PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Perth vs Illawarra Hawks Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 25 Oct 2025
Tip-off: 09:00
Final 84-85
19-23 15-18 24-11 26-33
Position#5
Record4-3
FormWWLLW
Points / game86.9
Allowed / game85.1
vs
Position#8
Record1-4
FormLLLWL
Points / game90.0
Allowed / game101.0
AustraliaNBLRound 6· RAC Arena
Other2025-26
Meetings · Perth v Illawarra Hawks
14 Nov 2026
PERT v ILLA
upcoming
31 Oct 2026
PERT98
ILLA105
16 Jan 2026
PERT92
ILLA87
25 Oct 2025
PERT84
ILLA85
02 Oct 2025
PERT92
ILLA84
06 Dec 2024
PERT111
ILLA121
01 Nov 2024
PERT113
ILLA105
25 Jan 2024
PERT77
ILLA95
27 Jan 2023
PERT106
ILLA86
08 Oct 2022
PERT77
ILLA71
22 Apr 2022
PERT77
ILLA82
14 Jun 2021
PERT79
ILLA71
10 Jun 2021
PERT72
ILLA74
16 Apr 2021
PERT83
ILLA69
26 Mar 2021
PERT81
ILLA70
11 Oct 2019
PERT103
ILLA76
01 Feb 2019
PERT104
ILLA90
14 Oct 2018
PERT101
ILLA61
26 Oct 2017
PERT105
ILLA74
13 Oct 2017
PERT74
ILLA64
05 Mar 2017
PERT95
ILLA86
26 Feb 2017
PERT89
ILLA77
27 Nov 2016
PERT85
ILLA89
21 Oct 2016
PERT80
ILLA73
26 Feb 2016
PERT89
ILLA74
19 Feb 2016
PERT80
ILLA68
21 Jan 2016
PERT95
ILLA72
31 Oct 2015
PERT91
ILLA62
05 Dec 2014
PERT79
ILLA55
17 Oct 2014
PERT69
ILLA59
28 Mar 2014
PERT91
ILLA79
23 Mar 2014
PERT86
ILLA65
01 Nov 2013
PERT87
ILLA47
28 Mar 2013
PERT93
ILLA65
03 Feb 2013
PERT80
ILLA52
07 Dec 2012
PERT80
ILLA68
05 Nov 2011
PERT87
ILLA71
14 Jan 2011
PERT92
ILLA58
29 Oct 2010
PERT87
ILLA84
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Perth winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Illawarra Hawks winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PerthAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPerth
Date
Competition
Melbourne United
#2
L
93-105
93
105
-12
77avg 93
A27/02
NBL
Melbourne United
#2
W
96-89
96
89
+7
91avg 93
H01/03
NBL
Melbourne United
#2
L
112-113
112
113
-1
105avg 93
A04/03
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#6
L
72-75
72
75
-3
no box
H20/09
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#7
W
89-78
89
78
+11
no box
A27/09
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#8
W
92-84
92
84
+8
86avg 93
H02/10
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#9
W
80-77
80
77
+3
69avg 93
A10/10
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#10
L
93-110
93
110
-17
82avg 93
H15/10
NBL
Sydney
#1
L
72-94
72
94
-22
59avg 93
A19/10
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#9
W
110-78
110
78
+32
106avg 93
A22/10
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-23
33-26
21-32
22-24
21-36
20-19
22-19
33-15
37-26
25-32
22-29
28-26
21-13
14-20
14-21
23-21
25-17
19-25
18-17
27-19
10-20
34-23
23-13
25-28
23-23
18-20
20-17
19-17
21-26
27-30
23-24
22-30
22-15
23-35
21-24
6-20
30-22
30-20
28-20
22-16
181.2Avg total
90.9Scored
90.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)86.985.1172.0+1.757%
Season at home (3)85.789.7175.3-4.033%
Season away (4)87.881.8169.5+6.075%
Last 10 (10)90.990.3181.2+0.650%
Last 5 (5)89.488.6178.0+0.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)90.3111.7202.0-21.30%
vs Similar (9)101.699.7201.2+1.956%
vs Weaker ◀ (18)103.992.9196.8+10.978%
This opponent (Illawarra Hawks) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Illawarra HawksAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHawks
Date
Competition
Melbourne United
#2
W
80-71
80
71
+9
72avg 91
A19/03
NBL
Melbourne United
#2
W
114-104
114
104
+10
112avg 91
H23/03
NBL
Flamengo
#5
L
82-84 OT
82
84
-2
64avg 91
H19/09
Intercontinental Cup
G League United
#3
L
94-100
94
100
-6
81avg 91
A20/09
Intercontinental Cup
Utsunomiya Brex
#6
W
93-69
93
69
+24
89avg 91
A21/09
Intercontinental Cup
Tasmania JackJumpers
#6
L
86-91
86
91
-5
80avg 91
H27/09
NBL
Perth
#5
L
84-92
84
92
-8
73avg 91
A02/10
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#7
L
88-117
88
117
-29
81avg 91
A08/10
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#10
W
116-89
116
89
+27
119avg 91
H11/10
NBL
South East Melbourne
#2
L
76-116
76
116
-40
68avg 91
A18/10
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-12
13-20
23-16
29-23
26-26
34-24
22-22
32-32
13-20
18-8
19-25
23-20
25-24
20-27
23-22
26-27
26-14
26-13
20-15
21-27
21-21
24-28
16-20
25-22
20-10
23-34
13-23
28-25
24-30
25-30
23-27
16-30
34-18
34-29
21-24
27-18
23-30
17-36
12-17
24-33
184.6Avg total
91.3Scored
93.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)90.0101.0191.0-11.020%
Season at home (2)101.090.0191.0+11.050%
Season away (3)82.7108.3191.0-25.70%
Last 10 (10)91.393.3184.6-2.040%
Last 5 (5)90.0101.0191.0-11.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)80.0104.0184.0-24.00%
vs Similar (2)87.0104.0191.0-17.00%
vs Weaker (26)100.891.4192.2+9.365%
This opponent (Perth) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +0.6+0.6Q1: +2.2+2.2Q2Q2: -0.7-0.7Q2: -1.5-1.5Q3Q3: -0.4-0.4Q3: -1.9-1.9Q4Q4: +1.1+1.1Q4: -0.6-0.6
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +0.6+0.6Q1: +2.2+2.2Q2Q2: -0.7-0.7Q2: -1.5-1.5Q3Q3: -0.4-0.4Q3: -1.9-1.9Q4Q4: +1.1+1.1Q4: -0.6-0.6
PerthIllawarra Hawks
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PerthLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Melbourne United
#2
W
50-49
50
49
+1
A27/02
NBL
Melbourne United
#2
L
41-55
41
55
-14
H01/03
NBL
Melbourne United
#2
W
62-58
62
58
+4
A04/03
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#6
W
35-33
35
33
+2
H20/09
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#7
W
44-42
44
42
+2
A27/09
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#8
W
44-43
44
43
+1
H02/10
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#9
L
41-43
41
43
-2
A10/10
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#10
L
48-56
48
56
-8
H15/10
NBL
Sydney
#1
L
45-50
45
50
-5
A19/10
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#9
W
60-42
60
42
+18
A22/10
NBL
94.1Avg total
47.0Scored
47.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)52.349.3101.6+3.053%-
Last 30 at home (14)50.949.9100.9+1.043%-
Last 30 away (16)53.648.8102.3+4.862%-
Last 10 (10)47.047.194.1-0.160%-
Last 5 (5)47.646.894.4+0.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)48.756.0104.7-7.30%-
vs Similar (9)54.052.3106.3+1.756%-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)52.146.798.8+5.461%-
This opponent (Illawarra Hawks) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Illawarra HawksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Melbourne United
#2
L
28-32
28
32
-4
A19/03
NBL
Melbourne United
#2
W
60-50
60
50
+10
H23/03
NBL
Flamengo
#5
W
31-28
31
28
+3
H19/09
Intercontinental Cup
G League United
#3
L
45-51
45
51
-6
A20/09
Intercontinental Cup
Utsunomiya Brex
#6
W
52-27
52
27
+25
A21/09
Intercontinental Cup
Tasmania JackJumpers
#6
L
45-49
45
49
-4
H27/09
NBL
Perth
#5
L
43-44
43
44
-1
A02/10
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#7
L
49-60
49
60
-11
A08/10
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#10
W
68-47
68
47
+21
H11/10
NBL
South East Melbourne
#2
L
40-66
40
66
-26
A18/10
NBL
91.5Avg total
46.1Scored
45.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)50.846.897.7+4.057%-
Last 30 at home (16)55.245.4100.6+9.881%-
Last 30 away (14)45.948.594.4-2.629%-
Last 10 (10)46.145.491.5+0.740%-
Last 5 (5)49.053.2102.2-4.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)41.555.096.5-13.50%-
vs Similar (2)47.054.5101.5-7.50%-
vs Weaker (26)51.845.697.5+6.265%-
This opponent (Perth) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Perththeir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Perth: 97.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.4 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.7 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.3 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 89.9 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.224.2
57.3%
54.6%48.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.49.9
36.1%
33.3%29.7
🏀 Free throws24.419.3
79.1%
74.8%19.3
They take 69.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Illawarra Hawkstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Illawarra Hawks: 89.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.8 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.7 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.7 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 89.9 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.824.9
61.0%
54.6%49.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.37.9
31.2%
33.3%23.7
🏀 Free throws22.315.7
70.4%
74.8%15.7
They take 66.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 25 Oct 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Perth
WLLWWWLLWL
Illawarra Hawks
LWLLLWLLWW
#5
League position
#8
+3.2
Net rating
-3.1
122.8
Offensive rating
115.3
119.7
Defensive rating
118.4
56.1%
Effective FG%
55.6%
55.8%
Opp. effective FG%
53.9%
14.6%
Turnover %
18.0%
31.3%
Off. rebound %
31.8%
0.35
Free-throw rate
0.34
36.1%
3-point %
31.2%
51.9%
Assist %
50.3%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence122.8 · 115.3Defence119.7 · 118.4Shooting56.1% · 55.6%3-point %36.1% · 31.2%Ball care14.6% · 18.0%Off. rebounds31.3% · 31.8%Free throws0.35 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)50% · 40%
■ Perth   ■ Illawarra Hawks
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Perth wins
5
Illawarra Hawks wins
Perthlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/10/25ACairns Taipans110-78
19/10/25ASydney72-94
15/10/25HBrisbane Bullets93-110
10/10/25ACairns Taipans80-77
02/10/25HIllawarra Hawks92-84
27/09/25ANew Zealand Breakers89-78
20/09/25HTasmania JackJumpers72-75
04/03/25AMelbourne United112-113
01/03/25HMelbourne United96-89
27/02/25AMelbourne United93-105
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/10/25ASouth East Melbourne76-116
11/10/25HBrisbane Bullets116-89
08/10/25ANew Zealand Breakers88-117
02/10/25APerth84-92
27/09/25HTasmania JackJumpers86-91
21/09/25AUtsunomiya Brex93-69
20/09/25AG League United94-100
19/09/25HFlamengo82-84 OT
23/03/25HMelbourne United114-104
19/03/25AMelbourne United80-71

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Perth
NBL 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW57%
HomeLWL33%
AwayWWLW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %57%33%75%
Points / game86.985.787.8
Allowed / game85.189.781.8
Point differential+1.7-4.0+6.0
Avg total172.0175.3169.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%0%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)0% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Illawarra Hawks
NBL 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL20%
HomeLW50%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %20%50%0%
Points / game90.0101.082.7
Allowed / game101.090.0108.3
Point differential-11.0+11.0-25.7
Avg total191.0191.0191.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Melbourne United880100%100.080.4+19.6
2 Adelaide65183%92.284.7+7.5
3 South East Melbourne75271%98.986.6+12.3
4 Perth74357%86.985.1+1.7
5 Tasmania JackJumpers74357%82.082.6-0.6
6 Sydney73443%89.486.9+2.6
7 Brisbane Bullets93633%89.293.9-4.7
8 New Zealand Breakers92722%86.892.4-5.7
9 Cairns Taipans92722%76.094.4-18.4
10 Illawarra Hawks51420%90.0101.0-11.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Perth1915242684
Illawarra Hawks2318113385
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.