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Gargzdai vs Nevezis Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 10 Dec 2025
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 90-74
26-23 20-11 30-20 14-20
Position#9
Record2-5
FormLWWLL
Points / game83.7
Allowed / game85.6
vs
Position#5
Record5-2
FormLWLWL
Points / game90.0
Allowed / game87.6
LithuaniaKing Mindaugas Cup· Klaipedos aps. VPK sporto sale
Other2025-26
Meetings · Gargzdai v Nevezis
08 May 2027
GAR v NEV
upcoming
16 Dec 2026
GAR v NEV
upcoming
06 Dec 2026
GAR v NEV
upcoming
07 Mar 2026
GAR88
NEV81
10 Dec 2025
GAR90
NEV74
16 Nov 2025
GAR86
NEV79
16 Oct 2023
GAR97
NEV84
02 Apr 2023
GAR73
NEV87
29 Oct 2022
GAR71
NEV73
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Gargzdai winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Nevezis winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

GargzdaiLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGargzdai
Date
Competition
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
73-89
73
89
-16
65avg 75
H26/10
LKL
Jonava
#8
L
84-88
84
88
-4
80avg 75
H30/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Nevezis
#9
L
87-94
87
94
-7
80avg 75
A03/11
LKL
Siauliai
#7
W
102-91
102
91
+11
104avg 75
H05/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Lietkabelis
#6
L
80-89
80
89
-9
68avg 75
H08/11
LKL
Juventus
#4
L
73-90
73
90
-17
57avg 75
A12/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Nevezis
#9
W
86-79
86
79
+7
82avg 75
H16/11
LKL
Siauliai
#4
W
94-83
94
83
+11
91avg 75
A22/11
LKL
Jonava
#8
L
82-97
82
97
-15
75avg 75
A04/12
King Mindaugas Cup
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
71-108
71
108
-37
56avg 75
A07/12
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-24
17-21
20-16
20-28
17-28
26-19
15-18
26-23
22-21
26-25
19-28
20-20
25-19
25-27
24-26
28-19
19-21
24-20
14-25
23-23
19-24
11-23
17-27
26-16
24-11
12-24
26-23
24-21
18-25
26-18
18-23
32-17
22-22
15-28
18-25
27-22
22-29
18-27
18-26
13-26
174.0Avg total
83.2Scored
90.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)83.785.6169.3-1.929%
Season at home (3)84.783.7168.3+1.033%
Season away (4)83.087.0170.0-4.025%
Last 10 (10)83.290.8174.0-7.630%
Last 5 (5)81.291.4172.6-10.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)76.693.4169.9-16.86%
vs Similar ◀ (9)86.882.8169.6+4.056%
vs Weaker (5)88.486.2174.6+2.240%
This opponent (Nevezis) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NevezisLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNevezis
Date
Competition
Jonava
#8
W
101-88
101
88
+13
98avg 80
A23/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Juventus
#4
W
88-84
88
84
+4
81avg 80
H29/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Gargzdai
#5
W
94-87
94
87
+7
85avg 80
H03/11
LKL
Jonava
#8
W
92-74
92
74
+18
86avg 80
H06/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
68-94
68
94
-26
52avg 80
H09/11
LKL
Gargzdai
#5
L
79-86
79
86
-7
59avg 80
A16/11
LKL
Siauliai
#7
W
83-78
83
78
+5
77avg 80
H19/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Juventus
#7
L
79-96
79
96
-17
61avg 80
H23/11
LKL
Juventus
#4
W
102-100 OT
102
100
+2
no box
A03/12
King Mindaugas Cup
Rytas
#2
L
74-104
74
104
-30
60avg 80
A06/12
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
32-15
29-28
20-21
20-24
16-18
20-24
29-17
23-25
21-22
25-26
28-19
20-20
26-11
28-16
16-29
22-18
19-21
12-24
25-25
12-24
11-24
24-12
23-26
21-24
25-17
21-19
18-14
19-28
23-22
17-25
16-24
23-25
20-25
18-22
26-27
26-16
23-27
15-20
16-30
20-27
175.1Avg total
86.0Scored
89.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)90.087.6177.6+2.471%
Season at home (4)83.882.5166.2+1.275%
Season away (3)98.394.3192.7+4.067%
Last 10 (10)86.089.1175.1-3.160%
Last 5 (5)83.492.8176.2-9.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)85.493.7179.1-8.436%
vs Similar ◀ (10)88.191.0179.1-2.940%
vs Weaker (6)95.889.7185.5+6.250%
This opponent (Gargzdai) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -2.0-2.0Q1: +1.4+1.4Q2Q2: -3.2-3.2Q2: -0.7-0.7Q3Q3: -4.8-4.8Q3: -1.5-1.5Q4Q4: +2.4+2.4Q4: -2.5-2.5
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -2.0-2.0Q1: +1.4+1.4Q2Q2: -3.2-3.2Q2: -0.7-0.7Q3Q3: -4.8-4.8Q3: -1.5-1.5Q4Q4: +2.4+2.4Q4: -2.5-2.5
GargzdaiNevezis
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
GargzdaiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
33-45
33
45
-12
H26/10
LKL
Jonava
#8
L
43-47
43
47
-4
H30/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Nevezis
#9
W
48-46
48
46
+2
A03/11
LKL
Siauliai
#7
W
50-46
50
46
+4
H05/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Lietkabelis
#6
W
43-41
43
41
+2
H08/11
LKL
Juventus
#4
L
30-47
30
47
-17
A12/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Nevezis
#9
W
36-35
36
35
+1
H16/11
LKL
Siauliai
#4
W
44-43
44
43
+1
A22/11
LKL
Jonava
#8
L
37-50
37
50
-13
A04/12
King Mindaugas Cup
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
40-56
40
56
-16
A07/12
LKL
86.0Avg total
40.4Scored
45.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.944.085.9-2.147%-
Last 30 at home (14)43.839.983.6+3.971%-
Last 30 away (16)40.247.687.9-7.425%-
Last 10 (10)40.445.686.0-5.250%-
Last 5 (5)37.446.283.6-8.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)40.045.885.8-5.831%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)43.842.386.1+1.467%-
vs Weaker (5)44.641.486.0+3.260%-
This opponent (Nevezis) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NevezisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Jonava
#8
W
61-43
61
43
+18
A23/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Juventus
#4
L
36-42
36
42
-6
H29/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Gargzdai
#5
L
46-48
46
48
-2
H03/11
LKL
Jonava
#8
W
54-27
54
27
+27
H06/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
31-45
31
45
-14
H09/11
LKL
Gargzdai
#5
L
35-36
35
36
-1
A16/11
LKL
Siauliai
#7
W
46-36
46
36
+10
H19/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Juventus
#7
L
40-47
40
47
-7
H23/11
LKL
Juventus
#4
L
38-47
38
47
-9
A03/12
King Mindaugas Cup
Rytas
#2
L
38-47
38
47
-9
A06/12
LKL
84.3Avg total
42.5Scored
41.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.945.789.6-1.837%-
Last 30 at home (16)44.944.989.8+0.050%-
Last 30 away (14)42.846.789.5-3.921%-
Last 10 (10)42.541.884.3+0.730%-
Last 5 (5)39.442.682.0-3.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)40.646.887.4-6.121%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)44.545.590.0-1.050%-
vs Weaker (6)50.543.794.2+6.850%-
This opponent (Gargzdai) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Gargzdaitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Gargzdai: 82.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.2 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.7 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.3 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.0 points a game
50%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.821.1
51.7%
55.4%42.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.37.9
35.4%
35.7%23.7
🏀 Free throws24.016.3
67.9%
74.2%16.3
They take 63.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Nevezistheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Nevezis: 85.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.0 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.9 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.0 points a game
50%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.823.0
51.3%
55.4%46.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.28.0
34.5%
35.7%24.0
🏀 Free throws22.515.9
70.7%
74.2%15.9
They take 68.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 10 Dec 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Gargzdai
LLWWLLWLLL
Nevezis
LWLWLLWWWW
#9
League position
#5
-10.1
Net rating
-1.7
109.2
Offensive rating
110.8
119.3
Defensive rating
112.4
52.2%
Effective FG%
51.5%
53.9%
Opp. effective FG%
55.9%
16.6%
Turnover %
16.6%
30.4%
Off. rebound %
33.3%
0.38
Free-throw rate
0.33
35.4%
3-point %
34.5%
59.3%
Assist %
50.6%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence109.2 · 110.8Defence119.3 · 112.4Shooting52.2% · 51.5%3-point %35.4% · 34.5%Ball care16.6% · 16.6%Off. rebounds30.4% · 33.3%Free throws0.38 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)30% · 60%
■ Gargzdai   ■ Nevezis
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Gargzdai wins
5
Nevezis wins
DateGameScore
16/11/25Gargzdai v Nevezis86-79
03/11/25Nevezis v Gargzdai94-87
08/10/25Nevezis v Gargzdai72-94
04/12/23Nevezis v Gargzdai92-80
16/10/23Gargzdai v Nevezis97-84
02/04/23Gargzdai v Nevezis73-87
19/12/22Nevezis v Gargzdai99-92
29/10/22Gargzdai v Nevezis71-73
Gargzdailast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/12/25AZalgiris Kaunas71-108
04/12/25AJonava82-97
22/11/25ASiauliai94-83
16/11/25HNevezis86-79
12/11/25AJuventus73-90
08/11/25HLietkabelis80-89
05/11/25HSiauliai102-91
03/11/25ANevezis87-94
30/10/25HJonava84-88
26/10/25HZalgiris Kaunas73-89
Nevezislast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/12/25ARytas74-104
03/12/25AJuventus102-100 OT
23/11/25HJuventus79-96
19/11/25HSiauliai83-78
16/11/25AGargzdai79-86
09/11/25HZalgiris Kaunas68-94
06/11/25HJonava92-74
03/11/25HGargzdai94-87
29/10/25HJuventus88-84
23/10/25AJonava101-88

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Gargzdai
King Mindaugas Cup 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL29%
HomeLLW33%
AwayWLLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %29%33%25%
Points / game83.784.783.0
Allowed / game85.683.787.0
Point differential-1.9+1.0-4.0
Avg total169.3168.3170.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%33%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Nevezis
King Mindaugas Cup 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW71%
HomeLWWW75%
AwayLWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %71%75%67%
Points / game90.083.898.3
Allowed / game87.682.594.3
Point differential+2.4+1.2+4.0
Avg total177.6166.2192.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%25%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)100% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %14%0%33%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Nevezis75271%90.087.6+2.4
2 Juventus84450%88.084.5+3.5
3 Siauliai84450%87.488.1-0.8
4 Jonava84450%84.587.8-3.2
5 Gargzdai72529%83.785.6-1.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Gargzdai2620301490
Nevezis2311202074
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