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Virtus Bologna vs Brescia Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 22 Dec 2025
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 86-76
18-21 23-17 25-15 20-23
Position#1
Record9-2
FormWLLWL
Points / game86.9
Allowed / game79.1
vs
Position#4
Record10-1
FormWLWLW
Points / game90.3
Allowed / game81.6
ItalyLega ARound 12· Segafredo Arena
Domestic2025-26
Meetings · Virtus Bologna v Brescia
22 Dec 2025
VIR86
BRE76
14 Jun 2025
VIR75
BRE65
12 Jun 2025
VIR90
BRE87
14 Apr 2025
VIR91
BRE79
20 Nov 2023
VIR88
BRE76
24 Sep 2023
VIR97
BRE60
19 Feb 2023
VIR76
BRE84
05 Feb 2023
VIR84
BRE78
08 May 2022
VIR79
BRE57
23 Jan 2021
VIR89
BRE90
01 Mar 2020
VIR v BRE
upcoming
06 Jan 2019
VIR88
BRE80
12 Nov 2017
VIR74
BRE76
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Virtus Bologna winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Brescia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Virtus BolognaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBologna
Date
Competition
Treviso
#14
W
101-79
101
79
+22
102avg 79
A17/11
Lega A
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#12
W
99-89
99
89
+10
102avg 79
H21/11
Euroleague
Cantu
#15
W
89-77
89
77
+12
84avg 79
A23/11
Lega A
Fenerbahce
#4
L
64-66
64
66
-2
64avg 79
A25/11
Euroleague
Dubai
#11
W
79-78
79
78
+1
69avg 79
H05/12
Euroleague
Tortona
#6
W
92-77
92
77
+15
92avg 79
H08/12
Lega A
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#6
L
74-79
74
79
-5
73avg 79
H12/12
Euroleague
Olimpia Milano
#2
L
63-74
63
74
-11
51avg 79
A14/12
Lega A
Partizan
#15
W
86-68
86
68
+18
80avg 79
A17/12
Euroleague
Crvena zvezda
#9
L
89-90
89
90
-1
91avg 79
A19/12
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-25
25-20
18-9
32-25
26-24
30-21
24-21
19-23
24-15
23-20
23-21
19-21
17-15
14-15
16-20
17-16
26-17
13-27
15-12
25-22
20-20
28-15
32-22
12-20
24-21
18-15
15-14
17-29
11-21
24-14
14-23
14-16
24-19
16-18
23-15
23-16
15-23
31-22
24-25
19-20
161.3Avg total
83.6Scored
77.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)86.979.1166.0+7.882%
Season at home (5)87.280.0167.2+7.280%
Season away (6)86.778.3165.0+8.383%
Last 10 (10)83.677.7161.3+5.960%
Last 5 (5)80.877.6158.4+3.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)78.980.6159.5-1.740%
vs Similar ◀ (9)84.282.2166.4+2.056%
vs Weaker (10)89.379.6168.9+9.790%
This opponent (Brescia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BresciaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBrescia
Date
Competition
Cantu
#15
W
104-94
104
94
+10
95avg 82
H26/10
Lega A
Trapani
#3
L
75-77
75
77
-2
71avg 82
A02/11
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#2
W
98-92
98
92
+6
92avg 82
H05/11
Lega A
Trieste
#10
W
98-75
98
75
+23
100avg 82
H09/11
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#11
W
85-72
85
72
+13
80avg 82
A16/11
Lega A
Cremona
#12
W
83-72
83
72
+11
no box
H21/11
Lega A
UT Martin
#72
L
50-75
50
75
-25
no box
A26/11
NCAA
Reggiana
#7
W
93-87
93
87
+6
89avg 82
A06/12
Lega A
Northern Kentucky
#130
L
53-92
53
92
-39
no box
A10/12
NCAA
Varese
#8
W
102-94
102
94
+8
103avg 82
H14/12
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-27
28-11
28-26
19-30
19-19
17-31
20-13
19-14
27-20
29-21
24-27
18-24
32-26
21-18
18-16
27-15
23-15
21-18
12-16
29-23
23-21
14-19
22-14
24-18
0-0
18-43
0-0
32-32
25-29
26-17
20-20
22-21
0-0
21-50
0-0
32-42
29-18
21-29
25-18
27-29
167.1Avg total
84.1Scored
83.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)90.381.6171.9+8.691%
Season at home (6)92.881.7174.5+11.2100%
Season away (5)87.281.6168.8+5.680%
Last 10 (10)84.183.0167.1+1.170%
Last 5 (5)76.284.0160.2-7.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)69.287.2156.5-18.025%
vs Similar ◀ (15)83.182.5165.7+0.660%
vs Weaker (10)95.181.9177.0+13.2100%
This opponent (Virtus Bologna) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +1.3+1.3Q1: +3.2+3.2Q2Q2: +3.5+3.5Q2: -4.1-4.1Q3Q3: +2.2+2.2Q3: +1.9+1.9Q4Q4: -1.1-1.1Q4: +0.1+0.1
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +1.3+1.3Q1: +3.2+3.2Q2Q2: +3.5+3.5Q2: -4.1-4.1Q3Q3: +2.2+2.2Q3: +1.9+1.9Q4Q4: -1.1-1.1Q4: +0.1+0.1
Virtus BolognaBrescia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Virtus BolognaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Treviso
#14
W
51-45
51
45
+6
A17/11
Lega A
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#12
W
56-45
56
45
+11
H21/11
Euroleague
Cantu
#15
W
47-35
47
35
+12
A23/11
Lega A
Fenerbahce
#4
W
31-30
31
30
+1
A25/11
Euroleague
Dubai
#11
L
39-44
39
44
-5
H05/12
Euroleague
Tortona
#6
W
48-35
48
35
+13
H08/12
Lega A
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#6
W
42-36
42
36
+6
H12/12
Euroleague
Olimpia Milano
#2
D
35-35
35
35
+0
A14/12
Lega A
Partizan
#15
W
40-37
40
37
+3
A17/12
Euroleague
Crvena zvezda
#9
W
46-45
46
45
+1
A19/12
Euroleague
82.2Avg total
43.5Scored
38.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.439.081.4+3.567%-
Last 30 at home (13)43.537.881.3+5.885%-
Last 30 away (17)41.639.981.5+1.753%-
Last 10 (10)43.538.782.2+4.880%-
Last 5 (5)42.237.679.8+4.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)40.339.579.8+0.860%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)42.340.983.2+1.444%-
vs Weaker (10)44.436.480.8+8.090%-
This opponent (Brescia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BresciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cantu
#15
W
57-38
57
38
+19
H26/10
Lega A
Trapani
#3
L
36-50
36
50
-14
A02/11
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#2
W
56-41
56
41
+15
H05/11
Lega A
Trieste
#10
W
53-44
53
44
+9
H09/11
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#11
W
44-33
44
33
+11
A16/11
Lega A
Cremona
#12
L
37-40
37
40
-3
H21/11
Lega A
UT Martin
#72
L
18-43
18
43
-25
A26/11
NCAA
Reggiana
#7
W
51-46
51
46
+5
A06/12
Lega A
Northern Kentucky
#130
L
21-50
21
50
-29
A10/12
NCAA
Varese
#8
W
50-47
50
47
+3
H14/12
Lega A
85.5Avg total
42.3Scored
43.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.242.685.8+0.663%-
Last 30 at home (14)46.141.687.7+4.471%-
Last 30 away (16)40.743.484.1-2.756%-
Last 10 (10)42.343.285.5-0.960%-
Last 5 (5)35.445.280.6-9.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)34.845.280.0-10.525%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)42.842.785.5+0.160%-
vs Weaker (10)48.341.189.4+7.290%-
This opponent (Virtus Bologna) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Virtus Bolognatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Virtus Bologna: 82.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.8 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.0 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.8 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.6 points a game
48%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.318.4
55.3%
54.1%36.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.011.0
39.3%
34.6%33.0
🏀 Free throws17.512.8
73.1%
76.1%12.8
They take 61.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Bresciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Brescia: 90.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.8 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.9 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.3 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.6 points a game
48%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.321.4
54.5%
54.1%42.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.99.3
40.6%
34.6%27.9
🏀 Free throws23.919.3
80.8%
76.1%19.3
They take 62.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 22 Dec 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Virtus Bologna
LWLLWWLWWW
Brescia
WLWLWWWWLW
#1
League position
#4
+7.9
Net rating
+11.3
114.3
Offensive rating
118.7
106.4
Defensive rating
107.4
56.9%
Effective FG%
56.8%
49.6%
Opp. effective FG%
51.3%
18.9%
Turnover %
16.6%
31.5%
Off. rebound %
29.3%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.38
39.3%
3-point %
40.6%
71.4%
Assist %
60.3%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence114.3 · 118.7Defence106.4 · 107.4Shooting56.9% · 56.8%3-point %39.3% · 40.6%Ball care18.9% · 16.6%Off. rebounds31.5% · 29.3%Free throws0.29 · 0.38Form (last 10/10)60% · 70%
■ Virtus Bologna   ■ Brescia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Virtus Bologna wins
2
Brescia wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/12/25ACrvena zvezda89-90
17/12/25APartizan86-68
14/12/25AOlimpia Milano63-74
12/12/25HHapoel Tel-Aviv74-79
08/12/25HTortona92-77
05/12/25HDubai79-78
25/11/25AFenerbahce64-66
23/11/25ACantu89-77
21/11/25HMaccabi Tel Aviv99-89
17/11/25ATreviso101-79
Brescialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/12/25HVarese102-94
10/12/25ANorthern Kentucky53-92
06/12/25AReggiana93-87
26/11/25AUT Martin50-75
21/11/25HCremona83-72
16/11/25ABasket Napoli85-72
09/11/25HTrieste98-75
05/11/25HOlimpia Milano98-92
02/11/25ATrapani75-77
26/10/25HCantu104-94

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Virtus Bologna
Lega A 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL82%
HomeWLWWW80%
AwayWWWWL83%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1156
Win %82%80%83%
Points / game86.987.286.7
Allowed / game79.180.078.3
Point differential+7.8+7.2+8.3
Avg total166.0167.2165.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+55%60%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %9%0%17%
Brescia
Lega A 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW91%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWLWW80%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1165
Win %91%100%80%
Points / game90.392.887.2
Allowed / game81.681.781.6
Point differential+8.6+11.2+5.6
Avg total171.9174.5168.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+36%50%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)-50% (2)
Overtime %9%0%20%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Brescia1110191%90.381.6+8.6
2 Trapani1210283%90.285.6+4.7
3 Virtus Bologna119282%86.979.1+7.8
4 Venezia129375%93.987.1+6.8
5 Olimpia Milano128467%86.577.6+8.9
6 Tortona128467%89.889.4+0.3
7 Trieste126650%85.290.2-4.9
8 Trento125742%85.282.9+2.2
9 Cremona125742%84.384.8-0.4
10 Basket Napoli125742%86.287.2-1.0
11 Udine124833%80.181.6-1.5
12 Sassari124833%85.888.4-2.6
13 Varese124833%81.186.8-5.7
14 Reggiana123925%80.985.0-4.1
15 Cantu123925%83.291.8-8.6
16 Treviso1221017%83.292.6-9.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Virtus Bologna1823252086
Brescia2117152376
← all games of the day
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