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Toronto Raptors vs Milwaukee Bucks Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 28 Jan 2021
Tip-off: 00:30
Final 108-115
33-33 21-30 28-20 26-32
Position#24
Record9-11
FormWLWWL
Points / game110.3
Allowed / game109.4
vs
Position#5
Record10-9
FormWWLLW
Points / game118.3
Allowed / game112.8
USANBA· Amalie Arena
NBA2020-21
Meetings · Toronto Raptors v Milwaukee Bucks
06 Feb 2027
TOR v MIL
upcoming
23 Nov 2026
TOR v MIL
upcoming
04 Nov 2025
TOR128
MIL100
24 Oct 2025
TOR116
MIL122
06 Jan 2025
TOR104
MIL128
15 Nov 2023
TOR112
MIL128
01 Nov 2023
TOR130
MIL111
09 Apr 2023
TOR121
MIL105
04 Jan 2023
TOR101
MIL104
02 Dec 2021
TOR97
MIL93
27 Jan 2021
TOR108
MIL115
03 Apr 2020
TOR v MIL
upcoming
25 Feb 2020
TOR97
MIL108
21 May 2019
TOR v MIL
upcoming
19 May 2019
TOR118
MIL112
31 Jan 2019
TOR92
MIL105
09 Dec 2018
TOR99
MIL104
23 Feb 2018
TOR119
MIL122
01 Jan 2018
TOR131
MIL127
24 Apr 2017
TOR118
MIL93
18 Apr 2017
TOR106
MIL100
15 Apr 2017
TOR83
MIL97
27 Jan 2017
TOR102
MIL86
12 Dec 2016
TOR122
MIL100
11 Dec 2015
TOR90
MIL83
01 Nov 2015
TOR106
MIL87
02 Feb 2015
TOR75
MIL82
21 Nov 2014
TOR124
MIL82
14 Apr 2014
TOR110
MIL100
13 Jan 2014
TOR116
MIL94
13 Jan 2013
TOR96
MIL107
11 Mar 2012
TOR99
MIL105
08 Feb 2012
TOR99
MIL105
30 Mar 2011
TOR98
MIL104
28 Jan 2011
TOR110
MIL116
22 Jan 2010
TOR101
MIL96
25 Mar 2009
TOR115
MIL106
30 Jan 2009
TOR85
MIL96
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Toronto Raptors winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Milwaukee Bucks winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Toronto RaptorsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRaptors
Date
Competition
Sacramento Kings
#23
W
144-123
144
123
+21
143avg 104
A09/01
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#13
L
105-106
105
106
-1
88avg 104
A11/01
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#12
L
111-112
111
112
-1
105avg 104
A12/01
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#21
W
111-108
111
108
+3
108avg 104
H15/01
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#21
W
116-113
116
113
+3
110avg 104
H17/01
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#9
W
116-93
116
93
+23
110avg 104
H19/01
NBA
Miami Heat
#15
L
102-111
102
111
-9
93avg 104
H21/01
NBA
Miami Heat
#15
W
101-81
101
81
+20
94avg 104
H23/01
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#17
W
107-102
107
102
+5
95avg 104
A24/01
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#17
L
114-129
114
129
-15
99avg 104
A26/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
35-43
36-31
40-29
33-20
24-31
27-30
21-26
33-19
32-21
28-34
26-21
25-36
35-34
36-28
28-24
12-22
31-27
35-37
22-23
28-26
22-18
25-29
34-25
35-21
23-29
35-27
25-32
19-23
37-20
19-22
17-22
28-17
24-24
34-23
19-28
30-27
30-33
30-37
37-28
17-31
220.5Avg total
112.7Scored
107.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)110.3109.4219.7+0.945%
Season at home (9)107.1105.0212.1+2.156%
Season away (11)112.9113.0225.9-0.136%
Last 10 (10)112.7107.8220.5+4.960%
Last 5 (5)108.0103.2211.2+4.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)104.0111.5215.5-7.50%
vs Similar (25)107.8108.0215.8-0.248%
vs Weaker (3)123.7104.3228.0+19.3100%
This opponent (Milwaukee Bucks) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Milwaukee BucksUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBucks
Date
Competition
Detroit Pistons
#29
W
125-115
125
115
+10
131avg 111
H05/01
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#29
W
130-115
130
115
+15
131avg 111
H07/01
NBA
Utah Jazz
#1
L
118-131
118
131
-13
100avg 111
H09/01
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#26
W
100-90
100
90
+10
94avg 111
H10/01
NBA
Orlando Magic
#28
W
121-99
121
99
+22
113avg 111
A12/01
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#29
W
110-101
110
101
+9
111avg 111
A14/01
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#9
W
112-109
112
109
+3
101avg 111
H16/01
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#4
L
123-125
123
125
-2
102avg 111
A19/01
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#8
L
106-113
106
113
-7
103avg 111
H22/01
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#10
W
129-115
129
115
+14
130avg 111
H25/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
33-26
34-30
30-24
28-35
44-33
38-23
26-26
22-33
31-34
27-31
38-39
22-27
27-14
20-23
31-26
22-27
25-23
38-31
23-28
35-17
27-13
31-34
31-28
21-26
30-23
25-24
29-34
28-28
34-28
22-29
33-37
34-31
33-29
24-34
24-23
25-27
32-15
34-32
28-36
35-32
228.7Avg total
117.4Scored
111.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)118.3112.8231.1+5.553%
Season at home (11)118.0111.2229.2+6.864%
Season away (8)118.8115.0233.8+3.838%
Last 10 (10)117.4111.3228.7+6.170%
Last 5 (5)116.0112.6228.6+3.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (8)114.0120.4234.4-6.425%
vs Weaker ◀ (22)116.0109.0225.0+7.059%
This opponent (Toronto Raptors) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +1.3+1.3Q1: +7.8+7.8Q2Q2: +0.7+0.7Q2: +0.2+0.2Q3Q3: +1.1+1.1Q3: -0.8-0.8Q4Q4: +1.8+1.8Q4: -1.1-1.1
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +1.3+1.3Q1: +7.8+7.8Q2Q2: +0.7+0.7Q2: +0.2+0.2Q3Q3: +1.1+1.1Q3: -0.8-0.8Q4Q4: +1.8+1.8Q4: -1.1-1.1
Toronto RaptorsMilwaukee Bucks
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Toronto RaptorsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sacramento Kings
#23
L
71-74
71
74
-3
A09/01
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#13
L
51-61
51
61
-10
A11/01
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#12
W
60-55
60
55
+5
A12/01
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#21
W
71-62
71
62
+9
H15/01
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#21
W
66-64
66
64
+2
H17/01
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#9
D
47-47
47
47
+0
H19/01
NBA
Miami Heat
#15
W
58-56
58
56
+2
H21/01
NBA
Miami Heat
#15
W
56-42
56
42
+14
H23/01
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#17
W
58-47
58
47
+11
A24/01
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#17
L
60-70
60
70
-10
A26/01
NBA
117.6Avg total
59.8Scored
57.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)54.755.5110.2-0.840%-
Last 30 at home (14)51.454.0105.4-2.636%-
Last 30 away (16)57.656.8114.3+0.844%-
Last 10 (10)59.857.8117.6+2.060%-
Last 5 (5)55.852.4108.2+3.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)55.053.0108.0+2.050%-
vs Similar (25)53.955.8109.7-1.936%-
vs Weaker (3)61.354.3115.7+7.067%-
This opponent (Milwaukee Bucks) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Milwaukee BucksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Detroit Pistons
#29
W
67-56
67
56
+11
H05/01
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#29
W
82-56
82
56
+26
H07/01
NBA
Utah Jazz
#1
L
58-65
58
65
-7
H09/01
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#26
W
47-37
47
37
+10
H10/01
NBA
Orlando Magic
#28
W
63-54
63
54
+9
A12/01
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#29
W
58-47
58
47
+11
A14/01
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#9
W
55-47
55
47
+8
H16/01
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#4
L
56-57
56
57
-1
A19/01
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#8
L
57-63
57
63
-6
H22/01
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#10
W
66-47
66
47
+19
H25/01
NBA
113.8Avg total
60.9Scored
52.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)60.153.6113.7+6.467%-
Last 30 at home (17)61.253.6114.8+7.571%-
Last 30 away (13)58.653.6112.2+5.062%-
Last 10 (10)60.952.9113.8+8.070%-
Last 5 (5)58.452.2110.6+6.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (8)58.156.5114.6+1.650%-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)60.852.6113.4+8.273%-
This opponent (Toronto Raptors) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Toronto Raptorstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Toronto Raptors: 112.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀44%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.8 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers50.1 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.8 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 111.8 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.423.4
49.4%
52.8%46.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers41.816.7
40.0%
36.6%50.1
🏀 Free throws19.315.8
81.9%
77.7%15.8
They take 89.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 41.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Milwaukee Buckstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Milwaukee Bucks: 117.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀12%
🏀🏀 2-pointers63.0 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers40.2 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.2 pts a game · 12% of the points
League average for comparison: 111.8 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers54.531.5
57.8%
52.8%63.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.713.4
36.5%
36.6%40.2
🏀 Free throws19.814.2
71.7%
77.7%14.2
They take 91.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 36.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 28 Jan 2021 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Toronto Raptors
LWWLWWWLLW
Milwaukee Bucks
WLLWWWWLWW
#24
League position
#5
+4.9
Net rating
+6.0
111.9
Offensive rating
115.2
107.0
Defensive rating
109.2
54.3%
Effective FG%
56.6%
53.4%
Opp. effective FG%
53.5%
14.1%
Turnover %
12.9%
24.8%
Off. rebound %
24.2%
0.22
Free-throw rate
0.22
40.0%
3-point %
36.5%
64.3%
Assist %
59.7%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence111.9 · 115.2Defence107.0 · 109.2Shooting54.3% · 56.6%3-point %40.0% · 36.5%Ball care14.1% · 12.9%Off. rebounds24.8% · 24.2%Free throws0.22 · 0.22Form (last 10/10)60% · 70%
■ Toronto Raptors   ■ Milwaukee Bucks
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Toronto Raptors wins
7
Milwaukee Bucks wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/01/21AIndiana Pacers114-129
24/01/21AIndiana Pacers107-102
23/01/21HMiami Heat101-81
21/01/21HMiami Heat102-111
19/01/21HDallas Mavericks116-93
17/01/21HCharlotte Hornets116-113
15/01/21HCharlotte Hornets111-108
12/01/21APortland Trail Blazers111-112
11/01/21AGolden State Warriors105-106
09/01/21ASacramento Kings144-123
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/01/21HAtlanta Hawks129-115
22/01/21HLos Angeles Lakers106-113
19/01/21ABrooklyn Nets123-125
16/01/21HDallas Mavericks112-109
14/01/21ADetroit Pistons110-101
12/01/21AOrlando Magic121-99
10/01/21HCleveland Cavaliers100-90
09/01/21HUtah Jazz118-131
07/01/21HDetroit Pistons130-115
05/01/21HDetroit Pistons125-115

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Toronto Raptors
NBA 2020-21
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL45%
HomeWWWLW56%
AwayWLLWL36%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games20911
Win %45%56%36%
Points / game110.3107.1112.9
Allowed / game109.4105.0113.0
Point differential+0.9+2.1-0.1
Avg total219.7212.1225.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%33%18%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (8)100% (2)33% (6)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Milwaukee Bucks
NBA 2020-21
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW53%
HomeLWWLW64%
AwayWLWWL38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19118
Win %53%64%38%
Points / game118.3118.0118.8
Allowed / game112.8111.2115.0
Point differential+5.5+6.8+3.8
Avg total231.1229.2233.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+42%55%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)100% (1)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Los Angeles Lakers2218482%113.7104.0+9.7
2 Utah Jazz2016480%113.7104.7+9.0
3 Philadelphia 76ers2014670%113.4110.0+3.5
4 Brooklyn Nets2113862%118.8113.8+5.0
5 Los Angeles Clippers2113862%111.5108.3+3.2
6 Denver Nuggets2012860%117.3110.7+6.7
7 Memphis Grizzlies1710759%109.4107.5+1.9
8 Boston Celtics1810856%110.9110.0+0.9
9 Golden State Warriors2011955%112.3113.7-1.4
10 Milwaukee Bucks1910953%118.3112.8+5.5
11 Indiana Pacers21111052%112.6111.0+1.5
12 Atlanta Hawks21111052%112.3110.9+1.4
13 Houston Rockets20101050%111.2108.5+2.6
14 Dallas Mavericks20101050%111.5110.5+1.0
15 Portland Trail Blazers20101050%113.5116.9-3.4
16 Cleveland Cavaliers22111150%104.4108.7-4.3
17 New York Knicks23111248%101.3101.3-0.1
18 Chicago Bulls21101148%114.1115.8-1.7
19 Toronto Raptors2091145%110.3109.4+0.9
20 San Antonio Spurs2091145%110.2112.1-1.9
21 Orlando Magic23101343%107.1111.7-4.6
22 Sacramento Kings2191243%112.5119.3-6.8
23 Phoenix Suns1981142%109.6110.1-0.4
24 Oklahoma City Thunder1981142%106.9113.2-6.3
25 New Orleans Pelicans1771041%109.6110.4-0.8
26 Miami Heat1871139%107.4111.9-4.5
27 Charlotte Hornets2281436%108.5110.5-2.0
28 Detroit Pistons2261627%106.6109.5-2.9
29 Minnesota Timberwolves1951426%108.0117.1-9.1
30 Washington Wizards1641225%113.3117.1-3.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Toronto Raptors33212826108
Milwaukee Bucks33302032115
← all games of the day
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