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Olimpia Milano vs Tortona Prediction & Stats

Date: Sun 07 Mar 2027
Tip-off: 19:00
Scheduled
Position#3
Record6-2
FormWLWLW
Points / game89.9
Allowed / game81.1
vs
Form · last 5 games
3.7/10
Below normal
4.1/10
Below normal
Position#12
Record3-5
FormLLWLW
Points / game86.5
Allowed / game91.1
ItalyLega ARound 21· Unipol Forum
Domestic2026-27
Meetings · Olimpia Milano v Tortona
07 Mar 2027
MIL v TOR
upcoming
05 Oct 2025
MIL71
TOR74
01 Dec 2024
MIL94
TOR98
14 Jan 2024
MIL83
TOR82
15 Jan 2023
MIL79
TOR63
20 Feb 2022
MIL78
TOR61
09 Jan 2022
MIL72
TOR60
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Olimpia Milano win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Tortona win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Olimpia MilanoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMilano
Date
Competition
Basket Napoli
#2
W
98-82
98
82
+16
93avg 83
A18/10
Lega A
Barcelona
#4
L
81-89
81
89
-8
76avg 83
H22/10
Euroleague
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
94-98 OT
94
98
-4
80avg 83
H25/10
Lega A
Panathinaikos
#1
L
75-80
75
80
-5
66avg 83
A27/10
Euroleague
Olympiacos
#2
L
78-84
78
84
-6
75avg 83
A30/10
Euroleague
Cantu
#16
W
95-82
95
82
+13
no box
A02/11
Lega A
Valencia
#3
L
73-84
73
84
-11
no box
H05/11
Euroleague
Trento
#11
W
88-86
88
86
+2
no box
H08/11
Lega A
Zalgiris Kaunas
#8
L
83-86
83
86
-3
no box
H12/11
Euroleague
Udine
#9
W
83-70
83
70
+13
no box
A15/11
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-25
23-13
25-23
32-21
21-23
19-21
24-27
17-18
22-20
30-17
15-22
14-22
19-18
18-22
24-20
14-20
19-25
25-19
17-25
17-15
23-27
28-20
21-17
23-18
15-24
22-16
22-11
14-33
26-28
30-20
19-22
13-16
25-18
16-27
11-18
31-23
22-15
15-20
22-23
24-12
168.9Avg total
84.8Scored
84.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)89.981.1171.0+8.875%
Season at home (4)92.885.0177.8+7.875%
Season away (4)87.077.2164.2+9.875%
Last 10 (10)84.884.1168.9+0.740%
Last 5 (5)84.481.6166.0+2.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)81.589.2170.8-7.80%
vs Similar (6)86.287.8174.0-1.750%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)89.278.9168.1+10.381%
This opponent (Tortona) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TortonaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTortona
Date
Competition
Aris
#4
L
68-88
68
88
-20
54avg 75
A14/10
Eurocup
Maxima Roma
#5
L
75-89
75
89
-14
69avg 75
H18/10
Lega A
San Pablo Burgos
#30
W
89-79
89
79
+10
75avg 75
H21/10
Eurocup
Basket Napoli
#2
L
90-92
90
92
-2
82avg 75
H25/10
Lega A
Rostock
#28
W
86-83
86
83
+3
83avg 75
H28/10
Eurocup
Udine
#9
L
77-86
77
86
-9
68avg 75
A01/11
Lega A
Cedevita Olimpija
#25
L
71-73 OT
71
73
-2
no box
A04/11
Eurocup
Treviso
#4
W
87-76
87
76
+11
no box
H08/11
Lega A
Hapoel Jerusalem
#1
L
77-91
77
91
-14
no box
H11/11
Eurocup
Cantu
#16
W
106-92 OT
106
92
+14
no box
A15/11
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-31
23-14
11-17
13-26
20-22
18-25
24-25
13-17
18-25
18-20
22-17
31-17
26-19
21-22
17-26
26-25
23-24
16-20
18-26
29-13
14-19
19-21
20-17
24-29
20-16
16-11
14-17
15-21
22-20
22-19
27-21
16-16
25-25
25-23
18-21
9-22
29-23
21-18
19-21
18-25
167.5Avg total
82.6Scored
84.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)86.591.1177.6-4.638%
Season at home (4)88.287.5175.8+0.850%
Season away (4)84.894.8179.5-10.025%
Last 10 (10)82.684.9167.5-2.340%
Last 5 (5)83.683.6167.2+0.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)78.187.6165.8-9.525%
vs Similar (14)83.483.2166.6+0.243%
vs Weaker (8)91.084.4175.4+6.675%
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.3-1.3Q1: -0.6-0.6Q2Q2: +3.1+3.1Q2: +0.6+0.6Q3Q3: -0.8-0.8Q3: -1.8-1.8Q4Q4: +0.1+0.1Q4: -1.7-1.7
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.3-1.3Q1: -0.6-0.6Q2Q2: +3.1+3.1Q2: +0.6+0.6Q3Q3: -0.8-0.8Q3: -1.8-1.8Q4Q4: +0.1+0.1Q4: -1.7-1.7
Olimpia MilanoTortona
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Olimpia MilanoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Basket Napoli
#2
W
41-38
41
38
+3
A18/10
Lega A
Barcelona
#4
L
40-44
40
44
-4
H22/10
Euroleague
Virtus Bologna
#1
W
52-37
52
37
+15
H25/10
Lega A
Panathinaikos
#1
L
37-40
37
40
-3
A27/10
Euroleague
Olympiacos
#2
D
44-44
44
44
+0
A30/10
Euroleague
Cantu
#16
W
51-47
51
47
+4
A02/11
Lega A
Valencia
#3
L
37-40
37
40
-3
H05/11
Euroleague
Trento
#11
W
56-48
56
48
+8
H08/11
Lega A
Zalgiris Kaunas
#8
L
41-45
41
45
-4
H12/11
Euroleague
Udine
#9
W
37-35
37
35
+2
A15/11
Lega A
85.4Avg total
43.6Scored
41.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.642.386.8+2.350%-
Last 30 at home (16)47.741.989.6+5.862%-
Last 30 away (14)41.042.783.7-1.736%-
Last 10 (10)43.641.885.4+1.850%-
Last 5 (5)44.443.087.4+1.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)40.545.586.0-5.00%-
vs Similar (6)43.242.085.2+1.250%-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)47.140.887.9+6.475%-
This opponent (Tortona) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TortonaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Aris
#4
L
44-45
44
45
-1
A14/10
Eurocup
Maxima Roma
#5
L
38-47
38
47
-9
H18/10
Lega A
San Pablo Burgos
#30
L
36-45
36
45
-9
H21/10
Eurocup
Basket Napoli
#2
W
47-41
47
41
+6
H25/10
Lega A
Rostock
#28
L
39-44
39
44
-5
H28/10
Eurocup
Udine
#9
L
33-40
33
40
-7
A01/11
Lega A
Cedevita Olimpija
#25
W
36-27
36
27
+9
A04/11
Eurocup
Treviso
#4
W
44-39
44
39
+5
H08/11
Lega A
Hapoel Jerusalem
#1
W
50-48
50
48
+2
H11/11
Eurocup
Cantu
#16
W
50-41
50
41
+9
A15/11
Lega A
83.4Avg total
41.7Scored
41.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.542.084.5+0.557%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.140.383.4+2.767%-
Last 30 away (15)42.043.785.7-1.747%-
Last 10 (10)41.741.783.4+0.050%-
Last 5 (5)42.639.081.6+3.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)42.244.086.2-1.850%-
vs Similar (14)41.441.182.6+0.357%-
vs Weaker (8)44.841.586.2+3.262%-
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Olimpia Milanotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Olimpia Milano: 86.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.6 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.7 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.6 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.2 points a game
46%
33%
21%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.019.3
56.8%
54.3%38.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.59.9
36.0%
34.3%29.7
🏀 Free throws22.718.6
81.9%
74.6%18.6
They take 61.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Tortonatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Tortona: 81.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.6 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.7 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.1 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.2 points a game
46%
33%
21%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.519.8
51.4%
54.3%39.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.37.9
31.2%
34.3%23.7
🏀 Free throws23.618.1
76.7%
74.6%18.1
They take 63.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 07 Mar 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Olimpia Milano
WLWLWLLLLW
Tortona
WLWLLWLWLL
#3
League position
#12
-1.4
Net rating
-8.6
100.0
Offensive rating
95.7
101.4
Defensive rating
104.3
55.5%
Effective FG%
49.6%
55.5%
Opp. effective FG%
55.7%
16.5%
Turnover %
14.0%
0.37
Free-throw rate
0.37
36.0%
3-point %
31.2%
66.8%
Assist %
52.0%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence100.0 · 95.7Defence101.4 · 104.3Shooting55.5% · 49.6%3-point %36.0% · 31.2%Ball care16.5% · 14.0%Free throws0.37 · 0.37Form (last 10/10)40% · 40%
■ Olimpia Milano   ■ Tortona
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Olimpia Milano wins
2
Tortona wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/26AUdine83-70
12/11/26HZalgiris Kaunas83-86
08/11/26HTrento88-86
05/11/26HValencia73-84
02/11/26ACantu95-82
30/10/26AOlympiacos78-84
27/10/26APanathinaikos75-80
25/10/26HVirtus Bologna94-98 OT
22/10/26HBarcelona81-89
18/10/26ABasket Napoli98-82
Tortonalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/26ACantu106-92 OT
11/11/26HHapoel Jerusalem77-91
08/11/26HTreviso87-76
04/11/26ACedevita Olimpija71-73 OT
01/11/26AUdine77-86
28/10/26HRostock86-83
25/10/26HBasket Napoli90-92
21/10/26HSan Pablo Burgos89-79
18/10/26HMaxima Roma75-89
14/10/26AAris68-88

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Olimpia Milano
Lega A 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW75%
HomeWWLW75%
AwayLWWW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %75%75%75%
Points / game89.992.887.0
Allowed / game81.185.077.2
Point differential+8.8+7.8+9.8
Avg total171.0177.8164.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%25%75%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)67% (3)0% (1)
Overtime %12%25%0%
Tortona
Lega A 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW38%
HomeWLLW50%
AwayLLLW25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %38%50%25%
Points / game86.588.284.8
Allowed / game91.187.594.8
Point differential-4.6+0.8-10.0
Avg total177.6175.8179.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%25%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %12%0%25%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Virtus Bologna87188%95.484.6+10.8
2 Basket Napoli87188%93.286.9+6.4
3 Olimpia Milano86275%89.981.1+8.8
4 Treviso86275%90.887.6+3.1
5 Maxima Roma85362%87.284.2+3.0
6 Varese85362%89.187.1+2.0
7 Venezia85362%87.987.6+0.2
8 Trieste84450%93.888.6+5.1
9 Udine84450%79.980.6-0.8
10 Verona84450%88.590.8-2.2
11 Trento83538%79.884.1-4.4
12 Tortona83538%86.591.1-4.6
13 BC Roma82625%98.698.0+0.6
14 Reggiana82625%82.085.6-3.6
15 Scafati81712%81.591.9-10.4
16 Cantu8080%78.892.8-14.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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