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Oklahoma City Thunder vs Milwaukee Bucks Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 18 Oct 2023
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 124-101
27-19 32-35 37-23 28-24
Position#2
Record-
FormLWWWL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
vs
Position#8
Record-
FormLWLLL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
USANBA· Paycom Center
NBA2023-24
Meetings · Oklahoma City Thunder v Milwaukee Bucks
29 Dec 2026
OKC v MIL
upcoming
12 Feb 2026
OKC93
MIL110
03 Feb 2025
OKC125
MIL96
12 Apr 2024
OKC125
MIL107
17 Oct 2023
OKC124
MIL101
09 Nov 2022
OKC132
MIL136
08 Mar 2022
OKC115
MIL142
14 Feb 2021
OKC114
MIL109
10 Nov 2019
OKC119
MIL121
27 Jan 2019
OKC118
MIL112
29 Dec 2017
OKC95
MIL97
04 Apr 2017
OKC110
MIL79
29 Dec 2015
OKC131
MIL123
09 Dec 2014
OKC114
MIL101
11 Jan 2014
OKC101
MIL85
17 Apr 2013
OKC89
MIL95
13 Apr 2011
OKC106
MIL110
27 Nov 2009
OKC108
MIL90
29 Oct 2008
OKC87
MIL98
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Oklahoma City Thunder winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Milwaukee Bucks winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Oklahoma City ThunderUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormThunder
Date
Competition
Portland Trail Blazers
#26
W
118-112
118
112
+6
104avg 107
A26/03
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#27
L
134-137
134
137
-3
121avg 107
H29/03
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#30
W
107-106
107
106
+1
92avg 107
H30/03
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#24
L
117-121
117
121
-4
107avg 107
A31/03
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#9
L
118-128
118
128
-10
104avg 107
H02/04
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#11
L
125-136
125
136
-11
109avg 107
A05/04
NBA
Utah Jazz
#22
W
114-98
114
98
+16
105avg 107
A07/04
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#5
W
115-100
115
100
+15
114avg 107
H09/04
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#15
W
123-118
123
118
+5
110avg 107
A13/04
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#17
L
95-120
95
120
-25
79avg 107
A15/04
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-37
43-25
28-32
22-18
23-26
45-31
31-36
35-44
26-26
28-30
30-24
23-26
32-36
29-29
33-25
23-31
27-27
28-42
34-29
29-30
39-36
40-33
27-33
19-34
32-25
23-27
29-24
30-22
20-24
27-25
38-24
30-27
32-29
25-34
39-24
27-31
23-24
24-33
31-38
17-25
234.2Avg total
116.6Scored
117.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)116.6117.6234.2-1.050%
Last 5 (5)114.4114.4228.8+0.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (23)115.3117.1232.4-1.743%
vs Weaker ◀ (7)121.3113.0234.3+8.371%
This opponent (Milwaukee Bucks) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Milwaukee BucksUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBucks
Date
Competition
Philadelphia 76ers
#4
W
117-104
117
104
+13
118avg 109
H03/04
NBA
Washington Wizards
#23
W
140-128
140
128
+12
142avg 109
A04/04
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#19
W
105-92
105
92
+13
100avg 109
H05/04
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#5
L
114-137
114
137
-23
106avg 109
H08/04
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#18
L
105-121
105
121
-16
100avg 109
A09/04
NBA
Miami Heat
#10
L
117-130
117
130
-13
108avg 109
H16/04
NBA
Miami Heat
#10
W
138-122
138
122
+16
136avg 109
H20/04
NBA
Miami Heat
#10
L
99-121
99
121
-22
87avg 109
A22/04
NBA
Miami Heat
#10
L
114-119
114
119
-5
104avg 109
A24/04
NBA
Miami Heat
#10
L
126-128 OT
126
128
-2
114avg 109
H27/04
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
41-26
28-27
27-29
21-22
32-29
43-33
39-35
26-31
28-21
21-30
30-25
26-16
31-36
41-35
15-37
27-29
26-35
29-32
24-28
26-26
24-33
31-35
33-34
29-28
35-28
46-27
37-30
20-37
21-29
32-37
26-28
20-27
33-28
24-22
32-28
25-41
33-36
36-27
33-23
16-32
237.7Avg total
117.5Scored
120.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)117.5120.2237.7-2.740%
Last 5 (5)118.8124.0242.8-5.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀no games
vs Similar (21)115.9117.0232.9-1.152%
vs Weaker (9)133.6120.1253.7+13.489%
This opponent (Oklahoma City Thunder) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -1.1-1.1Q1: +0.3+0.3Q2Q2: +0.3+0.3Q2: +2.6+2.6Q3Q3: +3.1+3.1Q3: -0.1-0.1Q4Q4: -3.3-3.3Q4: -5.3-5.3
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -1.1-1.1Q1: +0.3+0.3Q2Q2: +0.3+0.3Q2: +2.6+2.6Q3Q3: +3.1+3.1Q3: -0.1-0.1Q4Q4: -3.3-3.3Q4: -5.3-5.3
Oklahoma City ThunderMilwaukee Bucks
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Oklahoma City ThunderLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Portland Trail Blazers
#26
W
68-62
68
62
+6
A26/03
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#27
W
68-57
68
57
+11
H29/03
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#30
L
54-56
54
56
-2
H30/03
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#24
L
61-65
61
65
-4
A31/03
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#9
L
55-69
55
69
-14
H02/04
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#11
W
79-69
79
69
+10
A05/04
NBA
Utah Jazz
#22
W
55-52
55
52
+3
A07/04
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#5
L
47-49
47
49
-2
H09/04
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#15
L
57-63
57
63
-6
A13/04
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#17
L
47-57
47
57
-10
A15/04
NBA
119.0Avg total
59.1Scored
59.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)59.959.0118.9+0.947%-
Last 30 at home (14)60.159.2119.3+0.943%-
Last 30 away (16)59.858.8118.6+0.950%-
Last 10 (10)59.159.9119.0-0.840%-
Last 5 (5)57.058.0115.0-1.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (23)58.559.2117.7-0.739%-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)64.458.4122.9+6.071%-
This opponent (Milwaukee Bucks) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Milwaukee BucksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Philadelphia 76ers
#4
W
69-53
69
53
+16
H03/04
NBA
Washington Wizards
#23
W
75-62
75
62
+13
A04/04
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#19
L
49-51
49
51
-2
H05/04
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#5
W
72-71
72
71
+1
H08/04
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#18
L
55-67
55
67
-12
A09/04
NBA
Miami Heat
#10
L
55-68
55
68
-13
H16/04
NBA
Miami Heat
#10
W
81-55
81
55
+26
H20/04
NBA
Miami Heat
#10
L
53-66
53
66
-13
A22/04
NBA
Miami Heat
#10
W
57-50
57
50
+7
A24/04
NBA
Miami Heat
#10
W
69-63
69
63
+6
H27/04
NBA
124.1Avg total
63.5Scored
60.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)62.157.7119.8+4.473%-
Last 30 at home (15)63.757.7121.4+5.980%-
Last 30 away (15)60.657.7118.3+2.967%-
Last 10 (10)63.560.6124.1+2.960%-
Last 5 (5)63.060.4123.4+2.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀no games
vs Similar (21)59.657.7117.3+2.062%-
vs Weaker (9)68.057.8125.8+10.2100%-
This opponent (Oklahoma City Thunder) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Oklahoma City Thundertheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Oklahoma City Thunder: 116.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers60.0 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.0 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws23.6 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 113.5 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers56.830.0
52.8%
54.4%60.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.611.0
31.8%
36.3%33.0
🏀 Free throws28.623.6
82.5%
78.2%23.6
They take 91.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 34.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Milwaukee Buckstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Milwaukee Bucks: 117.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀12%
🏀🏀 2-pointers54.6 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers48.6 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.3 pts a game · 12% of the points
League average for comparison: 113.5 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.627.3
55.0%
54.4%54.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers40.516.2
40.0%
36.3%48.6
🏀 Free throws20.014.3
71.5%
78.2%14.3
They take 90.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 40.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 18 Oct 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Oklahoma City Thunder
LWWWLLLWLW
Milwaukee Bucks
LLLWLLLWWW
#2
League position
#8
-1.0
Net rating
-2.6
113.8
Offensive rating
114.0
114.8
Defensive rating
116.7
50.9%
Effective FG%
57.3%
56.7%
Opp. effective FG%
58.7%
10.6%
Turnover %
13.7%
25.4%
Off. rebound %
23.0%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.22
31.8%
3-point %
40.0%
57.3%
Assist %
64.1%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence113.8 · 114.0Defence114.8 · 116.7Shooting50.9% · 57.3%3-point %31.8% · 40.0%Ball care10.6% · 13.7%Off. rebounds25.4% · 23.0%Free throws0.31 · 0.22Form (last 10/10)50% · 40%
■ Oklahoma City Thunder   ■ Milwaukee Bucks
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
15/04/23AMinnesota Timberwolves95-120
13/04/23ANew Orleans Pelicans123-118
09/04/23HMemphis Grizzlies115-100
07/04/23AUtah Jazz114-98
05/04/23AGolden State Warriors125-136
02/04/23HPhoenix Suns118-128
31/03/23AIndiana Pacers117-121
30/03/23HDetroit Pistons107-106
29/03/23HCharlotte Hornets134-137
26/03/23APortland Trail Blazers118-112
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/04/23HMiami Heat126-128 OT
24/04/23AMiami Heat114-119
22/04/23AMiami Heat99-121
20/04/23HMiami Heat138-122
16/04/23HMiami Heat117-130
09/04/23AToronto Raptors105-121
08/04/23HMemphis Grizzlies114-137
05/04/23HChicago Bulls105-92
04/04/23AWashington Wizards140-128
03/04/23HPhiladelphia 76ers117-104

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Oklahoma City Thunder
NBA 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
Milwaukee Bucks
NBA 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

No league table for this competition yet.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Oklahoma City Thunder27323728124
Milwaukee Bucks19352324101
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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