PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Phoenix Suns vs Milwaukee Bucks Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 27 Mar 2027
Tip-off: 02:00
Scheduled
Position#29
Record2-7
FormLLWLL
Points / game110.3
Allowed / game119.0
vs
Position#27
Record3-7
FormLLLWL
Points / game111.4
Allowed / game122.0
USANBA· Mortgage Matchup Center
NBA2026-27
Meetings · Phoenix Suns v Milwaukee Bucks
26 Mar 2027
PHX v MIL
upcoming
21 Mar 2026
PHX105
MIL108
24 Mar 2025
PHX108
MIL106
19 Jul 2024
PHX115
MIL90
06 Feb 2024
PHX114
MIL106
08 Jul 2023
PHX75
MIL84
14 Mar 2023
PHX104
MIL116
10 Feb 2022
PHX131
MIL107
17 Jul 2021
PHX119
MIL123
08 Jul 2021
PHX118
MIL108
06 Jul 2021
PHX118
MIL105
10 Feb 2021
PHX125
MIL124
08 Mar 2020
PHX140
MIL131
04 Mar 2019
PHX114
MIL105
22 Nov 2017
PHX107
MIL113
04 Feb 2017
PHX112
MIL137
20 Dec 2015
PHX95
MIL101
16 Jul 2015
PHX106
MIL80
15 Dec 2014
PHX94
MIL96
13 Jul 2014
PHX93
MIL82
04 Jan 2014
PHX116
MIL100
17 Jan 2013
PHX94
MIL98
08 Jan 2012
PHX109
MIL93
02 Feb 2011
PHX92
MIL77
11 Jan 2010
PHX105
MIL101
09 Dec 2008
PHX125
MIL110
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Phoenix Suns win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Milwaukee Bucks win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

🔥 Form · Phoenix Suns
5.6out of 10 · 5 = normal010
Above their normal
🏀
Attack
Points scored per game
Last 5 v their normal 111.0
112.8▲ 1.8
🛡️
Defence
Points allowed per game
Last 5 v their normal 115.3
123.4▲ 8.1
🎯
Accuracy
True shooting %
Last 5 v their normal 57%
59%▲ 2%
🤝
Playmaking
Assists per game
Last 5 v their normal 23.6
25.6▲ 2.0
🔥 Form · Milwaukee Bucks
4.3out of 10 · 5 = normal010
Below their normal
🏀
Attack
Points scored per game
Last 5 v their normal 111.1
113.4▲ 2.3
🛡️
Defence
Points allowed per game
Last 5 v their normal 120.3
124.2▲ 3.9
🎯
Accuracy
True shooting %
Last 5 v their normal 57%
57%▼ 0%
🤝
Playmaking
Assists per game
Last 5 v their normal 25.7
26.0▲ 0.3
Phoenix SunsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
L
122-131
122
131
-9
H28/04
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#3
L
107-109
107
109
-2
A05/10
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#24
L
117-124
117
124
-7
A08/10
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#14
W
102-98
102
98
+4
H11/10
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#14
L
103-123
103
123
-20
A15/10
NBA
Utah Jazz
#21
L
116-119
116
119
-3
H17/10
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#5
L
83-124
83
124
-41
A22/10
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#10
W
131-122
131
122
+9
H25/10
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#18
L
114-125
114
125
-11
A27/10
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#7
L
120-127
120
127
-7
H31/10
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
33-37
34-38
31-31
24-25
35-21
33-29
16-34
23-25
40-29
24-33
26-31
27-31
35-25
23-26
27-22
17-25
23-22
26-38
26-32
28-31
30-31
35-28
30-31
21-29
12-43
27-29
27-35
17-17
22-25
35-29
45-38
29-30
27-33
26-34
32-32
29-26
37-32
30-39
26-32
27-24
231.7Avg total
111.5Scored
120.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)110.3119.0229.3-8.722%
Season at home (4)117.2116.5233.8+0.850%
Season away (5)104.8121.0225.8-16.20%
Last 10 (10)111.5120.2231.7-8.720%
Last 5 (5)112.8123.4236.2-10.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)109.7117.5227.1-7.820%
vs Similar ◀ (10)108.1113.5221.6-5.420%
vs Weaker (5)120.4107.8228.2+12.680%
This opponent (Milwaukee Bucks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Milwaukee BucksUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Minnesota Timberwolves
#9
L
97-116
97
116
-19
H06/10
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#18
W
128-126
128
126
+2
A08/10
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#22
L
90-105
90
105
-15
A11/10
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#24
L
104-125
104
125
-21
H15/10
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#26
W
128-127 OT
128
127
+1
A16/10
NBA
Washington Wizards
#15
L
116-128
116
128
-12
A21/10
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#24
L
125-132
125
132
-7
H23/10
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#8
L
116-127
116
127
-11
A24/10
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#26
W
110-102
110
102
+8
H27/10
NBA
Houston Rockets
#4
L
100-132
100
132
-32
H29/10
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-31
28-29
28-21
21-35
35-44
29-38
33-20
31-24
26-29
19-31
22-27
23-18
15-24
24-38
39-40
26-23
21-29
35-42
34-22
27-24
23-25
33-26
37-39
23-38
32-17
30-44
42-41
21-30
25-34
35-30
27-33
29-30
31-29
19-32
34-24
26-17
21-23
14-34
34-38
31-37
233.4Avg total
111.4Scored
122.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)111.4122.0233.4-10.630%
Season at home (5)107.2121.4228.6-14.220%
Season away (5)115.6122.6238.2-7.040%
Last 10 (10)111.4122.0233.4-10.630%
Last 5 (5)113.4124.2237.6-10.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (23)108.3124.5232.8-16.217%
vs Similar ◀ (5)114.8114.0228.8+0.860%
vs Weaker (2)107.5102.0209.5+5.550%
This opponent (Phoenix Suns) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -0.4-0.4Q1: -3.6-3.6Q2Q2: -3.0-3.0Q2: -7.8-7.8Q3Q3: -3.2-3.2Q3: +2.5+2.5Q4Q4: -2.1-2.1Q4: -1.8-1.8
Phoenix SunsMilwaukee Bucks
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Phoenix SunsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
L
67-75
67
75
-8
H28/04
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#3
W
68-50
68
50
+18
A05/10
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#24
W
64-62
64
62
+2
A08/10
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#14
W
58-51
58
51
+7
H11/10
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#14
L
49-60
49
60
-11
A15/10
NBA
Utah Jazz
#21
W
65-59
65
59
+6
H17/10
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#5
L
39-72
39
72
-33
A22/10
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#10
W
57-54
57
54
+3
H25/10
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#18
L
53-67
53
67
-14
A27/10
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#7
L
67-71
67
71
-4
H31/10
NBA
120.8Avg total
58.7Scored
62.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)58.859.7118.5-0.947%-
Last 30 at home (14)60.457.6117.9+2.857%-
Last 30 away (16)57.461.5118.9-4.138%-
Last 10 (10)58.762.1120.8-3.450%-
Last 5 (5)56.264.6120.8-8.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)57.861.3119.1-3.540%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)58.359.8118.1-1.540%-
vs Weaker (5)62.854.4117.2+8.480%-
This opponent (Milwaukee Bucks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Milwaukee BucksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Minnesota Timberwolves
#9
L
48-60
48
60
-12
H06/10
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#18
L
64-82
64
82
-18
A08/10
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#22
L
45-60
45
60
-15
A11/10
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#24
L
39-62
39
62
-23
H15/10
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#26
L
56-71
56
71
-15
A16/10
NBA
Washington Wizards
#15
W
56-51
56
51
+5
A21/10
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#24
W
62-61
62
61
+1
H23/10
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#8
L
60-64
60
64
-4
A24/10
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#26
L
50-61
50
61
-11
H27/10
NBA
Houston Rockets
#4
L
35-57
35
57
-22
H29/10
NBA
114.4Avg total
51.5Scored
62.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)53.361.8115.1-8.430%-
Last 30 at home (15)54.260.8115.0-6.640%-
Last 30 away (15)52.562.7115.2-10.320%-
Last 10 (10)51.562.9114.4-11.420%-
Last 5 (5)52.658.8111.4-6.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (23)52.763.2116.0-10.526%-
vs Similar ◀ (5)55.659.2114.8-3.640%-
vs Weaker (2)54.551.5106.0+3.050%-
This opponent (Phoenix Suns) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Phoenix Sunstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Phoenix Suns: 112.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers56.6 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers39.0 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.2 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.3 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.928.3
56.7%
54.0%56.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers37.913.0
34.3%
34.9%39.0
🏀 Free throws23.217.2
74.1%
76.2%17.2
They take 87.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 37.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Milwaukee Buckstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Milwaukee Bucks: 112.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers51.2 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers42.9 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.9 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.3 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.525.6
52.8%
54.0%51.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers44.414.3
32.2%
34.9%42.9
🏀 Free throws25.517.9
70.2%
76.2%17.9
They take 92.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 44.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 27 Mar 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Phoenix Suns
LLWLLLWLLL
Milwaukee Bucks
LWLLLWLLWL
#29
League position
#27
-5.8
Net rating
-8.1
102.1
Offensive rating
96.0
107.9
Defensive rating
104.0
54.4%
Effective FG%
50.6%
56.1%
Opp. effective FG%
54.3%
16.4%
Turnover %
15.2%
31.7%
Off. rebound %
13.0%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.27
34.3%
3-point %
32.2%
59.1%
Assist %
63.4%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence102.1 · 96.0Defence107.9 · 104.0Shooting54.4% · 50.6%3-point %34.3% · 32.2%Ball care16.4% · 15.2%Off. rebounds31.7% · 13.0%Free throws0.26 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)20% · 30%
■ Phoenix Suns   ■ Milwaukee Bucks
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Phoenix Suns wins
6
Milwaukee Bucks wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/10/26HDenver Nuggets120-127
27/10/26AOklahoma City Thunder114-125
25/10/26HGolden State Warriors131-122
22/10/26APortland Trail Blazers83-124
17/10/26HUtah Jazz116-119
15/10/26ASan Antonio Spurs103-123
11/10/26HSan Antonio Spurs102-98
08/10/26AChicago Bulls117-124
05/10/26ADetroit Pistons107-109
28/04/26HOklahoma City Thunder122-131
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/10/26HHouston Rockets100-132
27/10/26HIndiana Pacers110-102
24/10/26APhiladelphia 76ers116-127
23/10/26HChicago Bulls125-132
21/10/26AWashington Wizards116-128
16/10/26AIndiana Pacers128-127 OT
15/10/26HChicago Bulls104-125
11/10/26ACharlotte Hornets90-105
08/10/26AOklahoma City Thunder128-126
06/10/26HMinnesota Timberwolves97-116

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Phoenix Suns
NBA 2026-27
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL22%
HomeWLWL50%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games945
Win %22%50%0%
Points / game110.3117.2104.8
Allowed / game119.0116.5121.0
Point differential-8.7+0.8-16.2
Avg total229.3233.8225.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)50% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Milwaukee Bucks
NBA 2026-27
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL30%
HomeLLLWL20%
AwayWLWLL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1055
Win %30%20%40%
Points / game111.4107.2115.6
Allowed / game122.0121.4122.6
Point differential-10.6-14.2-7.0
Avg total233.4228.6238.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)-100% (2)
Overtime %10%0%20%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Boston Celtics98189%123.4110.0+13.4
2 Memphis Grizzlies98189%117.9108.2+9.7
3 Detroit Pistons108280%113.3106.3+7.0
4 Houston Rockets97278%121.3110.9+10.4
5 Portland Trail Blazers75271%120.3114.3+6.0
6 Atlanta Hawks117464%120.7115.7+5.0
7 Denver Nuggets106460%114.8114.7+0.1
8 Philadelphia 76ers106460%110.6111.0-0.4
9 Minnesota Timberwolves127558%118.8112.4+6.4
10 Golden State Warriors127558%115.2110.8+4.4
11 Orlando Magic95456%116.0117.8-1.8
12 Los Angeles Lakers116555%113.2112.6+0.5
13 Toronto Raptors105550%119.6111.5+8.1
14 San Antonio Spurs105550%115.5109.4+6.1
15 Washington Wizards105550%111.6111.3+0.3
16 Cleveland Cavaliers84450%117.2118.2-1.0
17 Dallas Mavericks105550%114.3115.7-1.4
18 Oklahoma City Thunder105550%109.0110.8-1.8
19 Miami Heat115645%122.7121.9+0.8
20 New Orleans Pelicans94544%115.4116.6-1.1
21 Utah Jazz94544%112.8115.6-2.8
22 Charlotte Hornets104640%97.0108.0-11.0
23 Los Angeles Clippers83538%107.4110.5-3.1
24 Chicago Bulls114736%117.4122.7-5.4
25 Brooklyn Nets93633%116.4118.9-2.4
26 Indiana Pacers103730%117.9119.2-1.3
27 Milwaukee Bucks103730%111.4122.0-10.6
28 New York Knicks113827%106.5115.2-8.6
29 Phoenix Suns92722%110.3119.0-8.7
30 Sacramento Kings100100%106.5122.2-15.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.