Virtus Bologna vs Varese Result & Analysis

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (27)	84.1	76.7	160.9	+7.4	74%
Season at home (13)	85.6	74.7	160.3	+10.9	92%
Season away (14)	82.8	78.6	161.4	+4.2	57%
Last 10 (10)	80.8	73.5	154.3	+7.3	60%
Last 5 (5)	86.8	75.2	162.0	+11.6	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	72.6	87.2	159.8	-14.7	0%
vs Similar (8)	80.0	75.5	155.5	+4.5	75%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)	83.0	69.5	152.5	+13.5	75%

This opponent (Varese) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Varese

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormVarese

Date

Competition

Olimpia Milano

92-119

119

-27

84avg 79

A02/02

Lega A

Trento

79-92

-13

71avg 79

H09/02

Lega A

Trapani

93-106 OT

106

-13

88avg 79

A02/03

Lega A

Tortona

82-89 OT

-7

64avg 79

A09/03

Lega A

Reggiana

63-78

-15

49avg 79

H16/03

Lega A

Treviso

#11

86-88

-2

74avg 79

A23/03

Lega A

Scafati

#15

95-82

+13

84avg 79

H30/03

Lega A

Cremona

#13

85-87 OT

-2

78avg 79

H06/04

Lega A

Basket Napoli

#14

97-87

+10

87avg 79

A12/04

Lega A

Sassari

#10

89-84

92avg 79

H19/04

Lega A

22-28

27-35

18-32

25-24

25-25

13-27

19-22

22-18

32-23

23-26

14-18

20-22

14-18

19-23

20-13

22-21

14-20

15-13

16-20

18-25

19-19

23-26

23-22

21-21

23-21

23-17

29-20

20-24

16-6

14-16

23-18

15-28

26-20

24-21

25-21

22-25

23-17

18-21

25-29

177.3Avg total

86.1Scored

91.2Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (27)	87.9	95.5	183.4	-7.6	33%
Season at home (14)	88.6	92.7	181.4	-4.1	50%
Season away (13)	87.1	98.5	185.6	-11.5	15%
Last 10 (10)	86.1	91.2	177.3	-5.1	30%
Last 5 (5)	90.4	85.6	176.0	+4.8	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)	87.6	97.8	185.4	-10.3	26%
vs Similar (11)	92.0	89.6	181.6	+2.4	55%
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Virtus Bologna) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Virtus BolognaVarese

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.5	19.4	39.0	+0.1	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.3	19.3	39.5	+1.0	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.8	19.6	38.4	-0.8	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.9	17.7	36.6	+1.2	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.2	18.2	38.4	+2.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	18.8	23.7	42.4	-4.9	33%	-
vs Similar (8)	18.8	20.1	38.9	-1.4	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)	20.8	15.8	36.5	+5.0	67%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	23.3	22.3	45.6	+1.0	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	23.3	20.9	44.1	+2.4	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	23.3	23.8	47.1	-0.5	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.4	19.7	41.1	+1.7	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.4	16.6	38.0	+4.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)	23.1	23.5	46.6	-0.4	42%	-
vs Similar (11)	23.6	20.4	44.0	+3.3	64%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.3	19.7	40.0	+0.6	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.3	20.3	39.7	-1.0	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	21.3	19.0	40.3	+2.3	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.9	20.2	42.1	+1.7	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.2	19.6	41.8	+2.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	18.7	21.3	40.0	-2.7	22%	-
vs Similar (8)	20.4	18.6	39.0	+1.8	88%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)	21.9	18.5	40.4	+3.4	58%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	23.6	23.1	46.8	+0.5	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.8	23.5	46.3	-0.7	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	24.5	22.8	47.3	+1.7	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.4	22.1	42.5	-1.7	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.4	19.4	40.8	+2.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)	23.1	24.1	47.2	-1.0	42%	-
vs Similar (11)	24.5	21.5	46.0	+3.1	64%	-
vs Weaker	no games

Virtus BolognaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Maccabi Tel Aviv

#16

33-42

-9

A20/03

Euroleague

Trieste

41-37

A22/03

Lega A

Crvena zvezda

#10

27-51

-24

A26/03

Euroleague

Alba Berlin

#18

62-33

+29

A28/03

Euroleague

Reggiana

33-27

H31/03

Lega A

Olimpia Milano

#11

44-29

+15

H04/04

Euroleague

Treviso

#11

36-34

A07/04

Lega A

Barcelona

38-45

-7

A11/04

Euroleague

Brescia

45-53

-8

H14/04

Lega A

Pistoia

#16

49-28

+21

A19/04

Lega A

78.7Avg total

40.8Scored

37.9Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.8	39.1	78.9	+0.7	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	39.6	39.6	79.2	+0.0	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	40.1	38.6	78.7	+1.5	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.8	37.9	78.7	+2.9	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	42.4	37.8	80.2	+4.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	37.4	45.0	82.4	-7.6	33%	-
vs Similar (8)	39.1	38.8	77.9	+0.4	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)	42.7	34.2	76.9	+8.4	83%	-

This opponent (Varese) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

VareseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Olimpia Milano

49-63

-14

A02/02

Lega A

Trento

38-52

-14

H09/02

Lega A

Trapani

55-49

A02/03

Lega A

Tortona

33-41

-8

A09/03

Lega A

Reggiana

29-33

-4

H16/03

Lega A

Treviso

#11

42-45

-3

A23/03

Lega A

Scafati

#15

46-38

H30/03

Lega A

Cremona

#13

30-22

H06/04

Lega A

Basket Napoli

#14

50-41

A12/04

Lega A

Sassari

#10

46-34

+12

H19/04

Lega A

83.6Avg total

41.8Scored

41.8Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	46.9	45.5	92.4	+1.5	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	46.1	44.3	90.4	+1.7	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	47.8	46.6	94.4	+1.2	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.8	41.8	83.6	+0.0	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	42.8	36.0	78.8	+6.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)	46.2	47.6	93.8	-1.4	47%	-
vs Similar (11)	48.2	41.8	90.0	+6.4	73%	-
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Virtus Bologna) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.8	18.7	38.5	+1.1	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.1	17.9	38.9	+3.2	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.5	19.5	38.1	-1.0	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.6	16.6	37.2	+4.0	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	25.0	16.6	41.6	+8.4	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	18.0	20.1	38.1	-2.1	33%	-
vs Similar (8)	20.5	17.6	38.1	+2.9	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)	20.7	17.9	38.6	+2.8	58%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.1	23.7	43.8	-3.6	37%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.9	23.8	44.7	-2.9	33%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.3	23.7	43.0	-4.3	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.5	20.7	41.2	-0.2	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.6	20.4	44.0	+3.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)	18.8	24.8	43.6	-5.9	21%	-
vs Similar (11)	22.3	21.9	44.2	+0.4	64%	-
vs Weaker	no games

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.2	19.3	38.6	-0.1	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.4	19.1	37.5	-0.7	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.1	19.6	39.7	+0.5	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.4	19.0	38.4	+0.4	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.4	20.8	40.2	-1.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	17.1	22.1	39.2	-5.0	33%	-
vs Similar (8)	20.4	19.1	39.5	+1.2	62%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)	19.7	17.3	37.0	+2.3	58%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.2	24.0	45.2	-2.7	27%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.0	23.8	44.8	-2.8	27%	-
Last 30 away (15)	21.5	24.1	45.6	-2.7	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.0	23.7	44.7	-2.7	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.6	25.4	46.0	-4.8	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)	21.9	23.8	45.8	-1.9	32%	-
vs Similar (11)	20.0	24.2	44.2	-4.2	18%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.0	38.0	77.1	+1.0	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	39.5	36.9	76.4	+2.5	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	38.6	39.1	77.7	-0.5	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.0	35.6	75.6	+4.4	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	44.4	37.4	81.8	+7.0	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	35.1	42.2	77.3	-7.1	33%	-
vs Similar (8)	40.9	36.8	77.6	+4.1	62%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)	40.3	35.2	75.6	+5.1	75%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.3	47.7	89.0	-6.4	37%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	41.9	47.6	89.5	-5.7	33%	-
Last 30 away (15)	40.8	47.8	88.6	-7.0	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.5	44.4	85.9	-2.9	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	44.2	45.8	90.0	-1.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)	40.8	48.6	89.4	-7.8	26%	-
vs Similar (11)	42.3	46.1	88.4	-3.8	55%	-
vs Weaker	no games

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Virtus Bolognatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Virtus Bologna: 79.4 points a game scored

🏀🏀53%

🏀🏀🏀28%

🏀19%

🏀🏀 2-pointers42.2 pts a game · 53% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.5 pts a game · 28% of the points

🏀 Free throws14.7 pts a game · 19% of the points

League average for comparison: 84.1 points a game

47%

35%

18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	37.6	21.1	56.1%	52.9%	42.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	24.9	7.5	30.1%	35.8%	22.5
🏀 Free throws	17.9	14.7	82.1%	76.8%	14.7

They take 62.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Varesetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Varese: 85.1 points a game scored

🏀🏀39%

🏀🏀🏀45%

🏀16%

🏀🏀 2-pointers33.0 pts a game · 39% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers38.4 pts a game · 45% of the points

🏀 Free throws13.7 pts a game · 16% of the points

League average for comparison: 84.1 points a game

47%

35%

18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	32.9	16.5	50.2%	52.9%	33.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	32.5	12.8	39.4%	35.8%	38.4
🏀 Free throws	18.3	13.7	74.9%	76.8%	13.7

They take 65.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 50% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	37.8	18.2	48.1%	52.9%	36.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	25.2	8.1	32.1%	35.8%	24.3
🏀 Free throws	17.2	12.6	73.3%	76.8%	12.6

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	38.2	20.4	53.4%	52.9%	40.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	27.5	9.9	36.0%	35.8%	29.7
🏀 Free throws	24.7	19.9	80.6%	76.8%	19.9

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	35.7	19.7	55.1%	52.9%	39.3
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	24.5	7.9	32.1%	35.8%	23.6
🏀 Free throws	18.6	14.9	80.3%	76.8%	14.9

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	33.3	17.5	52.6%	52.9%	35.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	33.3	12.3	37.0%	35.8%	36.9
🏀 Free throws	20.6	16.4	79.5%	76.8%	16.4

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	34.3	17.2	50.1%	52.9%	34.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	27.5	9.7	35.1%	35.8%	29.0
🏀 Free throws	17.1	12.9	75.6%	76.8%	12.9

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	43.5	23.6	54.3%	52.9%	47.3
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	26.6	9.8	36.9%	35.8%	29.5
🏀 Free throws	22.0	17.2	78.5%	76.8%	17.2

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 27 Apr 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.

Virtus Bologna

WWLWWWWLLL

Varese

WWLWLLLLLL

League position

#12

+8.4

Net rating

-6.8

109.3

Offensive rating

108.5

100.9

Defensive rating

115.3

51.8%

Effective FG%

54.6%

48.2%

Opp. effective FG%

53.7%

16.3%

Turnover %

17.9%

28.9%

Off. rebound %

23.0%

0.29

Free-throw rate

0.28

30.1%

3-point %

39.4%

68.9%

Assist %

60.4%

60%

Form (last 10/10)

30%

Profile

■ Virtus Bologna ■ Varese

The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Virtus Bologna wins

Varese wins

Date	Game	Score
10/11/24	Varese v Virtus Bologna	104-95
21/01/24	Varese v Virtus Bologna	69-81
08/10/23	Virtus Bologna v Varese	115-84
07/05/23	Virtus Bologna v Varese	98-82
04/12/22	Varese v Virtus Bologna	100-108
06/02/22	Varese v Virtus Bologna	80-81
03/10/21	Virtus Bologna v Varese	97-56
27/02/21	Virtus Bologna v Varese	85-76
24/10/20	Varese v Virtus Bologna	73-85
19/10/19	Virtus Bologna v Varese	87-80

Virtus Bolognalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
19/04/25	A	Pistoia	86-62
14/04/25	H	Brescia	91-79
11/04/25	A	Barcelona	87-91
07/04/25	A	Treviso	80-74
04/04/25	H	Olimpia Milano	90-70
31/03/25	H	Reggiana	69-45
28/03/25	A	Alba Berlin	108-64
26/03/25	A	Crvena zvezda	52-88
22/03/25	A	Trieste	78-85
20/03/25	A	Maccabi Tel Aviv	67-77

Vareselast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
19/04/25	H	Sassari	89-84
12/04/25	A	Basket Napoli	97-87
06/04/25	H	Cremona	85-87 OT
30/03/25	H	Scafati	95-82
23/03/25	A	Treviso	86-88
16/03/25	H	Reggiana	63-78
09/03/25	A	Tortona	82-89 OT
02/03/25	A	Trapani	93-106 OT
09/02/25	H	Trento	79-92
02/02/25	A	Olimpia Milano	92-119

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Virtus Bologna

Lega A 2024-25

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWWWW	74%
Home	WWWWW	92%
Away	WLLWW	57%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	27	13	14
Win %	74%	92%	57%
Points / game	84.1	85.6	82.8
Allowed / game	76.7	74.7	78.6
Point differential	+7.4	+10.9	+4.2
Avg total	160.9	160.3	161.4
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	41%	62%	21%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	67% (6)	100% (2)	50% (4)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Varese

Lega A 2024-25

Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWLWW	33%
Home	LLWLW	50%
Away	LLLLW	15%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	27	14	13
Win %	33%	50%	15%
Points / game	87.9	88.6	87.1
Allowed / game	95.5	92.7	98.5
Point differential	-7.6	-4.1	-11.5
Avg total	183.4	181.4	185.6
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	7%	7%	8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	71% (7)	80% (5)	50% (2)
Overtime %	11%	7%	15%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Trapani	27	20	7	74%	94.7	85.1	+9.7
2	Virtus Bologna	27	20	7	74%	84.1	76.7	+7.4
3	Trento	28	20	8	71%	87.7	81.9	+5.8
4	Brescia	28	20	8	71%	89.7	84.8	+5.0
5	Olimpia Milano	28	19	9	68%	89.4	83.9	+5.5
6	Reggiana	28	17	11	61%	80.0	77.6	+2.5
7	Trieste	27	16	11	59%	86.8	85.4	+1.4
8	Venezia	27	15	12	56%	83.3	80.1	+3.1
9	Tortona	28	14	14	50%	85.9	85.6	+0.3
10	Sassari	28	12	16	43%	81.5	83.9	-2.4
11	Treviso	28	11	17	39%	84.4	87.8	-3.4
12	Varese	27	9	18	33%	87.9	95.5	-7.6
13	Basket Napoli	27	8	19	30%	83.5	88.0	-4.5
14	Cremona	27	8	19	30%	78.9	84.2	-5.3
15	Scafati	28	6	22	21%	84.8	92.2	-7.5
16	Pistoia	27	5	22	19%	79.0	89.0	-10.1

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Virtus Bologna	13	32	35	24	104
Varese	17	13	20	17	67

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Virtus Bologna vs Varese Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Profile

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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