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Treviso vs Varese Prediction & Stats

Date: Sun 14 Feb 2027
Tip-off: 19:00
Scheduled
Position#5
Record5-2
FormLWWWL
Points / game90.7
Allowed / game88.6
vs
Form · last 5 games
5.1/10
Around normal
6.4/10
Above normal
Position#6
Record5-3
FormWWLLW
Points / game89.1
Allowed / game87.1
ItalyLega ARound 20· PalaVerde
Domestic2026-27
Meetings · Treviso v Varese
14 Feb 2027
TRV v VAR
upcoming
11 Jan 2026
TRV86
VAR83
23 Mar 2025
TRV88
VAR86
06 Jan 2024
TRV96
VAR101
02 Apr 2023
TRV95
VAR97
31 Oct 2021
TRV96
VAR78
18 Apr 2021
TRV94
VAR103
05 Jan 2020
TRV79
VAR84
25 Apr 2012
TRV55
VAR71
06 Nov 2010
TRV67
VAR72
21 Nov 2009
TRV86
VAR94
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Treviso win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Varese win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TrevisoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTreviso
Date
Competition
Brescia
#4
W
99-90
99
90
+9
96avg 82
A26/04
Lega A
Cantu
#15
W
80-72
80
72
+8
74avg 82
A03/05
Lega A
Reggiana
#7
W
78-77
78
77
+1
73avg 82
H10/05
Lega A
BC Roma
#13
W
109-94
109
94
+15
101avg 82
H26/09
Lega A
Trento
#11
W
93-90
93
90
+3
79avg 82
A03/10
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#3
L
77-106
77
106
-29
62avg 82
A11/10
Lega A
Udine
#8
W
102-86
102
86
+16
95avg 82
H18/10
Lega A
Venezia
#9
W
97-89 OT
97
89
+8
85avg 82
A25/10
Lega A
Reggiana
#14
W
81-68
81
68
+13
70avg 82
H31/10
Lega A
Tortona
#12
L
76-87
76
87
-11
no box
A08/11
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-31
30-20
25-27
26-12
21-15
17-22
13-19
29-16
21-11
17-17
22-21
18-28
29-26
28-19
27-22
25-27
22-16
28-20
20-28
23-26
28-27
11-33
21-20
17-26
24-27
24-20
26-18
28-21
31-21
13-22
21-17
15-20
29-15
18-24
20-22
14-7
20-22
19-22
21-27
16-16
175.1Avg total
89.2Scored
85.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)90.788.6179.3+2.171%
Season at home (3)97.382.7180.0+14.7100%
Season away (4)85.893.0178.8-7.250%
Last 10 (10)89.285.9175.1+3.380%
Last 5 (5)86.687.2173.8-0.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)77.588.2165.8-10.723%
vs Similar ◀ (14)89.987.5177.4+2.464%
vs Weaker (3)83.381.7165.0+1.767%
This opponent (Varese) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VareseItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVarese
Date
Competition
Murcia
#4
L
58-85
58
85
-27
44avg 78
A07/10
Champions League
Trieste
#7
W
85-84
85
84
+1
82avg 78
H10/10
Lega A
Peristeri
#3
L
82-85
82
85
-3
80avg 78
H13/10
Champions League
Trento
#11
L
85-87
85
87
-2
72avg 78
A18/10
Lega A
BC Roma
#13
W
110-103 OT
110
103
+7
106avg 78
H24/10
Lega A
Bamberg
#53
W
95-61
95
61
+34
92avg 78
A27/10
Champions League
Verona
#10
W
99-88
99
88
+11
90avg 78
A31/10
Lega A
Udine
#8
L
81-84
81
84
-3
no box
H08/11
Lega A
Peristeri
#3
L
96-101
96
101
-5
no box
A11/11
Champions League
Reggiana
#14
W
99-84
99
84
+15
no box
A14/11
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
8-16
14-23
20-27
16-19
19-15
21-23
21-20
24-26
27-26
25-11
12-27
18-21
17-23
24-26
21-23
23-15
32-28
17-17
17-22
29-28
22-10
24-16
29-17
20-18
25-23
25-21
23-27
26-17
26-14
23-26
14-27
18-17
20-28
27-30
17-21
32-22
34-18
21-22
25-18
19-26
175.2Avg total
89.0Scored
86.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)89.187.1176.2+2.062%
Season at home (4)86.290.2176.5-4.050%
Season away (4)92.084.0176.0+8.075%
Last 10 (10)89.086.2175.2+2.850%
Last 5 (5)94.083.6177.6+10.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)83.590.2173.7-6.636%
vs Similar ◀ (14)87.486.9174.2+0.557%
vs Weaker (5)92.679.4172.0+13.280%
This opponent (Treviso) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +3.2+3.2Q1: +2.9+2.9Q2Q2: -1.4-1.4Q2: +0.6+0.6Q3Q3: -0.5-0.5Q3: -3.0-3.0Q4Q4: +1.2+1.2Q4: +1.6+1.6
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +3.2+3.2Q1: +2.9+2.9Q2Q2: -1.4-1.4Q2: +0.6+0.6Q3Q3: -0.5-0.5Q3: -3.0-3.0Q4Q4: +1.2+1.2Q4: +1.6+1.6
TrevisoVarese
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
TrevisoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brescia
#4
L
48-51
48
51
-3
A26/04
Lega A
Cantu
#15
W
38-37
38
37
+1
A03/05
Lega A
Reggiana
#7
W
38-28
38
28
+10
H10/05
Lega A
BC Roma
#13
W
57-45
57
45
+12
H26/09
Lega A
Trento
#11
W
50-36
50
36
+14
A03/10
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#3
L
39-60
39
60
-21
A11/10
Lega A
Udine
#8
W
48-47
48
47
+1
H18/10
Lega A
Venezia
#9
W
44-43
44
43
+1
A25/10
Lega A
Reggiana
#14
W
47-39
47
39
+8
H31/10
Lega A
Tortona
#12
L
39-44
39
44
-5
A08/11
Lega A
87.8Avg total
44.8Scored
43.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.243.684.8-2.437%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.941.984.8+0.953%-
Last 30 away (15)39.545.384.9-5.820%-
Last 10 (10)44.843.087.8+1.870%-
Last 5 (5)43.446.690.0-3.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)38.245.283.4-7.18%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)43.143.086.1+0.157%-
vs Weaker (3)45.339.785.0+5.767%-
This opponent (Varese) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VareseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Murcia
#4
L
22-39
22
39
-17
A07/10
Champions League
Trieste
#7
W
40-38
40
38
+2
H10/10
Lega A
Peristeri
#3
W
52-37
52
37
+15
H13/10
Champions League
Trento
#11
L
41-49
41
49
-8
A18/10
Lega A
BC Roma
#13
W
49-45
49
45
+4
H24/10
Lega A
Bamberg
#53
W
46-26
46
26
+20
A27/10
Champions League
Verona
#10
W
50-44
50
44
+6
A31/10
Lega A
Udine
#8
W
49-40
49
40
+9
H08/11
Lega A
Peristeri
#3
L
47-58
47
58
-11
A11/11
Champions League
Reggiana
#14
W
55-40
55
40
+15
A14/11
Lega A
86.7Avg total
45.1Scored
41.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.442.885.1-0.450%-
Last 30 at home (14)44.442.286.6+2.157%-
Last 30 away (16)40.643.283.9-2.644%-
Last 10 (10)45.141.686.7+3.570%-
Last 5 (5)49.441.691.0+7.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)41.546.087.5-4.527%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)41.641.483.1+0.257%-
vs Weaker (5)46.439.485.8+7.080%-
This opponent (Treviso) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Trevisotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Treviso: 90.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀24%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.6 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.6 pts a game · 24% of the points
🏀 Free throws20.6 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.2 points a game
46%
33%
21%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.524.3
54.6%
54.3%48.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.27.2
32.4%
34.3%21.6
🏀 Free throws28.620.6
72.0%
74.6%20.6
They take 66.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Varesetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Varese: 84.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.0 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.5 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.1 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.2 points a game
46%
33%
21%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.518.0
50.7%
54.3%36.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.910.5
36.3%
34.3%31.5
🏀 Free throws24.717.1
69.2%
74.6%17.1
They take 64.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 14 Feb 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Treviso
LWWWLWWWWW
Varese
WLLWWWLLWL
#5
League position
#6
+5.8
Net rating
-1.2
98.2
Offensive rating
91.5
92.4
Defensive rating
92.7
52.6%
Effective FG%
52.4%
50.1%
Opp. effective FG%
52.3%
12.8%
Turnover %
18.5%
0.43
Free-throw rate
0.38
32.4%
3-point %
36.3%
55.2%
Assist %
66.7%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence98.2 · 91.5Defence92.4 · 92.7Shooting52.6% · 52.4%3-point %32.4% · 36.3%Ball care12.8% · 18.5%Free throws0.43 · 0.38Form (last 10/10)80% · 50%
■ Treviso   ■ Varese
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Treviso wins
5
Varese wins
DateGameScore
15/03/26Varese v Treviso91-86
11/01/26Treviso v Varese86-83
23/03/25Treviso v Varese88-86
12/01/25Varese v Treviso92-89
28/04/24Varese v Treviso95-100
06/01/24Treviso v Varese96-101
02/04/23Treviso v Varese95-97
30/10/22Varese v Treviso87-85
10/04/22Varese v Treviso80-89
31/10/21Treviso v Varese96-78
Trevisolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/11/26ATortona76-87
31/10/26HReggiana81-68
25/10/26AVenezia97-89 OT
18/10/26HUdine102-86
11/10/26AOlimpia Milano77-106
03/10/26ATrento93-90
26/09/26HBC Roma109-94
10/05/26HReggiana78-77
03/05/26ACantu80-72
26/04/26ABrescia99-90
Vareselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26AReggiana99-84
11/11/26APeristeri96-101
08/11/26HUdine81-84
31/10/26AVerona99-88
27/10/26ABamberg95-61
24/10/26HBC Roma110-103 OT
18/10/26ATrento85-87
13/10/26HPeristeri82-85
10/10/26HTrieste85-84
07/10/26AMurcia58-85

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Treviso
Lega A 2026-27
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL71%
HomeWWW100%
AwayWLWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %71%100%50%
Points / game90.797.385.8
Allowed / game88.682.793.0
Point differential+2.1+14.7-7.2
Avg total179.3180.0178.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+43%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %14%0%25%
Varese
Lega A 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW62%
HomeLWWL50%
AwayWLWW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %62%50%75%
Points / game89.186.292.0
Allowed / game87.190.284.0
Point differential+2.0-4.0+8.0
Avg total176.2176.5176.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%0%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)50% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %12%25%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Virtus Bologna76186%96.486.0+10.4
2 Basket Napoli76186%93.786.6+7.1
3 Olimpia Milano75271%90.982.7+8.1
4 Maxima Roma75271%88.183.7+4.4
5 Treviso75271%90.788.6+2.1
6 Varese85362%89.187.1+2.0
7 Trieste74357%94.488.4+6.0
8 Udine74357%81.380.3+1.0
9 Venezia74357%87.988.6-0.7
10 Verona84450%88.590.8-2.2
11 Trento73443%80.483.6-3.1
12 Tortona72529%83.791.0-7.3
13 BC Roma82625%98.698.0+0.6
14 Reggiana82625%82.085.6-3.6
15 Scafati71614%81.692.0-10.4
16 Cantu7070%76.990.9-14.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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