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Panathinaikos vs AEK Athens Prediction & Stats

Date: Sun 24 Jan 2027
Tip-off: 15:00
Scheduled
Position#3
Record6-1
FormLWWLW
Points / game87.4
Allowed / game74.3
vs
Form · last 5 games
3.8/10
Below normal
3.9/10
Below normal
Position#11
Record2-5
FormLLWLL
Points / game75.1
Allowed / game79.6
GreeceBasket LeagueRound 16· Telekom Center Athens
Domestic2026-27
Meetings · Panathinaikos v AEK Athens
24 Jan 2027
PAO v AAT
upcoming
15 Mar 2026
PAO103
AAT78
21 Oct 2024
PAO94
AAT74
15 Feb 2024
PAO79
AAT72
20 Nov 2023
PAO86
AAT85
11 Dec 2022
PAO71
AAT57
13 Nov 2021
PAO100
AAT75
23 May 2021
PAO94
AAT83
19 May 2021
PAO78
AAT72
10 Jan 2021
PAO80
AAT75
28 Sep 2019
PAO89
AAT68
23 Dec 2018
PAO111
AAT79
11 May 2018
PAO115
AAT85
18 May 2017
PAO81
AAT72
11 May 2017
PAO80
AAT70
11 Dec 2016
PAO77
AAT68
26 Oct 2014
PAO92
AAT58
06 Apr 2011
PAO111
AAT70
25 Apr 2010
PAO91
AAT62
11 Jan 2009
PAO86
AAT82
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Panathinaikos win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
AEK Athens win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PanathinaikosGreeceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPanathinaikos
Date
Competition
Peristeri
#6
W
95-75
95
75
+20
97avg 83
H18/10
Basket League
Baskonia
#20
W
85-79
85
79
+6
84avg 83
H22/10
Euroleague
AS Karditsas
#5
W
78-64
78
64
+14
71avg 83
H24/10
Basket League
Olimpia Milano
#19
W
80-75
80
75
+5
77avg 83
H27/10
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#12
L
68-83
68
83
-15
59avg 83
A30/10
Euroleague
Aris
#2
L
91-101
91
101
-10
84avg 83
A01/11
Basket League
Real Madrid
#5
W
115-112 OT
115
112
+3
no box
A04/11
Euroleague
AEK Athens
#11
W
83-74
83
74
+9
no box
A08/11
Basket League
Barcelona
#4
L
74-76
74
76
-2
no box
H13/11
Euroleague
Kolossos Rhodes
#8
W
78-73
78
73
+5
no box
H15/11
Basket League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-13
26-16
23-17
20-29
20-21
23-19
20-14
22-25
19-15
12-24
19-17
28-8
18-19
22-18
20-24
20-14
18-21
19-24
14-16
17-22
15-18
29-28
24-33
23-22
24-18
27-30
23-25
27-28
14-19
23-21
21-15
25-19
17-17
16-15
24-11
17-33
26-15
19-20
21-13
12-25
165.9Avg total
84.7Scored
81.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)87.474.3161.7+13.186%
Season at home (4)88.571.5160.0+17.0100%
Season away (3)86.078.0164.0+8.067%
Last 10 (10)84.781.2165.9+3.570%
Last 5 (5)88.287.2175.4+1.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)82.883.4166.2-0.640%
vs Similar (6)89.291.3180.5-2.233%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)87.875.9163.8+11.984%
This opponent (AEK Athens) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AEK AthensGreeceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAthens
Date
Competition
Maroussi
#10
W
91-70
91
70
+21
88avg 79
H03/10
Basket League
Salon Vilpas
#15
W
95-93
95
93
+2
95avg 79
H07/10
Champions League
Aris
#2
L
58-88
58
88
-30
47avg 79
A10/10
Basket League
Mykonos
#12
W
84-79
84
79
+5
83avg 79
H17/10
Basket League
Antwerp Giants
#12
L
76-103
76
103
-27
65avg 79
H21/10
Champions League
PAOK
#1
L
62-65
62
65
-3
59avg 79
A24/10
Basket League
Vikos
#13
L
84-95
84
95
-11
69avg 79
A31/10
Basket League
Szombathely
#33
W
72-66
72
66
+6
no box
A04/11
Champions League
Panathinaikos
#3
L
74-83
74
83
-9
no box
H08/11
Basket League
Lefkadas
#9
L
73-77
73
77
-4
no box
H14/11
Basket League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-12
28-22
18-16
27-20
24-24
25-20
17-27
29-22
10-23
11-19
14-22
23-24
22-17
25-21
18-21
19-20
25-25
25-23
12-28
14-27
15-20
14-5
15-22
18-18
16-20
27-26
17-25
24-24
18-17
20-10
16-21
18-18
19-14
21-23
15-21
19-25
13-27
24-18
22-15
14-17
158.8Avg total
76.9Scored
81.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)75.179.6154.7-4.429%
Season at home (4)80.577.2157.8+3.250%
Season away (3)68.082.7150.7-14.70%
Last 10 (10)76.981.9158.8-5.040%
Last 5 (5)73.077.2150.2-4.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)74.786.3161.0-11.527%
vs Similar (13)82.281.8163.9+0.454%
vs Weaker (6)89.581.8171.3+7.783%
This opponent (Panathinaikos) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +2.1+2.1Q1: -1.9-1.9Q2Q2: +0.1+0.1Q2: +3.3+3.3Q3Q3: +2.4+2.4Q3: -5.4-5.4Q4Q4: -1.4-1.4Q4: -1.0-1.0
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +2.1+2.1Q1: -1.9-1.9Q2Q2: +0.1+0.1Q2: +3.3+3.3Q3Q3: +2.4+2.4Q3: -5.4-5.4Q4Q4: -1.4-1.4Q4: -1.0-1.0
PanathinaikosAEK Athens
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PanathinaikosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Peristeri
#6
W
52-29
52
29
+23
H18/10
Basket League
Baskonia
#20
W
43-40
43
40
+3
H22/10
Euroleague
AS Karditsas
#5
L
31-39
31
39
-8
H24/10
Basket League
Olimpia Milano
#19
W
40-37
40
37
+3
H27/10
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#12
L
37-45
37
45
-8
A30/10
Euroleague
Aris
#2
L
44-46
44
46
-2
A01/11
Basket League
Real Madrid
#5
W
51-48
51
48
+3
A04/11
Euroleague
AEK Athens
#11
L
37-40
37
40
-3
A08/11
Basket League
Barcelona
#4
W
33-32
33
32
+1
H13/11
Euroleague
Kolossos Rhodes
#8
W
45-35
45
35
+10
H15/11
Basket League
80.4Avg total
41.3Scored
39.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.538.680.1+2.953%-
Last 30 at home (18)43.237.180.3+6.167%-
Last 30 away (12)39.040.879.8-1.833%-
Last 10 (10)41.339.180.4+2.260%-
Last 5 (5)42.040.282.2+1.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)35.840.075.8-4.220%-
vs Similar (6)40.044.384.3-4.333%-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)43.536.479.9+7.168%-
This opponent (AEK Athens) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AEK AthensLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Maroussi
#10
W
46-34
46
34
+12
H03/10
Basket League
Salon Vilpas
#15
W
49-44
49
44
+5
H07/10
Champions League
Aris
#2
L
21-42
21
42
-21
A10/10
Basket League
Mykonos
#12
W
47-38
47
38
+9
H17/10
Basket League
Antwerp Giants
#12
W
50-48
50
48
+2
H21/10
Champions League
PAOK
#1
W
29-25
29
25
+4
A24/10
Basket League
Vikos
#13
L
43-46
43
46
-3
A31/10
Basket League
Szombathely
#33
W
38-27
38
27
+11
A04/11
Champions League
Panathinaikos
#3
W
40-37
40
37
+3
H08/11
Basket League
Lefkadas
#9
L
37-45
37
45
-8
H14/11
Basket League
78.6Avg total
40.0Scored
38.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.141.182.3+0.050%-
Last 30 at home (17)42.941.984.9+1.053%-
Last 30 away (13)38.840.178.8-1.346%-
Last 10 (10)40.038.678.6+1.470%-
Last 5 (5)37.436.073.4+1.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)38.539.578.1-1.055%-
vs Similar (13)40.541.782.2-1.246%-
vs Weaker (6)47.242.890.0+4.350%-
This opponent (Panathinaikos) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Panathinaikostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Panathinaikos: 82.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.2 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.0 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.6 points a game
46%
34%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.619.6
56.6%
50.6%39.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.68.8
34.4%
34.4%26.4
🏀 Free throws23.617.0
72.0%
71.8%17.0
They take 60.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
AEK Athenstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

AEK Athens: 80.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.0 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.9 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.1 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.6 points a game
46%
34%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.621.0
53.0%
50.6%42.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.07.3
33.2%
34.4%21.9
🏀 Free throws22.216.1
72.5%
71.8%16.1
They take 61.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 24 Jan 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Panathinaikos
WLWWLLWWWW
AEK Athens
LLWLLLWLWW
#3
League position
#11
+8.3
Net rating
-9.2
97.5
Offensive rating
93.6
89.3
Defensive rating
102.8
54.5%
Effective FG%
51.9%
49.2%
Opp. effective FG%
54.9%
16.5%
Turnover %
14.8%
0.39
Free-throw rate
0.36
34.4%
3-point %
33.2%
65.1%
Assist %
67.5%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence97.5 · 93.6Defence89.3 · 102.8Shooting54.5% · 51.9%3-point %34.4% · 33.2%Ball care16.5% · 14.8%Free throws0.39 · 0.36Form (last 10/10)70% · 40%
■ Panathinaikos   ■ AEK Athens
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
9
Panathinaikos wins
1
AEK Athens wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/26HKolossos Rhodes78-73
13/11/26HBarcelona74-76
08/11/26AAEK Athens83-74
04/11/26AReal Madrid115-112 OT
01/11/26AAris91-101
30/10/26AAnadolu Efes68-83
27/10/26HOlimpia Milano80-75
24/10/26HAS Karditsas78-64
22/10/26HBaskonia85-79
18/10/26HPeristeri95-75
AEK Athenslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26HLefkadas73-77
08/11/26HPanathinaikos74-83
04/11/26ASzombathely72-66
31/10/26AVikos84-95
24/10/26APAOK62-65
21/10/26HAntwerp Giants76-103
17/10/26HMykonos84-79
10/10/26AAris58-88
07/10/26HSalon Vilpas95-93
03/10/26HMaroussi91-70

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Panathinaikos
Basket League 2026-27
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW86%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayWLW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %86%100%67%
Points / game87.488.586.0
Allowed / game74.371.578.0
Point differential+13.1+17.0+8.0
Avg total161.7160.0164.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+57%75%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
AEK Athens
Basket League 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL29%
HomeWWLL50%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %29%50%0%
Points / game75.180.568.0
Allowed / game79.677.282.7
Point differential-4.4+3.2-14.7
Avg total154.7157.8150.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)50% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 PAOK770100%79.670.4+9.1
2 Aris76186%86.772.4+14.3
3 Panathinaikos76186%87.474.3+13.1
4 Olympiacos76186%84.772.4+12.3
5 AS Karditsas74357%73.771.9+1.9
6 Peristeri74357%81.084.6-3.6
7 Iraklis73443%80.176.4+3.7
8 Kolossos Rhodes73443%79.681.3-1.7
9 Lefkadas73443%78.380.4-2.1
10 Maroussi72529%79.983.1-3.3
11 AEK Athens72529%75.179.6-4.4
12 Mykonos71614%72.684.4-11.9
13 Vikos71614%77.389.7-12.4
14 Promitheas71614%73.388.3-15.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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