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Neptunas vs BC Wolves Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 12 Oct 2024
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 89-74
25-23 18-19 29-15 17-17
Position#7
Record3-0
FormLWLWW
Points / game93.0
Allowed / game87.7
Neptunas 🏆
Lithuania
vs
BC Wolves
Lithuania
Position#4
Record2-1
FormLLLWL
Points / game93.0
Allowed / game86.3
LithuaniaLKL· Svyturio arena
Domestic2024-25
Meetings · Neptunas v BC Wolves
15 Apr 2025
NEP85
WOL97
15 Feb 2025
NEP87
WOL83
12 Oct 2024
NEP89
WOL74
15 May 2024
NEP95
WOL76
01 May 2024
NEP85
WOL86
08 Oct 2023
NEP66
WOL98
07 May 2023
NEP75
WOL104
05 Nov 2022
NEP100
WOL80
20 Oct 2022
NEP85
WOL81
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Neptunas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
BC Wolves winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NeptunasLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNeptunas
Date
Competition
BC Wolves
#3
L
84-91
84
91
-7
72avg 82
A13/05
LKL
BC Wolves
#3
W
95-76
95
76
+19
96avg 82
H15/05
LKL
BC Wolves
#3
L
80-91
80
91
-11
66avg 82
A18/05
LKL
Rytas
#2
W
90-84
90
84
+6
76avg 82
A21/09
LKL
Bilbao
#2
L
66-74
66
74
-8
57avg 82
H24/09
FIBA Europe Cup
Bilbao
#2
L
59-95
59
95
-36
46avg 82
A27/09
FIBA Europe Cup
Jonava
#5
W
90-87
90
87
+3
91avg 82
H29/09
LKL
Siauliai
#8
L
82-102
82
102
-20
73avg 82
A02/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Juventus
#6
W
99-92
99
92
+7
87avg 82
A06/10
LKL
Mazeikiai
#9
W
106-71
106
71
+35
114avg 82
H09/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-31
20-14
21-19
21-27
30-23
23-23
26-10
16-20
16-26
15-14
26-24
23-27
19-12
17-21
22-24
32-27
19-21
12-16
15-16
20-21
24-18
12-29
15-26
8-22
24-22
27-24
19-22
20-19
17-18
26-20
23-29
16-35
32-17
24-29
21-27
22-19
25-19
27-15
32-24
22-13
171.4Avg total
85.1Scored
86.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)93.087.7180.7+5.3100%
Season at home (1)90.087.0177.0+3.0100%
Season away (2)94.588.0182.5+6.5100%
Last 10 (10)85.186.3171.4-1.250%
Last 5 (5)87.289.4176.6-2.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)82.187.9169.9-5.836%
vs Similar (5)87.283.4170.6+3.8100%
vs Weaker (11)88.887.9176.7+0.945%
This opponent (BC Wolves) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BC WolvesLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormWolves
Date
Competition
Lietkabelis
#5
L
84-86
84
86
-2
82avg 79
H04/06
LKL
Lietkabelis
#5
W
81-73
81
73
+8
73avg 79
A06/06
LKL
Lietkabelis
#5
L
84-91
84
91
-7
76avg 79
H09/06
LKL
Lietkabelis
#5
L
87-98
87
98
-11
79avg 79
A11/06
LKL
Jonava
#5
W
103-90
103
90
+13
107avg 79
H22/09
LKL
Bahcesehir Kol.
#2
L
69-80
69
80
-11
61avg 79
H25/09
Eurocup
Lietkabelis
#3
L
81-83
81
83
-2
80avg 79
A28/09
LKL
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#3
L
84-89
84
89
-5
44avg 79
A01/10
Eurocup
Mazeikiai
#10
W
95-86
95
86
+9
94avg 79
A05/10
LKL
Ulm
#13
L
76-94
76
94
-18
73avg 79
H08/10
Eurocup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-21
21-17
23-25
13-23
21-17
20-14
20-18
20-24
21-24
25-21
15-18
23-28
30-23
21-25
15-24
21-26
25-21
27-20
21-22
30-27
26-23
17-22
13-20
13-15
15-28
25-24
21-18
20-13
20-26
21-27
28-16
15-20
25-26
25-26
24-13
21-21
20-21
21-24
25-23
10-26
171.4Avg total
84.4Scored
87.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)93.086.3179.3+6.767%
Season at home (1)103.090.0193.0+13.0100%
Season away (2)88.084.5172.5+3.550%
Last 10 (10)84.487.0171.4-2.630%
Last 5 (5)81.086.4167.4-5.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)85.091.4176.4-6.433%
vs Similar (4)90.088.8178.8+1.250%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)89.982.6172.6+7.365%
This opponent (Neptunas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +2.1+2.1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: -0.2-0.2Q2: +0.3+0.3Q3Q3: -0.1-0.1Q3: +0.8+0.8Q4Q4: -3.0-3.0Q4: -3.7-3.7
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +2.1+2.1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: -0.2-0.2Q2: +0.3+0.3Q3Q3: -0.1-0.1Q3: +0.8+0.8Q4Q4: -3.0-3.0Q4: -3.7-3.7
NeptunasBC Wolves
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
NeptunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
BC Wolves
#3
L
42-45
42
45
-3
A13/05
LKL
BC Wolves
#3
W
53-46
53
46
+7
H15/05
LKL
BC Wolves
#3
L
31-40
31
40
-9
A18/05
LKL
Rytas
#2
W
36-33
36
33
+3
A21/09
LKL
Bilbao
#2
L
31-37
31
37
-6
H24/09
FIBA Europe Cup
Bilbao
#2
L
36-47
36
47
-11
A27/09
FIBA Europe Cup
Jonava
#5
W
51-46
51
46
+5
H29/09
LKL
Siauliai
#8
W
43-38
43
38
+5
A02/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Juventus
#6
W
56-46
56
46
+10
A06/10
LKL
Mazeikiai
#9
W
52-34
52
34
+18
H09/10
King Mindaugas Cup
84.3Avg total
43.1Scored
41.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.441.083.4+1.457%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.941.684.5+1.456%-
Last 30 away (14)41.840.482.1+1.457%-
Last 10 (10)43.141.284.3+1.960%-
Last 5 (5)47.642.289.8+5.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)39.640.580.1-0.936%-
vs Similar (5)46.442.088.4+4.480%-
vs Weaker (11)44.241.285.4+3.073%-
This opponent (BC Wolves) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BC WolvesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lietkabelis
#5
W
48-38
48
38
+10
H04/06
LKL
Lietkabelis
#5
W
41-31
41
31
+10
A06/06
LKL
Lietkabelis
#5
W
46-45
46
45
+1
H09/06
LKL
Lietkabelis
#5
W
51-48
51
48
+3
A11/06
LKL
Jonava
#5
W
52-41
52
41
+11
H22/09
LKL
Bahcesehir Kol.
#2
L
43-45
43
45
-2
H25/09
Eurocup
Lietkabelis
#3
L
40-52
40
52
-12
A28/09
LKL
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#3
L
41-53
41
53
-12
A01/10
Eurocup
Mazeikiai
#10
L
50-52
50
52
-2
A05/10
LKL
Ulm
#13
L
41-45
41
45
-4
H08/10
Eurocup
90.3Avg total
45.3Scored
45.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.844.089.8+1.760%-
Last 30 at home (16)48.142.890.8+5.375%-
Last 30 away (14)43.145.588.6-2.443%-
Last 10 (10)45.345.090.3+0.350%-
Last 5 (5)43.049.492.4-6.40%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)45.646.091.6-0.444%-
vs Similar (4)45.046.891.8-1.825%-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)46.142.488.4+3.776%-
This opponent (Neptunas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Neptunastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Neptunas: 83.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.0 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.9 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.8 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.7 points a game
48%
32%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.720.0
51.7%
55.6%40.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.79.3
33.6%
35.9%27.9
🏀 Free throws21.915.8
72.1%
75.0%15.8
They take 66.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
BC Wolvestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

BC Wolves: 83.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.6 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.0 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.2 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.7 points a game
48%
32%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.118.3
57.0%
55.6%36.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.310.0
35.3%
35.9%30.0
🏀 Free throws21.917.2
78.5%
75.0%17.2
They take 60.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 12 Oct 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Neptunas
WWLWLLWLWL
BC Wolves
LWLLLWLLWL
#7
League position
#4
-2.6
Net rating
-3.0
110.6
Offensive rating
114.1
113.3
Defensive rating
117.1
51.1%
Effective FG%
55.1%
55.3%
Opp. effective FG%
56.6%
15.9%
Turnover %
16.3%
31.8%
Off. rebound %
26.0%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.36
33.6%
3-point %
35.3%
62.8%
Assist %
73.5%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence110.6 · 114.1Defence113.3 · 117.1Shooting51.1% · 55.1%3-point %33.6% · 35.3%Ball care15.9% · 16.3%Off. rebounds31.8% · 26.0%Free throws0.33 · 0.36Form (last 10/10)50% · 30%
■ Neptunas   ■ BC Wolves
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Neptunas wins
7
BC Wolves wins
DateGameScore
18/05/24BC Wolves v Neptunas91-80
15/05/24Neptunas v BC Wolves95-76
13/05/24BC Wolves v Neptunas91-84
01/05/24Neptunas v BC Wolves85-86
27/01/24BC Wolves v Neptunas92-73
08/10/23Neptunas v BC Wolves66-98
07/05/23Neptunas v BC Wolves75-104
15/02/23BC Wolves v Neptunas79-63
17/11/22BC Wolves v Neptunas84-90
05/11/22Neptunas v BC Wolves100-80
Neptunaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/10/24HMazeikiai106-71
06/10/24AJuventus99-92
02/10/24ASiauliai82-102
29/09/24HJonava90-87
27/09/24ABilbao59-95
24/09/24HBilbao66-74
21/09/24ARytas90-84
18/05/24ABC Wolves80-91
15/05/24HBC Wolves95-76
13/05/24ABC Wolves84-91
BC Wolveslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/10/24HUlm76-94
05/10/24AMazeikiai95-86
01/10/24AHapoel Tel-Aviv84-89
28/09/24ALietkabelis81-83
25/09/24HBahcesehir Kol.69-80
22/09/24HJonava103-90
11/06/24ALietkabelis87-98
09/06/24HLietkabelis84-91
06/06/24ALietkabelis81-73
04/06/24HLietkabelis84-86

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Neptunas
LKL 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWW100%
HomeW100%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game93.090.094.5
Allowed / game87.787.088.0
Point differential+5.3+3.0+6.5
Avg total180.7177.0182.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
BC Wolves
LKL 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLW67%
HomeW100%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %67%100%50%
Points / game93.0103.088.0
Allowed / game86.390.084.5
Point differential+6.7+13.0+3.5
Avg total179.3193.0172.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Neptunas330100%93.087.7+5.3
2 Zalgiris Kaunas43175%90.275.5+14.8
3 Rytas43175%86.280.8+5.5
4 Lietkabelis43175%79.280.2-1.0
5 BC Wolves32167%93.086.3+6.7
6 Juventus31233%82.786.3-3.7
7 Siauliai31233%83.796.0-12.3
8 Jonava41325%88.294.8-6.5
9 Mazeikiai3030%85.790.7-5.0
10 Nevezis3030%76.084.0-8.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Neptunas2518291789
BC Wolves2319151774
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