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Sydney vs Illawarra Hawks Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 25 Dec 2024
Tip-off: 09:30
Final 108-111
31-23 27-35 23-30 27-23
Position#4
Record11-7
FormWLWWW
Points / game88.2
Allowed / game83.2
Sydney
Australia
vs
Illawarra Hawks 🏆
Australia
Position#1
Record11-5
FormWLWWW
Points / game100.5
Allowed / game90.2
AustraliaNBLRound 13· Qudos Bank Arena
Other2024-25
Meetings · Sydney v Illawarra Hawks
25 Dec 2026
SYDN v ILLA
upcoming
27 Sep 2026
SYDN121
ILLA100
29 Jan 2026
SYDN122
ILLA104
25 Dec 2025
SYDN108
ILLA84
25 Dec 2024
SYDN108
ILLA111
29 Sep 2024
SYDN89
ILLA96
11 Feb 2024
SYDN95
ILLA106
25 Dec 2023
SYDN90
ILLA94
15 Jan 2023
SYDN84
ILLA79
20 Nov 2022
SYDN83
ILLA82
01 May 2022
SYDN99
ILLA87
24 Apr 2022
SYDN84
ILLA87
11 Dec 2021
SYDN84
ILLA92
11 Mar 2021
SYDN69
ILLA89
14 Feb 2021
SYDN82
ILLA85
14 Feb 2020
SYDN98
ILLA82
17 Nov 2019
SYDN92
ILLA87
13 Jan 2019
SYDN84
ILLA96
02 Nov 2018
SYDN86
ILLA79
05 Nov 2017
SYDN83
ILLA93
15 Oct 2017
SYDN103
ILLA87
23 Dec 2016
SYDN75
ILLA87
24 Oct 2016
SYDN90
ILLA73
09 Jan 2016
SYDN90
ILLA114
17 Oct 2015
SYDN86
ILLA100
15 Feb 2015
SYDN73
ILLA75
11 Oct 2014
SYDN86
ILLA83
15 Feb 2014
SYDN84
ILLA102
14 Dec 2013
SYDN63
ILLA69
15 Dec 2012
SYDN70
ILLA63
09 Nov 2012
SYDN65
ILLA51
24 Mar 2012
SYDN68
ILLA77
23 Oct 2011
SYDN95
ILLA89
21 Jan 2011
SYDN81
ILLA71
12 Dec 2010
SYDN80
ILLA95
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Sydney winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Illawarra Hawks winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

SydneyAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSydney
Date
Competition
New Zealand Breakers
#9
L
89-93
89
93
-4
75avg 83
H27/10
NBL
Melbourne United
#2
L
83-87
83
87
-4
73avg 83
A31/10
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#7
W
88-60
88
60
+28
86avg 83
H03/11
NBL
South East Melbourne
#5
W
74-69
74
69
+5
67avg 83
H08/11
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#1
L
79-86
79
86
-7
63avg 83
A16/11
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#10
W
81-75
81
75
+6
76avg 83
A29/11
NBL
Melbourne United
#2
L
98-101
98
101
-3
89avg 83
A01/12
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#9
W
98-83
98
83
+15
90avg 83
A07/12
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#8
W
93-81
93
81
+12
81avg 83
H15/12
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#9
W
92-84
92
84
+8
85avg 83
A20/12
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-18
20-31
24-23
20-21
20-21
23-25
21-20
19-21
27-19
14-14
26-18
21-9
14-22
18-14
17-20
25-13
22-22
13-22
19-23
25-19
20-26
21-16
18-13
22-20
28-27
21-38
26-14
23-22
25-14
27-26
25-15
21-28
25-25
23-29
18-19
27-8
15-19
29-32
23-18
25-15
169.4Avg total
87.5Scored
81.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)88.283.2171.4+4.961%
Season at home (6)88.778.7167.3+10.067%
Season away (12)87.985.5173.4+2.458%
Last 10 (10)87.581.9169.4+5.660%
Last 5 (5)92.484.8177.2+7.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)84.091.0175.0-7.00%
vs Similar (11)89.589.7179.2-0.336%
vs Weaker (17)92.183.5175.6+8.665%
This opponent (Illawarra Hawks) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Illawarra HawksAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHawks
Date
Competition
Melbourne United
#2
L
87-92
87
92
-5
68avg 89
H24/10
NBL
South East Melbourne
#5
W
88-82
88
82
+6
83avg 89
A26/10
NBL
Perth
#3
L
105-113
105
113
-8
94avg 89
A01/11
NBL
Adelaide
#6
L
79-93
79
93
-14
70avg 89
A10/11
NBL
Sydney
#4
W
86-79
86
79
+7
83avg 89
H16/11
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#9
W
109-71
109
71
+38
103avg 89
H28/11
NBL
South East Melbourne
#5
L
100-103
100
103
-3
96avg 89
A30/11
NBL
Perth
#3
W
121-111
121
111
+10
119avg 89
A06/12
NBL
Melbourne United
#2
W
106-93
106
93
+13
100avg 89
A13/12
NBL
Perth
#3
W
120-88
120
88
+32
113avg 89
H22/12
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-18
16-22
21-19
29-33
15-19
30-20
29-26
14-17
31-39
22-23
30-27
22-24
22-26
19-24
26-26
12-17
22-22
22-13
23-19
19-25
32-12
20-17
20-27
37-15
31-21
28-31
17-26
24-25
29-30
26-23
33-38
33-20
27-24
19-23
27-15
33-31
37-28
26-20
26-15
31-25
192.6Avg total
100.1Scored
92.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)100.590.2190.7+10.369%
Season at home (7)103.487.0190.4+16.471%
Season away (9)98.292.7190.9+5.667%
Last 10 (10)100.192.5192.6+7.660%
Last 5 (5)111.293.2204.4+18.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)85.098.3183.3-13.314%
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (16)100.590.2190.7+10.369%
This opponent (Sydney) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.8+0.8Q1: +2.8+2.8Q2Q2: -3.8-3.8Q2: +1.2+1.2Q3Q3: +3.4+3.4Q3: +1.4+1.4Q4Q4: +5.2+5.2Q4: +2.2+2.2
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.8+0.8Q1: +2.8+2.8Q2Q2: -3.8-3.8Q2: +1.2+1.2Q3Q3: +3.4+3.4Q3: +1.4+1.4Q4Q4: +5.2+5.2Q4: +2.2+2.2
SydneyIllawarra Hawks
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
SydneyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New Zealand Breakers
#9
L
45-49
45
49
-4
H27/10
NBL
Melbourne United
#2
L
43-46
43
46
-3
A31/10
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#7
W
41-33
41
33
+8
H03/11
NBL
South East Melbourne
#5
L
32-36
32
36
-4
H08/11
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#1
L
35-44
35
44
-9
A16/11
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#10
L
41-42
41
42
-1
A29/11
NBL
Melbourne United
#2
L
49-65
49
65
-16
A01/12
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#9
W
52-40
52
40
+12
A07/12
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#8
L
48-54
48
54
-6
H15/12
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#9
L
44-51
44
51
-7
A20/12
NBL
89.0Avg total
43.0Scored
46.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.844.890.6+1.047%-
Last 30 at home (14)47.944.792.6+3.150%-
Last 30 away (16)44.044.888.8-0.844%-
Last 10 (10)43.046.089.0-3.020%-
Last 5 (5)46.850.497.2-3.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)41.046.087.0-5.00%-
vs Similar (11)47.545.392.7+2.255%-
vs Weaker (17)45.344.389.6+1.047%-
This opponent (Illawarra Hawks) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Illawarra HawksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Melbourne United
#2
L
37-40
37
40
-3
H24/10
NBL
South East Melbourne
#5
W
45-39
45
39
+6
A26/10
NBL
Perth
#3
L
53-62
53
62
-9
A01/11
NBL
Adelaide
#6
L
41-50
41
50
-9
A10/11
NBL
Sydney
#4
W
44-35
44
35
+9
H16/11
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#9
W
52-29
52
29
+23
H28/11
NBL
South East Melbourne
#5
W
59-52
59
52
+7
A30/11
NBL
Perth
#3
W
55-53
55
53
+2
A06/12
NBL
Melbourne United
#2
L
46-47
46
47
-1
A13/12
NBL
Perth
#3
W
63-48
63
48
+15
H22/12
NBL
95.0Avg total
49.5Scored
45.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.046.192.1-0.147%-
Last 30 at home (14)47.443.690.9+3.843%-
Last 30 away (16)44.848.393.1-3.650%-
Last 10 (10)49.545.595.0+4.060%-
Last 5 (5)55.045.8100.8+9.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)40.946.287.1-5.421%-
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (16)50.446.096.4+4.469%-
This opponent (Sydney) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Sydneytheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sydney: 86.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.0 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.2 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.1 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 92.3 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.419.5
48.3%
52.3%39.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.410.4
35.4%
35.1%31.2
🏀 Free throws22.916.1
70.3%
74.7%16.1
They take 69.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Illawarra Hawkstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Illawarra Hawks: 98.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers51.8 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.3 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.8 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 92.3 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.725.9
55.5%
52.3%51.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.310.1
38.4%
35.1%30.3
🏀 Free throws23.116.8
72.7%
74.7%16.8
They take 73.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 25 Dec 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Sydney
WWWLWLWWLL
Illawarra Hawks
WWWLWWLLWL
#4
League position
#1
+6.6
Net rating
+8.8
110.2
Offensive rating
120.7
103.6
Defensive rating
111.9
50.3%
Effective FG%
56.2%
47.8%
Opp. effective FG%
52.6%
13.3%
Turnover %
13.6%
29.2%
Off. rebound %
31.2%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.32
35.4%
3-point %
38.4%
64.2%
Assist %
51.9%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence110.2 · 120.7Defence103.6 · 111.9Shooting50.3% · 56.2%3-point %35.4% · 38.4%Ball care13.3% · 13.6%Off. rebounds29.2% · 31.2%Free throws0.33 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)60% · 60%
■ Sydney   ■ Illawarra Hawks
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Sydney wins
4
Illawarra Hawks wins
DateGameScore
16/11/24Illawarra Hawks v Sydney86-79
29/09/24Sydney v Illawarra Hawks89-96
11/02/24Sydney v Illawarra Hawks95-106
25/12/23Sydney v Illawarra Hawks90-94
03/11/23Illawarra Hawks v Sydney83-103
30/09/23Illawarra Hawks v Sydney81-96
15/01/23Sydney v Illawarra Hawks84-79
16/12/22Illawarra Hawks v Sydney79-86
20/11/22Sydney v Illawarra Hawks83-82
01/10/22Illawarra Hawks v Sydney97-106
Sydneylast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/12/24ANew Zealand Breakers92-84
15/12/24HBrisbane Bullets93-81
07/12/24ANew Zealand Breakers98-83
01/12/24AMelbourne United98-101
29/11/24ACairns Taipans81-75
16/11/24AIllawarra Hawks79-86
08/11/24HSouth East Melbourne74-69
03/11/24HTasmania JackJumpers88-60
31/10/24AMelbourne United83-87
27/10/24HNew Zealand Breakers89-93
Illawarra Hawkslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/12/24HPerth120-88
13/12/24AMelbourne United106-93
06/12/24APerth121-111
30/11/24ASouth East Melbourne100-103
28/11/24HNew Zealand Breakers109-71
16/11/24HSydney86-79
10/11/24AAdelaide79-93
01/11/24APerth105-113
26/10/24ASouth East Melbourne88-82
24/10/24HMelbourne United87-92

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Sydney
NBL 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW61%
HomeWLWWW67%
AwayLWLWW58%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games18612
Win %61%67%58%
Points / game88.288.787.9
Allowed / game83.278.785.5
Point differential+4.9+10.0+2.4
Avg total171.4167.3173.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%50%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (6)50% (2)25% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Illawarra Hawks
NBL 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW69%
HomeWLWWW71%
AwayLLLWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1679
Win %69%71%67%
Points / game100.5103.498.2
Allowed / game90.287.092.7
Point differential+10.3+16.4+5.6
Avg total190.7190.4190.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%57%44%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)0% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Illawarra Hawks1611569%100.590.2+10.3
2 Sydney1811761%88.283.2+4.9
3 Melbourne United2012860%96.391.3+5.0
4 Tasmania JackJumpers1810856%83.183.2-0.1
5 Brisbane Bullets179853%96.596.2+0.2
6 Perth1910953%96.897.3-0.5
7 South East Melbourne189950%91.488.2+3.2
8 Adelaide1771041%90.996.6-5.7
9 New Zealand Breakers1871139%84.791.8-7.1
10 Cairns Taipans1731418%84.995.6-10.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Sydney31272327108
Illawarra Hawks23353023111
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