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Virtus Bologna vs Brescia Prediction & Stats

Date: Sun 01 Mar 2020
Tip-off: 16:00
Postponed
Position#1
Record18-2
FormWWWWW
Points / game86.0
Allowed / game75.0
vs
Position#3
Record14-7
FormWWLLW
Points / game81.3
Allowed / game74.0
ItalyLega ARound 23
Domestic2019-20
Meetings · Virtus Bologna v Brescia
22 Dec 2025
VIR86
BRE76
14 Jun 2025
VIR75
BRE65
12 Jun 2025
VIR90
BRE87
14 Apr 2025
VIR91
BRE79
20 Nov 2023
VIR88
BRE76
24 Sep 2023
VIR97
BRE60
19 Feb 2023
VIR76
BRE84
05 Feb 2023
VIR84
BRE78
08 May 2022
VIR79
BRE57
23 Jan 2021
VIR89
BRE90
01 Mar 2020
VIR v BRE
upcoming
06 Jan 2019
VIR88
BRE80
12 Nov 2017
VIR74
BRE76
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Virtus Bologna win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Brescia win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Virtus BolognaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cremona
#6
L
66-78
66
78
-12
A08/12
Lega A
Brindisi
#5
W
99-87
99
87
+12
H14/12
Lega A
Sassari
#2
L
77-91
77
91
-14
A22/12
Lega A
Fortitudo Bologna
#9
W
94-62
94
62
+32
H25/12
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#4
W
83-70
83
70
+13
H29/12
Lega A
Trento
#8
W
83-77
83
77
+6
A05/01
Lega A
Virtus Roma
#15
W
97-68
97
68
+29
A12/01
Lega A
Pistoia
#16
W
90-60
90
60
+30
H18/01
Lega A
Venezia
#7
W
83-71
83
71
+12
A25/01
Lega A
Pesaro
#17
W
106-89
106
89
+17
H01/02
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-26
20-20
18-14
14-18
22-20
32-23
23-22
22-22
17-22
21-21
19-27
20-21
22-11
23-14
20-21
29-16
24-20
22-20
17-16
20-14
21-17
21-8
13-25
28-27
22-14
28-15
21-21
26-18
19-8
27-20
16-20
28-12
21-21
23-18
19-16
20-16
25-25
27-22
29-11
25-31
163.1Avg total
87.8Scored
75.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)86.075.0160.9+11.090%
Season at home (10)88.173.4161.5+14.7100%
Season away (10)83.876.6160.4+7.280%
Last 10 (10)87.875.3163.1+12.580%
Last 5 (5)91.873.0164.8+18.8100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)76.374.3150.7+2.067%
vs Similar ◀ (7)75.976.1152.0-0.357%
vs Weaker (20)84.772.8157.6+11.990%
This opponent (Brescia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BresciaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pistoia
#16
W
86-74
86
74
+12
H08/12
Lega A
Virtus Roma
#15
W
83-53
83
53
+30
A22/12
Lega A
Cremona
#6
W
91-76
91
76
+15
H26/12
Lega A
Cantu
#11
W
93-82
93
82
+11
A29/12
Lega A
Venezia
#7
W
70-64
70
64
+6
H04/01
Lega A
Reggiana
#12
W
87-81
87
81
+6
A11/01
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#4
W
78-72
78
72
+6
H19/01
Lega A
Brindisi
#5
L
82-86
82
86
-4
H26/01
Lega A
Trento
#8
L
56-63
56
63
-7
A02/02
Lega A
Trieste
#14
W
76-74
76
74
+2
H09/02
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-19
20-20
14-14
24-21
25-15
22-13
16-12
20-13
20-29
19-22
28-15
24-10
23-28
27-18
31-19
12-17
10-14
15-18
16-15
29-17
24-22
24-15
18-21
21-23
9-15
20-19
27-17
22-21
15-22
26-18
25-22
16-24
15-19
18-14
12-15
11-15
16-17
18-20
14-25
28-12
152.7Avg total
80.2Scored
72.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)81.374.0155.3+7.367%
Season at home (11)85.274.9160.1+10.382%
Season away (10)77.073.0150.0+4.050%
Last 10 (10)80.272.5152.7+7.780%
Last 5 (5)75.875.2151.0+0.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)83.889.0172.8-5.225%
vs Similar ◀ (10)80.279.5159.7+0.750%
vs Weaker (16)83.372.8156.1+10.681%
This opponent (Virtus Bologna) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +2.3+2.3Q1: -1.5-1.5Q2Q2: +6.3+6.3Q2: +3.2+3.2Q3Q3: +0.2+0.2Q3: +2.6+2.6Q4Q4: +3.7+3.7Q4: +3.4+3.4
Virtus BolognaBrescia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Virtus BolognaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cremona
#6
L
34-46
34
46
-12
A08/12
Lega A
Brindisi
#5
W
54-43
54
43
+11
H14/12
Lega A
Sassari
#2
L
38-43
38
43
-5
A22/12
Lega A
Fortitudo Bologna
#9
W
45-25
45
25
+20
H25/12
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#4
W
46-40
46
40
+6
H29/12
Lega A
Trento
#8
W
42-25
42
25
+17
A05/01
Lega A
Virtus Roma
#15
W
50-29
50
29
+21
A12/01
Lega A
Pistoia
#16
W
46-28
46
28
+18
H18/01
Lega A
Venezia
#7
W
44-39
44
39
+5
A25/01
Lega A
Pesaro
#17
W
52-47
52
47
+5
H01/02
Lega A
81.6Avg total
45.1Scored
36.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.136.077.1+5.063%-
Last 30 at home (17)41.335.476.7+5.971%-
Last 30 away (13)40.836.877.6+3.954%-
Last 10 (10)45.136.581.6+8.680%-
Last 5 (5)46.833.680.4+13.2100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)40.333.073.3+7.367%-
vs Similar ◀ (7)36.637.073.6-0.429%-
vs Weaker (20)42.836.178.9+6.675%-
This opponent (Brescia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BresciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pistoia
#16
W
48-39
48
39
+9
H08/12
Lega A
Virtus Roma
#15
W
47-28
47
28
+19
A22/12
Lega A
Cremona
#6
L
39-51
39
51
-12
H26/12
Lega A
Cantu
#11
W
50-46
50
46
+4
A29/12
Lega A
Venezia
#7
L
25-32
25
32
-7
H04/01
Lega A
Reggiana
#12
W
48-37
48
37
+11
A11/01
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#4
L
29-34
29
34
-5
H19/01
Lega A
Brindisi
#5
W
41-40
41
40
+1
H26/01
Lega A
Trento
#8
D
33-33
33
33
+0
A02/02
Lega A
Trieste
#14
L
34-37
34
37
-3
H09/02
Lega A
77.1Avg total
39.4Scored
37.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.939.179.0+0.853%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.238.979.2+1.362%-
Last 30 away (14)39.639.378.9+0.343%-
Last 10 (10)39.437.777.1+1.750%-
Last 5 (5)37.036.273.2+0.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)38.842.281.0-3.550%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)38.938.677.5+0.350%-
vs Weaker (16)40.938.679.5+2.256%-
This opponent (Virtus Bologna) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Virtus Bolognatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Virtus Bologna: 87.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.6 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.1 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.3 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.6 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.622.3
59.3%
52.0%44.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.29.7
37.0%
35.1%29.1
🏀 Free throws19.413.3
68.6%
73.6%13.3
They take 63.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Bresciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Brescia: 79.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.8 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.6 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.0 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.6 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.419.4
50.5%
52.0%38.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.09.2
41.8%
35.1%27.6
🏀 Free throws16.713.0
77.8%
73.6%13.0
They take 60.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 01 Mar 2020 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Virtus Bologna
WWWWWWWLWL
Brescia
WLLWWWWWWW
#1
League position
#3
+17.2
Net rating
+11.9
117.8
Offensive rating
117.1
100.6
Defensive rating
105.1
57.8%
Effective FG%
55.0%
45.6%
Opp. effective FG%
48.3%
18.2%
Turnover %
16.7%
32.5%
Off. rebound %
31.4%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.28
37.0%
3-point %
41.8%
67.5%
Assist %
59.1%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence117.8 · 117.1Defence100.6 · 105.1Shooting57.8% · 55.0%3-point %37.0% · 41.8%Ball care18.2% · 16.7%Off. rebounds32.5% · 31.4%Free throws0.30 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)80% · 80%
■ Virtus Bologna   ■ Brescia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Virtus Bologna wins
3
Brescia wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/02/20HPesaro106-89
25/01/20AVenezia83-71
18/01/20HPistoia90-60
12/01/20AVirtus Roma97-68
05/01/20ATrento83-77
29/12/19HOlimpia Milano83-70
25/12/19HFortitudo Bologna94-62
22/12/19ASassari77-91
14/12/19HBrindisi99-87
08/12/19ACremona66-78
Brescialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/02/20HTrieste76-74
02/02/20ATrento56-63
26/01/20HBrindisi82-86
19/01/20HOlimpia Milano78-72
11/01/20AReggiana87-81
04/01/20HVenezia70-64
29/12/19ACantu93-82
26/12/19HCremona91-76
22/12/19AVirtus Roma83-53
08/12/19HPistoia86-74

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Virtus Bologna
Lega A 2019-20
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW90%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayLLWWW80%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games201010
Win %90%100%80%
Points / game86.088.183.8
Allowed / game75.073.476.6
Point differential+10.9+14.7+7.2
Avg total160.9161.5160.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+55%60%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (4)100% (2)100% (2)
Overtime %5%0%10%
Brescia
Lega A 2019-20
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW67%
HomeWWWLW82%
AwayLWWWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211110
Win %67%82%50%
Points / game81.385.277.0
Allowed / game74.074.973.0
Point differential+7.3+10.3+4.0
Avg total155.3160.1150.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%45%30%
Close games (≤5 pts) won20% (5)33% (3)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Virtus Bologna2018290%86.075.0+10.9
2 Sassari2015575%85.275.3+9.8
3 Brescia2114767%81.374.0+7.3
4 Olimpia Milano2114767%80.374.0+6.3
5 Brindisi2113862%84.680.8+3.8
6 Cremona2012860%81.380.8+0.5
7 Venezia21111052%78.075.3+2.7
8 Trento21111052%77.979.3-1.4
9 Fortitudo Bologna21111052%77.379.5-2.2
10 Varese1991047%82.680.1+2.5
11 Cantu2091145%76.779.0-2.4
12 Reggiana2191243%82.984.0-1.0
13 Treviso2181338%77.179.2-2.1
14 Virtus Roma2171433%78.085.1-7.0
15 Pistoia2171433%74.282.6-8.4
16 Trieste2161529%75.080.5-5.5
17 Pesaro201195%79.292.5-13.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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