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Varese vs Treviso Prediction & Stats

Date: Sun 27 Dec 2026
Tip-off: 19:00
Scheduled
Position#6
Record5-3
FormWWLLW
Points / game89.1
Allowed / game87.1
vs
Form · last 5 games
6.4/10
Above normal
5.1/10
Around normal
Position#5
Record5-2
FormLWWWL
Points / game90.7
Allowed / game88.6
ItalyLega ARound 13· Palasport Lino Oldrini
Domestic2026-27
Meetings · Varese v Treviso
27 Dec 2026
VAR v TRV
upcoming
15 Mar 2026
VAR91
TRV86
12 Jan 2025
VAR92
TRV89
28 Apr 2024
VAR95
TRV100
30 Oct 2022
VAR87
TRV85
10 Apr 2022
VAR80
TRV89
27 Dec 2020
VAR79
TRV80
26 Apr 2020
VAR v TRV
upcoming
03 Jan 2012
VAR96
TRV80
19 Feb 2011
VAR74
TRV68
21 Mar 2010
VAR90
TRV82
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Varese win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Treviso win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

VareseItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVarese
Date
Competition
Murcia
#4
L
58-85
58
85
-27
44avg 78
A07/10
Champions League
Trieste
#7
W
85-84
85
84
+1
82avg 78
H10/10
Lega A
Peristeri
#3
L
82-85
82
85
-3
80avg 78
H13/10
Champions League
Trento
#11
L
85-87
85
87
-2
72avg 78
A18/10
Lega A
BC Roma
#13
W
110-103 OT
110
103
+7
106avg 78
H24/10
Lega A
Bamberg
#53
W
95-61
95
61
+34
92avg 78
A27/10
Champions League
Verona
#10
W
99-88
99
88
+11
90avg 78
A31/10
Lega A
Udine
#8
L
81-84
81
84
-3
no box
H08/11
Lega A
Peristeri
#3
L
96-101
96
101
-5
no box
A11/11
Champions League
Reggiana
#14
W
99-84
99
84
+15
no box
A14/11
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
8-16
14-23
20-27
16-19
19-15
21-23
21-20
24-26
27-26
25-11
12-27
18-21
17-23
24-26
21-23
23-15
32-28
17-17
17-22
29-28
22-10
24-16
29-17
20-18
25-23
25-21
23-27
26-17
26-14
23-26
14-27
18-17
20-28
27-30
17-21
32-22
34-18
21-22
25-18
19-26
175.2Avg total
89.0Scored
86.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)89.187.1176.2+2.062%
Season at home (4)86.290.2176.5-4.050%
Season away (4)92.084.0176.0+8.075%
Last 10 (10)89.086.2175.2+2.850%
Last 5 (5)94.083.6177.6+10.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)83.590.2173.7-6.636%
vs Similar ◀ (14)87.486.9174.2+0.557%
vs Weaker (5)92.679.4172.0+13.280%
This opponent (Treviso) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TrevisoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTreviso
Date
Competition
Brescia
#4
W
99-90
99
90
+9
96avg 78
A26/04
Lega A
Cantu
#15
W
80-72
80
72
+8
74avg 78
A03/05
Lega A
Reggiana
#7
W
78-77
78
77
+1
73avg 78
H10/05
Lega A
BC Roma
#13
W
109-94
109
94
+15
101avg 78
H26/09
Lega A
Trento
#11
W
93-90
93
90
+3
79avg 78
A03/10
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#3
L
77-106
77
106
-29
62avg 78
A11/10
Lega A
Udine
#8
W
102-86
102
86
+16
95avg 78
H18/10
Lega A
Venezia
#9
W
97-89 OT
97
89
+8
85avg 78
A25/10
Lega A
Reggiana
#14
W
81-68
81
68
+13
70avg 78
H31/10
Lega A
Tortona
#12
L
76-87
76
87
-11
no box
A08/11
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-31
30-20
25-27
26-12
21-15
17-22
13-19
29-16
21-11
17-17
22-21
18-28
29-26
28-19
27-22
25-27
22-16
28-20
20-28
23-26
28-27
11-33
21-20
17-26
24-27
24-20
26-18
28-21
31-21
13-22
21-17
15-20
29-15
18-24
20-22
14-7
20-22
19-22
21-27
16-16
175.1Avg total
89.2Scored
85.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)90.788.6179.3+2.171%
Season at home (3)97.382.7180.0+14.7100%
Season away (4)85.893.0178.8-7.250%
Last 10 (10)89.285.9175.1+3.380%
Last 5 (5)86.687.2173.8-0.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)77.588.2165.8-10.723%
vs Similar ◀ (14)89.987.5177.4+2.464%
vs Weaker (3)83.381.7165.0+1.767%
This opponent (Varese) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +2.9+2.9Q1: +3.2+3.2Q2Q2: +0.6+0.6Q2: -1.4-1.4Q3Q3: -3.0-3.0Q3: -0.5-0.5Q4Q4: +1.6+1.6Q4: +1.2+1.2
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +2.9+2.9Q1: +3.2+3.2Q2Q2: +0.6+0.6Q2: -1.4-1.4Q3Q3: -3.0-3.0Q3: -0.5-0.5Q4Q4: +1.6+1.6Q4: +1.2+1.2
VareseTreviso
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
VareseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Murcia
#4
L
22-39
22
39
-17
A07/10
Champions League
Trieste
#7
W
40-38
40
38
+2
H10/10
Lega A
Peristeri
#3
W
52-37
52
37
+15
H13/10
Champions League
Trento
#11
L
41-49
41
49
-8
A18/10
Lega A
BC Roma
#13
W
49-45
49
45
+4
H24/10
Lega A
Bamberg
#53
W
46-26
46
26
+20
A27/10
Champions League
Verona
#10
W
50-44
50
44
+6
A31/10
Lega A
Udine
#8
W
49-40
49
40
+9
H08/11
Lega A
Peristeri
#3
L
47-58
47
58
-11
A11/11
Champions League
Reggiana
#14
W
55-40
55
40
+15
A14/11
Lega A
86.7Avg total
45.1Scored
41.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.442.885.1-0.450%-
Last 30 at home (14)44.442.286.6+2.157%-
Last 30 away (16)40.643.283.9-2.644%-
Last 10 (10)45.141.686.7+3.570%-
Last 5 (5)49.441.691.0+7.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)41.546.087.5-4.527%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)41.641.483.1+0.257%-
vs Weaker (5)46.439.485.8+7.080%-
This opponent (Treviso) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TrevisoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brescia
#4
L
48-51
48
51
-3
A26/04
Lega A
Cantu
#15
W
38-37
38
37
+1
A03/05
Lega A
Reggiana
#7
W
38-28
38
28
+10
H10/05
Lega A
BC Roma
#13
W
57-45
57
45
+12
H26/09
Lega A
Trento
#11
W
50-36
50
36
+14
A03/10
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#3
L
39-60
39
60
-21
A11/10
Lega A
Udine
#8
W
48-47
48
47
+1
H18/10
Lega A
Venezia
#9
W
44-43
44
43
+1
A25/10
Lega A
Reggiana
#14
W
47-39
47
39
+8
H31/10
Lega A
Tortona
#12
L
39-44
39
44
-5
A08/11
Lega A
87.8Avg total
44.8Scored
43.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.243.684.8-2.437%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.941.984.8+0.953%-
Last 30 away (15)39.545.384.9-5.820%-
Last 10 (10)44.843.087.8+1.870%-
Last 5 (5)43.446.690.0-3.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)38.245.283.4-7.18%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)43.143.086.1+0.157%-
vs Weaker (3)45.339.785.0+5.767%-
This opponent (Varese) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Varesetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Varese: 84.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.0 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.5 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.1 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.2 points a game
46%
33%
21%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.518.0
50.7%
54.3%36.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.910.5
36.3%
34.3%31.5
🏀 Free throws24.717.1
69.2%
74.6%17.1
They take 64.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Trevisotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Treviso: 90.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀24%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.6 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.6 pts a game · 24% of the points
🏀 Free throws20.6 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.2 points a game
46%
33%
21%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.524.3
54.6%
54.3%48.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.27.2
32.4%
34.3%21.6
🏀 Free throws28.620.6
72.0%
74.6%20.6
They take 66.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 27 Dec 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Varese
WLLWWWLLWL
Treviso
LWWWLWWWWW
#6
League position
#5
-1.2
Net rating
+5.8
91.5
Offensive rating
98.2
92.7
Defensive rating
92.4
52.4%
Effective FG%
52.6%
52.3%
Opp. effective FG%
50.1%
18.5%
Turnover %
12.8%
0.38
Free-throw rate
0.43
36.3%
3-point %
32.4%
66.7%
Assist %
55.2%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence91.5 · 98.2Defence92.7 · 92.4Shooting52.4% · 52.6%3-point %36.3% · 32.4%Ball care18.5% · 12.8%Free throws0.38 · 0.43Form (last 10/10)50% · 80%
■ Varese   ■ Treviso
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Varese wins
5
Treviso wins
DateGameScore
15/03/26Varese v Treviso91-86
11/01/26Treviso v Varese86-83
23/03/25Treviso v Varese88-86
12/01/25Varese v Treviso92-89
28/04/24Varese v Treviso95-100
06/01/24Treviso v Varese96-101
02/04/23Treviso v Varese95-97
30/10/22Varese v Treviso87-85
10/04/22Varese v Treviso80-89
31/10/21Treviso v Varese96-78
Vareselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26AReggiana99-84
11/11/26APeristeri96-101
08/11/26HUdine81-84
31/10/26AVerona99-88
27/10/26ABamberg95-61
24/10/26HBC Roma110-103 OT
18/10/26ATrento85-87
13/10/26HPeristeri82-85
10/10/26HTrieste85-84
07/10/26AMurcia58-85
Trevisolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/11/26ATortona76-87
31/10/26HReggiana81-68
25/10/26AVenezia97-89 OT
18/10/26HUdine102-86
11/10/26AOlimpia Milano77-106
03/10/26ATrento93-90
26/09/26HBC Roma109-94
10/05/26HReggiana78-77
03/05/26ACantu80-72
26/04/26ABrescia99-90

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Varese
Lega A 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW62%
HomeLWWL50%
AwayWLWW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %62%50%75%
Points / game89.186.292.0
Allowed / game87.190.284.0
Point differential+2.0-4.0+8.0
Avg total176.2176.5176.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%0%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)50% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %12%25%0%
Treviso
Lega A 2026-27
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL71%
HomeWWW100%
AwayWLWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %71%100%50%
Points / game90.797.385.8
Allowed / game88.682.793.0
Point differential+2.1+14.7-7.2
Avg total179.3180.0178.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+43%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %14%0%25%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Virtus Bologna76186%96.486.0+10.4
2 Basket Napoli76186%93.786.6+7.1
3 Olimpia Milano75271%90.982.7+8.1
4 Maxima Roma75271%88.183.7+4.4
5 Treviso75271%90.788.6+2.1
6 Varese85362%89.187.1+2.0
7 Trieste74357%94.488.4+6.0
8 Udine74357%81.380.3+1.0
9 Venezia74357%87.988.6-0.7
10 Verona84450%88.590.8-2.2
11 Trento73443%80.483.6-3.1
12 Tortona72529%83.791.0-7.3
13 BC Roma82625%98.698.0+0.6
14 Reggiana82625%82.085.6-3.6
15 Scafati71614%81.692.0-10.4
16 Cantu7070%76.990.9-14.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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