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Phoenix Suns vs Denver Nuggets Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 23 Jan 2021
Tip-off: 03:00
Final 126-130 (OT)
34-25 34-29 27-37 19-23 12-16
Position#3
Record8-9
FormLWLLW
Points / game108.5
Allowed / game108.3
vs
Position#6
Record9-8
FormWLWLW
Points / game116.4
Allowed / game109.5
USANBA· Phoenix Suns Arena
NBA2020-21
Meetings · Phoenix Suns v Denver Nuggets
02 Apr 2027
PHX v DEN
upcoming
30 Oct 2026
PHX v DEN
upcoming
24 Mar 2026
PHX123
DEN125
29 Nov 2025
PHX112
DEN130
08 Feb 2025
PHX105
DEN122
25 Dec 2024
PHX110
DEN100
01 Dec 2023
PHX111
DEN119
10 Oct 2023
PHX107
DEN115
11 May 2023
PHX100
DEN125
07 May 2023
PHX129
DEN124
05 May 2023
PHX121
DEN114
06 Apr 2023
PHX119
DEN115
31 Mar 2023
PHX100
DEN93
21 Nov 2021
PHX126
DEN97
20 Oct 2021
PHX98
DEN110
09 Jun 2021
PHX123
DEN98
07 Jun 2021
PHX122
DEN105
23 Jan 2021
PHX112
DEN120
22 Jan 2021
PHX126
DEN130
08 Feb 2020
PHX108
DEN117
23 Dec 2019
PHX111
DEN113
14 Oct 2019
PHX102
DEN107
12 Jan 2019
PHX102
DEN93
29 Dec 2018
PHX118
DEN122
10 Feb 2018
PHX113
DEN123
28 Jan 2017
PHX112
DEN123
27 Nov 2016
PHX114
DEN120
16 Jul 2016
PHX82
DEN81
23 Dec 2015
PHX96
DEN104
14 Nov 2015
PHX105
DEN81
26 Nov 2014
PHX120
DEN112
10 Oct 2014
PHX97
DEN89
19 Jan 2014
PHX117
DEN103
08 Nov 2013
PHX114
DEN103
11 Mar 2013
PHX93
DEN108
12 Nov 2012
PHX110
DEN100
26 Oct 2012
PHX88
DEN72
21 Apr 2012
PHX107
DEN118
22 Dec 2011
PHX85
DEN110
10 Mar 2011
PHX97
DEN116
15 Nov 2010
PHX100
DEN94
22 Oct 2010
PHX106
DEN144
13 Apr 2010
PHX123
DEN101
01 Mar 2010
PHX101
DEN85
23 Mar 2009
PHX118
DEN115
20 Dec 2008
PHX108
DEN101
11 Oct 2008
PHX72
DEN77
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Phoenix Suns winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Denver Nuggets winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Phoenix SunsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New Orleans Pelicans
#20
W
111-86
111
86
+25
H30/12
NBA
Utah Jazz
#1
W
106-95
106
95
+11
A01/01
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#6
W
106-103
106
103
+3
A02/01
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#7
L
107-112
107
112
-5
H04/01
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#24
W
123-115
123
115
+8
H07/01
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#29
L
105-110 OT
105
110
-5
A09/01
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#17
W
125-117
125
117
+8
A10/01
NBA
Washington Wizards
#18
L
107-128
107
128
-21
A12/01
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#14
L
104-108
104
108
-4
A18/01
NBA
Houston Rockets
#30
W
109-103
109
103
+6
A21/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
31-29
35-15
34-17
11-25
21-22
32-18
30-30
23-25
34-32
26-17
27-29
19-25
24-37
20-27
37-24
26-24
22-25
36-29
38-33
27-28
29-20
27-28
20-24
17-21
30-32
26-21
34-34
35-30
15-29
27-39
36-36
29-24
24-18
24-34
27-25
29-31
30-23
33-28
26-31
20-21
218.0Avg total
110.3Scored
107.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)108.5108.3216.8+0.247%
Season at home (6)111.2106.8218.0+4.350%
Season away (11)107.1109.1216.2-2.045%
Last 10 (10)110.3107.7218.0+2.660%
Last 5 (5)110.0113.2223.2-3.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)119.2117.2236.5+2.075%
vs Similar ◀ (17)111.1107.7218.8+3.459%
vs Weaker (9)113.8108.6222.3+5.267%
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Phoenix Suns
#3
L
103-106
103
106
-3
H02/01
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#25
W
124-109
124
109
+15
A04/01
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#25
W
123-116
123
116
+7
H06/01
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#9
L
117-124 OT
117
124
-7
H08/01
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#2
W
115-103
115
103
+12
A09/01
NBA
New York Knicks
#11
W
114-89
114
89
+25
A10/01
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#4
L
116-122
116
122
-6
A13/01
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#13
W
114-104
114
104
+10
H15/01
NBA
Utah Jazz
#1
L
105-109
105
109
-4
H18/01
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#27
W
119-101
119
101
+18
H20/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
32-34
17-26
29-27
25-19
29-28
26-20
28-36
41-25
34-22
28-43
31-31
30-20
28-22
24-21
26-33
31-33
28-26
30-25
35-21
22-31
28-21
31-17
23-26
32-25
35-27
35-27
20-36
26-32
37-24
28-30
25-22
24-28
31-32
27-21
21-28
26-28
31-31
34-21
32-22
22-27
223.3Avg total
115.0Scored
108.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)116.4109.5225.9+6.953%
Season at home (11)117.3109.7227.0+7.555%
Season away (6)114.8109.2224.0+5.750%
Last 10 (10)115.0108.3223.3+6.760%
Last 5 (5)113.6105.0218.6+8.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)109.2113.6222.8-4.420%
vs Similar ◀ (19)108.3104.0212.3+4.353%
vs Weaker (6)121.2114.3235.5+6.867%
This opponent (Phoenix Suns) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.7-0.7Q1: +4.6+4.6Q2Q2: +3.0+3.0Q2: +2.9+2.9Q3Q3: +2.6+2.6Q3: -1.2-1.2Q4Q4: -1.8-1.8Q4: +1.1+1.1
Phoenix SunsDenver Nuggets
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Phoenix SunsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New Orleans Pelicans
#20
W
66-44
66
44
+22
H30/12
NBA
Utah Jazz
#1
W
53-40
53
40
+13
A01/01
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#6
W
60-49
60
49
+11
A02/01
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#7
L
44-64
44
64
-20
H04/01
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#24
W
58-54
58
54
+4
H07/01
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#29
W
56-48
56
48
+8
A09/01
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#17
W
56-53
56
53
+3
A10/01
NBA
Washington Wizards
#18
L
42-68
42
68
-26
A12/01
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#14
L
48-52
48
52
-4
A18/01
NBA
Houston Rockets
#30
W
63-51
63
51
+12
A21/01
NBA
106.9Avg total
54.6Scored
52.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)57.754.7112.5+3.063%-
Last 30 at home (12)60.856.4117.2+4.475%-
Last 30 away (18)55.753.6109.3+2.156%-
Last 10 (10)54.652.3106.9+2.370%-
Last 5 (5)53.054.4107.4-1.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)66.259.5125.8+6.875%-
vs Similar ◀ (17)55.854.3110.1+1.553%-
vs Weaker (9)57.653.4111.0+4.178%-
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Phoenix Suns
#3
L
49-60
49
60
-11
H02/01
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#25
W
55-48
55
48
+7
A04/01
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#25
L
62-65
62
65
-3
H06/01
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#9
W
52-43
52
43
+9
H08/01
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#2
W
58-51
58
51
+7
A09/01
NBA
New York Knicks
#11
W
59-38
59
38
+21
A10/01
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#4
W
70-54
70
54
+16
A13/01
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#13
W
65-54
65
54
+11
H15/01
NBA
Utah Jazz
#1
W
58-53
58
53
+5
H18/01
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#27
W
65-52
65
52
+13
H20/01
NBA
111.1Avg total
59.3Scored
51.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)57.856.0113.8+1.753%-
Last 30 at home (17)58.754.5113.2+4.265%-
Last 30 away (13)56.558.0114.5-1.538%-
Last 10 (10)59.351.8111.1+7.580%-
Last 5 (5)63.450.2113.6+13.2100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)55.660.8116.4-5.220%-
vs Similar ◀ (19)56.953.9110.8+2.958%-
vs Weaker (6)62.358.7121.0+3.767%-
This opponent (Phoenix Suns) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Phoenix Sunstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Phoenix Suns: 110.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers52.0 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers42.0 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.3 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 111.8 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.226.0
55.1%
52.8%52.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers37.814.0
37.0%
36.6%42.0
🏀 Free throws19.716.3
82.7%
77.7%16.3
They take 85.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 37.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 115.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers58.2 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers41.4 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.4 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 111.8 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers54.629.1
53.3%
52.8%58.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.413.8
37.9%
36.6%41.4
🏀 Free throws20.215.4
76.2%
77.7%15.4
They take 91.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 36.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 23 Jan 2021 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Phoenix Suns
WLLWLWLWWW
Denver Nuggets
WLWLWWLWWL
#3
League position
#6
+2.6
Net rating
+6.7
112.2
Offensive rating
114.4
109.6
Defensive rating
107.8
55.3%
Effective FG%
54.7%
53.4%
Opp. effective FG%
55.2%
13.0%
Turnover %
13.0%
19.1%
Off. rebound %
28.2%
0.23
Free-throw rate
0.22
37.0%
3-point %
37.9%
65.0%
Assist %
63.2%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence112.2 · 114.4Defence109.6 · 107.8Shooting55.3% · 54.7%3-point %37.0% · 37.9%Ball care13.0% · 13.0%Off. rebounds19.1% · 28.2%Free throws0.23 · 0.22Form (last 10/10)60% · 60%
■ Phoenix Suns   ■ Denver Nuggets
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Phoenix Suns wins
8
Denver Nuggets wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/01/21AHouston Rockets109-103
18/01/21AMemphis Grizzlies104-108
12/01/21AWashington Wizards107-128
10/01/21AIndiana Pacers125-117
09/01/21ADetroit Pistons105-110 OT
07/01/21HToronto Raptors123-115
04/01/21HLos Angeles Clippers107-112
02/01/21ADenver Nuggets106-103
01/01/21AUtah Jazz106-95
30/12/20HNew Orleans Pelicans111-86
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/01/21HOklahoma City Thunder119-101
18/01/21HUtah Jazz105-109
15/01/21HGolden State Warriors114-104
13/01/21ABrooklyn Nets116-122
10/01/21ANew York Knicks114-89
09/01/21APhiladelphia 76ers115-103
08/01/21HDallas Mavericks117-124 OT
06/01/21HMinnesota Timberwolves123-116
04/01/21AMinnesota Timberwolves124-109
02/01/21HPhoenix Suns103-106

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Phoenix Suns
NBA 2020-21
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW47%
HomeLWWLW50%
AwayLWLLW45%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games17611
Win %47%50%45%
Points / game108.5111.2107.1
Allowed / game108.3106.8109.1
Point differential+0.2+4.3-2.0
Avg total216.8218.0216.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%17%18%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (8)25% (4)25% (4)
Overtime %6%0%9%
Denver Nuggets
NBA 2020-21
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW53%
HomeWLWLW55%
AwayLWWWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games17116
Win %53%55%50%
Points / game116.4117.3114.8
Allowed / game109.5109.7109.2
Point differential+6.9+7.5+5.7
Avg total225.9227.0224.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+47%45%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (4)0% (3)0% (1)
Overtime %12%18%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Los Angeles Lakers2016480%114.3104.5+9.8
2 Utah Jazz1814478%113.3105.1+8.2
3 Philadelphia 76ers1813572%113.9109.4+4.4
4 Los Angeles Clippers1811761%111.9108.9+3.1
5 Memphis Grizzlies1710759%109.4107.5+1.9
6 Brooklyn Nets1911858%119.4114.8+4.6
7 Dallas Mavericks1810856%111.7108.9+2.7
8 Golden State Warriors1810856%111.6113.3-1.7
9 New York Knicks2011955%101.4100.2+1.2
10 Denver Nuggets179853%116.4109.5+6.9
11 Atlanta Hawks1910953%112.4110.5+1.8
12 Chicago Bulls1910953%116.0116.4-0.4
13 Cleveland Cavaliers1910953%103.4106.7-3.4
14 Milwaukee Bucks189950%117.7112.7+5.1
15 Indiana Pacers189950%112.1111.4+0.7
16 Boston Celtics168850%108.5110.9-2.4
17 Portland Trail Blazers189950%112.9116.7-3.8
18 Phoenix Suns178947%108.5108.3+0.2
19 Orlando Magic2091145%106.8111.7-4.9
20 Toronto Raptors1881044%110.3108.7+1.6
21 Houston Rockets1881044%110.2109.7+0.5
22 New Orleans Pelicans167944%109.6109.8-0.2
23 Miami Heat167944%107.8111.8-4.0
24 Oklahoma City Thunder167944%106.2112.6-6.3
25 San Antonio Spurs1981142%109.7112.7-3.0
26 Charlotte Hornets1971237%108.7110.3-1.5
27 Sacramento Kings1971237%112.5121.3-8.7
28 Washington Wizards1441029%116.0117.6-1.6
29 Detroit Pistons1951426%105.7108.9-3.2
30 Minnesota Timberwolves1741324%107.3116.7-9.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Phoenix Suns3434271912126
Denver Nuggets2529372316130
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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