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Neptunas vs BC Wolves Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 15 Feb 2025
Tip-off: 13:30
Final 87-83
27-24 16-20 22-14 22-25
Position#2
Record7-5
FormLWLWL
Points / game93.3
Allowed / game87.1
vs
Position#3
Record2-0
FormLWLWL
Points / game90.0
Allowed / game74.5
LithuaniaKing Mindaugas CupKing Mindaugas Cup - Semi-finals· Twinsbet Arena
Other2024-25Neutral venue
Meetings · Neptunas v BC Wolves
15 Apr 2025
NEP85
WOL97
15 Feb 2025
NEP87
WOL83
12 Oct 2024
NEP89
WOL74
15 May 2024
NEP95
WOL76
01 May 2024
NEP85
WOL86
08 Oct 2023
NEP66
WOL98
07 May 2023
NEP75
WOL104
05 Nov 2022
NEP100
WOL80
20 Oct 2022
NEP85
WOL81
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Neptunas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
BC Wolves winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NeptunasLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNeptunas
Date
Competition
Juventus
#10
W
93-82
93
82
+11
86avg 81
A12/12
King Mindaugas Cup
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
75-91
75
91
-16
68avg 81
A15/12
LKL
Rytas
#7
L
67-78
67
78
-11
53avg 81
H21/12
King Mindaugas Cup
Jonava
#5
L
82-86
82
86
-4
69avg 81
A28/12
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
76-94
76
94
-18
65avg 81
H04/01
LKL
Lietkabelis
#3
L
56-63
56
63
-7
49avg 81
H11/01
LKL
Rytas
#7
W
92-77
92
77
+15
79avg 81
A18/01
King Mindaugas Cup
Siauliai
#8
L
80-90
80
90
-10
71avg 81
H25/01
LKL
Mazeikiai
#10
W
99-63
99
63
+36
104avg 81
H01/02
LKL
Nevezis
#9
L
94-107
94
107
-13
110avg 81
H09/02
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-17
20-28
31-18
19-19
14-25
23-23
20-21
18-22
16-24
22-19
18-15
11-20
18-20
20-21
30-23
14-22
26-21
18-29
17-22
15-22
15-18
20-10
13-15
8-20
23-23
19-20
25-18
25-16
21-28
17-21
11-21
31-20
21-17
27-12
26-18
25-16
26-29
24-27
18-23
26-28
164.5Avg total
81.4Scored
83.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)93.387.1180.4+6.258%
Season at home (6)96.087.5183.5+8.550%
Season away (6)90.786.7177.3+4.067%
Last 10 (10)81.483.1164.5-1.730%
Last 5 (5)84.280.0164.2+4.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)77.787.8165.5-10.130%
vs Similar ◀ (6)86.289.5175.7-3.333%
vs Weaker (14)93.986.8180.7+7.157%
This opponent (BC Wolves) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BC WolvesLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormWolves
Date
Competition
Trefl Sopot
#20
L
74-97
74
97
-23
65avg 83
H08/01
Eurocup
Jonava
#5
W
94-91
94
91
+3
87avg 83
A11/01
LKL
Besiktas
#9
L
77-79
77
79
-2
74avg 83
A14/01
Eurocup
Jonava
#4
W
85-72
85
72
+13
88avg 83
H18/01
King Mindaugas Cup
Gran Canaria
#4
W
88-76
88
76
+12
86avg 83
H22/01
Eurocup
Lietkabelis
#3
L
82-97
82
97
-15
73avg 83
H25/01
LKL
Trento
#16
W
96-70
96
70
+26
96avg 83
A28/01
Eurocup
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
84-97
84
97
-13
81avg 83
A02/02
LKL
Buducnost
#14
W
91-82
91
82
+9
90avg 83
H05/02
Eurocup
Rytas
#2
L
84-88
84
88
-4
84avg 83
H08/02
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-29
26-24
8-23
15-21
24-25
27-25
20-27
23-14
22-23
18-17
19-12
18-27
18-20
22-17
21-17
24-18
22-18
20-15
20-22
26-21
17-16
24-31
22-25
19-25
25-11
15-19
28-20
28-20
29-28
16-36
17-20
22-13
26-25
28-16
19-14
18-27
22-25
21-18
18-25
23-20
170.4Avg total
85.5Scored
84.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)90.074.5164.5+15.5100%
Season at home (1)85.072.0157.0+13.0100%
Season away (1)95.077.0172.0+18.0100%
Last 10 (10)85.584.9170.4+0.650%
Last 5 (5)87.486.8174.2+0.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)88.087.0175.0+1.050%
vs Similar ◀ (15)87.486.3173.7+1.167%
vs Weaker (9)92.784.2176.9+8.489%
This opponent (Neptunas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -1.9-1.9Q1: +1.0+1.0Q2Q2: +0.0+0.0Q2: -0.1-0.1Q3Q3: +1.5+1.5Q3: -1.3-1.3Q4Q4: -1.3-1.3Q4: +1.0+1.0
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -1.9-1.9Q1: +1.0+1.0Q2Q2: +0.0+0.0Q2: -0.1-0.1Q3Q3: +1.5+1.5Q3: -1.3-1.3Q4Q4: -1.3-1.3Q4: +1.0+1.0
NeptunasBC Wolves
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
NeptunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Juventus
#10
L
43-45
43
45
-2
A12/12
King Mindaugas Cup
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
37-48
37
48
-11
A15/12
LKL
Rytas
#7
L
38-43
38
43
-5
H21/12
King Mindaugas Cup
Jonava
#5
L
38-41
38
41
-3
A28/12
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
44-50
44
50
-6
H04/01
LKL
Lietkabelis
#3
W
35-28
35
28
+7
H11/01
LKL
Rytas
#7
L
42-43
42
43
-1
A18/01
King Mindaugas Cup
Siauliai
#8
L
38-49
38
49
-11
H25/01
LKL
Mazeikiai
#10
W
48-29
48
29
+19
H01/02
LKL
Nevezis
#9
L
50-56
50
56
-6
H09/02
LKL
84.5Avg total
41.3Scored
43.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.843.086.9+0.850%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.741.985.5+1.853%-
Last 30 away (15)44.044.288.2-0.247%-
Last 10 (10)41.343.284.5-1.920%-
Last 5 (5)42.641.083.6+1.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)41.446.087.4-4.640%-
vs Similar ◀ (6)44.743.287.8+1.550%-
vs Weaker (14)45.240.986.1+4.457%-
This opponent (BC Wolves) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BC WolvesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Trefl Sopot
#20
L
51-53
51
53
-2
H08/01
Eurocup
Jonava
#5
W
51-50
51
50
+1
A11/01
LKL
Besiktas
#9
D
40-40
40
40
+0
A14/01
Eurocup
Jonava
#4
W
40-37
40
37
+3
H18/01
King Mindaugas Cup
Gran Canaria
#4
W
42-33
42
33
+9
H22/01
Eurocup
Lietkabelis
#3
L
41-47
41
47
-6
H25/01
LKL
Trento
#16
W
40-30
40
30
+10
A28/01
Eurocup
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
45-64
45
64
-19
A02/02
LKL
Buducnost
#14
W
54-41
54
41
+13
H05/02
Eurocup
Rytas
#2
D
43-43
43
43
+0
H08/02
LKL
88.5Avg total
44.7Scored
43.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.743.387.0+0.453%-
Last 30 at home (16)46.442.989.4+3.556%-
Last 30 away (14)40.643.784.4-3.150%-
Last 10 (10)44.743.888.5+0.950%-
Last 5 (5)44.645.089.6-0.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)41.545.787.2-4.233%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)43.543.787.1-0.253%-
vs Weaker (9)45.741.186.8+4.667%-
This opponent (Neptunas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Neptunastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Neptunas: 81.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.2 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.9 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.4 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 87.3 points a game
44%
35%
21%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.419.6
52.4%
55.0%39.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.29.3
31.8%
36.6%27.9
🏀 Free throws21.014.4
68.6%
74.4%14.4
They take 66.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
BC Wolvestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

BC Wolves: 84.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀27%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.6 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws22.8 pts a game · 27% of the points
League average for comparison: 87.3 points a game
44%
35%
21%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.818.3
55.8%
55.0%36.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.08.5
32.7%
36.6%25.5
🏀 Free throws27.622.8
82.6%
74.4%22.8
They take 58.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 15 Feb 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Neptunas
LWLWLLLLLW
BC Wolves
LWLWLWWLWL
#2
League position
#3
-2.2
Net rating
+1.3
106.3
Offensive rating
113.6
108.5
Defensive rating
112.3
50.4%
Effective FG%
52.8%
49.6%
Opp. effective FG%
52.4%
16.5%
Turnover %
18.4%
35.0%
Off. rebound %
31.2%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.47
31.8%
3-point %
32.7%
70.6%
Assist %
64.2%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence106.3 · 113.6Defence108.5 · 112.3Shooting50.4% · 52.8%3-point %31.8% · 32.7%Ball care16.5% · 18.4%Off. rebounds35.0% · 31.2%Free throws0.32 · 0.47Form (last 10/10)30% · 50%
■ Neptunas   ■ BC Wolves
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Neptunas wins
8
BC Wolves wins
DateGameScore
07/12/24BC Wolves v Neptunas102-86
12/10/24Neptunas v BC Wolves89-74
18/05/24BC Wolves v Neptunas91-80
15/05/24Neptunas v BC Wolves95-76
13/05/24BC Wolves v Neptunas91-84
01/05/24Neptunas v BC Wolves85-86
27/01/24BC Wolves v Neptunas92-73
08/10/23Neptunas v BC Wolves66-98
07/05/23Neptunas v BC Wolves75-104
15/02/23BC Wolves v Neptunas79-63
Neptunaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/02/25HNevezis94-107
01/02/25HMazeikiai99-63
25/01/25HSiauliai80-90
18/01/25ARytas92-77
11/01/25HLietkabelis56-63
04/01/25HRytas76-94
28/12/24AJonava82-86
21/12/24HRytas67-78
15/12/24AZalgiris Kaunas75-91
12/12/24AJuventus93-82
BC Wolveslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/02/25HRytas84-88
05/02/25HBuducnost91-82
02/02/25AZalgiris Kaunas84-97
28/01/25ATrento96-70
25/01/25HLietkabelis82-97
22/01/25HGran Canaria88-76
18/01/25HJonava85-72
14/01/25ABesiktas77-79
11/01/25AJonava94-91
08/01/25HTrefl Sopot74-97

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Neptunas
King Mindaugas Cup 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW58%
HomeLWWLL50%
AwayLWWWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1266
Win %58%50%67%
Points / game93.396.090.7
Allowed / game87.187.586.7
Point differential+6.2+8.5+4.0
Avg total180.4183.5177.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+42%33%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)33% (3)50% (2)
Overtime %17%33%0%
BC Wolves
King Mindaugas Cup 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWW100%
HomeW100%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game90.085.095.0
Allowed / game74.572.077.0
Point differential+15.5+13.0+18.0
Avg total164.5157.0172.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 BC Wolves220100%90.074.5+15.5
2 Zalgiris Kaunas220100%99.586.5+13.0
3 Neptunas127558%93.387.1+6.2
4 Lietkabelis21150%77.573.0+4.5
5 Jonava126650%88.487.4+1.0
6 Nevezis126650%88.087.7+0.3
7 Rytas21150%77.579.5-2.0
8 Siauliai126650%95.097.0-2.0
9 Mazeikiai104640%79.689.4-9.8
10 Juventus103730%87.490.5-3.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Neptunas2716222287
BC Wolves2420142583
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