PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Trieste vs Varese Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 04 Apr 2026
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 90-89
25-20 23-33 22-18 20-18
Position#10
Record11-12
FormLWWLL
Points / game83.8
Allowed / game87.6
Trieste 🏆
Italy
vs
Position#8
Record11-13
FormWWWLW
Points / game83.5
Allowed / game87.0
ItalyLega ARound 25· PalaTrieste
Domestic2025-26
Meetings · Trieste v Varese
24 Jan 2027
TRI v VAR
upcoming
04 Apr 2026
TRI90
VAR89
03 Nov 2024
TRI107
VAR81
16 Apr 2023
TRI80
VAR83
14 Nov 2021
TRI70
VAR86
27 Jan 2021
TRI108
VAR83
29 Sep 2019
TRI62
VAR92
10 Feb 2019
TRI96
VAR104
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Trieste winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Varese winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TriesteItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTrieste
Date
Competition
Nymburk
#30
L
85-91
85
91
-6
74avg 77
H04/02
Champions League
Tortona
#6
L
99-104
99
104
-5
93avg 77
A08/02
Lega A
Gran Canaria
#3
L
70-94
70
94
-24
60avg 77
H11/02
Champions League
Basket Napoli
#11
W
110-84
110
84
+26
112avg 77
H14/02
Lega A
Reggiana
#7
L
61-97
61
97
-36
49avg 77
A07/03
Lega A
Nymburk
#30
L
76-82
76
82
-6
68avg 77
A11/03
Champions League
Trento
#9
W
84-78
84
78
+6
82avg 77
H14/03
Lega A
Tenerife
#12
W
82-76
82
76
+6
78avg 77
H17/03
Champions League
Venezia
#5
L
78-84
78
84
-6
70avg 77
H22/03
Lega A
Cantu
#15
L
76-97
76
97
-21
64avg 77
A29/03
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-23
21-25
21-23
18-20
23-19
32-22
24-39
20-24
19-21
18-28
13-22
20-23
38-23
32-22
20-22
20-17
21-24
7-24
12-31
21-18
19-18
23-19
10-27
24-18
24-21
21-18
18-20
21-19
20-27
17-10
18-25
27-14
14-27
21-27
30-12
13-18
20-31
22-23
18-22
16-21
170.8Avg total
82.1Scored
88.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)83.887.6171.4-3.748%
Season at home (12)85.880.5166.3+5.375%
Season away (11)81.695.3176.9-13.618%
Last 10 (10)82.188.7170.8-6.630%
Last 5 (5)79.283.4162.6-4.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)79.785.4165.1-5.743%
vs Similar ◀ (15)83.684.3167.9-0.747%
vs Weaker (1)115.090.0205.0+25.0100%
This opponent (Varese) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VareseItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVarese
Date
Competition
Treviso
#14
L
83-86
83
86
-3
70avg 74
A11/01
Lega A
Venezia
#5
L
94-106
94
106
-12
no box
H18/01
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#2
W
84-74
84
74
+10
80avg 74
A26/01
Lega A
Reggiana
#7
L
61-76
61
76
-15
53avg 74
H01/02
Lega A
Trento
#9
L
78-84
78
84
-6
72avg 74
A08/02
Lega A
Brescia
#4
W
98-96
98
96
+2
90avg 74
H14/02
Lega A
Udine
#13
W
92-81
92
81
+11
85avg 74
A08/03
Lega A
Treviso
#14
W
91-86
91
86
+5
84avg 74
H15/03
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#11
L
75-104
75
104
-29
57avg 74
A22/03
Lega A
Tortona
#6
W
97-87
97
87
+10
90avg 74
H28/03
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-18
18-22
29-17
23-29
25-31
34-18
18-35
17-22
15-19
21-24
27-19
21-12
10-24
16-11
14-20
21-21
18-23
17-15
18-24
25-22
22-34
19-21
31-23
26-18
28-21
18-21
21-15
25-24
21-22
30-22
19-23
21-19
13-25
6-22
25-26
31-31
21-28
28-21
22-23
26-15
173.3Avg total
85.3Scored
88.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)83.587.0170.6-3.546%
Season at home (12)80.984.2165.1-3.250%
Season away (12)86.289.9176.1-3.842%
Last 10 (10)85.388.0173.3-2.750%
Last 5 (5)90.690.8181.4-0.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)81.789.8171.4-8.138%
vs Similar ◀ (14)84.684.1168.8+0.557%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Trieste) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -1.1-1.1Q1: -5.9-5.9Q2Q2: -0.4-0.4Q2: +1.0+1.0Q3Q3: -5.9-5.9Q3: -0.1-0.1Q4Q4: +0.8+0.8Q4: +2.3+2.3
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -1.1-1.1Q1: -5.9-5.9Q2Q2: -0.4-0.4Q2: +1.0+1.0Q3Q3: -5.9-5.9Q3: -0.1-0.1Q4Q4: +0.8+0.8Q4: +2.3+2.3
TriesteVarese
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
TriesteLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nymburk
#30
L
46-48
46
48
-2
H04/02
Champions League
Tortona
#6
W
55-41
55
41
+14
A08/02
Lega A
Gran Canaria
#3
L
37-49
37
49
-12
H11/02
Champions League
Basket Napoli
#11
W
70-45
70
45
+25
H14/02
Lega A
Reggiana
#7
L
28-48
28
48
-20
A07/03
Lega A
Nymburk
#30
W
42-37
42
37
+5
A11/03
Champions League
Trento
#9
W
45-39
45
39
+6
H14/03
Lega A
Tenerife
#12
D
37-37
37
37
+0
H17/03
Champions League
Venezia
#5
L
35-54
35
54
-19
H22/03
Lega A
Cantu
#15
L
42-54
42
54
-12
A29/03
Lega A
88.9Avg total
43.7Scored
45.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.042.184.1-0.143%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.842.384.1-0.638%-
Last 30 away (14)42.341.984.1+0.450%-
Last 10 (10)43.745.288.9-1.540%-
Last 5 (5)40.244.284.4-4.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)40.143.683.7-3.421%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)42.840.683.4+2.260%-
vs Weaker (1)56.044.0100.0+12.0100%-
This opponent (Varese) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VareseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Treviso
#14
L
31-40
31
40
-9
A11/01
Lega A
Venezia
#5
W
59-49
59
49
+10
H18/01
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#2
L
36-43
36
43
-7
A26/01
Lega A
Reggiana
#7
L
26-35
26
35
-9
H01/02
Lega A
Trento
#9
L
35-38
35
38
-3
A08/02
Lega A
Brescia
#4
L
41-55
41
55
-14
H14/02
Lega A
Udine
#13
W
46-42
46
42
+4
A08/03
Lega A
Treviso
#14
W
51-44
51
44
+7
H15/03
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#11
L
19-47
19
47
-28
A22/03
Lega A
Tortona
#6
D
49-49
49
49
+0
H28/03
Lega A
83.5Avg total
39.3Scored
44.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.842.582.3-2.737%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.240.779.9-1.540%-
Last 30 away (15)40.444.384.7-3.933%-
Last 10 (10)39.344.283.5-4.930%-
Last 5 (5)41.247.488.6-6.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)41.244.685.8-3.431%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)38.240.178.3-1.943%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Trieste) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Triestetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Trieste: 82.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.4 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.6 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.6 points a game
48%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.819.7
56.6%
54.1%39.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.98.7
30.1%
34.6%26.1
🏀 Free throws20.416.6
81.4%
76.1%16.6
They take 63.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Varesetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Varese: 84.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.0 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.8 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.5 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.6 points a game
48%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.819.5
59.5%
54.1%39.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.910.6
32.2%
34.6%31.8
🏀 Free throws18.513.5
73.0%
76.1%13.5
They take 65.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 50% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 04 Apr 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Trieste
LLWWLLWLLL
Varese
WLWWWLLWLL
#10
League position
#8
-7.5
Net rating
-1.2
93.2
Offensive rating
97.2
100.6
Defensive rating
98.4
51.4%
Effective FG%
53.9%
54.7%
Opp. effective FG%
52.9%
16.0%
Turnover %
14.8%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.28
30.1%
3-point %
32.2%
56.7%
Assist %
60.8%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence93.2 · 97.2Defence100.6 · 98.4Shooting51.4% · 53.9%3-point %30.1% · 32.2%Ball care16.0% · 14.8%Off. rebounds- · 34.9%Free throws0.32 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)30% · 50%
■ Trieste   ■ Varese
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Trieste wins
6
Varese wins
DateGameScore
21/12/25Varese v Trieste84-69
04/05/25Varese v Trieste85-80
03/11/24Trieste v Varese107-81
16/04/23Trieste v Varese80-83
18/12/22Varese v Trieste104-99 OT
13/04/22Varese v Trieste76-92
14/11/21Trieste v Varese70-86
25/04/21Varese v Trieste73-79
27/01/21Trieste v Varese108-83
19/01/20Varese v Trieste91-85
Triestelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/03/26ACantu76-97
22/03/26HVenezia78-84
17/03/26HTenerife82-76
14/03/26HTrento84-78
11/03/26ANymburk76-82
07/03/26AReggiana61-97
14/02/26HBasket Napoli110-84
11/02/26HGran Canaria70-94
08/02/26ATortona99-104
04/02/26HNymburk85-91
Vareselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/03/26HTortona97-87
22/03/26ABasket Napoli75-104
15/03/26HTreviso91-86
08/03/26AUdine92-81
14/02/26HBrescia98-96
08/02/26ATrento78-84
01/02/26HReggiana61-76
26/01/26AOlimpia Milano84-74
18/01/26HVenezia94-106
11/01/26ATreviso83-86

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Trieste
Lega A 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL48%
HomeWWWWL75%
AwayLLLLL18%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231211
Win %48%75%18%
Points / game83.885.881.6
Allowed / game87.680.595.3
Point differential-3.7+5.3-13.6
Avg total171.4166.3176.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+13%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won43% (7)67% (3)25% (4)
Overtime %4%8%0%
Varese
Lega A 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW46%
HomeLLWWW50%
AwayLWLWL42%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241212
Win %46%50%42%
Points / game83.580.986.2
Allowed / game87.084.289.9
Point differential-3.5-3.2-3.8
Avg total170.6165.1176.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%17%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (6)100% (3)33% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Virtus Bologna2319483%83.375.6+7.7
2 Brescia2418675%88.883.9+4.9
3 Venezia2316770%91.186.3+4.8
4 Olimpia Milano2416867%85.879.7+6.1
5 Trapani1510567%78.877.9+0.9
6 Tortona2315865%88.486.2+2.2
7 Reggiana23111248%82.881.1+1.7
8 Trieste23111248%83.887.6-3.7
9 Trento24111346%83.581.8+1.8
10 Varese24111346%83.587.0-3.5
11 Udine2391439%82.383.1-0.8
12 Cremona2491538%82.585.2-2.7
13 Sassari2481633%86.889.9-3.1
14 Basket Napoli2481633%83.787.0-3.3
15 Cantu2471729%84.188.7-4.6
16 Treviso2351822%83.190.8-7.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Trieste2523222090
Varese2033181889
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.