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Neptunas vs BC Wolves Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 15 May 2024
Tip-off: 15:50
Final 95-76
30-23 23-23 26-10 16-20
Position#6
Record16-17
FormLLLLL
Points / game85.4
Allowed / game86.4
vs
Position#3
Record24-8
FormWWWWW
Points / game87.8
Allowed / game79.7
LithuaniaLKLLKL - Quarter-finals· Svyturio arena
Domestic2023-24Neutral venue
Meetings · Neptunas v BC Wolves
15 Apr 2025
NEP85
WOL97
15 Feb 2025
NEP87
WOL83
12 Oct 2024
NEP89
WOL74
15 May 2024
NEP95
WOL76
01 May 2024
NEP85
WOL86
08 Oct 2023
NEP66
WOL98
07 May 2023
NEP75
WOL104
05 Nov 2022
NEP100
WOL80
20 Oct 2022
NEP85
WOL81
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Neptunas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
BC Wolves winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NeptunasLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNeptunas
Date
Competition
Juventus
#4
W
96-83
96
83
+13
90avg 82
A25/03
LKL
Mazeikiai
#7
W
91-89
91
89
+2
91avg 82
H01/04
LKL
Jonava
#8
W
81-78
81
78
+3
74avg 82
A08/04
LKL
Lietkabelis
#5
W
88-84
88
84
+4
87avg 82
H13/04
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
W
114-112 OT
114
112
+2
112avg 82
H17/04
LKL
Nevezis
#9
L
79-92
79
92
-13
80avg 82
H22/04
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#11
L
77-88
77
88
-11
68avg 82
H27/04
LKL
BC Wolves
#3
L
85-86
85
86
-1
85avg 82
H01/05
LKL
Siauliai
#10
L
98-104
98
104
-6
92avg 82
A05/05
LKL
BC Wolves
#3
L
84-91
84
91
-7
72avg 82
A13/05
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-16
29-21
18-30
27-16
21-21
15-20
32-22
23-26
18-20
15-18
14-22
34-18
20-27
23-14
31-22
14-21
19-19
19-21
23-11
26-36
26-24
20-21
12-20
21-27
27-24
18-19
10-15
22-30
15-15
31-14
21-24
18-33
19-21
33-22
19-25
27-36
22-31
20-14
21-19
21-27
180.0Avg total
89.3Scored
90.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (33)85.486.4171.7-1.048%
Season at home (17)85.986.0171.9-0.153%
Season away (16)84.886.8171.5-2.044%
Last 10 (10)89.390.7180.0-1.450%
Last 5 (5)84.692.2176.8-7.60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)83.889.0172.8-5.236%
vs Similar (5)78.878.8157.6+0.080%
vs Weaker (14)88.184.2172.3+3.957%
This opponent (BC Wolves) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BC WolvesLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormWolves
Date
Competition
Lietkabelis
#5
W
109-72
109
72
+37
110avg 80
H17/03
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
83-99
83
99
-16
71avg 80
A24/03
LKL
Juventus
#4
W
100-88
100
88
+12
100avg 80
H30/03
LKL
Nevezis
#9
W
102-83
102
83
+19
103avg 80
H06/04
LKL
Mazeikiai
#7
W
104-78
104
78
+26
101avg 80
H10/04
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#11
W
111-79
111
79
+32
117avg 80
H20/04
LKL
Siauliai
#10
W
91-65
91
65
+26
93avg 80
A27/04
LKL
Neptunas
#6
W
86-85
86
85
+1
76avg 80
A01/05
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
W
97-93
97
93
+4
89avg 80
H05/05
LKL
Neptunas
#6
W
91-84
91
84
+7
81avg 80
H13/05
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-16
19-13
36-25
27-18
19-27
25-23
25-19
14-30
27-25
20-24
27-14
26-25
23-27
30-24
27-16
22-16
26-21
30-23
23-15
25-19
30-13
30-31
24-22
27-13
25-26
28-13
21-13
17-13
15-15
14-31
24-21
33-18
17-26
35-13
25-26
20-28
31-22
14-20
19-21
27-21
180.0Avg total
97.4Scored
82.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (32)87.879.7167.4+8.175%
Season at home (18)91.478.9170.3+12.583%
Season away (14)83.180.6163.7+2.464%
Last 10 (10)97.482.6180.0+14.890%
Last 5 (5)95.281.2176.4+14.0100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)77.486.4163.8-9.025%
vs Similar (3)83.383.0166.3+0.367%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)92.279.2171.4+13.080%
This opponent (Neptunas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -0.9-0.9Q1: +2.2+2.2Q2Q2: +3.9+3.9Q2: +3.0+3.0Q3Q3: -0.9-0.9Q3: +5.9+5.9Q4Q4: -3.7-3.7Q4: +3.7+3.7
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -0.9-0.9Q1: +2.2+2.2Q2Q2: +3.9+3.9Q2: +3.0+3.0Q3Q3: -0.9-0.9Q3: +5.9+5.9Q4Q4: -3.7-3.7Q4: +3.7+3.7
NeptunasBC Wolves
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
NeptunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Juventus
#4
W
51-37
51
37
+14
A25/03
LKL
Mazeikiai
#7
L
36-41
36
41
-5
H01/04
LKL
Jonava
#8
L
33-38
33
38
-5
A08/04
LKL
Lietkabelis
#5
W
43-41
43
41
+2
H13/04
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
38-40
38
40
-2
H17/04
LKL
Nevezis
#9
W
46-45
46
45
+1
H22/04
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#11
W
45-43
45
43
+2
H27/04
LKL
BC Wolves
#3
W
46-29
46
29
+17
H01/05
LKL
Siauliai
#10
W
52-43
52
43
+9
A05/05
LKL
BC Wolves
#3
L
42-45
42
45
-3
A13/05
LKL
83.4Avg total
43.2Scored
40.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.140.882.9+1.450%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.941.383.2+0.650%-
Last 30 away (14)42.440.182.6+2.350%-
Last 10 (10)43.240.283.4+3.060%-
Last 5 (5)46.241.087.2+5.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)41.540.582.1+1.036%-
vs Similar (5)40.638.078.6+2.660%-
vs Weaker (14)43.141.985.1+1.257%-
This opponent (BC Wolves) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BC WolvesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lietkabelis
#5
W
46-29
46
29
+17
H17/03
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
44-50
44
50
-6
A24/03
LKL
Juventus
#4
L
47-49
47
49
-2
H30/03
LKL
Nevezis
#9
W
53-51
53
51
+2
H06/04
LKL
Mazeikiai
#7
W
56-44
56
44
+12
H10/04
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#11
W
60-44
60
44
+16
H20/04
LKL
Siauliai
#10
W
53-39
53
39
+14
A27/04
LKL
Neptunas
#6
L
29-46
29
46
-17
A01/05
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
W
52-39
52
39
+13
H05/05
LKL
Neptunas
#6
W
45-42
45
42
+3
H13/05
LKL
91.8Avg total
48.5Scored
43.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.542.786.3+0.860%-
Last 30 at home (17)46.942.989.8+4.071%-
Last 30 away (13)39.242.581.7-3.446%-
Last 10 (10)48.543.391.8+5.270%-
Last 5 (5)47.842.089.8+5.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)39.343.582.8-4.242%-
vs Similar (3)38.745.384.0-6.733%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)47.941.689.5+6.380%-
This opponent (Neptunas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Neptunastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Neptunas: 88.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.0 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.1 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.1 points a game
49%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.822.5
58.0%
55.4%45.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.28.8
32.4%
34.7%26.4
🏀 Free throws23.217.1
73.7%
73.2%17.1
They take 66.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
BC Wolvestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

BC Wolves: 97.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.8 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.2 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.1 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.1 points a game
49%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.322.4
60.1%
55.4%44.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.411.4
40.1%
34.7%34.2
🏀 Free throws24.018.1
75.4%
73.2%18.1
They take 65.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 15 May 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Neptunas
LLLLLWWWWW
BC Wolves
WWWWWWWWLW
#6
League position
#3
-2.2
Net rating
+20.4
113.0
Offensive rating
125.9
115.2
Defensive rating
105.5
54.1%
Effective FG%
60.1%
51.8%
Opp. effective FG%
53.1%
16.9%
Turnover %
14.1%
29.7%
Off. rebound %
30.1%
0.35
Free-throw rate
0.37
32.4%
3-point %
40.1%
74.1%
Assist %
65.4%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
90%

Profile

Offence113.0 · 125.9Defence115.2 · 105.5Shooting54.1% · 60.1%3-point %32.4% · 40.1%Ball care16.9% · 14.1%Off. rebounds29.7% · 30.1%Free throws0.35 · 0.37Form (last 10/10)50% · 90%
■ Neptunas   ■ BC Wolves
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Neptunas wins
6
BC Wolves wins
DateGameScore
13/05/24BC Wolves v Neptunas91-84
01/05/24Neptunas v BC Wolves85-86
27/01/24BC Wolves v Neptunas92-73
08/10/23Neptunas v BC Wolves66-98
07/05/23Neptunas v BC Wolves75-104
15/02/23BC Wolves v Neptunas79-63
17/11/22BC Wolves v Neptunas84-90
05/11/22Neptunas v BC Wolves100-80
20/10/22Neptunas v BC Wolves85-81
Neptunaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/05/24ABC Wolves84-91
05/05/24ASiauliai98-104
01/05/24HBC Wolves85-86
27/04/24HPieno Zvaigzdes77-88
22/04/24HNevezis79-92
17/04/24HZalgiris Kaunas114-112 OT
13/04/24HLietkabelis88-84
08/04/24AJonava81-78
01/04/24HMazeikiai91-89
25/03/24AJuventus96-83
BC Wolveslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/05/24HNeptunas91-84
05/05/24HZalgiris Kaunas97-93
01/05/24ANeptunas86-85
27/04/24ASiauliai91-65
20/04/24HPieno Zvaigzdes111-79
10/04/24HMazeikiai104-78
06/04/24HNevezis102-83
30/03/24HJuventus100-88
24/03/24ARytas83-99
17/03/24HLietkabelis109-72

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Neptunas
LKL 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL48%
HomeWWLLL53%
AwayWWWLL44%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games331716
Win %48%53%44%
Points / game85.485.984.8
Allowed / game86.486.086.8
Point differential-1.0-0.1-2.0
Avg total171.7171.9171.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%24%19%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (12)67% (6)67% (6)
Overtime %9%6%12%
BC Wolves
LKL 2023-24
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW75%
HomeWWWWW83%
AwayWLLWW64%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321814
Win %75%83%64%
Points / game87.891.483.1
Allowed / game79.778.980.6
Point differential+8.1+12.5+2.4
Avg total167.4170.3163.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+53%61%43%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (6)50% (2)75% (4)
Overtime %3%0%7%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zalgiris Kaunas3329488%88.772.8+15.9
2 Rytas3428682%94.380.5+13.7
3 BC Wolves3224875%87.879.7+8.1
4 Juventus33201361%87.582.1+5.4
5 Lietkabelis33181555%84.783.8+0.9
6 Neptunas33161748%85.486.4-1.0
7 Mazeikiai34132138%77.283.9-6.7
8 Jonava34122235%82.586.9-4.4
9 Nevezis32112134%84.491.3-6.9
10 Siauliai3292328%82.287.8-5.6
11 Pieno Zvaigzdes3162519%83.095.0-12.0
12 Gargzdai1731418%77.994.1-16.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Neptunas3023261695
BC Wolves2323102076
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