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Ulm vs Bayern Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 23 Nov 2025
Tip-off: 15:30
Final 77-81 (OT)
19-15 17-23 15-14 17-16 9-13
Position#6
Record3-4
FormLWLLL
Points / game81.7
Allowed / game81.1
vs
Bayern 🏆
Germany
Position#1
Record5-1
FormWLLWL
Points / game86.0
Allowed / game76.5
GermanyBBLRound 8· Ratiopharm Arena
Domestic2025-26
Meetings · Ulm v Bayern
30 Apr 2027
ULM v BAY
upcoming
23 Nov 2025
ULM77
BAY81
24 Jun 2025
ULM53
BAY67
18 Jun 2025
ULM79
BAY64
08 Apr 2025
ULM109
BAY94
01 May 2024
ULM74
BAY81
02 Jun 2023
ULM104
BAY102
04 Apr 2023
ULM59
BAY77
06 May 2022
ULM65
BAY77
15 May 2021
ULM102
BAY104
09 Feb 2021
ULM77
BAY81
19 Apr 2020
ULM v BAY
upcoming
28 Sep 2018
ULM77
BAY83
30 Dec 2017
ULM75
BAY89
08 Apr 2017
ULM68
BAY83
04 Jan 2017
ULM57
BAY68
10 Feb 2016
ULM74
BAY65
07 Feb 2016
ULM91
BAY72
05 Apr 2015
ULM76
BAY87
06 Apr 2014
ULM59
BAY70
27 Jan 2013
ULM83
BAY75
04 Jan 2012
ULM76
BAY75
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ulm winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Bayern winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

UlmGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormUlm
Date
Competition
Lietkabelis
#16
W
98-94
98
94
+4
92avg 79
A15/10
Eurocup
Alba Berlin
#2
L
68-90
68
90
-22
62avg 79
A19/10
German Cup
Besiktas
#2
L
99-101
99
101
-2
92avg 79
H21/10
Eurocup
Ludwigsburg
#9
L
81-90
81
90
-9
69avg 79
A26/10
BBL
Chemnitz
#12
L
78-89
78
89
-11
69avg 79
A29/10
Eurocup
Frankfurt
#15
L
67-75
67
75
-8
60avg 79
H01/11
BBL
London Lions
#17
W
87-86
87
86
+1
78avg 79
H05/11
Eurocup
Bonn
#4
L
79-81
79
81
-2
71avg 79
A08/11
BBL
JL Bourg
#1
L
64-96
64
96
-32
55avg 79
H11/11
Eurocup
Buducnost
#6
L
71-101
71
101
-30
62avg 79
A18/11
Eurocup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-17
33-25
19-29
18-23
26-16
16-23
12-28
14-23
30-29
24-25
29-17
16-30
16-23
21-24
26-23
18-20
20-26
15-22
27-12
16-29
15-20
21-15
17-21
14-19
23-23
18-11
19-22
27-30
24-19
15-22
21-18
19-22
17-28
25-22
5-14
17-32
21-26
23-27
7-26
20-22
169.5Avg total
79.2Scored
90.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)81.781.1162.9+0.643%
Season at home (3)82.778.7161.3+4.067%
Season away (4)81.083.0164.0-2.025%
Last 10 (10)79.290.3169.5-11.120%
Last 5 (5)73.687.8161.4-14.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)81.696.0177.6-14.420%
vs Similar (12)80.778.6159.2+2.167%
vs Weaker (12)85.282.4167.7+2.858%
This opponent (Bayern) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BayernGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBayern
Date
Competition
Alba Berlin
#3
L
61-67
61
67
-6
56avg 79
A26/10
BBL
Real Madrid
#2
W
90-84
90
84
+6
85avg 79
H28/10
Euroleague
Virtus Bologna
#17
W
86-70
86
70
+16
84avg 79
H30/10
Euroleague
Heidelberg
#18
W
93-81
93
81
+12
86avg 79
H03/11
BBL
Paris
#16
W
86-82
86
82
+4
80avg 79
A06/11
Euroleague
Vechta
#7
W
77-74
77
74
+3
68avg 79
A09/11
BBL
Barcelona
#8
L
74-75
74
75
-1
66avg 79
H12/11
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#19
L
72-74
72
74
-2
63avg 79
A14/11
Euroleague
Trier
#5
W
96-80
96
80
+16
92avg 79
A16/11
German Cup
Baskonia
#18
L
73-95
73
95
-22
62avg 79
A21/11
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-20
17-15
14-9
9-23
27-25
17-32
25-10
21-17
18-15
23-23
20-17
25-15
32-14
31-21
16-22
14-24
22-19
31-23
11-26
22-14
19-22
19-19
24-18
15-15
15-20
17-23
25-18
17-14
14-19
20-23
13-18
25-14
23-17
28-20
22-22
23-21
26-14
15-28
18-25
14-28
159.0Avg total
80.8Scored
78.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)86.076.5162.5+9.583%
Season at home (4)94.579.5174.0+15.0100%
Season away (2)69.070.5139.5-1.550%
Last 10 (10)80.878.2159.0+2.660%
Last 5 (5)78.479.6158.0-1.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)76.690.6167.2-14.020%
vs Similar (12)77.174.4151.5+2.758%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)88.776.2164.8+12.583%
This opponent (Ulm) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: -0.7-0.7Q1: +3.2+3.2Q2Q2: -0.5-0.5Q2: -0.9-0.9Q3Q3: -2.8-2.8Q3: +0.3+0.3Q4Q4: -7.1-7.1Q4: +0.0+0.0
-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: -0.7-0.7Q1: +3.2+3.2Q2Q2: -0.5-0.5Q2: -0.9-0.9Q3Q3: -2.8-2.8Q3: +0.3+0.3Q4Q4: -7.1-7.1Q4: +0.0+0.0
UlmBayern
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
UlmLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lietkabelis
#16
W
61-42
61
42
+19
A15/10
Eurocup
Alba Berlin
#2
W
42-39
42
39
+3
A19/10
German Cup
Besiktas
#2
D
54-54
54
54
+0
H21/10
Eurocup
Ludwigsburg
#9
L
37-47
37
47
-10
A26/10
BBL
Chemnitz
#12
L
35-48
35
48
-13
A29/10
Eurocup
Frankfurt
#15
W
36-35
36
35
+1
H01/11
BBL
London Lions
#17
W
41-34
41
34
+7
H05/11
Eurocup
Bonn
#4
L
39-41
39
41
-2
A08/11
BBL
JL Bourg
#1
L
42-50
42
50
-8
H11/11
Eurocup
Buducnost
#6
L
44-53
44
53
-9
A18/11
Eurocup
87.4Avg total
43.1Scored
44.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.841.584.2+1.350%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.940.183.1+2.864%-
Last 30 away (16)42.642.685.2+0.038%-
Last 10 (10)43.144.387.4-1.240%-
Last 5 (5)40.442.683.0-2.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)44.648.893.4-4.220%-
vs Similar (12)41.138.279.2+2.942%-
vs Weaker (12)43.841.985.7+1.867%-
This opponent (Bayern) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BayernLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Alba Berlin
#3
W
38-35
38
35
+3
A26/10
BBL
Real Madrid
#2
L
44-57
44
57
-13
H28/10
Euroleague
Virtus Bologna
#17
W
41-38
41
38
+3
H30/10
Euroleague
Heidelberg
#18
W
63-35
63
35
+28
H03/11
BBL
Paris
#16
W
53-42
53
42
+11
A06/11
Euroleague
Vechta
#7
L
38-41
38
41
-3
A09/11
BBL
Barcelona
#8
L
32-43
32
43
-11
H12/11
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#19
L
34-42
34
42
-8
A14/11
Euroleague
Trier
#5
W
51-37
51
37
+14
A16/11
German Cup
Baskonia
#18
L
41-42
41
42
-1
A21/11
Euroleague
84.7Avg total
43.5Scored
41.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.540.281.7+1.357%-
Last 30 at home (18)43.141.384.3+1.867%-
Last 30 away (12)39.238.777.8+0.542%-
Last 10 (10)43.541.284.7+2.350%-
Last 5 (5)39.241.080.2-1.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)35.846.682.4-10.80%-
vs Similar (12)39.639.779.2-0.150%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)45.439.284.7+6.283%-
This opponent (Ulm) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Ulmtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ulm: 78.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.0 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.8 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.2 points a game
47%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.918.0
51.6%
53.8%36.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.18.4
31.0%
34.0%25.2
🏀 Free throws21.616.8
77.8%
73.5%16.8
They take 62.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Bayerntheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bayern: 80.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.6 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.1 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.4 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.2 points a game
47%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.117.8
52.2%
53.8%35.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.910.7
34.6%
34.0%32.1
🏀 Free throws15.312.4
81.0%
73.5%12.4
They take 65.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 23 Nov 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Ulm
LLLWLLLLLW
Bayern
LWLLWWWWWL
#6
League position
#1
-15.1
Net rating
+3.6
102.4
Offensive rating
107.7
117.5
Defensive rating
104.1
49.4%
Effective FG%
52.1%
58.5%
Opp. effective FG%
51.3%
20.2%
Turnover %
17.3%
29.6%
Off. rebound %
29.0%
0.35
Free-throw rate
0.24
31.0%
3-point %
34.6%
63.3%
Assist %
61.1%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence102.4 · 107.7Defence117.5 · 104.1Shooting49.4% · 52.1%3-point %31.0% · 34.6%Ball care20.2% · 17.3%Off. rebounds29.6% · 29.0%Free throws0.35 · 0.24Form (last 10/10)20% · 60%
■ Ulm   ■ Bayern
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Ulm wins
7
Bayern wins
DateGameScore
26/06/25Bayern v Ulm81-77
24/06/25Ulm v Bayern53-67
21/06/25Bayern v Ulm79-81
18/06/25Ulm v Bayern79-64
15/06/25Bayern v Ulm82-66
08/04/25Ulm v Bayern109-94
17/03/25Bayern v Ulm70-62
01/05/24Ulm v Bayern74-81
18/02/24Bayern v Ulm81-65
17/12/23Bayern v Ulm95-80
Ulmlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/11/25ABuducnost71-101
11/11/25HJL Bourg64-96
08/11/25ABonn79-81
05/11/25HLondon Lions87-86
01/11/25HFrankfurt67-75
29/10/25AChemnitz78-89
26/10/25ALudwigsburg81-90
21/10/25HBesiktas99-101
19/10/25AAlba Berlin68-90
15/10/25ALietkabelis98-94
Bayernlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/11/25ABaskonia73-95
16/11/25ATrier96-80
14/11/25AAnadolu Efes72-74
12/11/25HBarcelona74-75
09/11/25AVechta77-74
06/11/25AParis86-82
03/11/25HHeidelberg93-81
30/10/25HVirtus Bologna86-70
28/10/25HReal Madrid90-84
26/10/25AAlba Berlin61-67

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Ulm
BBL 2025-26
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL43%
HomeWWL67%
AwayWLLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %43%67%25%
Points / game81.782.781.0
Allowed / game81.178.783.0
Point differential+0.6+4.0-2.0
Avg total162.9161.3164.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)-0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Bayern
BBL 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW83%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games642
Win %83%100%50%
Points / game86.094.569.0
Allowed / game76.579.570.5
Point differential+9.5+15.0-1.5
Avg total162.5174.0139.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bayern65183%86.076.5+9.5
2 Syntainics MBC86275%86.582.1+4.4
3 Trier86275%88.887.0+1.8
4 Ludwigsburg75271%85.984.1+1.7
5 Alba Berlin64267%86.780.3+6.3
6 Frankfurt85362%86.482.5+3.9
7 Wurzburg85362%79.480.8-1.4
8 Bamberg74357%91.983.6+8.3
9 Chemnitz74357%90.185.6+4.6
10 Jena74357%87.089.7-2.7
11 Bonn84450%75.577.1-1.6
12 Ulm73443%81.781.1+0.6
13 Rostock73443%82.182.4-0.3
14 Vechta73443%83.485.3-1.9
15 Basketball Braunschweig83538%80.285.0-4.8
16 Heidelberg81712%78.882.8-4.0
17 Oldenburg81712%82.187.1-5.0
18 Hamburg7070%76.993.0-16.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Ulm19171517977
Bayern152314161381
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