Perth vs Illawarra Hawks Result & Analysis

Perth hosts the Illawarra Hawks on 14 November 2026 in the NBL, with the model favouring Perth at 65% versus 35% for Illawarra and projecting a 103-98 win for the home side. Perth finished 6-6 this season, averaging 94.4 points and conceding 97.6, while Illawarra is 5-9, scoring 97.3 and allowing 104.3; Perth's home record is 6-4, 94.8 points for and 96.0 against, and they have won only one of their last five games, with a recent 98-92 victory over Tasmania and losses to Cairns and Brisbane. Illawarra's road record is 4-5, 97.0 points for and 103.3 against, and they have won three of their last five, including a 120-110 win over South East Melbourne and a 107-95 win over Cairns. Historically Illawarra leads 6-4 in ten meetings, most recently beating Perth 105-98 on 31 October. The spread of -4.5 gives Perth a 51% chance to cover, while the total of 198.5 carries a 55% over probability and a 5% chance of overtime. Perth's projected 103 points against Illawarra's 98 should see the home team edge the Hawks by five.

Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Perth winWon

65.2%fair 1.53

Best odds1.58

Implied60.3%

Edge+4.9pp

Illawarra Hawks winLost

34.8%fair 2.87

Best odds2.55

Implied39.7%

Edge-4.9pp

Pythia's frozen forecast of 12 Nov 19:45 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Perth

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormPerth

Date

Competition

New Zealand Breakers

97-93

90avg 82

H26/09

NBL

South East Melbourne

#10

92-88

88avg 82

H02/10

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

100-84

100

+16

75avg 82

H10/10

NBL

Sydney

81-102

102

-21

73avg 82

A17/10

NBL

Melbourne United

103-102

103

102

95avg 82

H23/10

NBL

Sydney

91-99

-8

81avg 82

H28/10

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

98-105

105

-7

84avg 82

H31/10

NBL

Brisbane Bullets

104-109

104

109

-5

no box

A04/11

NBL

Cairns Taipans

92-100

100

-8

no box

H08/11

NBL

Tasmania JackJumpers

98-92

no box

H12/11

NBL

22-26

25-25

29-22

21-20

26-24

22-22

22-21

21-22

20-16

29-28

30-18

21-31

22-21

20-24

18-26

25-26

21-22

31-31

26-23

17-33

25-26

28-21

21-19

19-24

25-27

29-27

22-37

21-26

25-18

36-28

27-31

21-22

17-24

27-23

19-21

24-27

26-16

29-28

193.0Avg total

95.6Scored

97.4Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (12)	94.4	97.6	192.0	-3.2	50%
Season at home (10)	94.8	96.0	190.8	-1.2	60%
Season away (2)	92.5	105.5	198.0	-13.0	0%
Last 10 (10)	95.6	97.4	193.0	-1.8	50%
Last 5 (5)	96.6	101.0	197.6	-4.4	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	90.9	98.7	189.6	-7.9	29%
vs Similar (14)	93.0	92.3	185.3	+0.7	57%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)	98.0	85.6	183.6	+12.4	89%

This opponent (Illawarra Hawks) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Illawarra Hawks Australia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormHawks

Date

Competition

South East Melbourne

#10

96-113

113

-17

87avg 88

A04/10

NBL

Tasmania JackJumpers

112-122

112

122

-10

102avg 88

H09/10

NBL

Cairns Taipans

100-110

100

110

-10

94avg 88

H11/10

NBL

Melbourne United

91-89

80avg 88

A18/10

NBL

Sydney

82-108

108

-26

70avg 88

H22/10

NBL

Brisbane Bullets

81-98

-17

61avg 88

H24/10

NBL

Perth

105-98

105

104avg 88

A31/10

NBL

Cairns Taipans

107-95

107

+12

no box

A05/11

NBL

Adelaide

78-106

106

-28

no box

A07/11

NBL

South East Melbourne

#10

120-110

120

110

+10

no box

A11/11

NBL

23-23

18-36

32-26

23-28

22-32

25-35

26-24

39-31

27-28

23-29

27-29

23-24

21-27

35-16

22-22

13-24

19-20

17-28

16-34

30-26

16-25

19-30

27-14

19-29

24-19

27-25

27-29

32-35

29-27

26-20

20-13

21-22

16-27

23-36

18-21

28-23

43-31

24-27

25-29

202.1Avg total

97.2Scored

104.9Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (14)	97.3	104.3	201.6	-7.0	36%
Season at home (5)	97.8	106.0	203.8	-8.2	20%
Season away (9)	97.0	103.3	200.3	-6.3	44%
Last 10 (10)	97.2	104.9	202.1	-7.7	40%
Last 5 (5)	98.2	101.4	199.6	-3.2	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)	96.7	105.3	202.0	-8.5	32%
vs Similar (9)	96.7	96.0	192.7	+0.7	44%
vs Weaker (2)	104.5	76.5	181.0	+28.0	100%

This opponent (Perth) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Over/Under 193Actual: Over 193

Over 193

68.3%

@ 1.53+6.7pp

Under 193

31.7%

@ 2.45-6.7pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Bet365

1.53

Marathon Be

1.52

Under

Bet365

2.45

Over/Under 198 · main lineActual: Over 198

Over 198

56.6%

@ 1.92+6.8pp

Under 198

43.4%

@ 1.95-6.8pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Pinnacle

1.92

Marathon Be

1.90

1xBet

1.90

Bet365

1.85

Under

Bet365

1.95

Pinnacle

1.90

Marathon Be

1.88

1xBet

1.88

Over/Under 203Actual: Over 203

Over 203

44.3%

@ 2.35+4.3pp

Under 203

55.7%

@ 1.57-4.3pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Bet365

2.35

Under

Bet365

1.57

Marathon Be

1.51

📊 3. Team Totals

Perth total 97Actual: Perth over 97

Over 97

71.8%

Under 97

28.2%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

Perth total 101 · main lineActual: Perth over 101

Over 101

56.9%

@ 1.89+7.4pp

Under 101

43.1%

@ 1.85-7.4pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Marathon Be

1.89

Under

Marathon Be

1.85

Perth total 105Actual: Perth over 105

Over 105

40.9%

Under 105

59.1%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

Illawarra Hawks total 93Actual: Illawarra Hawks over 93

Over 93

69.8%

Under 93

30.2%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

Illawarra Hawks total 97 · main lineActual: Illawarra Hawks over 97

Over 97

54.6%

@ 1.87+4.6pp

Under 97

45.4%

@ 1.87-4.6pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Marathon Be

1.87

Under

Marathon Be

1.87

Illawarra Hawks total 101Actual: Illawarra Hawks under 101

Over 101

38.9%

Under 101

61.1%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread Perth -6.5Actual: Perth -6.5

PERT -6.5

43.3%

@ 2.37+3.3pp

ILLA +6.5

56.7%

@ 1.62-3.3pp

Best 5 market prices

PERT

Pinnacle

2.37

Marathon Be

2.26

1xBet

2.26

Bet365

2.25

BetVictor

2.25

ILLA

Bet365

1.62

Betano

1.60

Marathon Be

1.58

1xBet

1.58

Pinnacle

1.58

Spread Perth -3.5 · main lineActual: Perth -3.5

PERT -3.5

54.9%

@ 1.90+4.6pp

ILLA +3.5

45.1%

@ 2.00-4.6pp

Best 5 market prices

PERT

Pinnacle

1.90

Marathon Be

1.85

1xBet

1.85

Bet365

1.83

Betano

1.78

ILLA

Betfair

2.00

Bet365

1.95

BetVictor

1.93

Pinnacle

1.92

Marathon Be

1.91

Spread Perth -0.5Actual: Perth -0.5

PERT -0.5

65.2%

ILLA +0.5

34.8%

Best 5 market prices

PERT

No market prices yet.

ILLA

No market prices yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

PerthIllawarra Hawks

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 50.5
Last 30 (30)	24.1	23.8	47.9	+0.4	57%	37%
Last 30 at home (19)	23.2	22.5	45.7	+0.7	53%	21%
Last 30 away (11)	25.7	26.0	51.7	-0.3	64%	64%
Last 10 (10)	21.9	27.5	49.4	-5.6	10%	40%
Last 5 (5)	20.8	29.2	50.0	-8.4	0%	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	22.6	26.1	48.7	-3.6	43%	43%
vs Similar (14)	25.1	24.3	49.4	+0.8	57%	36%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)	23.9	21.1	45.0	+2.8	67%	33%

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 50.5
Last 30 (30)	23.7	24.6	48.4	-0.9	40%	47%
Last 30 at home (12)	23.8	24.2	48.1	-0.4	42%	50%
Last 30 away (18)	23.7	24.9	48.6	-1.2	39%	44%
Last 10 (10)	23.3	25.4	48.7	-2.1	20%	40%
Last 5 (5)	24.2	24.8	49.0	-0.6	40%	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)	23.6	24.9	48.6	-1.3	37%	47%
vs Similar (9)	24.3	26.2	50.6	-1.9	33%	56%
vs Weaker (2)	22.0	14.5	36.5	+7.5	100%	0%

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 49.5
Last 30 (30)	21.8	23.9	45.7	-2.1	37%	23%
Last 30 at home (19)	22.6	23.2	45.7	-0.6	42%	32%
Last 30 away (11)	20.5	25.2	45.7	-4.6	27%	9%
Last 10 (10)	22.6	23.4	46.0	-0.8	20%	40%
Last 5 (5)	23.2	25.6	48.8	-2.4	0%	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	21.6	24.3	45.9	-2.7	29%	29%
vs Similar (14)	21.1	24.6	45.7	-3.4	29%	21%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)	23.1	22.6	45.7	+0.6	56%	22%

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 49.5
Last 30 (30)	24.7	26.0	50.7	-1.4	40%	57%
Last 30 at home (12)	22.4	25.5	47.9	-3.1	33%	33%
Last 30 away (18)	26.2	26.4	52.6	-0.2	44%	72%
Last 10 (10)	25.2	28.4	53.6	-3.2	40%	70%
Last 5 (5)	26.8	28.0	54.8	-1.2	60%	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)	24.1	26.9	51.0	-2.8	37%	58%
vs Similar (9)	25.1	24.3	49.4	+0.8	44%	44%
vs Weaker (2)	28.0	25.5	53.5	+2.5	50%	100%

PerthLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

New Zealand Breakers

47-51

-4

H26/09

NBL

South East Melbourne

#10

48-46

H02/10

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

41-38

H10/10

NBL

Sydney

43-52

-9

A17/10

NBL

Melbourne United

46-48

-2

H23/10

NBL

Sydney

42-59

-17

H28/10

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

44-51

-7

H31/10

NBL

Brisbane Bullets

43-63

-20

A04/11

NBL

Cairns Taipans

48-53

-5

H08/11

NBL

Tasmania JackJumpers

43-48

-5

H12/11

NBL

95.4Avg total

44.5Scored

50.9Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over 100.5
Last 30 (30)	46.0	47.7	93.6	-1.7	43%	20%
Last 30 at home (19)	45.8	45.6	91.4	+0.2	47%	11%
Last 30 away (11)	46.3	51.2	97.5	-4.9	36%	36%
Last 10 (10)	44.5	50.9	95.4	-6.4	20%	30%
Last 5 (5)	44.0	54.8	98.8	-10.8	0%	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	44.1	50.4	94.6	-6.3	14%	14%
vs Similar (14)	46.2	48.9	95.1	-2.6	43%	29%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)	47.0	43.7	90.7	+3.3	67%	11%

This opponent (Illawarra Hawks) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Illawarra HawksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

South East Melbourne

#10

41-59

-18

A04/10

NBL

Tasmania JackJumpers

47-67

-20

H09/10

NBL

Cairns Taipans

50-57

-7

H11/10

NBL

Melbourne United

56-43

+13

A18/10

NBL

Sydney

36-48

-12

H22/10

NBL

Brisbane Bullets

35-55

-20

H24/10

NBL

Perth

51-44

A31/10

NBL

Cairns Taipans

61-62

-1

A05/11

NBL

Adelaide

37-49

-12

A07/11

NBL

South East Melbourne

#10

71-54

+17

A11/11

NBL

102.3Avg total

48.5Scored

53.8Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over 100.5
Last 30 (30)	48.4	50.7	99.1	-2.3	33%	43%
Last 30 at home (12)	46.2	49.8	96.0	-3.5	25%	33%
Last 30 away (18)	49.8	51.3	101.1	-1.4	39%	50%
Last 10 (10)	48.5	53.8	102.3	-5.3	30%	40%
Last 5 (5)	51.0	52.8	103.8	-1.8	40%	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)	47.7	51.8	99.6	-4.1	32%	47%
vs Similar (9)	49.4	50.6	100.0	-1.1	33%	44%
vs Weaker (2)	50.0	40.0	90.0	+10.0	50%	0%

This opponent (Perth) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

1st half winnerActual: Perth win

PERT win

no forecast

@ 1.75

ILLA win

no forecast

@ 2.35

1st half Spread Perth -1 · main lineActual: Perth -1

PERT -1

no forecast

@ 1.90

ILLA +1

no forecast

@ 1.91

1st half Over/Under 100.5 · main lineActual: Under 100.5

Over

no forecast

@ 1.94

Under

no forecast

@ 1.93

Perth 1st half total 51.5 · main lineActual: Perth under 51.5

Over

no forecast

@ 1.90

Under

no forecast

@ 1.91

Illawarra Hawks 1st half total 49.5 · main lineActual: Illawarra Hawks under 49.5

Over

no forecast

@ 1.95

Under

no forecast

@ 1.83

1st half: PERT + total 100.5

PERT & over

no forecast

@ 3.20

PERT & under

no forecast

@ 3.20

1st half: Draw + total 100.5

Draw & over

no forecast

@ 26.00

Draw & under

no forecast

@ 26.00

1st half: ILLA + total 100.5

ILLA & over

no forecast

@ 4.50

ILLA & under

no forecast

@ 4.50

1st half Spread Perth -2Push

PERT -2

no forecast

@ 2.06

ILLA +2

no forecast

@ 1.95

1st half Over/Under 98.5Actual: Under 98.5

Over

no forecast

@ 1.65

Under

no forecast

@ 2.15

1st half Over/Under 102.5Actual: Under 102.5

Over

no forecast

@ 2.15

Under

no forecast

@ 1.65

1st half Spread Perth +0.5Actual: Perth +0.5

PERT +0.5

no forecast

@ 1.52

ILLA -0.5

no forecast

@ 2.40

1st half Spread Perth -3Actual: Illawarra Hawks +3

PERT -3

no forecast

@ 2.06

ILLA +3

no forecast

@ 1.80

1st half Over/Under 96.5Actual: Over 96.5

Over

no forecast

@ 1.50

Under

no forecast

@ 2.50

1st half Over/Under 104.5Actual: Under 104.5

Over

no forecast

@ 2.50

Under

no forecast

@ 1.50

1st half 3-way (draw possible)Actual: Draw after regulation

PERT

no forecast

@ 1.65

Draw

no forecast

@ 16.50

ILLA

no forecast

@ 2.44

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 48
Last 30 (30)	23.7	21.5	45.2	+2.2	50%	40%
Last 30 at home (19)	23.5	20.8	44.3	+2.7	47%	42%
Last 30 away (11)	24.0	22.6	46.6	+1.4	55%	36%
Last 10 (10)	25.2	23.2	48.4	+2.0	60%	50%
Last 5 (5)	24.2	21.2	45.4	+3.0	60%	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	24.0	22.6	46.6	+1.4	43%	43%
vs Similar (14)	21.0	21.9	42.9	-0.9	43%	29%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)	27.7	20.0	47.7	+7.7	67%	56%

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 48
Last 30 (30)	24.7	24.4	49.1	+0.2	50%	57%
Last 30 at home (12)	23.6	25.0	48.6	-1.4	42%	67%
Last 30 away (18)	25.4	24.1	49.4	+1.3	56%	50%
Last 10 (10)	25.0	25.7	50.7	-0.7	50%	70%
Last 5 (5)	25.4	24.4	49.8	+1.0	60%	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)	23.3	26.2	49.5	-2.8	37%	68%
vs Similar (9)	25.4	22.2	47.7	+3.2	67%	33%
vs Weaker (2)	34.0	18.0	52.0	+16.0	100%	50%

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 48.5
Last 30 (30)	24.3	22.6	47.0	+1.7	73%	40%
Last 30 at home (19)	23.7	22.1	45.8	+1.6	74%	37%
Last 30 away (11)	25.4	23.5	48.9	+1.8	73%	45%
Last 10 (10)	25.9	23.3	49.2	+2.6	90%	50%
Last 5 (5)	28.4	25.0	53.4	+3.4	100%	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	22.7	25.7	48.4	-3.0	43%	43%
vs Similar (14)	25.8	21.6	47.4	+4.2	86%	36%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)	23.3	21.9	45.2	+1.4	78%	44%

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 48.5
Last 30 (30)	23.9	24.9	48.8	-0.9	37%	53%
Last 30 at home (12)	25.5	25.9	51.4	-0.4	33%	50%
Last 30 away (18)	22.9	24.2	47.1	-1.3	39%	56%
Last 10 (10)	23.7	25.4	49.1	-1.7	30%	50%
Last 5 (5)	21.8	24.2	46.0	-2.4	20%	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)	25.3	26.3	51.6	-1.0	37%	74%
vs Similar (9)	21.8	23.2	45.0	-1.4	33%	22%
vs Weaker (2)	20.5	18.5	39.0	+2.0	50%	0%

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over 95.5
Last 30 (30)	48.0	44.1	92.1	+3.9	63%	37%
Last 30 at home (19)	47.3	42.9	90.2	+4.4	63%	32%
Last 30 away (11)	49.4	46.2	95.5	+3.2	64%	45%
Last 10 (10)	51.1	46.5	97.6	+4.6	70%	50%
Last 5 (5)	52.6	46.2	98.8	+6.4	60%	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	46.7	48.3	95.0	-1.6	57%	43%
vs Similar (14)	46.8	43.4	90.2	+3.4	57%	29%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)	51.0	41.9	92.9	+9.1	78%	44%

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over 95.5
Last 30 (30)	48.6	49.3	97.9	-0.7	37%	60%
Last 30 at home (12)	49.1	50.9	100.0	-1.8	42%	67%
Last 30 away (18)	48.3	48.2	96.5	+0.1	33%	56%
Last 10 (10)	48.7	51.1	99.8	-2.4	40%	70%
Last 5 (5)	47.2	48.6	95.8	-1.4	40%	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)	48.6	52.5	101.1	-3.8	26%	74%
vs Similar (9)	47.2	45.4	92.7	+1.8	44%	33%
vs Weaker (2)	54.5	36.5	91.0	+18.0	100%	50%

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

Markets that span the whole game: how the halves and quarters compare, overtime, the exact winning margin. Pythia's probability comes from 20,000 simulations of this game quarter by quarter; the price, edge and books are the same as everywhere on the page.

PERT win + total 198.5

🔒 Pro

ILLA win + total 198.5

🔒 Pro

Overtime

🔒 Pro

Half-time / full-time: PERT leads at half

🔒 Pro

Half-time / full-time: level at half

🔒 Pro

Half-time / full-time: ILLA leads at half

🔒 Pro

Highest-scoring quarter: 1st half

🔒 Pro

Highest-scoring quarter: 2nd half

🔒 Pro

Team with the highest-scoring quarter

🔒 Pro

Highest-scoring half

🔒 Pro

Double chance (regulation)

🔒 Pro

Quarters won (PERT:ILLA): PERT wins more

🔒 Pro

🔒 12 special markets for this game with Pythia's probabilities and edges: Upgrade to Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ranked by edge (click any column to re-sort). Use Min odds to match the prices you want; Edge = Yes shows only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them. The five price columns are the best market prices (highest first); edge is vs the consensus price.

Min odds1.20

Edge

Pick	Probability	Avg odds	Best 1	Best 2	Best 3	Best 4	Best 5	Edge	Result
Perth over 90.5	88.3%	1.18	Bet365 1.18	-	-	-	-	+9.4pp	Won
Perth over 92.5	84.0%	1.25	Bet365 1.25	-	-	-	-	+9.3pp	Won
Perth over 94.5	78.8%	1.33	Bet365 1.33	-	-	-	-	+8.8pp	Won
Illawarra Hawks over 85.5	89.2%	1.15	Bet365 1.15	-	-	-	-	+8.6pp	Won
Perth over 88.5	91.7%	1.12	Bet365 1.12	-	-	-	-	+8.6pp	Won
Perth over 91.5	86.3%	1.20	Bet365 1.20	-	-	-	-	+8.5pp	Won
Illawarra Hawks over 86.5	87.2%	1.18	Bet365 1.18	-	-	-	-	+8.4pp	Won
Perth over 96.5	72.8%	1.44	Bet365 1.44	-	-	-	-	+8.2pp	Won
Perth over 86.5	94.3%	1.09	Bet365 1.09	-	-	-	-	+8.2pp	Won
Perth over 82.5	97.5%	1.04	Bet365 1.04	-	-	-	-	+7.9pp	Won
Perth over 84.5	96.2%	1.06	Bet365 1.06	-	-	-	-	+7.9pp	Won
Illawarra Hawks over 84.5	90.9%	1.12	Bet365 1.12	-	-	-	-	+7.8pp	Won
Illawarra Hawks over 79.5	96.6%	1.05	Bet365 1.05	-	-	-	-	+7.6pp	Won
Illawarra Hawks over 83.5	92.4%	1.10	Bet365 1.10	-	-	-	-	+7.3pp	Won
Illawarra Hawks over 88.5	82.6%	1.23	Bet365 1.23	-	-	-	-	+7.3pp	Won
Illawarra Hawks over 81.5	94.8%	1.07	Bet365 1.07	-	-	-	-	+7.3pp	Won
Perth over 80.5	98.4%	1.02	Bet365 1.02	-	-	-	-	+7.3pp	Won
Perth over 81.5	98.0%	1.02	Bet365 1.02	-	-	-	-	+7.3pp	Won
Illawarra Hawks over 87.5	85.0%	1.20	Bet365 1.20	-	-	-	-	+7.3pp	Won
Over 191	72.6%	1.43	Bet365 1.43	-	-	-	-	+7.2pp	Won
Over 192	70.5%	1.46	Bet365 1.48	Marathon Bet 1.45	-	-	-	+7.2pp	Won
Over 190.5	73.2%	1.42	Bet365 1.42	-	-	-	-	+7.2pp	Won
Illawarra Hawks over 90.5	77.1%	1.33	Bet365 1.33	-	-	-	-	+7.2pp	Won
Illawarra Hawks over 80.5	95.8%	1.05	Bet365 1.05	-	-	-	-	+7.1pp	Won
Illawarra Hawks over 82.5	93.7%	1.08	Bet365 1.08	-	-	-	-	+7.1pp	Won
Over 183.5	85.3%	1.20	Bet365 1.20	-	-	-	-	+7.0pp	Won
Over 173.5	95.2%	1.06	Bet365 1.06	-	-	-	-	+6.9pp	Won
Over 178.5	91.2%	1.11	Bet365 1.11	-	-	-	-	+6.8pp	Won
Over 188.5	77.0%	1.33	Bet365 1.33	-	-	-	-	+6.7pp	Won
Over 191.5	71.1%	1.43	Bet365 1.45	Marathon Bet 1.44	Betano 1.42	1xBet 1.40	-	+6.5pp	Won
Illawarra Hawks over 92.5	70.8%	1.44	Bet365 1.44	-	-	-	-	+6.3pp	Won
Perth +4.5	77.1%	1.26	Betano 1.28	1xBet 1.28	Bet365 1.23	-	-	+5.3pp	Won
Illawarra Hawks +24.5	95.5%	1.03	Bet365 1.03	-	-	-	-	+5.2pp	Won
Perth +15.5	95.2%	1.03	Bet365 1.03	-	-	-	-	+5.0pp	Won
Perth +3.5	74.1%	1.31	Betano 1.33	1xBet 1.33	Bet365 1.32	Marathon Bet 1.24	-	+4.9pp	Won
Perth +2.5	71.5%	1.36	Betano 1.38	1xBet 1.37	Bet365 1.36	Marathon Bet 1.34	-	+4.8pp	Won
Illawarra Hawks +19.5	90.4%	1.09	Bet365 1.09	-	-	-	-	+4.3pp	Won
Perth +20.5	97.9%	1.01	Bet365 1.01	-	-	-	-	+4.2pp	Won
Overtime: no	95.0%	1.03	Betano 1.03	-	-	-	-	+3.7pp	Lost
Illawarra Hawks under 108.5	83.2%	1.16	Bet365 1.16	-	-	-	-	+3.7pp	Won
Illawarra Hawks +14.5	81.3%	1.20	Bet365 1.20	-	-	-	-	+3.5pp	Won
Perth +10.5	89.8%	1.08	Bet365 1.08	-	-	-	-	+3.1pp	Won
Perth +3	73.4%	1.31	Bet365 1.33	Marathon Bet 1.30	-	-	-	+3.1pp	Won
Illawarra Hawks under 107.5	80.9%	1.20	Bet365 1.20	-	-	-	-	+3.1pp	Won
Illawarra Hawks +12.5	76.3%	1.27	Betano 1.27	Bet365 1.26	-	-	-	+3.0pp	Won
Perth +2	70.4%	1.37	Bet365 1.38	Marathon Bet 1.36	-	-	-	+2.6pp	Won
Illawarra Hawks +11.5	73.5%	1.30	Bet365 1.30	1xBet 1.30	Betano 1.29	-	-	+2.2pp	Won
Illawarra Hawks under 106.5	78.3%	1.22	Bet365 1.22	-	-	-	-	+2.1pp	Won
Perth under 110.5	77.4%	1.23	Bet365 1.23	-	-	-	-	+2.1pp	Lost
Illawarra Hawks +12	75.6%	1.28	Bet365 1.28	-	-	-	-	+2.1pp	Won
Illawarra Hawks under 104.5	72.5%	1.31	Bet365 1.31	-	-	-	-	+1.6pp	Won
Illawarra Hawks +10.5	70.5%	1.33	Bet365 1.36	1xBet 1.35	Betano 1.33	Marathon Bet 1.29	-	+1.5pp	Lost
Under 218.5	85.0%	1.12	Bet365 1.12	-	-	-	-	+1.3pp	Won
Illawarra Hawks +11	72.6%	1.32	Bet365 1.32	-	-	-	-	+1.2pp	Push
Perth under 108.5	71.2%	1.32	Bet365 1.32	-	-	-	-	+0.7pp	Lost
Under 213.5	77.5%	1.21	Bet365 1.21	-	-	-	-	+0.0pp	Won

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Perththeir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Perth: 87.3 points a game scored

🏀🏀47%

🏀🏀🏀37%

🏀16%

🏀🏀 2-pointers40.6 pts a game · 47% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.7 pts a game · 37% of the points

🏀 Free throws14.0 pts a game · 16% of the points

League average for comparison: 93.6 points a game

50%

34%

16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	37.8	20.3	53.7%	56.4%	40.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	31.2	10.9	34.9%	34.2%	32.7
🏀 Free throws	16.6	14.0	84.3%	74.0%	14.0

They take 69.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Illawarra Hawkstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Illawarra Hawks: 96.9 points a game scored

🏀🏀53%

🏀🏀🏀35%

🏀12%

🏀🏀 2-pointers51.2 pts a game · 53% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.6 pts a game · 35% of the points

🏀 Free throws12.1 pts a game · 12% of the points

League average for comparison: 93.6 points a game

50%

34%

16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	45.1	25.6	56.8%	56.4%	51.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	31.5	11.2	35.6%	34.2%	33.6
🏀 Free throws	16.5	12.1	73.3%	74.0%	12.1

They take 76.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	39.9	23.9	59.9%	56.4%	47.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	30.6	10.9	35.6%	34.2%	32.7
🏀 Free throws	18.9	14.1	74.6%	74.0%	14.1

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	45.1	26.6	59.0%	56.4%	53.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	29.4	10.8	36.7%	34.2%	32.4
🏀 Free throws	25.1	19.7	78.5%	74.0%	19.7

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	40.8	22.0	54.0%	56.4%	44.1
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	28.4	9.9	35.0%	34.2%	29.8
🏀 Free throws	19.9	15.2	76.3%	74.0%	15.2

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	47.0	26.5	56.4%	56.4%	53.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	28.4	9.6	33.9%	34.2%	28.9
🏀 Free throws	18.5	13.8	74.6%	74.0%	13.8

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	42.1	23.0	54.6%	56.4%	46.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	28.9	9.8	33.8%	34.2%	29.3
🏀 Free throws	17.7	12.9	73.0%	74.0%	12.9

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	45.1	24.7	54.8%	56.4%	49.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	30.2	10.5	34.6%	34.2%	31.4
🏀 Free throws	23.6	18.6	78.6%	74.0%	18.6

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 14 Nov 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.

Perth

WLLLLWLWWW

Illawarra Hawks

WLWWLLWLLL

League position

-8.1

Net rating

-8.7

97.4

Offensive rating

100.8

105.5

Defensive rating

109.5

53.1%

Effective FG%

55.4%

57.1%

Opp. effective FG%

57.4%

13.7%

Turnover %

12.1%

0.24

Free-throw rate

0.22

34.9%

3-point %

35.6%

64.4%

Assist %

59.5%

50%

Form (last 10/10)

40%

Profile

■ Perth ■ Illawarra Hawks

The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Perth wins

Illawarra Hawks wins

Date	Game	Score
31/10/26	Perth v Illawarra Hawks	98-105
31/01/26	Illawarra Hawks v Perth	99-106
16/01/26	Perth v Illawarra Hawks	92-87
25/10/25	Perth v Illawarra Hawks	84-85
02/10/25	Perth v Illawarra Hawks	92-84
22/12/24	Illawarra Hawks v Perth	120-88
06/12/24	Perth v Illawarra Hawks	111-121
01/11/24	Perth v Illawarra Hawks	113-105
15/02/24	Illawarra Hawks v Perth	108-92
25/01/24	Perth v Illawarra Hawks	77-95

Perthlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
12/11/26	H	Tasmania JackJumpers	98-92
08/11/26	H	Cairns Taipans	92-100
04/11/26	A	Brisbane Bullets	104-109
31/10/26	H	Illawarra Hawks	98-105
28/10/26	H	Sydney	91-99
23/10/26	H	Melbourne United	103-102
17/10/26	A	Sydney	81-102
10/10/26	H	New Zealand Breakers	100-84
02/10/26	H	South East Melbourne	92-88
26/09/26	H	New Zealand Breakers	97-93

Illawarra Hawkslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
11/11/26	A	South East Melbourne	120-110
07/11/26	A	Adelaide	78-106
05/11/26	A	Cairns Taipans	107-95
31/10/26	A	Perth	105-98
24/10/26	H	Brisbane Bullets	81-98
22/10/26	H	Sydney	82-108
18/10/26	A	Melbourne United	91-89
11/10/26	H	Cairns Taipans	100-110
09/10/26	H	Tasmania JackJumpers	112-122
04/10/26	A	South East Melbourne	96-113

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Perth

NBL 2026-27

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLLLW	50%
Home	WLLLW	60%
Away	LL	0%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	12	10	2
Win %	50%	60%	0%
Points / game	94.4	94.8	92.5
Allowed / game	97.6	96.0	105.5
Point differential	-3.2	-1.2	-13.0
Avg total	192.0	190.8	198.0
Over 198	25%	20%	50%
Win by 10+	8%	10%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	80% (5)	100% (4)	0% (1)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Illawarra Hawks

NBL 2026-27

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWWLW	36%
Home	WLLLL	20%
Away	WWWLW	44%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	14	5	9
Win %	36%	20%	44%
Points / game	97.3	97.8	97.0
Allowed / game	104.3	106.0	103.3
Point differential	-7.0	-8.2	-6.3
Avg total	201.6	203.8	200.3
Over 198	57%	60%	56%
Win by 10+	21%	20%	22%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (1)	-	100% (1)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Sydney	12	8	4	67%	97.6	88.7	+8.9
2	Tasmania JackJumpers	12	8	4	67%	93.9	90.2	+3.7
3	Melbourne United	14	8	6	57%	98.3	91.9	+6.4
4	Cairns Taipans	14	8	6	57%	92.4	95.9	-3.6
5	Adelaide	13	7	6	54%	92.9	92.5	+0.5
6	Perth	12	6	6	50%	94.4	97.6	-3.2
7	Brisbane Bullets	13	6	7	46%	94.5	98.8	-4.3
8	New Zealand Breakers	13	5	8	38%	89.8	89.9	-0.2
9	Illawarra Hawks	14	5	9	36%	97.3	104.3	-7.0
10	South East Melbourne	13	4	9	31%	97.9	98.1	-0.2

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Final
Perth	26	24	19	23	19	111
Illawarra Hawks	30	18	18	26	8	100

← all games of the day

Perth vs Illawarra Hawks Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Get it on Telegram

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Profile

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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