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Virtus Bologna vs Pistoia Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 06 Oct 2024
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 84-68
32-19 19-20 17-10 16-19
Position#1
Record1-0
FormLWLWL
Points / game89.0
Allowed / game88.0
vs
Position#16
Record1-0
FormLLLLW
Points / game88.0
Allowed / game82.0
ItalyLega ARound 2· Lo Guzzo C.
Domestic2024-25
Meetings · Virtus Bologna v Pistoia
06 Oct 2024
VIR84
PIS68
01 Apr 2024
VIR93
PIS100
18 Jan 2020
VIR90
PIS60
07 Apr 2019
VIR67
PIS78
02 Jan 2018
VIR75
PIS67
20 Dec 2015
VIR76
PIS72
01 Mar 2015
VIR90
PIS67
04 May 2014
VIR70
PIS77
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Virtus Bologna winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Pistoia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Virtus BolognaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBologna
Date
Competition
Venezia
#4
L
73-78
73
78
-5
73avg 80
A29/05
Lega A
Venezia
#4
W
96-81
96
81
+15
91avg 80
A31/05
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
75-86 OT
75
86
-11
65avg 80
H06/06
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
W
72-64
72
64
+8
70avg 80
H08/06
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
78-81
78
81
-3
75avg 80
A11/06
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
73-85
73
85
-12
63avg 80
A13/06
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#3
W
96-87
96
87
+9
94avg 80
A21/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
96-98 OT
96
98
-2
no box
A22/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Trapani
#3
W
89-88
89
88
+1
88avg 80
A28/09
Lega A
Anadolu Efes
#5
L
67-76
67
76
-9
61avg 80
H04/10
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-16
20-22
10-21
14-19
23-27
34-18
13-21
26-15
19-14
14-11
15-29
20-14
12-17
20-14
23-20
17-13
25-29
19-17
15-16
19-19
23-22
13-24
14-20
23-19
29-16
23-18
18-36
26-17
26-17
21-19
22-28
15-20
29-25
21-16
19-20
20-27
21-15
15-21
16-15
15-25
163.9Avg total
81.5Scored
82.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)89.088.0177.0+1.0100%
Season at homeno games
Season away (1)89.088.0177.0+1.0100%
Last 10 (10)81.582.4163.9-0.940%
Last 5 (5)84.286.8171.0-2.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)73.078.5151.5-5.50%
vs Similar (12)79.983.9163.8-4.033%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)88.379.0167.3+9.373%
This opponent (Pistoia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PistoiaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPistoia
Date
Competition
Virtus Bologna
#2
W
100-93
100
93
+7
98avg 69
A01/04
Lega A
Reggiana
#5
W
83-82
83
82
+1
78avg 69
H07/04
Lega A
Pesaro
#16
L
82-89
82
89
-7
73avg 69
A13/04
Lega A
Brindisi
#15
L
90-96
90
96
-6
87avg 69
H21/04
Lega A
Trento
#6
W
105-80
105
80
+25
100avg 69
A28/04
Lega A
Varese
#12
L
78-96
78
96
-18
62avg 69
H05/05
Lega A
Brescia
#3
L
70-79
70
79
-9
53avg 69
A12/05
Lega A
Brescia
#3
L
75-97
75
97
-22
62avg 69
A14/05
Lega A
Brescia
#3
L
77-98
77
98
-21
63avg 69
H17/05
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#14
W
88-82
88
82
+6
83avg 69
H29/09
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-26
27-29
27-28
32-10
16-25
24-19
30-18
13-20
16-29
24-21
24-22
18-17
25-27
24-24
26-15
15-30
24-20
31-22
21-26
29-12
19-26
23-28
15-23
21-19
12-23
16-25
27-13
15-18
19-30
15-16
17-25
24-26
13-31
17-28
25-16
22-23
29-24
27-19
10-20
22-19
174.0Avg total
84.8Scored
89.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)88.082.0170.0+6.0100%
Season at home (1)88.082.0170.0+6.0100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)84.889.2174.0-4.440%
Last 5 (5)77.690.4168.0-12.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)80.385.1165.3-4.853%
vs Similar (14)82.685.1167.7-2.650%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Virtus Bologna) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: +3.8+3.8Q1: -7.4-7.4Q2Q2: +2.0+2.0Q2: -0.3-0.3Q3Q3: -6.1-6.1Q3: +1.6+1.6Q4Q4: +0.7+0.7Q4: +1.7+1.7
-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: +3.8+3.8Q1: -7.4-7.4Q2Q2: +2.0+2.0Q2: -0.3-0.3Q3Q3: -6.1-6.1Q3: +1.6+1.6Q4Q4: +0.7+0.7Q4: +1.7+1.7
Virtus BolognaPistoia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Virtus BolognaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Venezia
#4
W
49-38
49
38
+11
A29/05
Lega A
Venezia
#4
W
57-45
57
45
+12
A31/05
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
W
33-25
33
25
+8
H06/06
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
W
32-31
32
31
+1
H08/06
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
44-46
44
46
-2
A11/06
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
36-46
36
46
-10
A13/06
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#3
W
52-34
52
34
+18
A21/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Olimpia Milano
#1
W
47-36
47
36
+11
A22/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Trapani
#3
W
50-41
50
41
+9
A28/09
Lega A
Anadolu Efes
#5
D
36-36
36
36
+0
H04/10
Euroleague
81.4Avg total
43.6Scored
37.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.539.483.9+5.160%-
Last 30 at home (14)45.637.983.5+7.871%-
Last 30 away (16)43.640.884.3+2.850%-
Last 10 (10)43.637.881.4+5.870%-
Last 5 (5)44.238.682.8+5.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)37.543.581.0-6.00%-
vs Similar (12)40.939.980.8+1.050%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)47.938.886.7+9.173%-
This opponent (Pistoia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PistoiaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
41-55
41
55
-14
A01/04
Lega A
Reggiana
#5
L
40-44
40
44
-4
H07/04
Lega A
Pesaro
#16
L
40-50
40
50
-10
A13/04
Lega A
Brindisi
#15
L
49-51
49
51
-2
H21/04
Lega A
Trento
#6
W
55-42
55
42
+13
A28/04
Lega A
Varese
#12
L
42-54
42
54
-12
H05/05
Lega A
Brescia
#3
L
28-48
28
48
-20
A12/05
Lega A
Brescia
#3
L
34-46
34
46
-12
A14/05
Lega A
Brescia
#3
L
30-59
30
59
-29
H17/05
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#14
W
56-43
56
43
+13
H29/09
Lega A
90.7Avg total
41.5Scored
49.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.345.184.4-5.930%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.243.282.4-4.033%-
Last 30 away (15)39.347.186.4-7.727%-
Last 10 (10)41.549.290.7-7.720%-
Last 5 (5)38.050.088.0-12.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)38.145.183.3-7.040%-
vs Similar (14)40.945.886.6-4.921%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Virtus Bologna) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Virtus Bolognatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Virtus Bologna: 79.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.0 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.4 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.6 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.1 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.419.5
56.7%
52.9%39.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.97.8
32.6%
35.8%23.4
🏀 Free throws22.216.6
74.8%
76.8%16.6
They take 58.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Pistoiatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pistoia: 89.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.4 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.9 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.7 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.1 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.621.7
54.8%
52.9%43.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.010.3
38.1%
35.8%30.9
🏀 Free throws19.214.7
76.6%
76.8%14.7
They take 66.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 06 Oct 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Virtus Bologna
LWLWLLWLWL
Pistoia
WLLLLWLLWW
#1
League position
#16
-1.1
Net rating
-4.6
109.9
Offensive rating
114.2
111.0
Defensive rating
118.8
53.5%
Effective FG%
55.8%
51.6%
Opp. effective FG%
54.2%
17.7%
Turnover %
12.7%
27.8%
Off. rebound %
19.0%
0.38
Free-throw rate
0.29
32.6%
3-point %
38.1%
71.4%
Assist %
49.7%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence109.9 · 114.2Defence111.0 · 118.8Shooting53.5% · 55.8%3-point %32.6% · 38.1%Ball care17.7% · 12.7%Off. rebounds27.8% · 19.0%Free throws0.38 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)40% · 40%
■ Virtus Bologna   ■ Pistoia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Virtus Bologna wins
3
Pistoia wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/10/24HAnadolu Efes67-76
28/09/24ATrapani89-88
22/09/24AOlimpia Milano96-98 OT
21/09/24ABasket Napoli96-87
13/06/24AOlimpia Milano73-85
11/06/24AOlimpia Milano78-81
08/06/24HOlimpia Milano72-64
06/06/24HOlimpia Milano75-86 OT
31/05/24AVenezia96-81
29/05/24AVenezia73-78
Pistoialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/09/24HBasket Napoli88-82
17/05/24HBrescia77-98
14/05/24ABrescia75-97
12/05/24ABrescia70-79
05/05/24HVarese78-96
28/04/24ATrento105-80
21/04/24HBrindisi90-96
13/04/24APesaro82-89
07/04/24HReggiana83-82
01/04/24AVirtus Bologna100-93

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Virtus Bologna
Lega A 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
Home--
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1-1
Win %100%-100%
Points / game89.0-89.0
Allowed / game88.0-88.0
Point differential+1.0-+1.0
Avg total177.0-177.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%-0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%-0%
Pistoia
Lega A 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
HomeW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games11-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game88.088.0-
Allowed / game82.082.0-
Point differential+6.0+6.0-
Avg total170.0170.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Trento220100%87.073.0+14.0
2 Brescia220100%106.593.5+13.0
3 Tortona220100%92.581.5+11.0
4 Trieste220100%88.080.5+7.5
5 Pistoia110100%88.082.0+6.0
6 Virtus Bologna110100%89.088.0+1.0
7 Olimpia Milano21150%89.079.5+9.5
8 Trapani21150%87.580.0+7.5
9 Scafati21150%95.090.5+4.5
10 Reggiana21150%76.583.0-6.5
11 Treviso21150%74.581.0-6.5
12 Basket Napoli2020%82.590.0-7.5
13 Cremona2020%71.078.5-7.5
14 Venezia2020%72.580.0-7.5
15 Varese2020%94.5111.5-17.0
16 Sassari2020%80.598.5-18.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Virtus Bologna3219171684
Pistoia1920101968
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