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Phoenix Suns vs Denver Nuggets Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 10 Jun 2021
Tip-off: 01:30
Final 123-98
25-21 27-21 34-25 37-31
Position#3
Record56-27
FormLWWWW
Points / game114.0
Allowed / game108.8
vs
Position#6
Record53-29
FormWLWWL
Points / game115.5
Allowed / game110.6
USANBANBA - Quarter-finals· Phoenix Suns Arena
NBA2020-21
Meetings · Phoenix Suns v Denver Nuggets
02 Apr 2027
PHX v DEN
upcoming
30 Oct 2026
PHX120
DEN127
24 Mar 2026
PHX123
DEN125
29 Nov 2025
PHX112
DEN130
08 Feb 2025
PHX105
DEN122
25 Dec 2024
PHX110
DEN100
01 Dec 2023
PHX111
DEN119
11 May 2023
PHX100
DEN125
07 May 2023
PHX129
DEN124
05 May 2023
PHX121
DEN114
06 Apr 2023
PHX119
DEN115
31 Mar 2023
PHX100
DEN93
21 Nov 2021
PHX126
DEN97
20 Oct 2021
PHX98
DEN110
09 Jun 2021
PHX123
DEN98
07 Jun 2021
PHX122
DEN105
23 Jan 2021
PHX112
DEN120
22 Jan 2021
PHX126
DEN130
08 Feb 2020
PHX108
DEN117
23 Dec 2019
PHX111
DEN113
12 Jan 2019
PHX102
DEN93
29 Dec 2018
PHX118
DEN122
10 Feb 2018
PHX113
DEN123
28 Jan 2017
PHX112
DEN123
27 Nov 2016
PHX114
DEN120
23 Dec 2015
PHX96
DEN104
14 Nov 2015
PHX105
DEN81
26 Nov 2014
PHX120
DEN112
19 Jan 2014
PHX117
DEN103
08 Nov 2013
PHX114
DEN103
11 Mar 2013
PHX93
DEN108
12 Nov 2012
PHX110
DEN100
21 Apr 2012
PHX107
DEN118
22 Dec 2011
PHX85
DEN110
10 Mar 2011
PHX97
DEN116
15 Nov 2010
PHX100
DEN94
13 Apr 2010
PHX123
DEN101
01 Mar 2010
PHX101
DEN85
23 Mar 2009
PHX118
DEN115
20 Dec 2008
PHX108
DEN101
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Phoenix Suns winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Denver Nuggets winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Phoenix SunsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSuns
Date
Competition
Portland Trail Blazers
#12
W
118-117
118
117
+1
108avg 109
H14/05
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#22
W
140-103
140
103
+37
140avg 109
A15/05
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#22
W
123-121
123
121
+2
121avg 109
A16/05
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#8
W
99-90
99
90
+9
94avg 109
H23/05
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#8
L
102-109
102
109
-7
95avg 109
H26/05
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#8
L
95-109
95
109
-14
84avg 109
A28/05
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#8
W
100-92
100
92
+8
95avg 109
A30/05
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#8
W
115-85
115
85
+30
108avg 109
H02/06
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#8
W
113-100
113
100
+13
no box
A04/06
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#6
W
122-105
122
105
+17
no box
H08/06
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-26
26-27
33-24
33-40
34-17
34-30
41-23
31-33
27-23
25-38
37-24
34-36
32-25
21-20
28-23
18-22
24-30
23-23
25-26
30-30
28-27
12-16
23-33
32-33
23-24
31-26
27-15
19-27
34-26
32-10
26-27
23-22
36-14
26-27
27-35
24-24
28-28
29-30
31-21
34-26
215.8Avg total
112.7Scored
103.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (83)114.0108.8222.8+5.367%
Season at home (42)115.5106.8222.4+8.771%
Season away (41)112.4110.7223.2+1.763%
Last 10 (10)112.7103.1215.8+9.680%
Last 5 (5)109.098.2207.2+10.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (19)112.3109.5221.8+2.863%
vs Weaker (11)117.9110.5228.4+7.582%
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNuggets
Date
Competition
Minnesota Timberwolves
#25
W
114-103
114
103
+11
112avg 108
A14/05
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#29
W
104-91
104
91
+13
104avg 108
A15/05
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#12
L
116-132
116
132
-16
97avg 108
A17/05
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#12
L
109-123
109
123
-14
100avg 108
H23/05
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#12
W
128-109
128
109
+19
122avg 108
H25/05
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#12
W
120-115
120
115
+5
114avg 108
A28/05
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#12
L
95-115
95
115
-20
78avg 108
A29/05
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#12
W
147-140 OT
147
140
+7
141avg 108
H02/06
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#12
W
126-115
126
115
+11
no box
A04/06
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#3
L
105-122
105
122
-17
no box
A08/06
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
35-26
28-26
29-37
22-14
29-25
28-28
30-21
17-17
22-43
33-29
29-35
32-25
30-35
31-23
25-38
23-27
31-25
42-36
28-26
27-22
39-30
25-29
20-20
36-36
24-32
23-25
19-36
29-22
38-25
27-37
27-32
29-27
29-33
32-35
37-33
28-14
28-28
30-29
21-31
26-34
232.9Avg total
116.4Scored
116.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (82)115.5110.6226.1+5.065%
Season at home (41)118.4110.9229.2+7.571%
Season away (41)112.7110.3223.0+2.459%
Last 10 (10)116.4116.5232.9-0.160%
Last 5 (5)118.6121.4240.0-2.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (19)113.3115.5228.8-2.247%
vs Weaker (11)119.2107.6226.8+11.5100%
This opponent (Phoenix Suns) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +5.2+5.2Q1: +0.3+0.3Q2Q2: +1.2+1.2Q2: +0.2+0.2Q3Q3: +4.7+4.7Q3: -4.4-4.4Q4Q4: -1.5-1.5Q4: +3.1+3.1
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +5.2+5.2Q1: +0.3+0.3Q2Q2: +1.2+1.2Q2: +0.2+0.2Q3Q3: +4.7+4.7Q3: -4.4-4.4Q4Q4: -1.5-1.5Q4: +3.1+3.1
Phoenix SunsDenver Nuggets
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Phoenix SunsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Portland Trail Blazers
#12
L
52-53
52
53
-1
H14/05
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#22
W
68-47
68
47
+21
A15/05
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#22
L
52-61
52
61
-9
A16/05
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#8
W
53-45
53
45
+8
H23/05
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#8
L
47-53
47
53
-6
H26/05
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#8
L
40-43
40
43
-3
A28/05
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#8
W
54-50
54
50
+4
A30/05
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#8
W
66-36
66
36
+30
H02/06
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#8
W
62-41
62
41
+21
A04/06
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#6
L
57-58
57
58
-1
H08/06
NBA
103.8Avg total
55.1Scored
48.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)57.253.9111.1+3.260%-
Last 30 at home (14)58.553.2111.7+5.364%-
Last 30 away (16)56.054.6110.6+1.456%-
Last 10 (10)55.148.7103.8+6.450%-
Last 5 (5)55.845.6101.4+10.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (19)56.752.7109.4+3.958%-
vs Weaker (11)58.056.0114.0+2.064%-
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Minnesota Timberwolves
#25
W
63-52
63
52
+11
A14/05
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#29
W
57-53
57
53
+4
A15/05
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#12
L
55-72
55
72
-17
A17/05
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#12
W
61-58
61
58
+3
H23/05
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#12
W
73-61
73
61
+12
H25/05
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#12
W
64-59
64
59
+5
A28/05
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#12
L
47-57
47
57
-10
A29/05
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#12
W
65-62
65
62
+3
H02/06
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#12
L
61-68
61
68
-7
A04/06
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#3
W
58-57
58
57
+1
A08/06
NBA
120.3Avg total
60.4Scored
59.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)60.555.2115.7+5.380%-
Last 30 at home (15)62.753.4116.1+9.393%-
Last 30 away (15)58.357.0115.3+1.367%-
Last 10 (10)60.459.9120.3+0.570%-
Last 5 (5)59.060.6119.6-1.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (19)59.156.8115.8+2.368%-
vs Weaker (11)63.152.5115.5+10.6100%-
This opponent (Phoenix Suns) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Phoenix Sunstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Phoenix Suns: 112.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers58.4 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers37.2 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.9 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 111.8 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers53.329.2
54.8%
52.8%58.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.912.4
37.7%
36.6%37.2
🏀 Free throws19.616.9
86.2%
77.7%16.9
They take 86.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 116.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers58.2 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers42.0 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.8 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 111.8 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers55.029.1
52.9%
52.8%58.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.914.0
37.9%
36.6%42.0
🏀 Free throws19.215.8
82.3%
77.7%15.8
They take 91.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 36.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 10 Jun 2021 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Phoenix Suns
WWWWLLWWWW
Denver Nuggets
LWWLWWLLWW
#3
League position
#6
+9.8
Net rating
-0.5
114.5
Offensive rating
116.8
104.7
Defensive rating
117.3
55.5%
Effective FG%
54.5%
50.2%
Opp. effective FG%
56.3%
11.4%
Turnover %
10.5%
20.0%
Off. rebound %
25.4%
0.23
Free-throw rate
0.21
37.7%
3-point %
37.9%
63.9%
Assist %
60.6%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence114.5 · 116.8Defence104.7 · 117.3Shooting55.5% · 54.5%3-point %37.7% · 37.9%Ball care11.4% · 10.5%Off. rebounds20.0% · 25.4%Free throws0.23 · 0.21Form (last 10/10)80% · 60%
■ Phoenix Suns   ■ Denver Nuggets
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Phoenix Suns wins
7
Denver Nuggets wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/06/21HDenver Nuggets122-105
04/06/21ALos Angeles Lakers113-100
02/06/21HLos Angeles Lakers115-85
30/05/21ALos Angeles Lakers100-92
28/05/21ALos Angeles Lakers95-109
26/05/21HLos Angeles Lakers102-109
23/05/21HLos Angeles Lakers99-90
16/05/21ASan Antonio Spurs123-121
15/05/21ASan Antonio Spurs140-103
14/05/21HPortland Trail Blazers118-117
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/06/21APhoenix Suns105-122
04/06/21APortland Trail Blazers126-115
02/06/21HPortland Trail Blazers147-140 OT
29/05/21APortland Trail Blazers95-115
28/05/21APortland Trail Blazers120-115
25/05/21HPortland Trail Blazers128-109
23/05/21HPortland Trail Blazers109-123
17/05/21APortland Trail Blazers116-132
15/05/21ADetroit Pistons104-91
14/05/21AMinnesota Timberwolves114-103

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Phoenix Suns
NBA 2020-21
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW67%
HomeWWLWW71%
AwayWWLWW63%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games834241
Win %67%71%63%
Points / game114.0115.5112.4
Allowed / game108.8106.8110.7
Point differential+5.3+8.7+1.7
Avg total222.8222.4223.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+31%38%24%
Close games (≤5 pts) won54% (26)38% (13)69% (13)
Overtime %8%7%10%
Denver Nuggets
NBA 2020-21
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL65%
HomeWLLWW71%
AwayLWLWL59%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games824141
Win %65%71%59%
Points / game115.5118.4112.7
Allowed / game110.6110.9110.3
Point differential+5.0+7.5+2.4
Avg total226.1229.2223.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%49%32%
Close games (≤5 pts) won59% (22)55% (11)64% (11)
Overtime %9%12%5%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Utah Jazz81602174%116.9107.4+9.4
2 Philadelphia 76ers81562569%114.4108.2+6.2
3 Brooklyn Nets81562569%118.8113.2+5.6
4 Phoenix Suns83562767%114.0108.8+5.3
5 Denver Nuggets82532965%115.5110.6+5.0
6 Milwaukee Bucks81503162%119.0113.9+5.2
7 Los Angeles Clippers83513261%113.1108.0+5.1
8 Los Angeles Lakers83493459%108.7106.2+2.4
9 Atlanta Hawks83483558%113.1111.0+2.1
10 Dallas Mavericks82473557%112.3110.4+1.8
11 New York Knicks81453656%106.1103.9+2.1
12 Portland Trail Blazers82453755%115.9115.0+0.8
13 Golden State Warriors77413653%113.4112.4+1.0
14 Memphis Grizzlies83443953%113.5112.5+1.0
15 Miami Heat78413753%107.5108.6-1.2
16 Boston Celtics80384248%112.2111.8+0.4
17 Indiana Pacers77354245%115.3115.6-0.3
18 Washington Wizards82374545%115.7118.2-2.5
19 Chicago Bulls76344245%110.6111.2-0.6
20 New Orleans Pelicans74334145%114.8114.6+0.2
21 Charlotte Hornets77344344%109.7112.0-2.3
22 San Antonio Spurs76334343%110.6112.9-2.3
23 Sacramento Kings76334343%113.6117.3-3.7
24 Toronto Raptors75294639%111.2111.6-0.4
25 Minnesota Timberwolves75245132%112.1117.7-5.6
26 Cleveland Cavaliers76245232%103.6112.0-8.4
27 Oklahoma City Thunder75235231%105.2115.5-10.3
28 Orlando Magic76235330%104.6113.5-8.9
29 Detroit Pistons76225429%105.9110.1-4.1
30 Houston Rockets76205626%109.1116.0-6.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Phoenix Suns25273437123
Denver Nuggets2121253198
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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