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Varese vs Treviso Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 15 Mar 2026
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 91-86
21-22 30-22 19-23 21-19
Position#8
Record9-12
FormWLLWW
Points / game83.0
Allowed / game86.3
Varese 🏆
Italy
vs
Position#14
Record3-17
FormLLLLL
Points / game81.0
Allowed / game90.0
ItalyLega ARound 22· Palasport Lino Oldrini
Domestic2025-26
Meetings · Varese v Treviso
27 Dec 2026
VAR v TRV
upcoming
15 Mar 2026
VAR91
TRV86
12 Jan 2025
VAR92
TRV89
28 Apr 2024
VAR95
TRV100
30 Oct 2022
VAR87
TRV85
10 Apr 2022
VAR80
TRV89
27 Dec 2020
VAR79
TRV80
26 Apr 2020
VAR v TRV
upcoming
03 Jan 2012
VAR96
TRV80
19 Feb 2011
VAR74
TRV68
21 Mar 2010
VAR90
TRV82
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Varese winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Treviso winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

VareseItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVarese
Date
Competition
Trieste
#10
W
84-69
84
69
+15
76avg 74
H21/12
Lega A
Trapani
#3
W
95-88
95
88
+7
95avg 74
A28/12
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#11
W
84-80
84
80
+4
74avg 74
H03/01
Lega A
Treviso
#14
L
83-86
83
86
-3
70avg 74
A11/01
Lega A
Venezia
#5
L
94-106
94
106
-12
no box
H18/01
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#2
W
84-74
84
74
+10
80avg 74
A26/01
Lega A
Reggiana
#7
L
61-76
61
76
-15
53avg 74
H01/02
Lega A
Trento
#9
L
78-84
78
84
-6
72avg 74
A08/02
Lega A
Brescia
#4
W
98-96
98
96
+2
90avg 74
H14/02
Lega A
Udine
#13
W
92-81
92
81
+11
85avg 74
A08/03
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-11
19-26
28-11
24-21
22-19
25-26
27-19
21-24
20-18
18-24
24-18
22-20
13-18
18-22
29-17
23-29
25-31
34-18
18-35
17-22
15-19
21-24
27-19
21-12
10-24
16-11
14-20
21-21
18-23
17-15
18-24
25-22
22-34
19-21
31-23
26-18
28-21
18-21
21-15
25-24
169.3Avg total
85.3Scored
84.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)83.086.3169.2-3.343%
Season at home (10)78.383.7162.0-5.440%
Season away (11)87.288.6175.8-1.545%
Last 10 (10)85.384.0169.3+1.360%
Last 5 (5)82.682.2164.8+0.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)79.989.1169.1-9.229%
vs Similar ◀ (13)85.782.3168.0+3.462%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Treviso) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TrevisoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTreviso
Date
Competition
Cantu
#15
W
86-81
86
81
+5
80avg 74
H14/12
Lega A
Udine
#13
L
79-86
79
86
-7
67avg 74
A21/12
Lega A
Sassari
#16
L
89-92
89
92
-3
82avg 74
H28/12
Lega A
Venezia
#5
L
66-87
66
87
-21
62avg 74
A05/01
Lega A
Varese
#8
W
86-83
86
83
+3
83avg 74
H11/01
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
77-88
77
88
-11
no box
A18/01
Lega A
Trento
#9
L
67-88
67
88
-21
57avg 74
H25/01
Lega A
Trieste
#10
L
76-84
76
84
-8
62avg 74
A01/02
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#2
L
71-76
71
76
-5
59avg 74
H09/02
Lega A
Venezia
#5
L
90-91
90
91
-1
77avg 74
H08/03
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-24
25-17
12-13
29-27
21-24
19-21
21-21
18-20
18-18
19-24
24-26
28-24
21-23
18-23
14-20
13-21
18-13
22-18
17-29
29-23
10-21
19-27
25-24
23-16
17-16
17-25
18-27
15-20
16-15
19-23
19-20
22-26
15-16
17-21
20-20
19-19
25-29
21-19
17-20
27-23
164.3Avg total
78.7Scored
85.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)81.090.0171.1-9.015%
Season at home (11)84.590.5175.0-6.118%
Season away (9)76.989.3166.2-12.411%
Last 10 (10)78.785.6164.3-6.920%
Last 5 (5)76.285.4161.6-9.20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)79.890.4170.2-10.512%
vs Similar ◀ (11)83.088.7171.7-5.727%
vs Weaker (2)90.086.5176.5+3.5100%
This opponent (Varese) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -3.2-3.2Q1: -1.8-1.8Q2Q2: -0.3-0.3Q2: -2.2-2.2Q3Q3: +3.6+3.6Q3: -3.3-3.3Q4Q4: +1.2+1.2Q4: +0.4+0.4
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -3.2-3.2Q1: -1.8-1.8Q2Q2: -0.3-0.3Q2: -2.2-2.2Q3Q3: +3.6+3.6Q3: -3.3-3.3Q4Q4: +1.2+1.2Q4: +0.4+0.4
VareseTreviso
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
VareseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Trieste
#10
L
32-37
32
37
-5
H21/12
Lega A
Trapani
#3
W
47-45
47
45
+2
A28/12
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#11
L
38-42
38
42
-4
H03/01
Lega A
Treviso
#14
L
31-40
31
40
-9
A11/01
Lega A
Venezia
#5
W
59-49
59
49
+10
H18/01
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#2
L
36-43
36
43
-7
A26/01
Lega A
Reggiana
#7
L
26-35
26
35
-9
H01/02
Lega A
Trento
#9
L
35-38
35
38
-3
A08/02
Lega A
Brescia
#4
L
41-55
41
55
-14
H14/02
Lega A
Udine
#13
W
46-42
46
42
+4
A08/03
Lega A
81.7Avg total
39.1Scored
42.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.741.781.4-2.037%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.539.376.8-1.740%-
Last 30 away (15)41.944.186.1-2.233%-
Last 10 (10)39.142.681.7-3.530%-
Last 5 (5)36.842.679.4-5.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)40.143.783.8-3.629%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)39.339.178.4+0.246%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Treviso) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TrevisoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cantu
#15
W
45-41
45
41
+4
H14/12
Lega A
Udine
#13
L
40-45
40
45
-5
A21/12
Lega A
Sassari
#16
L
37-42
37
42
-5
H28/12
Lega A
Venezia
#5
L
39-46
39
46
-7
A05/01
Lega A
Varese
#8
W
40-31
40
31
+9
H11/01
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
29-48
29
48
-19
A18/01
Lega A
Trento
#9
L
34-41
34
41
-7
H25/01
Lega A
Trieste
#10
L
35-38
35
38
-3
A01/02
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#2
L
32-37
32
37
-5
H09/02
Lega A
Venezia
#5
L
46-48
46
48
-2
H08/03
Lega A
79.4Avg total
37.7Scored
41.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.144.885.9-3.717%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.943.084.9-1.125%-
Last 30 away (14)40.246.987.1-6.77%-
Last 10 (10)37.741.779.4-4.020%-
Last 5 (5)35.242.477.6-7.20%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)39.944.984.9-5.06%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)42.544.586.9-2.027%-
vs Weaker (2)43.546.089.5-2.550%-
This opponent (Varese) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Varesetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Varese: 84.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.6 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.6 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.7 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.6 points a game
48%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.820.8
59.8%
54.1%41.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.910.2
33.0%
34.6%30.6
🏀 Free throws16.712.7
76.0%
76.1%12.7
They take 65.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Trevisotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Treviso: 78.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.0 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.3 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.2 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.6 points a game
48%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.419.5
49.5%
54.1%39.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.57.1
29.0%
34.6%21.3
🏀 Free throws23.718.2
76.8%
76.1%18.2
They take 63.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 15 Mar 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Varese
WWLLWLLWWW
Treviso
LLLLLWLLLW
#8
League position
#14
+1.7
Net rating
-8.1
100.5
Offensive rating
96.3
98.9
Defensive rating
104.3
54.9%
Effective FG%
47.2%
52.5%
Opp. effective FG%
54.8%
17.8%
Turnover %
15.3%
30.8%
Off. rebound %
25.7%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.37
33.0%
3-point %
29.0%
62.6%
Assist %
54.1%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence100.5 · 96.3Defence98.9 · 104.3Shooting54.9% · 47.2%3-point %33.0% · 29.0%Ball care17.8% · 15.3%Off. rebounds30.8% · 25.7%Free throws0.25 · 0.37Form (last 10/10)60% · 20%
■ Varese   ■ Treviso
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Varese wins
5
Treviso wins
DateGameScore
11/01/26Treviso v Varese86-83
23/03/25Treviso v Varese88-86
12/01/25Varese v Treviso92-89
28/04/24Varese v Treviso95-100
06/01/24Treviso v Varese96-101
02/04/23Treviso v Varese95-97
30/10/22Varese v Treviso87-85
10/04/22Varese v Treviso80-89
31/10/21Treviso v Varese96-78
18/04/21Treviso v Varese94-103
Vareselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/03/26AUdine92-81
14/02/26HBrescia98-96
08/02/26ATrento78-84
01/02/26HReggiana61-76
26/01/26AOlimpia Milano84-74
18/01/26HVenezia94-106
11/01/26ATreviso83-86
03/01/26HBasket Napoli84-80
28/12/25ATrapani95-88
21/12/25HTrieste84-69
Trevisolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/03/26HVenezia90-91
09/02/26HOlimpia Milano71-76
01/02/26ATrieste76-84
25/01/26HTrento67-88
18/01/26AVirtus Bologna77-88
11/01/26HVarese86-83
05/01/26AVenezia66-87
28/12/25HSassari89-92
21/12/25AUdine79-86
14/12/25HCantu86-81

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Varese
Lega A 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW43%
HomeWWLLW40%
AwayWLWLW45%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211011
Win %43%40%45%
Points / game83.078.387.2
Allowed / game86.383.788.6
Point differential-3.3-5.4-1.5
Avg total169.2162.0175.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%10%18%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)100% (2)33% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Treviso
Lega A 2025-26
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL15%
HomeLWLLL18%
AwayLLLLL11%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games20119
Win %15%18%11%
Points / game81.084.576.9
Allowed / game90.090.589.3
Point differential-8.9-6.1-12.4
Avg total171.1175.0166.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won43% (7)33% (6)100% (1)
Overtime %5%9%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Virtus Bologna2118386%82.974.3+8.6
2 Brescia2015575%88.883.7+5.1
3 Olimpia Milano2115671%84.977.9+7.0
4 Venezia2115671%91.685.7+5.9
5 Tortona2114767%87.986.3+1.6
6 Trapani1510567%78.877.9+0.9
7 Trieste21111052%84.587.3-2.8
8 Trento22101245%82.881.4+1.4
9 Reggiana2191243%81.981.1+0.7
10 Varese2191243%83.086.3-3.3
11 Cremona2181338%81.985.1-3.2
12 Udine2281436%82.183.1-1.0
13 Sassari2281436%86.188.7-2.6
14 Basket Napoli2071335%83.186.6-3.5
15 Cantu2151624%83.589.3-5.8
16 Treviso2031715%81.090.0-8.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Varese2130192191
Treviso2222231986
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