Neptunas vs Nevezis Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 28 Apr 2019

Tip-off: 14:00

Final 86-76

21-21 20-15 21-19 24-21

Position#2

Record25-7

FormWWWWW

Points / game84.6

Allowed / game77.9

Neptunas 🏆

Nevezis

Position#9

Record6-27

FormLLWLW

Points / game73.8

Allowed / game85.9

LKL

Domestic2018-19

Meetings · Neptunas v Nevezis

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Neptunas winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Nevezis winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Neptunas

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Alytaus Dzukija

88-82 OT

A09/03

LKL

Hapoel M. Jerusalem

64-84

-20

A13/03

Champions League

Lietkabelis

72-74

-2

H17/03

LKL

Nevezis

78-70

A25/03

LKL

Rytas

52-70

-18

A30/03

LKL

Pieno Zvaigzdes

85-75

+10

A06/04

LKL

Rytas

89-74

+15

H10/04

LKL

Alytaus Dzukija

70-68

H18/04

LKL

Lietkabelis

73-69

A22/04

LKL

Juventus

101-87

101

+14

H25/04

LKL

15-19

24-15

17-21

19-20

16-20

13-16

21-27

14-21

22-22

21-19

16-19

13-14

20-20

25-14

21-18

12-18

14-15

15-12

11-11

12-32

18-24

30-23

16-19

21-9

27-15

20-21

16-17

26-21

20-23

13-13

16-16

21-16

15-19

23-12

21-14

14-24

31-18

18-25

28-19

24-25

152.5Avg total

77.2Scored

75.3Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (32)	84.6	77.9	162.5	+6.8	78%
Season at home (16)	84.9	78.5	163.4	+6.4	69%
Season away (16)	84.4	77.2	161.6	+7.1	88%
Last 10 (10)	77.2	75.3	152.5	+1.9	70%
Last 5 (5)	83.6	74.6	158.2	+9.0	100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	81.0	83.8	164.8	-2.8	60%
vs Similar (10)	78.8	74.1	152.9	+4.7	60%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)	85.5	80.1	165.5	+5.4	80%

This opponent (Nevezis) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Nevezis

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Juventus

86-90

-4

A10/03

LKL

Skycop

78-81

-3

A17/03

LKL

Neptunas

70-78

-8

H25/03

LKL

Pieno Zvaigzdes

85-91

-6

A30/03

LKL

Skycop

91-96 OT

-5

H07/04

LKL

Zalgiris Kaunas

70-102

102

-32

H10/04

LKL

Lietkabelis

60-101

101

-41

A14/04

LKL

Rytas

70-68

A17/04

LKL

Juventus

55-87

-32

H20/04

LKL

Siauliai

#10

88-87

A25/04

LKL

21-22

18-21

21-22

26-25

16-13

15-16

17-24

30-28

20-20

14-25

18-21

18-12

29-16

20-29

15-18

21-28

24-23

21-15

21-26

15-17

17-23

20-28

17-23

16-28

23-23

17-24

13-27

7-27

13-18

21-10

15-23

21-17

14-21

19-23

9-19

13-24

15-17

31-12

23-18

19-40

163.4Avg total

75.3Scored

88.1Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (33)	73.8	85.9	159.7	-12.2	18%
Season at home (16)	73.8	84.2	158.0	-10.4	19%
Season away (17)	73.7	87.6	161.3	-13.9	18%
Last 10 (10)	75.3	88.1	163.4	-12.8	20%
Last 5 (5)	68.6	89.0	157.6	-20.4	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)	73.2	86.7	159.9	-13.5	12%
vs Similar (4)	80.8	80.2	161.0	+0.5	75%
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Neptunas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

NeptunasNevezis

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.8	19.4	39.1	+0.4	43%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.5	18.8	39.2	+1.8	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.9	20.1	39.0	-1.1	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.8	19.5	39.3	+0.3	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.2	19.8	42.0	+2.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	17.0	18.4	35.4	-1.4	40%	-
vs Similar (10)	20.1	18.6	38.7	+1.5	40%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)	20.5	20.2	40.7	+0.3	47%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.1	22.0	39.1	-4.8	27%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	16.2	23.1	39.3	-6.9	20%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.1	20.8	38.9	-2.7	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.2	19.6	38.8	-0.4	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.4	20.4	36.8	-4.0	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)	17.0	21.8	38.8	-4.8	27%	-
vs Similar (4)	18.2	23.0	41.2	-4.8	25%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.5	19.9	41.4	+1.6	60%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.6	21.1	42.7	+0.6	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	21.4	18.6	40.0	+2.7	64%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.2	17.0	37.2	+3.2	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.8	18.8	39.6	+2.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	21.6	22.2	43.8	-0.6	40%	-
vs Similar (10)	21.7	18.3	40.0	+3.4	70%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)	21.3	20.3	41.6	+1.1	60%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.8	20.7	39.4	-1.9	37%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.3	20.2	40.5	+0.1	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.2	21.1	38.3	-3.9	20%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.6	20.3	39.9	-0.7	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.6	19.4	41.0	+2.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)	18.0	21.2	39.1	-3.2	35%	-
vs Similar (4)	24.0	17.5	41.5	+6.5	50%	-
vs Weaker	no games

NeptunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Alytaus Dzukija

39-34

A09/03

LKL

Hapoel M. Jerusalem

29-36

-7

A13/03

Champions League

Lietkabelis

43-41

H17/03

LKL

Nevezis

45-34

+11

A25/03

LKL

Rytas

29-27

A30/03

LKL

Pieno Zvaigzdes

48-47

A06/04

LKL

Rytas

47-36

+11

H10/04

LKL

Alytaus Dzukija

33-36

-3

H18/04

LKL

Lietkabelis

38-31

A22/04

LKL

Juventus

49-43

H25/04

LKL

76.5Avg total

40.0Scored

36.5Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.3	39.3	80.6	+2.0	60%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	42.1	39.8	81.9	+2.3	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	40.3	38.7	79.0	+1.6	64%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.0	36.5	76.5	+3.5	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	43.0	38.6	81.6	+4.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	38.6	40.6	79.2	-2.0	20%	-
vs Similar (10)	41.8	36.9	78.7	+4.9	80%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)	41.8	40.5	82.3	+1.3	60%	-

This opponent (Nevezis) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

NevezisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Juventus

39-43

-4

A10/03

LKL

Skycop

31-29

A17/03

LKL

Neptunas

34-45

-11

H25/03

LKL

Pieno Zvaigzdes

49-45

A30/03

LKL

Skycop

45-38

H07/04

LKL

Zalgiris Kaunas

37-51

-14

H10/04

LKL

Lietkabelis

40-47

-7

A14/04

LKL

Rytas

34-28

A17/04

LKL

Juventus

33-44

-11

H20/04

LKL

Siauliai

#10

46-29

+17

A25/04

LKL

78.7Avg total

38.8Scored

39.9Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	35.9	42.6	78.5	-6.7	23%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	36.5	43.3	79.9	-6.8	20%	-
Last 30 away (15)	35.3	41.9	77.2	-6.7	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.8	39.9	78.7	-1.1	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.0	39.8	77.8	-1.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)	34.9	43.0	77.9	-8.0	23%	-
vs Similar (4)	42.2	40.5	82.8	+1.8	25%	-
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Neptunas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.7	18.5	38.3	+1.2	43%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	19.4	18.9	38.4	+0.5	31%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.1	18.1	38.1	+2.0	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.3	18.1	36.4	+0.2	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.4	17.0	36.4	+2.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	18.4	21.2	39.6	-2.8	20%	-
vs Similar (10)	18.0	16.3	34.3	+1.7	40%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)	21.3	19.1	40.5	+2.2	53%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.6	20.8	39.3	-2.2	30%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.0	20.2	38.2	-2.2	33%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.1	21.3	40.5	-2.2	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.9	22.1	39.0	-5.2	10%	-
Last 5 (5)	15.4	22.0	37.4	-6.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)	18.3	21.3	39.6	-3.1	23%	-
vs Similar (4)	20.5	17.0	37.5	+3.5	75%	-
vs Weaker	no games

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.0	19.8	39.8	+0.2	53%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.6	18.9	39.6	+1.7	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.2	20.8	40.0	-1.6	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.6	20.0	37.6	-2.4	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.2	19.0	40.2	+2.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	20.0	19.0	39.0	+1.0	60%	-
vs Similar (10)	19.0	20.9	39.9	-1.9	40%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)	20.6	19.3	39.9	+1.3	60%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.5	20.9	39.4	-2.4	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.9	19.9	38.8	-1.1	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.1	21.9	40.0	-3.7	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.6	24.6	43.2	-6.0	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	15.2	27.2	42.4	-12.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)	18.6	20.6	39.2	-2.0	46%	-
vs Similar (4)	18.0	22.8	40.8	-4.8	50%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.7	38.3	78.0	+1.4	50%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	40.1	37.9	77.9	+2.2	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	39.3	38.9	78.1	+0.4	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	35.9	38.1	74.0	-2.2	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.6	36.0	76.6	+4.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	38.4	40.2	78.6	-1.8	40%	-
vs Similar (10)	37.0	37.2	74.2	-0.2	40%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)	41.9	38.5	80.4	+3.5	60%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.1	41.7	78.7	-4.6	30%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	36.9	40.1	77.0	-3.3	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	37.3	43.2	80.5	-5.9	20%	-
Last 10 (10)	35.5	46.7	82.2	-11.2	10%	-
Last 5 (5)	30.6	49.2	79.8	-18.6	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)	36.8	42.0	78.8	-5.1	27%	-
vs Similar (4)	38.5	39.8	78.2	-1.2	50%	-
vs Weaker	no games

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Neptunastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Neptunas: 73.0 points a game scored

🏀🏀41%

🏀🏀🏀41%

🏀18%

🏀🏀 2-pointers30.0 pts a game · 41% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.0 pts a game · 41% of the points

🏀 Free throws13.0 pts a game · 18% of the points

League average for comparison: 86.1 points a game

50%

30%

19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	30.0	15.0	50.0%	55.4%	30.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	27.0	10.0	37.0%	35.5%	30.0
🏀 Free throws	16.0	13.0	81.2%	73.8%	13.0

They take 57.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Nevezistheir own shots, last 10 games

No box scores for this team yet.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	37.0	17.0	45.9%	55.4%	34.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	20.0	8.0	40.0%	35.5%	24.0
🏀 Free throws	15.0	8.0	53.3%	73.8%	8.0

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	37.0	17.0	45.9%	55.4%	34.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	20.0	8.0	40.0%	35.5%	24.0
🏀 Free throws	15.0	8.0	53.3%	73.8%	8.0

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Neptunas wins

Nevezis wins

Date	Game	Score
25/03/19	Nevezis v Neptunas	70-78
10/11/18	Nevezis v Neptunas	69-83
23/09/18	Neptunas v Nevezis	100-76
25/04/18	Nevezis v Neptunas	74-67
04/03/18	Neptunas v Nevezis	81-64
16/12/17	Nevezis v Neptunas	74-85
24/09/17	Neptunas v Nevezis	92-73
12/04/17	Neptunas v Nevezis	90-53
12/03/17	Nevezis v Neptunas	70-72
12/11/16	Neptunas v Nevezis	70-63

Neptunaslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
25/04/19	H	Juventus	101-87
22/04/19	A	Lietkabelis	73-69
18/04/19	H	Alytaus Dzukija	70-68
10/04/19	H	Rytas	89-74
06/04/19	A	Pieno Zvaigzdes	85-75
30/03/19	A	Rytas	52-70
25/03/19	A	Nevezis	78-70
17/03/19	H	Lietkabelis	72-74
13/03/19	A	Hapoel M. Jerusalem	64-84
09/03/19	A	Alytaus Dzukija	88-82 OT

Nevezislast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
25/04/19	A	Siauliai	88-87
20/04/19	H	Juventus	55-87
17/04/19	A	Rytas	70-68
14/04/19	A	Lietkabelis	60-101
10/04/19	H	Zalgiris Kaunas	70-102
07/04/19	H	Skycop	91-96 OT
30/03/19	A	Pieno Zvaigzdes	85-91
25/03/19	H	Neptunas	70-78
17/03/19	A	Skycop	78-81
10/03/19	A	Juventus	86-90

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Neptunas

LKL 2018-19

Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWWW	78%
Home	WLWWW	69%
Away	WWLWW	88%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	32	16	16
Win %	78%	69%	88%
Points / game	84.6	84.9	84.4
Allowed / game	77.9	78.5	77.2
Point differential	+6.8	+6.4	+7.1
Avg total	162.5	163.4	161.6
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	50%	50%	50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	78% (9)	60% (5)	100% (4)
Overtime %	9%	6%	12%

Nevezis

LKL 2018-19

Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLWLW	18%
Home	LLLLL	19%
Away	LLLWW	18%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	33	16	17
Win %	18%	19%	18%
Points / game	73.8	73.8	73.7
Allowed / game	85.9	84.2	87.6
Point differential	-12.2	-10.4	-13.9
Avg total	159.7	158.0	161.3
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	0%	0%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	45% (11)	50% (4)	43% (7)
Overtime %	6%	6%	6%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Zalgiris Kaunas	30	27	3	90%	87.8	70.1	+17.7
2	Neptunas	32	25	7	78%	84.6	77.9	+6.8
3	Rytas	32	24	8	75%	83.4	76.2	+7.2
4	Lietkabelis	32	20	12	62%	82.8	79.0	+3.8
5	Pieno Zvaigzdes	34	16	18	47%	82.5	87.3	-4.7
6	Juventus	34	14	20	41%	82.7	81.8	+0.9
7	Skycop	32	12	20	38%	78.5	85.1	-6.6
8	Alytaus Dzukija	33	12	21	36%	80.4	82.3	-1.9
9	Siauliai	34	7	27	21%	82.7	91.1	-8.5
10	Nevezis	33	6	27	18%	73.8	85.9	-12.2

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Neptunas	21	20	21	24	86
Nevezis	21	15	19	21	76

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Neptunas vs Nevezis Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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