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Phoenix Suns vs Denver Nuggets Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 24 Jan 2021
Tip-off: 02:00
Final 112-120 (OT)
30-28 31-30 16-15 21-25 14-22
Position#3
Record8-10
FormWLLWL
Points / game109.5
Allowed / game109.5
vs
Position#6
Record10-8
FormLWLWW
Points / game117.2
Allowed / game110.4
USANBA· Phoenix Suns Arena
NBA2020-21
Meetings · Phoenix Suns v Denver Nuggets
02 Apr 2027
PHX v DEN
upcoming
30 Oct 2026
PHX120
DEN127
24 Mar 2026
PHX123
DEN125
29 Nov 2025
PHX112
DEN130
08 Feb 2025
PHX105
DEN122
25 Dec 2024
PHX110
DEN100
01 Dec 2023
PHX111
DEN119
11 May 2023
PHX100
DEN125
07 May 2023
PHX129
DEN124
05 May 2023
PHX121
DEN114
06 Apr 2023
PHX119
DEN115
31 Mar 2023
PHX100
DEN93
21 Nov 2021
PHX126
DEN97
20 Oct 2021
PHX98
DEN110
09 Jun 2021
PHX123
DEN98
07 Jun 2021
PHX122
DEN105
23 Jan 2021
PHX112
DEN120
22 Jan 2021
PHX126
DEN130
08 Feb 2020
PHX108
DEN117
23 Dec 2019
PHX111
DEN113
12 Jan 2019
PHX102
DEN93
29 Dec 2018
PHX118
DEN122
10 Feb 2018
PHX113
DEN123
28 Jan 2017
PHX112
DEN123
27 Nov 2016
PHX114
DEN120
23 Dec 2015
PHX96
DEN104
14 Nov 2015
PHX105
DEN81
26 Nov 2014
PHX120
DEN112
19 Jan 2014
PHX117
DEN103
08 Nov 2013
PHX114
DEN103
11 Mar 2013
PHX93
DEN108
12 Nov 2012
PHX110
DEN100
21 Apr 2012
PHX107
DEN118
22 Dec 2011
PHX85
DEN110
10 Mar 2011
PHX97
DEN116
15 Nov 2010
PHX100
DEN94
13 Apr 2010
PHX123
DEN101
01 Mar 2010
PHX101
DEN85
23 Mar 2009
PHX118
DEN115
20 Dec 2008
PHX108
DEN101
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Phoenix Suns winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Denver Nuggets winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Phoenix SunsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSuns
Date
Competition
Utah Jazz
#1
W
106-95
106
95
+11
101avg 107
A01/01
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#6
W
106-103
106
103
+3
102avg 107
A02/01
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#7
L
107-112
107
112
-5
103avg 107
H04/01
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#24
W
123-115
123
115
+8
122avg 107
H07/01
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#29
L
105-110 OT
105
110
-5
97avg 107
A09/01
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#17
W
125-117
125
117
+8
121avg 107
A10/01
NBA
Washington Wizards
#18
L
107-128
107
128
-21
95avg 107
A12/01
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#14
L
104-108
104
108
-4
99avg 107
A18/01
NBA
Houston Rockets
#30
W
109-103
109
103
+6
103avg 107
A21/01
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#6
L
126-130 OT
126
130
-4
122avg 107
H23/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-22
32-18
30-30
23-25
34-32
26-17
27-29
19-25
24-37
20-27
37-24
26-24
22-25
36-29
38-33
27-28
29-20
27-28
20-24
17-21
30-32
26-21
34-34
35-30
15-29
27-39
36-36
29-24
24-18
24-34
27-25
29-31
30-23
33-28
26-31
20-21
34-25
34-29
27-37
19-23
223.9Avg total
111.8Scored
112.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)109.5109.5219.0+0.044%
Season at home (7)113.3110.1223.4+3.143%
Season away (11)107.1109.1216.2-2.045%
Last 10 (10)111.8112.1223.9-0.350%
Last 5 (5)114.2117.2231.4-3.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)112.3112.7225.0-0.367%
vs Similar ◀ (18)111.9108.9220.8+2.956%
vs Weaker (9)113.8108.6222.3+5.267%
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNuggets
Date
Competition
Minnesota Timberwolves
#25
W
124-109
124
109
+15
120avg 107
A04/01
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#25
W
123-116
123
116
+7
116avg 107
H06/01
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#9
L
117-124 OT
117
124
-7
105avg 107
H08/01
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#2
W
115-103
115
103
+12
111avg 107
A09/01
NBA
New York Knicks
#11
W
114-89
114
89
+25
110avg 107
A10/01
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#4
L
116-122
116
122
-6
105avg 107
A13/01
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#13
W
114-104
114
104
+10
110avg 107
H15/01
NBA
Utah Jazz
#1
L
105-109
105
109
-4
93avg 107
H18/01
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#27
W
119-101
119
101
+18
113avg 107
H20/01
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#3
W
130-126 OT
130
126
+4
123avg 107
A23/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-28
26-20
28-36
41-25
34-22
28-43
31-31
30-20
28-22
24-21
26-33
31-33
28-26
30-25
35-21
22-31
28-21
31-17
23-26
32-25
35-27
35-27
20-36
26-32
37-24
28-30
25-22
24-28
31-32
27-21
21-28
26-28
31-31
34-21
32-22
22-27
25-34
29-34
37-27
23-19
228.0Avg total
117.7Scored
110.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)117.2110.4227.6+6.756%
Season at home (11)117.3109.7227.0+7.555%
Season away (7)117.0111.6228.6+5.457%
Last 10 (10)117.7110.3228.0+7.470%
Last 5 (5)116.8112.4229.2+4.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)105.9107.5213.4-1.642%
vs Similar ◀ (12)115.2108.5223.7+6.750%
vs Weaker (6)121.2114.3235.5+6.867%
This opponent (Phoenix Suns) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: +3.9+3.9Q2Q2: +1.5+1.5Q2: +3.3+3.3Q3Q3: -0.1-0.1Q3: -0.4-0.4Q4Q4: -0.8-0.8Q4: +0.9+0.9
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: +3.9+3.9Q2Q2: +1.5+1.5Q2: +3.3+3.3Q3Q3: -0.1-0.1Q3: -0.4-0.4Q4Q4: -0.8-0.8Q4: +0.9+0.9
Phoenix SunsDenver Nuggets
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Phoenix SunsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Utah Jazz
#1
W
53-40
53
40
+13
A01/01
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#6
W
60-49
60
49
+11
A02/01
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#7
L
44-64
44
64
-20
H04/01
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#24
W
58-54
58
54
+4
H07/01
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#29
W
56-48
56
48
+8
A09/01
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#17
W
56-53
56
53
+3
A10/01
NBA
Washington Wizards
#18
L
42-68
42
68
-26
A12/01
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#14
L
48-52
48
52
-4
A18/01
NBA
Houston Rockets
#30
W
63-51
63
51
+12
A21/01
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#6
W
68-54
68
54
+14
H23/01
NBA
108.1Avg total
54.8Scored
53.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)57.454.6112.0+2.963%-
Last 30 at home (12)60.156.0116.1+4.175%-
Last 30 away (18)55.753.6109.3+2.156%-
Last 10 (10)54.853.3108.1+1.570%-
Last 5 (5)55.455.6111.0-0.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)62.759.7122.3+3.067%-
vs Similar ◀ (18)56.554.3110.8+2.256%-
vs Weaker (9)57.653.4111.0+4.178%-
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Minnesota Timberwolves
#25
W
55-48
55
48
+7
A04/01
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#25
L
62-65
62
65
-3
H06/01
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#9
W
52-43
52
43
+9
H08/01
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#2
W
58-51
58
51
+7
A09/01
NBA
New York Knicks
#11
W
59-38
59
38
+21
A10/01
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#4
W
70-54
70
54
+16
A13/01
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#13
W
65-54
65
54
+11
H15/01
NBA
Utah Jazz
#1
W
58-53
58
53
+5
H18/01
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#27
W
65-52
65
52
+13
H20/01
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#3
L
54-68
54
68
-14
A23/01
NBA
112.4Avg total
59.8Scored
52.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)57.957.1115.0+0.850%-
Last 30 at home (16)59.255.7114.9+3.662%-
Last 30 away (14)56.458.7115.1-2.436%-
Last 10 (10)59.852.6112.4+7.280%-
Last 5 (5)62.456.2118.6+6.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)53.859.1112.8-5.325%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)59.854.3114.2+5.567%-
vs Weaker (6)62.358.7121.0+3.767%-
This opponent (Phoenix Suns) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Phoenix Sunstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Phoenix Suns: 111.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers54.4 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers41.4 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.0 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 111.8 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.527.2
56.1%
52.8%54.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers37.513.8
36.8%
36.6%41.4
🏀 Free throws19.316.0
82.9%
77.7%16.0
They take 86.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 37.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 117.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers62.2 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers39.6 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.9 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 111.8 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers56.731.1
54.9%
52.8%62.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.113.2
36.6%
36.6%39.6
🏀 Free throws20.515.9
77.6%
77.7%15.9
They take 92.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 36.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 24 Jan 2021 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Phoenix Suns
LWLLWLWLWW
Denver Nuggets
WWLWLWWLWW
#3
League position
#6
-0.3
Net rating
+7.3
111.8
Offensive rating
115.5
112.1
Defensive rating
108.2
55.7%
Effective FG%
54.8%
53.8%
Opp. effective FG%
55.4%
13.4%
Turnover %
12.6%
18.6%
Off. rebound %
28.1%
0.22
Free-throw rate
0.22
36.8%
3-point %
36.6%
64.9%
Assist %
62.1%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence111.8 · 115.5Defence112.1 · 108.2Shooting55.7% · 54.8%3-point %36.8% · 36.6%Ball care13.4% · 12.6%Off. rebounds18.6% · 28.1%Free throws0.22 · 0.22Form (last 10/10)50% · 70%
■ Phoenix Suns   ■ Denver Nuggets
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Phoenix Suns wins
8
Denver Nuggets wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/01/21HDenver Nuggets126-130 OT
21/01/21AHouston Rockets109-103
18/01/21AMemphis Grizzlies104-108
12/01/21AWashington Wizards107-128
10/01/21AIndiana Pacers125-117
09/01/21ADetroit Pistons105-110 OT
07/01/21HToronto Raptors123-115
04/01/21HLos Angeles Clippers107-112
02/01/21ADenver Nuggets106-103
01/01/21AUtah Jazz106-95
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/01/21APhoenix Suns130-126 OT
20/01/21HOklahoma City Thunder119-101
18/01/21HUtah Jazz105-109
15/01/21HGolden State Warriors114-104
13/01/21ABrooklyn Nets116-122
10/01/21ANew York Knicks114-89
09/01/21APhiladelphia 76ers115-103
08/01/21HDallas Mavericks117-124 OT
06/01/21HMinnesota Timberwolves123-116
04/01/21AMinnesota Timberwolves124-109

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Phoenix Suns
NBA 2020-21
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL44%
HomeWWLWL43%
AwayLWLLW45%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games18711
Win %44%43%45%
Points / game109.5113.3107.1
Allowed / game109.5110.1109.1
Point differential+0.0+3.1-2.0
Avg total219.0223.4216.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%14%18%
Close games (≤5 pts) won22% (9)20% (5)25% (4)
Overtime %11%14%9%
Denver Nuggets
NBA 2020-21
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW56%
HomeWLWLW55%
AwayWWWLW57%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games18117
Win %56%55%57%
Points / game117.2117.3117.0
Allowed / game110.4109.7111.6
Point differential+6.7+7.5+5.4
Avg total227.6227.0228.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+44%45%43%
Close games (≤5 pts) won20% (5)0% (3)50% (2)
Overtime %17%18%14%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Los Angeles Lakers2016480%114.3104.5+9.8
2 Utah Jazz1814478%113.3105.1+8.2
3 Philadelphia 76ers1914574%113.9109.5+4.4
4 Los Angeles Clippers1912763%112.4108.7+3.6
5 Brooklyn Nets2012860%119.8115.2+4.6
6 Memphis Grizzlies1710759%109.4107.5+1.9
7 Denver Nuggets1810856%117.2110.4+6.7
8 Dallas Mavericks1810856%111.7108.9+2.7
9 Golden State Warriors1810856%111.6113.3-1.7
10 Atlanta Hawks1910953%112.4110.5+1.8
11 Chicago Bulls1910953%116.0116.4-0.4
12 Cleveland Cavaliers1910953%103.4106.7-3.4
13 New York Knicks21111052%101.0100.3+0.7
14 Milwaukee Bucks189950%117.7112.7+5.1
15 Indiana Pacers189950%112.1111.4+0.7
16 Boston Celtics168850%108.5110.9-2.4
17 Portland Trail Blazers189950%112.9116.7-3.8
18 Orlando Magic2091145%106.8111.7-4.9
19 Toronto Raptors1881044%110.3108.7+1.6
20 Houston Rockets1881044%110.2109.7+0.5
21 Phoenix Suns1881044%109.5109.5+0.0
22 San Antonio Spurs1981142%109.7112.7-3.0
23 New Orleans Pelicans1771041%109.6110.4-0.8
24 Miami Heat1771041%108.7112.7-4.0
25 Oklahoma City Thunder1771041%106.2113.0-6.8
26 Sacramento Kings2081240%112.0119.9-7.8
27 Charlotte Hornets1971237%108.7110.3-1.5
28 Washington Wizards1441029%116.0117.6-1.6
29 Minnesota Timberwolves1851328%108.0116.3-8.3
30 Detroit Pistons2051525%106.0109.2-3.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Phoenix Suns3031162114112
Denver Nuggets2830152522120
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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