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Brescia vs Pesaro Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 29 Oct 2022
Tip-off: 18:30
Final 97-98
26-22 20-29 27-26 24-21
Position#8
Record2-2
FormLWWLW
Points / game82.0
Allowed / game81.0
vs
Pesaro 🏆
Italy
Position#10
Record2-2
FormLWWLL
Points / game90.0
Allowed / game85.8
ItalyLega ARound 5
Domestic2022-23
Meetings · Brescia v Pesaro
01 Oct 2023
BRE81
PES79
18 Feb 2023
BRE74
PES57
29 Oct 2022
BRE97
PES98
20 Jan 2022
BRE110
PES78
10 May 2021
BRE86
PES84
24 Nov 2019
BRE101
PES74
04 Nov 2018
BRE84
PES81
21 Jan 2018
BRE88
PES70
22 Jan 2017
BRE99
PES68
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Brescia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Pesaro winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BresciaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBrescia
Date
Competition
Sassari
#4
L
85-91
85
91
-6
71avg 78
H18/05
Lega A
Sassari
#4
L
68-98
68
98
-30
55avg 78
A20/05
Lega A
Sassari
#4
L
95-98
95
98
-3
88avg 78
A22/05
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
77-78
77
78
-1
63avg 78
A02/10
Lega A
Varese
#4
W
88-83
88
83
+5
80avg 78
H08/10
Lega A
Joventut Badalona
#4
L
63-80
63
80
-17
50avg 78
A11/10
Eurocup
Scafati
#11
W
82-81 OT
82
81
+1
no box
H16/10
Lega A
Prometey
#2
W
104-70
104
70
+34
112avg 78
H19/10
Eurocup
Brindisi
#9
L
81-82
81
82
-1
72avg 78
A23/10
Lega A
Ulm
#6
W
98-90 OT
98
90
+8
no box
A26/10
Eurocup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-15
21-26
12-26
28-24
25-23
9-24
15-33
19-18
23-30
30-30
18-18
24-20
21-22
15-14
22-11
19-31
23-26
17-18
20-24
28-15
22-23
15-19
12-11
14-27
16-16
21-20
18-19
18-18
21-18
27-24
28-12
28-16
27-23
12-14
26-19
16-26
23-27
22-25
17-13
21-18
169.2Avg total
84.1Scored
85.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)82.081.0163.0+1.050%
Season at home (2)85.082.0167.0+3.0100%
Season away (2)79.080.0159.0-1.00%
Last 10 (10)84.185.1169.2-1.040%
Last 5 (5)85.680.6166.2+5.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)77.874.2152.0+3.640%
vs Similar (10)85.588.5174.0-3.050%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)90.575.4165.9+15.193%
This opponent (Pesaro) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PesaroItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPesaro
Date
Competition
Trento
#14
W
83-82
83
82
+1
80avg 72
A23/04
Lega A
Venezia
#6
L
75-85
75
85
-10
52avg 72
H01/05
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#13
W
85-84 OT
85
84
+1
no box
A08/05
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
76-82
76
82
-6
69avg 72
A15/05
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
51-70
51
70
-19
43avg 72
A17/05
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
55-75
55
75
-20
no box
H19/05
Lega A
Trieste
#15
W
100-74
100
74
+26
102avg 72
A02/10
Lega A
Venezia
#6
W
90-89
90
89
+1
78avg 72
H08/10
Lega A
Tortona
#3
L
73-81
73
81
-8
60avg 72
A15/10
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#12
L
97-99 OT
97
99
-2
no box
H23/10
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-12
25-23
15-26
24-21
20-22
17-23
22-22
16-18
15-18
21-16
20-22
15-15
22-24
14-21
18-17
22-20
13-12
12-19
13-16
13-23
19-21
16-14
10-24
10-16
27-18
20-26
25-16
28-14
26-18
25-19
24-28
15-24
14-24
15-23
26-17
18-17
26-20
23-22
22-22
16-23
160.6Avg total
78.5Scored
82.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)90.085.8175.8+4.250%
Season at home (2)93.594.0187.5-0.550%
Season away (2)86.577.5164.0+9.050%
Last 10 (10)78.582.1160.6-3.640%
Last 5 (5)83.083.6166.6-0.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)73.984.0157.9-10.131%
vs Similar (17)86.984.6171.5+2.265%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Brescia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +0.2+0.2Q1: +1.2+1.2Q2Q2: -2.5-2.5Q2: -1.8-1.8Q3Q3: +0.2+0.2Q3: -1.5-1.5Q4Q4: +0.2+0.2Q4: -1.4-1.4
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +0.2+0.2Q1: +1.2+1.2Q2Q2: -2.5-2.5Q2: -1.8-1.8Q3Q3: +0.2+0.2Q3: -1.5-1.5Q4Q4: +0.2+0.2Q4: -1.4-1.4
BresciaPesaro
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BresciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sassari
#4
W
45-41
45
41
+4
H18/05
Lega A
Sassari
#4
L
34-47
34
47
-13
A20/05
Lega A
Sassari
#4
L
53-60
53
60
-7
A22/05
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
D
36-36
36
36
+0
A02/10
Lega A
Varese
#4
L
40-44
40
44
-4
H08/10
Lega A
Joventut Badalona
#4
L
37-42
37
42
-5
A11/10
Eurocup
Scafati
#11
W
37-36
37
36
+1
H16/10
Lega A
Prometey
#2
W
48-42
48
42
+6
H19/10
Eurocup
Brindisi
#9
W
39-37
39
37
+2
A23/10
Lega A
Ulm
#6
L
45-52
45
52
-7
A26/10
Eurocup
85.1Avg total
41.4Scored
43.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.640.883.4+1.853%-
Last 30 at home (14)45.739.184.8+6.671%-
Last 30 away (16)39.942.282.1-2.438%-
Last 10 (10)41.443.785.1-2.340%-
Last 5 (5)41.241.883.0-0.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)39.837.477.2+2.460%-
vs Similar (10)41.144.986.0-3.840%-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)44.738.983.6+5.864%-
This opponent (Pesaro) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PesaroLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Trento
#14
W
44-35
44
35
+9
A23/04
Lega A
Venezia
#6
L
37-45
37
45
-8
H01/05
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#13
W
36-34
36
34
+2
A08/05
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
36-45
36
45
-9
A15/05
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
25-31
25
31
-6
A17/05
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
D
35-35
35
35
+0
H19/05
Lega A
Trieste
#15
W
47-44
47
44
+3
A02/10
Lega A
Venezia
#6
W
51-37
51
37
+14
H08/10
Lega A
Tortona
#3
L
29-47
29
47
-18
A15/10
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#12
W
49-42
49
42
+7
H23/10
Lega A
78.4Avg total
38.9Scored
39.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.641.381.9-0.743%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.642.184.7+0.540%-
Last 30 away (15)38.740.579.2-1.947%-
Last 10 (10)38.939.578.4-0.650%-
Last 5 (5)42.241.083.2+1.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)37.840.978.8-3.131%-
vs Similar (17)42.841.684.4+1.253%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Brescia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Bresciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Brescia: 81.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.4 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.9 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.8 points a game
47%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.119.7
49.1%
51.3%39.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.28.8
33.6%
36.4%26.4
🏀 Free throws21.115.9
75.4%
76.1%15.9
They take 66.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Pesarotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pesaro: 76.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.8 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.7 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.8 points a game
47%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.919.9
48.7%
51.3%39.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.18.5
35.3%
36.4%25.5
🏀 Free throws14.710.7
72.8%
76.1%10.7
They take 65.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 29 Oct 2022 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Brescia
WLWWLWLLLL
Pesaro
LLWWLLLWLW
#8
League position
#10
-4.9
Net rating
-7.1
107.7
Offensive rating
106.0
112.5
Defensive rating
113.1
49.6%
Effective FG%
50.2%
56.0%
Opp. effective FG%
54.6%
14.8%
Turnover %
17.3%
28.9%
Off. rebound %
32.4%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.23
33.6%
3-point %
35.3%
58.2%
Assist %
51.4%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence107.7 · 106.0Defence112.5 · 113.1Shooting49.6% · 50.2%3-point %33.6% · 35.3%Ball care14.8% · 17.3%Off. rebounds28.9% · 32.4%Free throws0.32 · 0.23Form (last 10/10)40% · 40%
■ Brescia   ■ Pesaro
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
9
Brescia wins
1
Pesaro wins
DateGameScore
27/03/22Pesaro v Brescia83-88
20/01/22Brescia v Pesaro110-78
10/05/21Brescia v Pesaro86-84
10/01/21Pesaro v Brescia98-88
24/11/19Brescia v Pesaro101-74
03/03/19Pesaro v Brescia86-92
04/11/18Brescia v Pesaro84-81
21/01/18Brescia v Pesaro88-70
01/10/17Pesaro v Brescia70-73
22/01/17Brescia v Pesaro99-68
Brescialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/10/22AUlm98-90 OT
23/10/22ABrindisi81-82
19/10/22HPrometey104-70
16/10/22HScafati82-81 OT
11/10/22AJoventut Badalona63-80
08/10/22HVarese88-83
02/10/22AOlimpia Milano77-78
22/05/22ASassari95-98
20/05/22ASassari68-98
18/05/22HSassari85-91
Pesarolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/10/22HBasket Napoli97-99 OT
15/10/22ATortona73-81
08/10/22HVenezia90-89
02/10/22ATrieste100-74
19/05/22HVirtus Bologna55-75
17/05/22AVirtus Bologna51-70
15/05/22AVirtus Bologna76-82
08/05/22ABasket Napoli85-84 OT
01/05/22HVenezia75-85
23/04/22ATrento83-82

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Brescia
Lega A 2022-23
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWL50%
HomeWW100%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %50%100%0%
Points / game82.085.079.0
Allowed / game81.082.080.0
Point differential+1.0+3.0-1.0
Avg total163.0167.0159.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)100% (2)0% (2)
Overtime %25%50%0%
Pesaro
Lega A 2022-23
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLL50%
HomeWL50%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %50%50%50%
Points / game90.093.586.5
Allowed / game85.894.077.5
Point differential+4.2-0.5+9.0
Avg total175.8187.5164.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%0%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)50% (2)-
Overtime %25%50%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Virtus Bologna550100%86.071.4+14.6
2 Tortona440100%77.065.5+11.5
3 Venezia43175%85.276.5+8.8
4 Olimpia Milano43175%76.275.5+0.8
5 Pesaro42250%90.085.8+4.2
6 Brescia42250%82.081.0+1.0
7 Brindisi42250%84.583.5+1.0
8 Varese42250%87.086.0+1.0
9 Trento42250%76.576.2+0.2
10 Basket Napoli42250%79.882.5-2.8
11 Sassari52340%80.679.0+1.6
12 Reggiana41325%71.270.2+1.0
13 Scafati41325%77.081.0-4.0
14 Treviso41325%66.278.0-11.8
15 Verona41325%81.593.8-12.2
16 Trieste4040%73.092.0-19.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Brescia2620272497
Pesaro2229262198
← all games of the day
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