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Virtus Bologna vs Varese Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 27 Feb 2021
Tip-off: 18:30
Final 85-76
19-21 20-8 29-19 17-28
Position#1
Record12-6
FormWWWWL
Points / game85.6
Allowed / game77.2
vs
Position#12
Record6-13
FormLWWLL
Points / game81.1
Allowed / game88.9
ItalyLega ARound 20
Domestic2020-21
Meetings · Virtus Bologna v Varese
27 Mar 2027
VIR v VAR
upcoming
10 May 2026
VIR104
VAR85
27 Apr 2025
VIR104
VAR67
08 Oct 2023
VIR115
VAR84
07 May 2023
VIR98
VAR82
03 Oct 2021
VIR97
VAR56
27 Feb 2021
VIR85
VAR76
19 Oct 2019
VIR87
VAR80
12 May 2019
VIR84
VAR72
22 Apr 2018
VIR69
VAR71
13 Mar 2016
VIR76
VAR67
04 Apr 2015
VIR86
VAR78
19 Apr 2014
VIR77
VAR78
21 Oct 2012
VIR74
VAR84
13 Nov 2011
VIR74
VAR63
20 Mar 2011
VIR69
VAR71
14 Mar 2010
VIR80
VAR67
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Virtus Bologna winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Varese winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Virtus BolognaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBologna
Date
Competition
Trento
#8
W
92-85
92
85
+7
101avg 87
A09/01
Lega A
Cedevita Olimpija
#6
W
90-76
90
76
+14
86avg 87
H13/01
Eurocup
Cantu
#15
W
91-82
91
82
+9
93avg 87
A17/01
Lega A
JL Bourg
#16
W
99-87
99
87
+12
102avg 87
A20/01
Eurocup
Brescia
#11
L
89-90
89
90
-1
83avg 87
H23/01
Lega A
Buducnost
#12
W
87-65
87
65
+22
95avg 87
H26/01
Eurocup
Cremona
#9
W
88-75
88
75
+13
85avg 87
A30/01
Lega A
Buducnost
#12
W
99-89
99
89
+10
94avg 87
A03/02
Eurocup
Reggiana
#13
W
89-62
89
62
+27
97avg 87
A07/02
Lega A
Venezia
#4
L
82-89
82
89
-7
no box
H11/02
Italian Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-15
27-24
22-18
22-28
11-18
35-16
14-15
30-27
24-17
15-21
34-23
18-21
17-16
30-28
25-22
27-21
16-15
24-33
29-15
20-27
26-14
22-14
20-19
19-18
25-23
17-12
19-16
27-24
23-25
30-22
24-18
22-24
28-20
16-17
26-14
19-11
16-23
22-18
23-24
21-24
170.6Avg total
90.6Scored
80.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)85.677.2162.8+8.467%
Season at home (8)83.282.6165.9+0.625%
Season away (10)87.572.8160.3+14.7100%
Last 10 (10)90.680.0170.6+10.680%
Last 5 (5)89.076.0165.0+13.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (6)83.081.0164.0+2.067%
vs Weaker ◀ (23)88.676.5165.1+12.183%
This opponent (Varese) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VareseItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVarese
Date
Competition
Olimpia Milano
#2
L
70-96
70
96
-26
52avg 69
H06/12
Lega A
Reggiana
#13
L
76-89
76
89
-13
69avg 69
H13/12
Lega A
Venezia
#4
L
77-86
77
86
-9
66avg 69
A20/12
Lega A
Treviso
#7
L
79-80
79
80
-1
68avg 69
H27/12
Lega A
Trieste
#6
L
83-108
83
108
-25
72avg 69
A27/01
Lega A
Cantu
#15
L
82-97
82
97
-15
73avg 69
A31/01
Lega A
Brindisi
#3
W
76-74
76
74
+2
65avg 69
H04/02
Lega A
Cremona
#9
W
110-105 OT
110
105
+5
no box
H07/02
Lega A
Brescia
#11
L
83-98
83
98
-15
74avg 69
A10/02
Lega A
Fortitudo Bologna
#14
L
67-79
67
79
-12
58avg 69
H14/02
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-20
14-35
18-22
20-19
12-14
23-19
8-24
33-32
23-27
25-19
14-18
15-22
29-16
16-14
8-28
26-22
20-28
27-26
17-17
19-37
24-27
18-21
24-23
16-26
24-24
11-19
24-20
17-11
21-18
27-31
19-15
20-23
16-24
20-24
22-24
25-26
26-19
12-20
8-22
21-18
171.5Avg total
80.3Scored
91.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)81.188.9170.0-7.932%
Season at home (10)82.387.5169.8-5.240%
Season away (9)79.790.6170.2-10.922%
Last 10 (10)80.391.2171.5-10.920%
Last 5 (5)83.690.6174.2-7.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)82.292.8174.9-10.625%
vs Similar (12)80.788.2168.8-7.525%
vs Weaker (6)84.281.5165.7+2.767%
This opponent (Virtus Bologna) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +2.1+2.1Q1: -0.4-0.4Q2Q2: +3.3+3.3Q2: -3.5-3.5Q3Q3: +5.2+5.2Q3: -5.1-5.1Q4Q4: +0.0+0.0Q4: -2.4-2.4
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +2.1+2.1Q1: -0.4-0.4Q2Q2: +3.3+3.3Q2: -3.5-3.5Q3Q3: +5.2+5.2Q3: -5.1-5.1Q4Q4: +0.0+0.0Q4: -2.4-2.4
Virtus BolognaVarese
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Virtus BolognaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Trento
#8
W
48-39
48
39
+9
A09/01
Lega A
Cedevita Olimpija
#6
W
46-34
46
34
+12
H13/01
Eurocup
Cantu
#15
W
39-38
39
38
+1
A17/01
Lega A
JL Bourg
#16
W
47-44
47
44
+3
A20/01
Eurocup
Brescia
#11
L
40-48
40
48
-8
H23/01
Lega A
Buducnost
#12
W
48-28
48
28
+20
H26/01
Eurocup
Cremona
#9
W
42-35
42
35
+7
A30/01
Lega A
Buducnost
#12
W
53-47
53
47
+6
A03/02
Eurocup
Reggiana
#13
W
44-37
44
37
+7
A07/02
Lega A
Venezia
#4
L
38-41
38
41
-3
H11/02
Italian Cup
83.6Avg total
44.5Scored
39.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.340.183.4+3.263%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.541.884.3+0.740%-
Last 30 away (15)44.138.482.5+5.787%-
Last 10 (10)44.539.183.6+5.480%-
Last 5 (5)45.037.682.6+7.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (6)37.743.581.2-5.817%-
vs Weaker ◀ (23)45.039.284.2+5.878%-
This opponent (Varese) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VareseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Olimpia Milano
#2
L
32-55
32
55
-23
H06/12
Lega A
Reggiana
#13
W
35-33
35
33
+2
H13/12
Lega A
Venezia
#4
W
48-46
48
46
+2
A20/12
Lega A
Treviso
#7
W
45-30
45
30
+15
H27/12
Lega A
Trieste
#6
L
47-54
47
54
-7
A27/01
Lega A
Cantu
#15
L
42-48
42
48
-6
A31/01
Lega A
Brindisi
#3
L
35-43
35
43
-8
H04/02
Lega A
Cremona
#9
L
48-49
48
49
-1
H07/02
Lega A
Brescia
#11
L
36-48
36
48
-12
A10/02
Lega A
Fortitudo Bologna
#14
L
38-39
38
39
-1
H14/02
Lega A
85.1Avg total
40.6Scored
44.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.445.085.4-4.527%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.343.784.0-3.527%-
Last 30 away (15)40.646.286.8-5.627%-
Last 10 (10)40.644.585.1-3.930%-
Last 5 (5)39.845.485.2-5.60%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)41.150.992.0-9.817%-
vs Similar (12)39.341.781.0-2.325%-
vs Weaker (6)41.339.781.0+1.750%-
This opponent (Virtus Bologna) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Virtus Bolognatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Virtus Bologna: 91.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.6 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.5 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.1 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.5 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.722.3
60.8%
51.2%44.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.210.5
40.1%
35.9%31.5
🏀 Free throws19.115.1
79.1%
75.8%15.1
They take 62.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Varesetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Varese: 76.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀40%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.4 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.9 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.9 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.5 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.715.2
49.5%
51.2%30.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.710.3
32.5%
35.9%30.9
🏀 Free throws20.014.9
74.5%
75.8%14.9
They take 62.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 51% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 27 Feb 2021 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Virtus Bologna
LWWWWLWWWW
Varese
LLWWLLLLLL
#1
League position
#12
+16.6
Net rating
-15.4
118.9
Offensive rating
104.1
102.4
Defensive rating
119.5
60.5%
Effective FG%
49.1%
49.4%
Opp. effective FG%
55.4%
18.0%
Turnover %
16.6%
29.0%
Off. rebound %
27.4%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.32
40.1%
3-point %
32.5%
78.0%
Assist %
53.3%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence118.9 · 104.1Defence102.4 · 119.5Shooting60.5% · 49.1%3-point %40.1% · 32.5%Ball care18.0% · 16.6%Off. rebounds29.0% · 27.4%Free throws0.30 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)80% · 20%
■ Virtus Bologna   ■ Varese
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Virtus Bologna wins
3
Varese wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/02/21HVenezia82-89
07/02/21AReggiana89-62
03/02/21ABuducnost99-89
30/01/21ACremona88-75
26/01/21HBuducnost87-65
23/01/21HBrescia89-90
20/01/21AJL Bourg99-87
17/01/21ACantu91-82
13/01/21HCedevita Olimpija90-76
09/01/21ATrento92-85
Vareselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/02/21HFortitudo Bologna67-79
10/02/21ABrescia83-98
07/02/21HCremona110-105 OT
04/02/21HBrindisi76-74
31/01/21ACantu82-97
27/01/21ATrieste83-108
27/12/20HTreviso79-80
20/12/20AVenezia77-86
13/12/20HReggiana76-89
06/12/20HOlimpia Milano70-96

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Virtus Bologna
Lega A 2020-21
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW67%
HomeLLLWL25%
AwayWWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games18810
Win %67%25%100%
Points / game85.683.287.5
Allowed / game77.282.672.8
Point differential+8.4+0.6+14.7
Avg total162.8165.9160.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%25%70%
Close games (≤5 pts) won20% (5)0% (4)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Varese
Lega A 2020-21
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL32%
HomeLLWWL40%
AwayWLLLL22%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19109
Win %32%40%22%
Points / game81.182.379.7
Allowed / game88.987.590.6
Point differential-7.9-5.2-10.9
Avg total170.0169.8170.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+5%10%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won83% (6)75% (4)100% (2)
Overtime %11%20%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olimpia Milano1816289%88.675.1+13.5
2 Sassari1813572%91.385.0+6.3
3 Brindisi1813572%86.179.8+6.3
4 Venezia1913668%80.576.5+4.1
5 Virtus Bologna1812667%85.677.2+8.4
6 Pesaro1910953%83.081.6+1.4
7 Trieste189950%80.779.6+1.1
8 Treviso1881044%84.789.9-5.2
9 Brescia1981142%81.683.8-2.2
10 Fortitudo Bologna1871139%78.881.1-2.2
11 Reggiana1871139%75.480.6-5.2
12 Trento1861233%76.980.0-3.1
13 Cremona1861233%84.287.6-3.4
14 Cantu1961332%79.284.2-5.0
15 Varese1961332%81.188.9-7.9
16 Virtus Roma92722%74.987.7-12.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Virtus Bologna1920291785
Varese218192876
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