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Panathinaikos vs AEK Athens Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 19 May 2021
Tip-off: 18:15
Final 78-72
15-14 30-24 17-19 16-15
Position#1
Record22-2
FormWWWWW
Points / game89.2
Allowed / game71.0
vs
Position#3
Record17-9
FormLLWLW
Points / game83.1
Allowed / game77.0
GreeceBasket LeagueBasket League - Semi-finals
Domestic2020-21
Meetings · Panathinaikos v AEK Athens
24 Jan 2027
PAO v AAT
upcoming
15 Mar 2026
PAO103
AAT78
21 Oct 2024
PAO94
AAT74
15 Feb 2024
PAO79
AAT72
20 Nov 2023
PAO86
AAT85
11 Dec 2022
PAO71
AAT57
13 Nov 2021
PAO100
AAT75
23 May 2021
PAO94
AAT83
19 May 2021
PAO78
AAT72
10 Jan 2021
PAO80
AAT75
28 Sep 2019
PAO89
AAT68
23 Dec 2018
PAO111
AAT79
11 May 2018
PAO115
AAT85
18 May 2017
PAO81
AAT72
11 May 2017
PAO80
AAT70
11 Dec 2016
PAO77
AAT68
26 Oct 2014
PAO92
AAT58
06 Apr 2011
PAO111
AAT70
25 Apr 2010
PAO91
AAT62
11 Jan 2009
PAO86
AAT82
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Panathinaikos winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
AEK Athens winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PanathinaikosGreeceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPanathinaikos
Date
Competition
CSKA Moscow
#1
L
86-93
86
93
-7
81avg 81
A14/04
Euroleague
PAOK
#5
W
74-68
74
68
+6
74avg 81
A18/04
Basket League
Iraklis
#10
W
100-66
100
66
+34
105avg 81
A20/04
Basket League
Promitheas
#4
W
83-61
83
61
+22
78avg 81
A24/04
Basket League
AEK Athens
#3
W
104-95
104
95
+9
98avg 81
A28/04
Basket League
Peristeri
#21
W
88-62
88
62
+26
no box
H04/05
Greek Cup
Lavrio
#11
W
108-71
108
71
+37
no box
H06/05
Greek Cup
Promitheas
#6
W
91-79
91
79
+12
no box
H09/05
Greek Cup
Ionikos
#8
W
102-64
102
64
+38
103avg 81
H12/05
Basket League
Ionikos
#8
W
90-61
90
61
+29
96avg 81
A14/05
Basket League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-27
20-22
22-25
25-19
26-12
21-17
16-18
11-21
22-24
28-12
28-17
22-13
19-16
18-13
24-14
22-18
28-20
22-24
36-26
18-25
23-19
23-21
26-10
16-12
27-16
26-21
21-19
34-15
20-15
25-26
23-17
23-21
14-20
26-19
29-11
33-14
21-14
27-16
22-16
20-15
164.6Avg total
92.6Scored
72.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)89.271.0160.2+18.292%
Season at home (12)91.368.9160.2+22.492%
Season away (12)87.173.0160.1+14.192%
Last 10 (10)92.672.0164.6+20.690%
Last 5 (5)95.867.4163.2+28.4100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)78.686.6165.1-8.022%
vs Similar (5)78.878.6157.4+0.240%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)93.271.9165.1+21.393%
This opponent (AEK Athens) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AEK AthensGreeceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAthens
Date
Competition
Aris
#9
W
73-68
73
68
+5
no box
A27/03
Basket League
Turk Telekom
#13
L
66-78
66
78
-12
54avg 74
A31/03
Champions League
Lavrio
#2
L
94-97 OT
94
97
-3
no box
H03/04
Basket League
Nizhny Novgorod
#8
W
79-78
79
78
+1
68avg 74
H07/04
Champions League
Kolossos Rhodes
#7
L
72-79
72
79
-7
67avg 74
A10/04
Basket League
Promitheas
#4
L
78-80
78
80
-2
68avg 74
A14/04
Basket League
Panathinaikos
#1
L
95-104
95
104
-9
86avg 74
H28/04
Basket League
PAOK
#5
W
102-89
102
89
+13
98avg 74
H11/05
Basket League
PAOK
#5
L
73-81
73
81
-8
73avg 74
A13/05
Basket League
PAOK
#5
W
87-81
87
81
+6
84avg 74
H16/05
Basket League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-15
16-12
23-22
16-19
17-18
19-21
10-16
20-23
19-15
22-21
21-28
20-18
18-14
16-20
16-25
29-19
11-30
20-11
26-17
15-21
18-15
17-18
23-23
20-24
20-28
24-22
26-36
25-18
19-25
33-21
21-26
29-17
22-26
12-14
21-20
18-21
26-20
23-9
19-26
19-26
165.4Avg total
81.9Scored
83.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)83.177.0160.0+6.165%
Season at home (14)88.979.0167.9+9.979%
Season away (12)76.374.6150.9+1.850%
Last 10 (10)81.983.5165.4-1.640%
Last 5 (5)87.087.0174.0+0.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)77.287.5164.8-10.225%
vs Similar (11)76.680.5157.1-3.827%
vs Weaker (14)84.975.7160.6+9.179%
This opponent (Panathinaikos) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: +3.6+3.6Q1: -1.8-1.8Q2Q2: +4.5+4.5Q2: +3.3+3.3Q3Q3: +7.4+7.4Q3: -3.3-3.3Q4Q4: +5.1+5.1Q4: +0.5+0.5
-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: +3.6+3.6Q1: -1.8-1.8Q2Q2: +4.5+4.5Q2: +3.3+3.3Q3Q3: +7.4+7.4Q3: -3.3-3.3Q4Q4: +5.1+5.1Q4: +0.5+0.5
PanathinaikosAEK Athens
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PanathinaikosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
CSKA Moscow
#1
L
39-49
39
49
-10
A14/04
Euroleague
PAOK
#5
W
47-29
47
29
+18
A18/04
Basket League
Iraklis
#10
W
50-36
50
36
+14
A20/04
Basket League
Promitheas
#4
W
37-29
37
29
+8
A24/04
Basket League
AEK Athens
#3
W
50-44
50
44
+6
A28/04
Basket League
Peristeri
#21
W
46-40
46
40
+6
H04/05
Greek Cup
Lavrio
#11
W
53-37
53
37
+16
H06/05
Greek Cup
Promitheas
#6
W
45-41
45
41
+4
H09/05
Greek Cup
Ionikos
#8
W
40-39
40
39
+1
H12/05
Basket League
Ionikos
#8
W
48-30
48
30
+18
A14/05
Basket League
82.9Avg total
45.5Scored
37.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.139.481.5+2.760%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.139.582.7+3.667%-
Last 30 away (15)41.139.380.4+1.953%-
Last 10 (10)45.537.482.9+8.190%-
Last 5 (5)46.437.483.8+9.0100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)36.944.681.4-7.711%-
vs Similar (5)40.437.077.4+3.460%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)45.637.182.7+8.587%-
This opponent (AEK Athens) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AEK AthensLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Aris
#9
W
34-27
34
27
+7
A27/03
Basket League
Turk Telekom
#13
L
36-39
36
39
-3
A31/03
Champions League
Lavrio
#2
W
41-36
41
36
+5
H03/04
Basket League
Nizhny Novgorod
#8
D
34-34
34
34
+0
H07/04
Champions League
Kolossos Rhodes
#7
L
31-41
31
41
-10
A10/04
Basket League
Promitheas
#4
W
35-33
35
33
+2
A14/04
Basket League
Panathinaikos
#1
L
44-50
44
50
-6
H28/04
Basket League
PAOK
#5
W
52-46
52
46
+6
H11/05
Basket League
PAOK
#5
L
34-40
34
40
-6
A13/05
Basket League
PAOK
#5
W
49-29
49
29
+20
H16/05
Basket League
76.5Avg total
39.0Scored
37.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.438.077.4+1.457%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.236.578.7+5.773%-
Last 30 away (15)36.639.576.1-2.940%-
Last 10 (10)39.037.576.5+1.550%-
Last 5 (5)42.839.682.4+3.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)36.243.279.5-7.00%-
vs Similar (11)38.037.175.1+0.964%-
vs Weaker (14)41.637.478.9+4.264%-
This opponent (Panathinaikos) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Panathinaikostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Panathinaikos: 88.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.2 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.9 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.8 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.1 points a game
48%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.721.6
58.9%
51.8%43.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.611.3
42.5%
35.6%33.9
🏀 Free throws16.411.8
72.0%
74.2%11.8
They take 63.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
AEK Athenstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

AEK Athens: 77.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.4 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.4 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.6 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.1 points a game
48%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.919.7
53.4%
51.8%39.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.97.8
37.3%
35.6%23.4
🏀 Free throws20.214.6
72.3%
74.2%14.6
They take 57.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 19 May 2021 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Panathinaikos
WWWWWWWWWL
AEK Athens
WLWLLLWLLW
#1
League position
#3
+14.9
Net rating
-6.2
121.6
Offensive rating
109.0
106.7
Defensive rating
115.2
60.9%
Effective FG%
54.3%
53.2%
Opp. effective FG%
54.0%
16.8%
Turnover %
19.0%
31.9%
Off. rebound %
29.0%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.35
42.5%
3-point %
37.3%
64.7%
Assist %
50.9%
90%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence121.6 · 109.0Defence106.7 · 115.2Shooting60.9% · 54.3%3-point %42.5% · 37.3%Ball care16.8% · 19.0%Off. rebounds31.9% · 29.0%Free throws0.26 · 0.35Form (last 10/10)90% · 40%
■ Panathinaikos   ■ AEK Athens
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Panathinaikos wins
2
AEK Athens wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/05/21AIonikos90-61
12/05/21HIonikos102-64
09/05/21HPromitheas91-79
06/05/21HLavrio108-71
04/05/21HPeristeri88-62
28/04/21AAEK Athens104-95
24/04/21APromitheas83-61
20/04/21AIraklis100-66
18/04/21APAOK74-68
14/04/21ACSKA Moscow86-93
AEK Athenslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/05/21HPAOK87-81
13/05/21APAOK73-81
11/05/21HPAOK102-89
28/04/21HPanathinaikos95-104
14/04/21APromitheas78-80
10/04/21AKolossos Rhodes72-79
07/04/21HNizhny Novgorod79-78
03/04/21HLavrio94-97 OT
31/03/21ATurk Telekom66-78
27/03/21AAris73-68

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Panathinaikos
Basket League 2020-21
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW92%
HomeWWWWW92%
AwayWWWWW92%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241212
Win %92%92%92%
Points / game89.291.387.1
Allowed / game71.068.973.0
Point differential+18.2+22.4+14.1
Avg total160.2160.2160.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+62%75%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)50% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
AEK Athens
Basket League 2020-21
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW65%
HomeWLLWW79%
AwayWWLLL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261412
Win %65%79%50%
Points / game83.188.976.3
Allowed / game77.079.074.6
Point differential+6.1+9.9+1.8
Avg total160.0167.9150.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+35%50%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won56% (9)67% (3)50% (6)
Overtime %12%14%8%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Panathinaikos2422292%89.271.0+18.2
2 Lavrio2419579%82.778.1+4.6
3 Promitheas2518772%80.475.9+4.5
4 AEK Athens2617965%83.177.0+6.1
5 PAOK26141254%79.779.8-0.2
6 Peristeri26131350%73.775.2-1.4
7 Kolossos Rhodes2481633%78.078.2-0.2
8 Ionikos2481633%76.082.5-6.5
9 Aris2271532%73.777.5-3.7
10 Iraklis2271532%73.580.4-6.9
11 Larisa2361726%74.481.2-6.8
12 Harilaos Trikoupis2251723%72.582.7-10.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Panathinaikos1530171678
AEK Athens1424191572
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