14
16-17
19-33
26-15
23-21
20-23
22-35
27-10
25-24
20-30
180.8Avg total
89.5Scored
91.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)90.288.8178.9+1.456%
Season at home (12)93.389.2182.5+4.267%
Season away (13)87.288.4175.6-1.246%
Last 10 (10)89.591.3180.8-1.830%
Last 5 (5)84.492.4176.8-8.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)86.892.2179.0-5.420%
vs Similar (16)88.888.6177.4+0.150%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)93.889.7183.4+4.167%
This opponent (Neptunas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -4.6-4.6Q1: -2.2-2.2Q2Q2: -0.8-0.8Q2: +0.6+0.6Q3Q3: +0.8+0.8Q3: -0.1-0.1Q4Q4: +1.7+1.7Q4: +0.0+0.0
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -4.6-4.6Q1: -2.2-2.2Q2Q2: -0.8-0.8Q2: +0.6+0.6Q3Q3: +0.8+0.8Q3: -0.1-0.1Q4Q4: +1.7+1.7Q4: +0.0+0.0
NeptunasBC Wolves
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
NeptunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nevezis
#9
L
50-56
50
56
-6
H09/02
LKL
BC Wolves
#3
L
43-44
43
44
-1
H15/02
King Mindaugas Cup
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
W
45-43
45
43
+2
H16/02
King Mindaugas Cup
Lietkabelis
#3
L
34-44
34
44
-10
H02/03
LKL
Nevezis
#9
L
31-35
31
35
-4
A06/03
LKL
Mazeikiai
#10
W
45-39
45
39
+6
A15/03
LKL
Siauliai
#8
L
38-44
38
44
-6
A22/03
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
W
36-34
36
34
+2
H30/03
LKL
Jonava
#5
L
40-61
40
61
-21
H05/04
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
34-50
34
50
-16
H12/04
LKL
84.6Avg total
39.6Scored
45.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.043.684.7-2.633%-
Last 30 at home (17)40.943.784.6-2.835%-
Last 30 away (13)41.243.584.7-2.431%-
Last 10 (10)39.645.084.6-5.430%-
Last 5 (5)38.645.684.2-7.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)39.644.484.0-4.838%-
vs Similar (6)38.246.084.2-7.80%-
vs Weaker (11)44.341.585.7+2.845%-
This opponent (BC Wolves) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BC WolvesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lietkabelis
#6
L
49-52
49
52
-3
H16/02
King Mindaugas Cup
Jonava
#5
L
35-42
35
42
-7
A01/03
LKL
Cluj-Napoca
#6
W
48-39
48
39
+9
H04/03
Eurocup
Mazeikiai
#10
W
51-45
51
45
+6
A08/03
LKL
Siauliai
#8
W
59-54
59
54
+5
H17/03
LKL
Juventus
#6
L
45-46
45
46
-1
H23/03
LKL
Siauliai
#8
L
44-56
44
56
-12
A26/03
LKL
Lietkabelis
#3
L
33-47
33
47
-14
A30/03
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
45-48
45
48
-3
A06/04
LKL
Nevezis
#9
W
49-45
49
45
+4
H12/04
LKL
93.2Avg total
45.8Scored
47.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.045.391.3+0.650%-
Last 30 at home (16)48.544.693.1+3.956%-
Last 30 away (14)43.146.189.2-3.143%-
Last 10 (10)45.847.493.2-1.640%-
Last 5 (5)43.248.491.6-5.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)45.049.494.4-4.420%-
vs Similar (16)44.843.988.6+0.956%-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)48.745.794.3+3.056%-
This opponent (Neptunas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Neptunastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Neptunas: 86.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.2 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.1 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.7 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.7 points a game
48%
32%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.918.1
55.0%
55.6%36.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.010.7
41.2%
35.9%32.1
🏀 Free throws23.517.7
75.3%
75.0%17.7
They take 58.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
BC Wolvestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

BC Wolves: 88.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀40%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀25%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.4 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.6 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws22.5 pts a game · 25% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.7 points a game
48%
32%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.217.7
53.3%
55.6%35.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.410.2
35.9%
35.9%30.6
🏀 Free throws27.622.5
81.5%
75.0%22.5
They take 61.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 15 Apr 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Neptunas
WLLLWWLLWL
BC Wolves
LLLLWWWLLL
#7
League position
#4
-3.0
Net rating
-2.4
113.5
Offensive rating
116.7
116.5
Defensive rating
119.1
58.0%
Effective FG%
53.6%
54.2%
Opp. effective FG%
57.6%
20.4%
Turnover %
16.5%
32.6%
Off. rebound %
29.6%
0.40
Free-throw rate
0.45
41.2%
3-point %
35.9%
63.9%
Assist %
74.2%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence113.5 · 116.7Defence116.5 · 119.1Shooting58.0% · 53.6%3-point %41.2% · 35.9%Ball care20.4% · 16.5%Off. rebounds32.6% · 29.6%Free throws0.40 · 0.45Form (last 10/10)40% · 30%
■ Neptunas   ■ BC Wolves
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Neptunas wins
7
BC Wolves wins
DateGameScore
15/02/25Neptunas v BC Wolves87-83
07/12/24BC Wolves v Neptunas102-86
12/10/24Neptunas v BC Wolves89-74
18/05/24BC Wolves v Neptunas91-80
15/05/24Neptunas v BC Wolves95-76
13/05/24BC Wolves v Neptunas91-84
01/05/24Neptunas v BC Wolves85-86
27/01/24BC Wolves v Neptunas92-73
08/10/23Neptunas v BC Wolves66-98
07/05/23Neptunas v BC Wolves75-104
Neptunaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/04/25HRytas92-85
05/04/25HJonava97-98
30/03/25HZalgiris Kaunas67-80
22/03/25ASiauliai78-91
15/03/25AMazeikiai96-77
06/03/25ANevezis83-81
02/03/25HLietkabelis72-91
16/02/25HZalgiris Kaunas89-91
15/02/25HBC Wolves87-83
09/02/25HNevezis94-107
BC Wolveslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/04/25HNevezis94-99
06/04/25ARytas88-92
30/03/25ALietkabelis64-78
26/03/25ASiauliai89-110
23/03/25HJuventus87-83
17/03/25HSiauliai100-84
08/03/25AMazeikiai106-86
04/03/25HCluj-Napoca99-100 OT
01/03/25AJonava77-81
16/02/25HLietkabelis91-100

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Neptunas
LKL 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW40%
HomeLLLLW31%
AwayLLWWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251312
Win %40%31%50%
Points / game84.280.488.3
Allowed / game87.184.889.5
Point differential-2.9-4.5-1.2
Avg total171.3165.2177.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%15%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)50% (2)33% (3)
Overtime %4%0%8%
BC Wolves
LKL 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL56%
HomeLLWWL67%
AwayLWLLL46%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251213
Win %56%67%46%
Points / game90.293.387.2
Allowed / game88.889.288.4
Point differential+1.4+4.2-1.2
Avg total178.9182.5175.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+32%42%23%
Close games (≤5 pts) won45% (11)50% (6)40% (5)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zalgiris Kaunas2523292%91.174.7+16.4
2 Rytas2519676%89.882.6+7.2
3 BC Wolves25141156%90.288.8+1.4
4 Jonava25141156%88.191.1-3.0
5 Lietkabelis26131350%82.981.4+1.5
6 Juventus25111444%83.786.4-2.7
7 Neptunas25101540%84.287.1-2.9
8 Siauliai25101540%91.194.9-3.8
9 Nevezis2691735%90.088.5+1.6
10 Mazeikiai2532212%80.095.8-15.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Neptunas1823232185
BC Wolves2215303097
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.