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Perth vs Illawarra Hawks Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 02 Oct 2025
Tip-off: 11:30
Final 92-84
10-20 34-23 23-13 25-28
Position#5
Record1-1
FormLWLLW
Points / game80.5
Allowed / game76.5
Perth 🏆
Australia
vs
Illawarra Hawks
Australia
Position#8
Record0-1
FormWLLWL
Points / game86.0
Allowed / game91.0
AustraliaNBLRound 3· RAC Arena
Other2025-26
Meetings · Perth v Illawarra Hawks
14 Nov 2026
PERT v ILLA
upcoming
31 Oct 2026
PERT98
ILLA105
16 Jan 2026
PERT92
ILLA87
25 Oct 2025
PERT84
ILLA85
02 Oct 2025
PERT92
ILLA84
06 Dec 2024
PERT111
ILLA121
01 Nov 2024
PERT113
ILLA105
25 Jan 2024
PERT77
ILLA95
27 Jan 2023
PERT106
ILLA86
08 Oct 2022
PERT77
ILLA71
22 Apr 2022
PERT77
ILLA82
14 Jun 2021
PERT79
ILLA71
10 Jun 2021
PERT72
ILLA74
16 Apr 2021
PERT83
ILLA69
26 Mar 2021
PERT81
ILLA70
11 Oct 2019
PERT103
ILLA76
01 Feb 2019
PERT104
ILLA90
14 Oct 2018
PERT101
ILLA61
26 Oct 2017
PERT105
ILLA74
13 Oct 2017
PERT74
ILLA64
05 Mar 2017
PERT95
ILLA86
26 Feb 2017
PERT89
ILLA77
27 Nov 2016
PERT85
ILLA89
21 Oct 2016
PERT80
ILLA73
26 Feb 2016
PERT89
ILLA74
19 Feb 2016
PERT80
ILLA68
21 Jan 2016
PERT95
ILLA72
31 Oct 2015
PERT91
ILLA62
05 Dec 2014
PERT79
ILLA55
17 Oct 2014
PERT69
ILLA59
28 Mar 2014
PERT91
ILLA79
23 Mar 2014
PERT86
ILLA65
01 Nov 2013
PERT87
ILLA47
28 Mar 2013
PERT93
ILLA65
03 Feb 2013
PERT80
ILLA52
07 Dec 2012
PERT80
ILLA68
05 Nov 2011
PERT87
ILLA71
14 Jan 2011
PERT92
ILLA58
29 Oct 2010
PERT87
ILLA84
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Perth winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Illawarra Hawks winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PerthAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPerth
Date
Competition
Cairns Taipans
#10
L
116-125 OT
116
125
-9
90avg 92
H25/01
NBL
South East Melbourne
#5
W
100-99
100
99
+1
101avg 92
H31/01
NBL
Sydney
#4
W
104-97
104
97
+7
87avg 92
A02/02
NBL
Adelaide
#6
W
112-104
112
104
+8
108avg 92
H07/02
NBL
South East Melbourne
#5
W
122-105
122
105
+17
124avg 92
H11/02
NBL
Melbourne United
#2
L
93-105
93
105
-12
77avg 92
A27/02
NBL
Melbourne United
#2
W
96-89
96
89
+7
91avg 92
H01/03
NBL
Melbourne United
#2
L
112-113
112
113
-1
105avg 92
A04/03
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#6
L
72-75
72
75
-3
no box
H20/09
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#7
W
89-78
89
78
+11
no box
A27/09
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-22
29-34
35-17
18-27
27-26
22-23
17-28
34-22
32-21
24-27
29-26
19-23
20-27
29-29
32-22
31-26
29-28
33-39
34-23
26-15
17-23
33-26
21-32
22-24
21-36
20-19
22-19
33-15
37-26
25-32
22-29
28-26
21-13
14-20
14-21
23-21
25-17
19-25
18-17
27-19
200.6Avg total
101.6Scored
99.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)80.576.5157.0+4.050%
Season at home (1)72.075.0147.0-3.00%
Season away (1)89.078.0167.0+11.0100%
Last 10 (10)101.699.0200.6+2.660%
Last 5 (5)92.492.0184.4+0.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)104.0115.3219.3-11.333%
vs Similar (11)97.998.3196.2-0.455%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)104.293.4197.7+10.875%
This opponent (Illawarra Hawks) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Illawarra HawksAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHawks
Date
Competition
South East Melbourne
#5
W
126-96
126
96
+30
130avg 90
H05/03
NBL
Melbourne United
#2
L
88-96
88
96
-8
73avg 90
H08/03
NBL
Melbourne United
#2
W
102-100
102
100
+2
86avg 90
A12/03
NBL
Melbourne United
#2
L
77-83
77
83
-6
67avg 90
H16/03
NBL
Melbourne United
#2
W
80-71
80
71
+9
72avg 90
A19/03
NBL
Melbourne United
#2
W
114-104
114
104
+10
112avg 90
H23/03
NBL
Flamengo
#5
L
82-84 OT
82
84
-2
64avg 90
H19/09
Intercontinental Cup
G League United
#3
L
94-100
94
100
-6
81avg 90
A20/09
Intercontinental Cup
Utsunomiya Brex
#6
W
93-69
93
69
+24
89avg 90
A21/09
Intercontinental Cup
Tasmania JackJumpers
#6
L
86-91
86
91
-5
80avg 90
H27/09
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
37-22
33-22
33-20
23-32
29-26
24-17
14-21
21-32
29-29
22-20
31-22
20-29
22-17
20-24
25-19
10-23
15-12
13-20
23-16
29-23
26-26
34-24
22-22
32-32
13-20
18-8
19-25
23-20
25-24
20-27
23-22
26-27
26-14
26-13
20-15
21-27
21-21
24-28
16-20
25-22
183.6Avg total
94.2Scored
89.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)86.091.0177.0-5.00%
Season at home (1)86.091.0177.0-5.00%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)94.289.4183.6+4.850%
Last 5 (5)93.889.6183.4+4.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀no games
vs Similar (1)86.091.0177.0-5.00%
vs Weaker (29)101.491.9193.3+9.466%
This opponent (Perth) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +0.8+0.8Q1: +3.2+3.2Q2Q2: -2.6-2.6Q2: +3.1+3.1Q3Q3: +1.0+1.0Q3: +2.4+2.4Q4Q4: +4.3+4.3Q4: -3.7-3.7
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +0.8+0.8Q1: +3.2+3.2Q2Q2: -2.6-2.6Q2: +3.1+3.1Q3Q3: +1.0+1.0Q3: +2.4+2.4Q4Q4: +4.3+4.3Q4: -3.7-3.7
PerthIllawarra Hawks
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PerthLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cairns Taipans
#10
L
47-56
47
56
-9
H25/01
NBL
South East Melbourne
#5
D
49-49
49
49
+0
H31/01
NBL
Sydney
#4
W
56-48
56
48
+8
A02/02
NBL
Adelaide
#6
L
49-56
49
56
-7
H07/02
NBL
South East Melbourne
#5
L
62-67
62
67
-5
H11/02
NBL
Melbourne United
#2
W
50-49
50
49
+1
A27/02
NBL
Melbourne United
#2
L
41-55
41
55
-14
H01/03
NBL
Melbourne United
#2
W
62-58
62
58
+4
A04/03
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#6
W
35-33
35
33
+2
H20/09
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#7
W
44-42
44
42
+2
A27/09
NBL
100.8Avg total
49.5Scored
51.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)52.249.6101.8+2.650%-
Last 30 at home (15)51.449.9101.3+1.540%-
Last 30 away (15)52.949.3102.3+3.660%-
Last 10 (10)49.551.3100.8-1.850%-
Last 5 (5)46.447.493.8-1.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)54.357.0111.3-2.733%-
vs Similar (11)51.951.7103.6+0.245%-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)51.946.898.7+5.256%-
This opponent (Illawarra Hawks) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Illawarra HawksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
South East Melbourne
#5
W
70-44
70
44
+26
H05/03
NBL
Melbourne United
#2
W
53-43
53
43
+10
H08/03
NBL
Melbourne United
#2
W
51-49
51
49
+2
A12/03
NBL
Melbourne United
#2
W
42-41
42
41
+1
H16/03
NBL
Melbourne United
#2
L
28-32
28
32
-4
A19/03
NBL
Melbourne United
#2
W
60-50
60
50
+10
H23/03
NBL
Flamengo
#5
W
31-28
31
28
+3
H19/09
Intercontinental Cup
G League United
#3
L
45-51
45
51
-6
A20/09
Intercontinental Cup
Utsunomiya Brex
#6
W
52-27
52
27
+25
A21/09
Intercontinental Cup
Tasmania JackJumpers
#6
L
45-49
45
49
-4
H27/09
NBL
89.1Avg total
47.7Scored
41.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)51.245.696.9+5.663%-
Last 30 at home (16)54.244.298.4+9.981%-
Last 30 away (14)47.947.295.1+0.643%-
Last 10 (10)47.741.489.1+6.370%-
Last 5 (5)46.641.087.6+5.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀no games
vs Similar (1)45.049.094.0-4.00%-
vs Weaker (29)51.445.597.0+5.966%-
This opponent (Perth) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Perththeir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Perth: 105.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers51.2 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.4 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws22.2 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 89.9 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.725.6
51.5%
54.6%51.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.310.8
36.9%
33.3%32.4
🏀 Free throws26.822.2
82.8%
74.8%22.2
They take 79.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Illawarra Hawkstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Illawarra Hawks: 94.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers53.2 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.6 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 89.9 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.426.6
52.8%
54.6%53.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.28.8
32.4%
33.3%26.4
🏀 Free throws20.914.6
69.9%
74.8%14.6
They take 77.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 02 Oct 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Perth
WLLWLWWWWL
Illawarra Hawks
LWLLWWLWLW
#5
League position
#8
+3.6
Net rating
+5.8
122.4
Offensive rating
114.3
118.8
Defensive rating
108.5
52.9%
Effective FG%
51.3%
56.0%
Opp. effective FG%
49.2%
11.5%
Turnover %
12.6%
33.0%
Off. rebound %
33.9%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.27
36.9%
3-point %
32.4%
50.0%
Assist %
47.2%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence122.4 · 114.3Defence118.8 · 108.5Shooting52.9% · 51.3%3-point %36.9% · 32.4%Ball care11.5% · 12.6%Off. rebounds33.0% · 33.9%Free throws0.34 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)60% · 50%
■ Perth   ■ Illawarra Hawks
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Perth wins
6
Illawarra Hawks wins
DateGameScore
22/12/24Illawarra Hawks v Perth120-88
06/12/24Perth v Illawarra Hawks111-121
01/11/24Perth v Illawarra Hawks113-105
15/02/24Illawarra Hawks v Perth108-92
25/01/24Perth v Illawarra Hawks77-95
08/12/23Illawarra Hawks v Perth100-82
27/01/23Perth v Illawarra Hawks106-86
31/12/22Illawarra Hawks v Perth97-107
08/10/22Perth v Illawarra Hawks77-71
22/04/22Perth v Illawarra Hawks77-82
Perthlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/09/25ANew Zealand Breakers89-78
20/09/25HTasmania JackJumpers72-75
04/03/25AMelbourne United112-113
01/03/25HMelbourne United96-89
27/02/25AMelbourne United93-105
11/02/25HSouth East Melbourne122-105
07/02/25HAdelaide112-104
02/02/25ASydney104-97
31/01/25HSouth East Melbourne100-99
25/01/25HCairns Taipans116-125 OT
Illawarra Hawkslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/09/25HTasmania JackJumpers86-91
21/09/25AUtsunomiya Brex93-69
20/09/25AG League United94-100
19/09/25HFlamengo82-84 OT
23/03/25HMelbourne United114-104
19/03/25AMelbourne United80-71
16/03/25HMelbourne United77-83
12/03/25AMelbourne United102-100
08/03/25HMelbourne United88-96
05/03/25HSouth East Melbourne126-96

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Perth
NBL 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLW50%
HomeL0%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %50%0%100%
Points / game80.572.089.0
Allowed / game76.575.078.0
Point differential+4.0-3.0+11.0
Avg total157.0147.0167.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%0%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Illawarra Hawks
NBL 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallL0%
HomeL0%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games11-
Win %0%0%-
Points / game86.086.0-
Allowed / game91.091.0-
Point differential-5.0-5.0-
Avg total177.0177.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Adelaide220100%98.579.5+19.0
2 Melbourne United330100%101.783.0+18.7
3 Tasmania JackJumpers32167%83.382.0+1.3
4 South East Melbourne21150%98.590.0+8.5
5 Perth21150%80.576.5+4.0
6 Cairns Taipans42250%79.095.0-16.0
7 Brisbane Bullets31233%88.788.3+0.3
8 Sydney1010%74.077.0-3.0
9 Illawarra Hawks1010%86.091.0-5.0
10 New Zealand Breakers3030%85.0102.3-17.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Perth1034232592
Illawarra Hawks2023132884
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