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Nevezis vs Prienai Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 25 Mar 2023
Tip-off: 14:00
Final 112-105 (OT)
21-25 25-25 26-29 22-15 18-11
Position#8
Record10-13
FormWLLWL
Points / game82.9
Allowed / game84.9
Nevezis 🏆
Lithuania
vs
Prienai
Lithuania
Position#12
Record3-20
FormLWLLW
Points / game79.0
Allowed / game89.0
LithuaniaLKL
Domestic2022-23
Meetings · Nevezis v Prienai
25 Mar 2023
NEV112
PRI105
04 Dec 2022
NEV89
PRI81
28 Sep 2021
NEV81
PRI83
19 Sep 2021
NEV90
PRI80
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Nevezis winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Prienai winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NevezisLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNevezis
Date
Competition
Juventus
#5
L
71-74
71
74
-3
56avg 73
H09/01
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#10
W
83-65
83
65
+18
76avg 73
H16/01
LKL
Rytas
#9
L
78-98 OT
78
98
-20
no box
A21/01
King Mindaugas Cup
BC Wolves
#3
L
73-94
73
94
-21
68avg 73
A29/01
LKL
Prienai
#12
W
98-86
98
86
+12
no box
A04/02
LKL
Jonava
#6
W
91-83
91
83
+8
84avg 73
H12/02
LKL
Lietkabelis
#4
L
108-111
108
111
-3
106avg 73
A14/02
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
69-97
69
97
-28
59avg 73
H04/03
LKL
Siauliai
#9
W
107-95
107
95
+12
106avg 73
A13/03
LKL
Lietkabelis
#4
L
77-90
77
90
-13
no box
H19/03
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-19
15-13
27-23
13-19
26-20
15-19
25-7
17-19
23-22
19-27
20-13
11-19
20-21
15-22
22-21
16-30
23-20
25-23
20-22
30-21
25-27
23-21
26-23
17-12
31-30
19-23
24-28
34-30
15-26
23-21
11-29
20-21
29-14
21-22
33-28
24-31
16-18
23-26
24-22
14-24
174.8Avg total
85.5Scored
89.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)82.984.9167.8-2.043%
Season at home (12)80.082.5162.5-2.533%
Season away (11)86.187.5173.6-1.555%
Last 10 (10)85.589.3174.8-3.840%
Last 5 (5)90.495.2185.6-4.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)81.492.1173.5-10.812%
vs Similar (14)83.083.9166.9-0.950%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)92.885.4178.1+7.488%
This opponent (Prienai) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PrienaiLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPrienai
Date
Competition
Neptunas
#7
L
75-80
75
80
-5
62avg 65
A21/12
LKL
Gargzdai
#11
L
71-74
71
74
-3
55avg 65
A09/01
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
77-98
77
98
-21
60avg 65
A14/01
LKL
Lietkabelis
#4
W
86-74
86
74
+12
81avg 65
A28/01
LKL
Nevezis
#8
L
86-98
86
98
-12
no box
H04/02
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
80-86
80
86
-6
67avg 65
A12/02
LKL
Jonava
#6
W
85-74
85
74
+11
79avg 65
A14/02
LKL
BC Wolves
#3
L
78-88
78
88
-10
no box
H05/03
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#10
L
89-92
89
92
-3
74avg 65
H11/03
LKL
Juventus
#5
W
90-86
90
86
+4
71avg 65
A18/03
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-16
14-20
22-25
25-19
27-12
15-27
16-17
13-18
26-19
12-39
19-19
20-21
28-15
15-18
22-19
21-22
20-23
23-25
22-20
21-30
19-23
17-15
21-19
23-29
21-24
17-27
21-10
26-13
18-23
20-22
19-21
21-22
22-26
21-22
22-22
24-22
24-25
18-25
21-20
27-16
166.7Avg total
81.7Scored
85.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)79.089.0168.0-10.013%
Season at home (11)75.291.0166.2-15.80%
Season away (12)82.587.2169.7-4.725%
Last 10 (10)81.785.0166.7-3.330%
Last 5 (5)84.485.2169.6-0.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)77.891.0168.9-13.212%
vs Similar (4)84.594.0178.5-9.50%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Nevezis) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +0.7+0.7Q1: +1.3+1.3Q2Q2: -1.9-1.9Q2: -6.8-6.8Q3Q3: +1.6+1.6Q3: +1.3+1.3Q4Q4: -3.0-3.0Q4: +0.9+0.9
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +0.7+0.7Q1: +1.3+1.3Q2Q2: -1.9-1.9Q2: -6.8-6.8Q3Q3: +1.6+1.6Q3: +1.3+1.3Q4Q4: -3.0-3.0Q4: +0.9+0.9
NevezisPrienai
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
NevezisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Juventus
#5
L
31-32
31
32
-1
H09/01
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#10
W
41-39
41
39
+2
H16/01
LKL
Rytas
#9
L
42-49
42
49
-7
A21/01
King Mindaugas Cup
BC Wolves
#3
L
35-43
35
43
-8
A29/01
LKL
Prienai
#12
W
48-43
48
43
+5
A04/02
LKL
Jonava
#6
D
48-48
48
48
+0
H12/02
LKL
Lietkabelis
#4
L
50-53
50
53
-3
A14/02
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
38-47
38
47
-9
H04/03
LKL
Siauliai
#9
W
50-36
50
36
+14
A13/03
LKL
Lietkabelis
#4
L
39-44
39
44
-5
H19/03
LKL
85.6Avg total
42.2Scored
43.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.343.184.4-1.840%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.642.583.1-1.940%-
Last 30 away (15)42.143.785.8-1.740%-
Last 10 (10)42.243.485.6-1.230%-
Last 5 (5)45.045.690.6-0.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)40.146.086.1-5.912%-
vs Similar (14)40.242.182.3-1.929%-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)44.542.086.5+2.588%-
This opponent (Prienai) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PrienaiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Neptunas
#7
L
28-36
28
36
-8
A21/12
LKL
Gargzdai
#11
W
42-39
42
39
+3
A09/01
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
38-58
38
58
-20
A14/01
LKL
Lietkabelis
#4
W
43-33
43
33
+10
A28/01
LKL
Nevezis
#8
L
43-48
43
48
-5
H04/02
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
36-38
36
38
-2
A12/02
LKL
Jonava
#6
L
38-51
38
51
-13
A14/02
LKL
BC Wolves
#3
L
38-45
38
45
-7
H05/03
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#10
L
43-48
43
48
-5
H11/03
LKL
Juventus
#5
L
42-50
42
50
-8
A18/03
LKL
83.7Avg total
39.1Scored
44.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.346.683.9-9.37%-
Last 30 at home (14)35.446.281.6-10.80%-
Last 30 away (16)39.046.985.9-7.912%-
Last 10 (10)39.144.683.7-5.520%-
Last 5 (5)39.446.485.8-7.00%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)36.846.783.5-9.94%-
vs Similar (4)41.046.087.0-5.025%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Nevezis) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Nevezistheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Nevezis: 85.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.2 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.1 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.5 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.022.1
55.2%
54.9%44.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.98.0
36.5%
35.0%24.0
🏀 Free throws24.317.1
70.4%
74.2%17.1
They take 61.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Prienaitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Prienai: 80.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.0 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.7 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.8 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.5 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.518.5
49.3%
54.9%37.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.48.9
33.7%
35.0%26.7
🏀 Free throws22.916.8
73.4%
74.2%16.8
They take 63.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 25 Mar 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Nevezis
LWLLWWLLWL
Prienai
WLLWLLWLLL
#8
League position
#12
-2.3
Net rating
-6.8
111.1
Offensive rating
109.4
113.5
Defensive rating
116.1
55.1%
Effective FG%
49.8%
55.2%
Opp. effective FG%
56.2%
19.3%
Turnover %
15.4%
32.2%
Off. rebound %
29.8%
0.39
Free-throw rate
0.36
36.5%
3-point %
33.7%
63.5%
Assist %
45.6%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence111.1 · 109.4Defence113.5 · 116.1Shooting55.1% · 49.8%3-point %36.5% · 33.7%Ball care19.3% · 15.4%Off. rebounds32.2% · 29.8%Free throws0.39 · 0.36Form (last 10/10)40% · 30%
■ Nevezis   ■ Prienai
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Nevezis wins
2
Prienai wins
DateGameScore
04/02/23Prienai v Nevezis86-98
04/12/22Nevezis v Prienai89-81
18/04/22Prienai v Nevezis86-97
30/01/22Prienai v Nevezis93-102
21/10/21Prienai v Nevezis89-59
28/09/21Nevezis v Prienai81-83
19/09/21Nevezis v Prienai90-80
Nevezislast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/03/23HLietkabelis77-90
13/03/23ASiauliai107-95
04/03/23HZalgiris Kaunas69-97
14/02/23ALietkabelis108-111
12/02/23HJonava91-83
04/02/23APrienai98-86
29/01/23ABC Wolves73-94
21/01/23ARytas78-98 OT
16/01/23HPieno Zvaigzdes83-65
09/01/23HJuventus71-74
Prienailast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/03/23AJuventus90-86
11/03/23HPieno Zvaigzdes89-92
05/03/23HBC Wolves78-88
14/02/23AJonava85-74
12/02/23AZalgiris Kaunas80-86
04/02/23HNevezis86-98
28/01/23ALietkabelis86-74
14/01/23ARytas77-98
09/01/23AGargzdai71-74
21/12/22ANeptunas75-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Nevezis
LKL 2022-23
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL43%
HomeLWWLL33%
AwayLLWLW55%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231211
Win %43%33%55%
Points / game82.980.086.1
Allowed / game84.982.587.5
Point differential-2.0-2.5-1.5
Avg total167.8162.5173.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+13%8%18%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (9)0% (5)75% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Prienai
LKL 2022-23
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW13%
HomeLLLLL0%
AwayLWLWW25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231112
Win %13%0%25%
Points / game79.075.282.5
Allowed / game89.091.087.2
Point differential-10.0-15.8-4.7
Avg total168.0166.2169.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+9%0%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won20% (5)0% (1)25% (4)
Overtime %13%18%8%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zalgiris Kaunas2319483%87.073.1+13.8
2 Rytas2217577%90.481.5+8.9
3 BC Wolves2315865%85.480.8+4.6
4 Lietkabelis2315865%85.982.4+3.5
5 Jonava2314961%81.579.3+2.2
6 Juventus2314961%85.083.4+1.5
7 Nevezis23101343%82.984.9-2.0
8 Siauliai23101343%83.986.3-2.4
9 Neptunas23101343%78.380.9-2.6
10 Pieno Zvaigzdes2251723%78.288.7-10.5
11 Gargzdai2351822%77.884.9-7.1
12 Prienai2332013%79.089.0-10.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Nevezis2125262218112
Prienai2525291511105
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