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Neptunas vs BC Wolves Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 01 May 2024
Tip-off: 15:30
Final 85-86
15-15 31-14 21-24 18-33
Position#6
Record16-14
FormWWWLL
Points / game85.0
Allowed / game85.6
vs
Position#3
Record21-8
FormWWWWW
Points / game87.4
Allowed / game78.9
LithuaniaLKL· Svyturio arena (Klaipeda)
Domestic2023-24
Meetings · Neptunas v BC Wolves
15 Apr 2025
NEP85
WOL97
15 Feb 2025
NEP87
WOL83
12 Oct 2024
NEP89
WOL74
15 May 2024
NEP95
WOL76
01 May 2024
NEP85
WOL86
08 Oct 2023
NEP66
WOL98
07 May 2023
NEP75
WOL104
05 Nov 2022
NEP100
WOL80
20 Oct 2022
NEP85
WOL81
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Neptunas winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
BC Wolves winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NeptunasLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNeptunas
Date
Competition
Lietkabelis
#5
W
78-76
78
76
+2
73avg 81
A04/03
LKL
Siauliai
#10
W
85-76
85
76
+9
88avg 81
H11/03
LKL
Rytas
#2
W
84-83
84
83
+1
72avg 81
A16/03
LKL
Juventus
#4
W
96-83
96
83
+13
90avg 81
A25/03
LKL
Mazeikiai
#7
W
91-89
91
89
+2
91avg 81
H01/04
LKL
Jonava
#8
W
81-78
81
78
+3
74avg 81
A08/04
LKL
Lietkabelis
#5
W
88-84
88
84
+4
87avg 81
H13/04
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
W
114-112 OT
114
112
+2
112avg 81
H17/04
LKL
Nevezis
#9
L
79-92
79
92
-13
80avg 81
H22/04
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#11
L
77-88
77
88
-11
68avg 81
H27/04
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-21
26-18
15-25
14-12
19-17
23-22
24-22
19-15
18-11
27-16
17-30
22-26
22-16
29-21
18-30
27-16
21-21
15-20
32-22
23-26
18-20
15-18
14-22
34-18
20-27
23-14
31-22
14-21
19-19
19-21
23-11
26-36
26-24
20-21
12-20
21-27
27-24
18-19
10-15
22-30
173.4Avg total
87.3Scored
86.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)85.085.6170.6-0.653%
Season at home (16)86.086.0172.0+0.056%
Season away (14)83.985.2169.1-1.450%
Last 10 (10)87.386.1173.4+1.280%
Last 5 (5)87.890.8178.6-3.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)83.789.1172.8-5.444%
vs Similar (6)78.580.3158.8-1.867%
vs Weaker (15)88.382.3170.6+5.967%
This opponent (BC Wolves) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BC WolvesLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormWolves
Date
Competition
Jonava
#8
L
85-96
85
96
-11
82avg 80
H11/02
LKL
Mazeikiai
#7
W
84-73
84
73
+11
78avg 80
A02/03
LKL
Jonava
#8
L
68-81
68
81
-13
58avg 80
A13/03
LKL
Lietkabelis
#5
W
109-72
109
72
+37
110avg 80
H17/03
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
83-99
83
99
-16
71avg 80
A24/03
LKL
Juventus
#4
W
100-88
100
88
+12
100avg 80
H30/03
LKL
Nevezis
#9
W
102-83
102
83
+19
103avg 80
H06/04
LKL
Mazeikiai
#7
W
104-78
104
78
+26
101avg 80
H10/04
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#11
W
111-79
111
79
+32
117avg 80
H20/04
LKL
Siauliai
#10
W
91-65
91
65
+26
93avg 80
A27/04
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-25
19-17
20-27
21-27
21-25
23-13
20-19
20-16
13-21
18-26
18-16
19-18
27-16
19-13
36-25
27-18
19-27
25-23
25-19
14-30
27-25
20-24
27-14
26-25
23-27
30-24
27-16
22-16
26-21
30-23
23-15
25-19
30-13
30-31
24-22
27-13
25-26
28-13
21-13
17-13
175.1Avg total
93.7Scored
81.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)87.478.9166.2+8.572%
Season at home (16)91.177.7168.8+13.481%
Season away (13)82.880.3163.2+2.562%
Last 10 (10)93.781.4175.1+12.370%
Last 5 (5)101.678.6180.2+23.0100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)75.987.8163.8-11.917%
vs Similar (4)79.586.2165.8-6.850%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)92.378.3170.6+14.079%
This opponent (Neptunas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +1.3+1.3Q1: +1.0+1.0Q2Q2: +2.5+2.5Q2: +3.5+3.5Q3Q3: -2.3-2.3Q3: +5.5+5.5Q4Q4: -0.5-0.5Q4: +2.3+2.3
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +1.3+1.3Q1: +1.0+1.0Q2Q2: +2.5+2.5Q2: +3.5+3.5Q3Q3: -2.3-2.3Q3: +5.5+5.5Q4Q4: -0.5-0.5Q4: +2.3+2.3
NeptunasBC Wolves
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
NeptunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lietkabelis
#5
W
49-39
49
39
+10
A04/03
LKL
Siauliai
#10
W
42-39
42
39
+3
H11/03
LKL
Rytas
#2
W
45-27
45
27
+18
A16/03
LKL
Juventus
#4
W
51-37
51
37
+14
A25/03
LKL
Mazeikiai
#7
L
36-41
36
41
-5
H01/04
LKL
Jonava
#8
L
33-38
33
38
-5
A08/04
LKL
Lietkabelis
#5
W
43-41
43
41
+2
H13/04
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
38-40
38
40
-2
H17/04
LKL
Nevezis
#9
W
46-45
46
45
+1
H22/04
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#11
W
45-43
45
43
+2
H27/04
LKL
81.8Avg total
42.8Scored
39.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.440.582.9+1.853%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.642.183.7-0.547%-
Last 30 away (15)43.138.982.1+4.260%-
Last 10 (10)42.839.081.8+3.870%-
Last 5 (5)41.041.482.4-0.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)41.041.382.3-0.333%-
vs Similar (6)41.238.079.2+3.267%-
vs Weaker (15)43.741.184.7+2.660%-
This opponent (BC Wolves) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BC WolvesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Jonava
#8
W
44-42
44
42
+2
H11/02
LKL
Mazeikiai
#7
W
44-38
44
38
+6
A02/03
LKL
Jonava
#8
L
31-47
31
47
-16
A13/03
LKL
Lietkabelis
#5
W
46-29
46
29
+17
H17/03
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
44-50
44
50
-6
A24/03
LKL
Juventus
#4
L
47-49
47
49
-2
H30/03
LKL
Nevezis
#9
W
53-51
53
51
+2
H06/04
LKL
Mazeikiai
#7
W
56-44
56
44
+12
H10/04
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#11
W
60-44
60
44
+16
H20/04
LKL
Siauliai
#10
W
53-39
53
39
+14
A27/04
LKL
91.1Avg total
47.8Scored
43.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.243.686.8-0.457%-
Last 30 at home (17)46.144.190.2+1.965%-
Last 30 away (13)39.542.982.4-3.546%-
Last 10 (10)47.843.391.1+4.570%-
Last 5 (5)53.845.499.2+8.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)37.945.183.0-7.233%-
vs Similar (4)37.246.884.0-9.525%-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)49.441.490.9+8.086%-
This opponent (Neptunas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Neptunastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Neptunas: 86.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.2 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.9 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.1 points a game
49%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.322.6
59.0%
55.4%45.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.28.2
31.3%
34.7%24.6
🏀 Free throws22.216.9
76.1%
73.2%16.9
They take 64.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
BC Wolvestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

BC Wolves: 93.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.6 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.9 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.5 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.1 points a game
49%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.123.3
61.2%
55.4%46.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.310.3
37.7%
34.7%30.9
🏀 Free throws21.915.5
70.8%
73.2%15.5
They take 65.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 01 May 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Neptunas
LLWWWWWWWW
BC Wolves
WWWWWLWLWL
#6
League position
#3
+1.7
Net rating
+16.5
112.9
Offensive rating
123.4
111.2
Defensive rating
106.9
54.1%
Effective FG%
59.3%
50.1%
Opp. effective FG%
52.6%
16.7%
Turnover %
15.0%
29.1%
Off. rebound %
32.7%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.33
31.3%
3-point %
37.7%
71.4%
Assist %
67.9%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence112.9 · 123.4Defence111.2 · 106.9Shooting54.1% · 59.3%3-point %31.3% · 37.7%Ball care16.7% · 15.0%Off. rebounds29.1% · 32.7%Free throws0.34 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)80% · 70%
■ Neptunas   ■ BC Wolves
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Neptunas wins
4
BC Wolves wins
DateGameScore
27/01/24BC Wolves v Neptunas92-73
08/10/23Neptunas v BC Wolves66-98
07/05/23Neptunas v BC Wolves75-104
15/02/23BC Wolves v Neptunas79-63
17/11/22BC Wolves v Neptunas84-90
05/11/22Neptunas v BC Wolves100-80
20/10/22Neptunas v BC Wolves85-81
Neptunaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/04/24HPieno Zvaigzdes77-88
22/04/24HNevezis79-92
17/04/24HZalgiris Kaunas114-112 OT
13/04/24HLietkabelis88-84
08/04/24AJonava81-78
01/04/24HMazeikiai91-89
25/03/24AJuventus96-83
16/03/24ARytas84-83
11/03/24HSiauliai85-76
04/03/24ALietkabelis78-76
BC Wolveslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/04/24ASiauliai91-65
20/04/24HPieno Zvaigzdes111-79
10/04/24HMazeikiai104-78
06/04/24HNevezis102-83
30/03/24HJuventus100-88
24/03/24ARytas83-99
17/03/24HLietkabelis109-72
13/03/24AJonava68-81
02/03/24AMazeikiai84-73
11/02/24HJonava85-96

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Neptunas
LKL 2023-24
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL53%
HomeWWWLL56%
AwayLWWWW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games301614
Win %53%56%50%
Points / game85.086.083.9
Allowed / game85.686.085.2
Point differential-0.6+0.0-1.4
Avg total170.6172.0169.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+23%25%21%
Close games (≤5 pts) won73% (11)80% (5)67% (6)
Overtime %10%6%14%
BC Wolves
LKL 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW72%
HomeWWWWW81%
AwayWWLLW62%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291613
Win %72%81%62%
Points / game87.491.182.8
Allowed / game78.977.780.3
Point differential+8.5+13.4+2.5
Avg total166.2168.8163.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+59%69%46%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)0% (1)67% (3)
Overtime %3%0%8%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zalgiris Kaunas2825389%88.173.1+15.0
2 Rytas3025583%93.279.8+13.4
3 BC Wolves2921872%87.478.9+8.5
4 Juventus28171161%88.781.5+7.1
5 Lietkabelis28151354%84.183.8+0.4
6 Neptunas30161453%85.085.6-0.6
7 Mazeikiai30131743%78.183.2-5.2
8 Jonava31121939%82.485.8-3.5
9 Nevezis2992031%84.091.3-7.3
10 Siauliai3082227%81.587.4-5.9
11 Pieno Zvaigzdes3062420%82.894.0-11.2
12 Gargzdai1731418%77.994.1-16.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Neptunas1531211885
BC Wolves1514243386
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