PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Varese vs Treviso Prediction & Stats

Date: Sun 26 Apr 2020
Tip-off: 16:15
Postponed
Position#10
Record9-10
FormLWLWL
Points / game82.6
Allowed / game80.1
vs
Form · last 5 games
6.1/10
Above normal
5.1/10
Around normal
Position#13
Record8-13
FormLLWWL
Points / game77.1
Allowed / game79.2
ItalyLega ARound 34
Domestic2019-20
Meetings · Varese v Treviso
27 Dec 2026
VAR v TRV
upcoming
15 Mar 2026
VAR91
TRV86
12 Jan 2025
VAR92
TRV89
28 Apr 2024
VAR95
TRV100
30 Oct 2022
VAR87
TRV85
10 Apr 2022
VAR80
TRV89
27 Dec 2020
VAR79
TRV80
26 Apr 2020
VAR v TRV
upcoming
03 Jan 2012
VAR96
TRV80
19 Feb 2011
VAR74
TRV68
21 Mar 2010
VAR90
TRV82
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Varese win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Treviso win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

VareseItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVarese
Date
Competition
Virtus Roma
#15
W
99-69
99
69
+30
96avg 75
H01/12
Lega A
Cantu
#11
L
67-74
67
74
-7
58avg 75
A08/12
Lega A
Pesaro
#17
W
103-87
103
87
+16
99avg 75
H15/12
Lega A
Cremona
#6
L
72-93
72
93
-21
no box
A21/12
Lega A
Pistoia
#16
W
91-60
91
60
+31
94avg 75
H26/12
Lega A
Trento
#8
L
81-86
81
86
-5
69avg 75
H29/12
Lega A
Treviso
#13
W
84-79
84
79
+5
84avg 75
A05/01
Lega A
Sassari
#2
L
87-93
87
93
-6
81avg 75
A12/01
Lega A
Trieste
#14
W
91-85
91
85
+6
85avg 75
H19/01
Lega A
Fortitudo Bologna
#9
L
76-79
76
79
-3
66avg 75
A26/01
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
34-19
24-20
21-15
20-15
14-14
21-23
12-17
20-20
25-24
31-30
26-20
21-13
24-18
17-29
16-24
15-22
26-14
18-19
24-15
23-12
16-20
20-26
17-19
28-21
23-17
14-27
22-11
25-24
25-28
18-22
27-25
17-18
20-20
22-18
33-21
16-26
20-24
28-20
13-20
15-15
165.6Avg total
85.1Scored
80.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)82.680.1162.7+2.547%
Season at home (9)88.376.7165.0+11.778%
Season away (10)77.583.2160.7-5.720%
Last 10 (10)85.180.5165.6+4.650%
Last 5 (5)83.884.4168.2-0.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)73.286.2159.5-13.00%
vs Similar (11)81.086.7167.7-5.727%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)83.373.1156.5+10.267%
This opponent (Treviso) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TrevisoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTreviso
Date
Competition
Reggiana
#12
W
91-83
91
83
+8
83avg 66
H08/12
Lega A
Cantu
#11
L
74-77
74
77
-3
63avg 66
A15/12
Lega A
Sassari
#2
L
79-101
79
101
-22
no box
H27/12
Lega A
Brindisi
#5
L
74-81
74
81
-7
no box
A29/12
Lega A
Varese
#10
L
79-84
79
84
-5
69avg 66
H05/01
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#4
L
67-91
67
91
-24
48avg 66
A12/01
Lega A
Cremona
#6
L
84-94
84
94
-10
72avg 66
H18/01
Lega A
Pistoia
#16
W
86-75
86
75
+11
no box
A26/01
Lega A
Fortitudo Bologna
#9
W
78-66
78
66
+12
70avg 66
H02/02
Lega A
Venezia
#7
L
73-79
73
79
-6
63avg 66
A09/02
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-24
22-28
26-14
28-17
17-20
24-15
17-21
16-21
18-29
16-22
25-28
20-22
20-17
17-21
16-26
21-17
17-23
27-14
11-22
24-25
22-19
19-22
15-20
11-30
19-29
27-18
18-19
20-28
29-13
20-20
9-24
28-18
18-15
21-14
21-22
18-15
23-25
14-13
14-15
22-26
161.6Avg total
78.5Scored
83.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)77.179.2156.4-2.138%
Season at home (10)79.879.7159.5+0.160%
Season away (11)74.778.8153.5-4.118%
Last 10 (10)78.583.1161.6-4.630%
Last 5 (5)77.681.0158.6-3.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)74.082.4156.4-8.422%
vs Similar (8)76.978.9155.8-2.025%
vs Weaker (13)80.565.4145.8+15.1100%
This opponent (Varese) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +2.9+2.9Q1: -1.6-1.6Q2Q2: -2.1-2.1Q2: +2.0+2.0Q3Q3: +2.4+2.4Q3: -3.9-3.9Q4Q4: +1.4+1.4Q4: -1.1-1.1
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +2.9+2.9Q1: -1.6-1.6Q2Q2: -2.1-2.1Q2: +2.0+2.0Q3Q3: +2.4+2.4Q3: -3.9-3.9Q4Q4: +1.4+1.4Q4: -1.1-1.1
VareseTreviso
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
VareseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Virtus Roma
#15
W
58-39
58
39
+19
H01/12
Lega A
Cantu
#11
L
35-37
35
37
-2
A08/12
Lega A
Pesaro
#17
W
56-54
56
54
+2
H15/12
Lega A
Cremona
#6
L
41-47
41
47
-6
A21/12
Lega A
Pistoia
#16
W
44-33
44
33
+11
H26/12
Lega A
Trento
#8
L
36-46
36
46
-10
H29/12
Lega A
Treviso
#13
L
37-44
37
44
-7
A05/01
Lega A
Sassari
#2
L
43-50
43
50
-7
A12/01
Lega A
Trieste
#14
W
42-38
42
38
+4
H19/01
Lega A
Fortitudo Bologna
#9
W
48-44
48
44
+4
A26/01
Lega A
87.2Avg total
44.0Scored
43.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.639.379.9+1.357%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.936.678.5+5.380%-
Last 30 away (15)39.341.981.3-2.633%-
Last 10 (10)44.043.287.2+0.850%-
Last 5 (5)41.244.485.6-3.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)34.043.277.2-9.20%-
vs Similar (11)40.041.381.3-1.355%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)42.836.779.5+6.173%-
This opponent (Treviso) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TrevisoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Reggiana
#12
L
37-52
37
52
-15
H08/12
Lega A
Cantu
#11
W
41-35
41
35
+6
A15/12
Lega A
Sassari
#2
L
34-51
34
51
-17
H27/12
Lega A
Brindisi
#5
L
37-38
37
38
-1
A29/12
Lega A
Varese
#10
W
44-37
44
37
+7
H05/01
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#4
D
41-41
41
41
+0
A12/01
Lega A
Cremona
#6
L
46-47
46
47
-1
H18/01
Lega A
Pistoia
#16
W
49-33
49
33
+16
A26/01
Lega A
Fortitudo Bologna
#9
W
39-29
39
29
+10
H02/02
Lega A
Venezia
#7
L
37-38
37
38
-1
A09/02
Lega A
80.6Avg total
40.5Scored
40.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.535.576.0+5.063%-
Last 30 at home (14)38.635.373.9+3.464%-
Last 30 away (16)42.135.677.8+6.562%-
Last 10 (10)40.540.180.6+0.440%-
Last 5 (5)42.437.680.0+4.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)38.338.276.6+0.133%-
vs Similar (8)41.640.482.0+1.250%-
vs Weaker (13)41.330.571.8+10.892%-
This opponent (Varese) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Varesetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Varese: 84.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀38%
🏀🏀🏀44%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.0 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers37.2 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.9 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.6 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers28.116.0
56.9%
52.0%32.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.512.4
38.2%
35.1%37.2
🏀 Free throws18.314.9
81.4%
73.6%14.9
They take 60.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 54% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Trevisotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Treviso: 77.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.6 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.5 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.4 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.6 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.217.3
49.1%
52.0%34.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.210.5
36.0%
35.1%31.5
🏀 Free throws14.911.4
76.5%
73.6%11.4
They take 64.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 26 Apr 2020 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Varese
LWLWLWLWLW
Treviso
LWWLLLLLLW
#10
League position
#13
+6.7
Net rating
-6.6
122.5
Offensive rating
110.6
115.8
Defensive rating
117.2
57.1%
Effective FG%
51.3%
53.8%
Opp. effective FG%
54.3%
15.2%
Turnover %
15.8%
27.7%
Off. rebound %
30.6%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.23
38.2%
3-point %
36.0%
59.5%
Assist %
54.0%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence122.5 · 110.6Defence115.8 · 117.2Shooting57.1% · 51.3%3-point %38.2% · 36.0%Ball care15.2% · 15.8%Off. rebounds27.7% · 30.6%Free throws0.30 · 0.23Form (last 10/10)50% · 30%
■ Varese   ■ Treviso
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Varese wins
0
Treviso wins
DateGameScore
05/01/20Treviso v Varese79-84
25/04/12Treviso v Varese55-71
03/01/12Varese v Treviso96-80
19/02/11Varese v Treviso74-68
06/11/10Treviso v Varese67-72
21/03/10Varese v Treviso90-82
21/11/09Treviso v Varese86-94
Vareselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/01/20AFortitudo Bologna76-79
19/01/20HTrieste91-85
12/01/20ASassari87-93
05/01/20ATreviso84-79
29/12/19HTrento81-86
26/12/19HPistoia91-60
21/12/19ACremona72-93
15/12/19HPesaro103-87
08/12/19ACantu67-74
01/12/19HVirtus Roma99-69
Trevisolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/02/20AVenezia73-79
02/02/20HFortitudo Bologna78-66
26/01/20APistoia86-75
18/01/20HCremona84-94
12/01/20AOlimpia Milano67-91
05/01/20HVarese79-84
29/12/19ABrindisi74-81
27/12/19HSassari79-101
15/12/19ACantu74-77
08/12/19HReggiana91-83

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Varese
Lega A 2019-20
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL47%
HomeWWWLW78%
AwayLLWLL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19910
Win %47%78%20%
Points / game82.688.377.5
Allowed / game80.176.783.2
Point differential+2.5+11.7-5.7
Avg total162.7165.0160.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+32%56%10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)50% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %5%11%0%
Treviso
Lega A 2019-20
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL38%
HomeWLLLW60%
AwayLLLWL18%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211011
Win %38%60%18%
Points / game77.179.874.7
Allowed / game79.279.778.8
Point differential-2.1+0.1-4.1
Avg total156.4159.5153.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%40%18%
Close games (≤5 pts) won17% (6)50% (2)0% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Virtus Bologna2018290%86.075.0+10.9
2 Sassari2116576%85.575.9+9.6
3 Brescia2114767%81.374.0+7.3
4 Olimpia Milano2114767%80.374.0+6.3
5 Brindisi2113862%84.680.8+3.8
6 Cremona2012860%81.380.8+0.5
7 Venezia21111052%78.075.3+2.7
8 Trento21111052%77.979.3-1.4
9 Fortitudo Bologna21111052%77.379.5-2.2
10 Varese1991047%82.680.1+2.5
11 Cantu2091145%76.779.0-2.4
12 Reggiana2191243%82.984.0-1.0
13 Treviso2181338%77.179.2-2.1
14 Trieste2271532%76.080.5-4.5
15 Virtus Roma2271532%78.585.5-7.0
16 Pistoia2271532%74.583.3-8.8
17 Pesaro201195%79.292.5-13.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.